TP's NCAA for 10/20 and 10/21

[Tomorrows Paper]

I really believe tonight's game is one of the best of the weekend. Not the best record so far, but pretty acceptable, and this could be make or break week, as I really feel there are some lines that are just sitting there for the taking.

NCAA Plays (31-23-4, +7.23)

FRIDAY

4* UCONN +23 (-107)

• Terry Caulley. I'm not sure if you give Caulley and Slaton equal offensive lines and systems that Caulley isn't just as good a back. Now, of course that's not the case, but UCONN is rushing for over 5 yards a carry this season, and with Caulley they will be able to both score, but perhaps more importantly, keep the clock running and the WVU offense off the field.
• The WVU defense. I've watched this defense play, and have not been impressed at all. The secondary can't cover anybody, and the run defense isn't nearly as good as last season. The 3-3-5 isn't conducive to stopping the run, and WVU has been terrible on 3rd downs defensively.
• Coaching. Not that Rich Rodriguez is a bad coach - he's an excellent recruiter and strategist - but I'd rather have Edsall. WVU has had no discipline since RR came to Morgantown (Pacman Jones, Chris Henry) and this season WVU is 118th out of 119 teams in penalties. Edsall doesn't have the same talent, but he will have his team ready to make this competitive.
• Laying this number with a team with 0 passing game is a total mistake. Any scoring WVU will do will come on sustained drives.
• Short week. Pat White is coming in off rushing for 247 yards, and I don't think Rodriguez wants him to do the same tonight on short rest.
• The public loves West Virginia, both in this game, and in general (I don't even think they're a top ten team).

SATURDAY

5* Nebraska +5 (-106)
I could be entirely wrong here, but I think Nebraska is simply the better team across the field.

• McCoy vs. Taylor - I'll gladly take Taylor. He is the much more experienced QB, and check this. Colt McCoy has never played a game outside the state of Texas.
• The Blackshirts. Perhaps the most underrated defense in the nation. Here's a neat stat. Defending national champions off consecutive wins that come as road favorites against teams allowing <18 ppg have only covered once in 15 tries.
• The Texas defense. Supposedly this Texas defense is good, but, well, I'm still waiting for them to prove it. 31 points allowed to Baylor? So far Texas has played two ranked teams, and was badly outgained by both. Only turnovers prevented an Oklahoma team (which is inferior to Nebraska, IMO) from beating the Horns on a neutral field. OU outgained Texas by over 100 yards. If Nebraska does the same, it will win handily.
• Line value. As mentioned above, if the OU/Texas score isn't so misleading, this line is closer to 3 or even less. Nebraska has been coasting, and has blown some leads, making their scores not as impressive, but I honestly believe they have more talent across the field.
• Coaching. Mack Brown on the road? You can have all that you want. Not that Bill Callahan will be receiving COY honors any time soon, but Brown has never won this kind of game without having #10 at QB.
• The public's on Texas, but the line is moving down. That's smart money, and I really feel that Nebraska is going to win this game outright.

3* UCLA +13 (-110) - Jamaica
3* Iowa +13.5 (-112)
3* California -23.5 (-107)
2* Baylor -3.5 (-107)
2* Wyoming -3.5 (-110) - Bodog
1* Tulane +32 (-108)
1* Houston -6 (-103)

[BettorsChat]

gl anthony

[Kaptain]

gl with your games---kapt

[kbsooner21]

Best of luck Paper!

[jcindaville]

Nice write up as expected, UCONN was close to covering. Good luck with the rest of the card