Friday Trends and Indexes 10/20

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes for Friday, October 20

Sharpen those pencils, do some good handicapping and
go get ‘em as we go into the weekend!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Football (Friday, Saturday, Sunday)

Dunkel Index – NCAA Football

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20

Game 109-110: West Virginia at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.207; Connecticut 82.028
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 111-112: Rutgers at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 102.745; Pittsburgh 100.819
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 2; 45
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 6 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+6 1/2); Neutral

Game 113-114: Illinois at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 78.328; Penn State 101.343
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 23; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Penn State by 17 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-17 1/2); Over

Game 115-116: Michigan State at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 96.415; Northwestern 81.558
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 11; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 7; 48
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-7); Under

Game 117-118: Louisville at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 105.631; Syracuse 83.995
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 21 1/2; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 17; 54
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-17); Under

Game 119-120: Indiana at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 85.168; Ohio State 112.788
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 27 1/2; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 31; 52
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+31); Under

Game 121-122: N.C. State at Maryland
Dunkel Ratings: N.C. State 89.286; Maryland 88.027
Dunkel Line: N.C. State by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Maryland by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: N.C. State (+3); Neutral

Game 123-124: TCU at Army
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 89.993; Army 70.041
Dunkel Line: TCU by 20; 34
Vegas Line: TCU by 11 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-11 1/2); Under

Game 125-126: Southern Mississippi at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 86.069; Virginia Tech 101.562
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 15 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 17; 42
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+17); Under

Game 127-128: Buffalo at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 63.540; Ohio 78.088
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 14 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Ohio by 18; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+18); Over

Game 129-130: Western Michigan at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 77.969; Ball State 79.082
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 1; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 4; 52
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+4); Under

Game 131-132: Mississippi at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 81.681; Arkansas 94.287
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 12 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 17; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+17); Over

Game 133-134: UCLA at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 92.066; Notre Dame 102.719
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 10 1/2; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+13 1/2); Under

Game 135-136: Tulane at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 76.159; Auburn 102.089
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 26; 48
Vegas Line: Auburn by 32; 50
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+32); Under

Game 137-138: South Carolina at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 90.779; Vanderbilt 90.255
Dunkel Line: Even; 35
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+3 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: UNLV at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 69.786; BYU 102.820
Dunkel Line: BYU by 33; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: BYU by 28 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-28 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: Kansas at Baylor
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 87.697; Baylor 86.039
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 1 1/2; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 4; 47
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+4); Over

Game 143-144: Temple at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 55.969; Northern Illinois 81.044
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 25; 50
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 33 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+33 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: SMU at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 70.840; East Carolina 85.379
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 14 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 6; 48
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-6); Under

Game 147-148: Iowa at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 95.525; Michigan 111.384
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 16; 46
Vegas Line: Michigan by 13; 44
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-13); Over

Game 149-150: Miami (FL) at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 96.782; Duke 69.165
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 27 1/2; 33
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-17 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Texas at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 114.354; Nebraska 104.334
Dunkel Line: Texas by 10; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas by 6 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-6 1/2); Over

Game 153-154: Wisconsin at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 107.000; Purdue 90.861
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 16; 55
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 6; 55
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-6); Neutral

Game 155-156: Mississippi State at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers Mississippi State 82.105; Georgia 100.683
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 18 1/2; 36 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia by 18 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 157-158: Alabama at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 91.731; Tennessee 105.431
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 13 1/2; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 11; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-11); Over

Game 159-160: Washington at California
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 88.116; California 105.975
Dunkel Line: California by 18; 49
Vegas Line: California by 23; 52
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+23); Under

Game 161-162: Colorado State at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 87.212; Wyoming 85.074
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 4 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+4 1/2); Neutral

Game 163-164: Rice at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 78.069; Central Florida 74.459
Dunkel Line: Rice by 3 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 5 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+5 1/2); Under

Game 165-166: Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 72.659; Eastern Michigan 66.211
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 6 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 1; 50
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+1); Neutral

Game 167-168: Miami (OH) at Akron
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 72.793; Akron 85.968
Dunkel Line: Akron by 13; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Akron by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-7 1/2); Under

Game 169-170: Stanford at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 75.157; Arizona State 93.787
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 18 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 23; 46
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (+23); Over

Game 171-172: San Jose State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 68.678; Nevada 89.922
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 21; 52
Vegas Line: Nevada by 13; 54
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-13); Under

Game 173-174: Oregon State at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 86.980; Arizona 87.647
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+2); Over

Game 175-176: UTEP at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 83.779; Houston 82.863
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 1; 59
Vegas Line: Houston by 6; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+6); Under

Game 177-178: Utah State at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 63.899; Louisiana Tech 66.967
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 3; 48
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+6); Over

Game 179-180: Fresno State at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 72.498; LSU 111.787
Dunkel Line: LSU by 39 1/2; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: LSU by 32 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-32 1/2); Under

Game 181-182: Texas Tech at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 84.507; Iowa State 87.192
Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 2 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 3; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+3); Under

Game 183-184: Texas A&M at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 92.662; Oklahoma State 89.481
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3; 54
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+2); Under

Game 185-186: Kansas State at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 85.954; Missouri 98.758
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 16; 45
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (+16); Under

Game 187-188: Colorado at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 91.474; Oklahoma 101.221
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 10; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 13 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+13 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: Marshall at UAB
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 75.006; UAB 82.083
Dunkel Line: UAB by 7; 44
Vegas Line: UAB by 7 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+7 1/2); Under

Game 191-192: Georgia Tech at Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 98.060; Clemson 107.094
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 9; 48
Vegas Line: Clemson by 7 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-7 1/2); Over

Game 193-194: Boston College at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 98.357; Florida State 96.005
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 195-196: Hawaii at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 86.571; New Mexico State 72.236
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 14 1/2; 71 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 18 1/2; 72 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+18 1/2); Under

Game 197-198: Tulsa at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 94.672; Memphis 73.979
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 20 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 12; 50
Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-12); Under

Game 199-200: Air Force at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 89.189; San Diego State 74.149
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 15; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Air Force by 13 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-13 1/2); Over

Game 201-202: Boise State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 100.453; Idaho 73.492
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 27; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 20 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-20 1/2); Under

Game 203-204: Oregon at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 104.182; Washington State 95.563
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 8 1/2; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-3 1/2); Under

Game 205-206: North Texas at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 60.391; Arkansas State 75.034
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 14 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 10 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 207-208: Middle Tennessee St. at UL Monroe
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee St. 75.754; UL Monroe 66.204
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 9 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 3 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St. (-3 1/2); Under


SUNDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 233-234: South Florida at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 88.337; Cincinnati 86.384
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 2; 42
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+1 1/2); Neutral

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football (Sunday, Monday)

Dunkel Index - NFL

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 22

Game 209-210: San Diego at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 138.521; Kansas City 126.330
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 12; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 5; 41
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-5); Over

Game 211-212: Jacksonville at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 132.164; Houston 118.245
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 14; 43
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-9 1/2); Over

Game 213-214: New England at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: New England 131.540; Buffalo 127.004
Dunkel Line: New England by 4 1/2; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: New England by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+5 1/2); Over

Game 215-216: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 131.403; Atlanta 133.097
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2 1/2); Under

Game 217-218: Green Bay at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 121.446; Miami 122.678
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 36
Vegas Line: Miami by 5; 40
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+5); Under

Game 219-220: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 128.809; Tampa Bay 125.740
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 3; 38
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 5 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+5 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: Detroit at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 119.890; NY Jets 124.520
Dunkel Line: NY Jets by 4 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (-3 1/2); Under

Game 223-224: Carolina at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 127.928; Cincinnati 132.248
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4 1/2; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-3); Under

Game 225-226: Denver at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 131.013; Cleveland 122.009
Dunkel Line: Denver by 9; 27 1/2
Vegas Line: Denver by 4 1/2; 31 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-4 1/2); Under

Game 227-228: Washington at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.683; Indianapolis 132.478
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 7; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9); Under

Game 229-230: Minnesota at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 126.931; Seattle 130.279
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+6 1/2); Over

Game 231-232: Arizona at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 121.102; Oakland 123.923
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3; 40
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3); Under


MONDAY, OCTOBER 23

Game 235-236: NY Giants at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 134.243; Dallas 133.618
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Under

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Pro Football (Write up)

Pittsburgh at Atlanta

Concerns about Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers seem to have been erased after Pittsburgh's 45-7 trashing of Kansas City last weekend. Roethlisberger had by far his best performance of the season in completing 16-of-19 passes for 238 yards and two TDs. But unlike last year, this Pittsburgh team has yet to put together a solid performance on the road. In Week Two the Steelers were shut out by Jacksonville (9-0) and followed that up with a loss at San Diego (23-13). Bill Cowher's team now has to go on the road to face the Falcons, who are licking their wounds after squandering a lead en route to a 27-14 home loss to the Giants. Michael Vick had one of his worst performances as he was sacked seven times and fumbled four times. A week ago Atlanta would have probably been a consensus favorite in this game, but now finds itself a 2 1/2-point Vegas underdog. This looks like a good opportunity for a potential upset as Dunkel has the Falcons favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+2 1/2)

[djmauiboy]

MAUI'S QUICK SHEET FOR

WV VS UCONN


QUICK TREND

West Virginia at Connecticut, 8:00 EST ESPN
West Virginia: 6-0 ATS off a conference win
Connecticut: 10-2 Under off a straight up win

-------------------------------------

THE DUNKEL

Game 109-110: West Virginia at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.207; Connecticut 82.028
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 22; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral
--------------------------------------

OVERALL TRENDS

W VIRGINIA (6 - 0) at CONNECTICUT (3 - 3) - 10/20/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
-----------------------------------------

QUICK SHOT

WEST VIRGINIA at CONNECTICUT

West Virginia has cashed nine of its last 10 weekday tests. Connecticut has lost seven straight to ranked opponents (3-4 ATS).
-----------------------------------------

Friday's Game

West Virginia ran ball for 228 yards in 45-13 win vs. UConn last year (TY 372-129); they won 31-19 in last visit here (-6). West Va had 457 yards on ground LW vs. Syracuse- East Carolina was only team to hold them under 312 rushing yds TY. WVa covered eight of last nine weekday games. UConn is 3-3, with losses by 11,24,22 points. Navy had 461 rushing yds against Huskies, so Mountaineers should be able to do similar damage.

---------------------------------------------

WHY WV SHOULD COVER

The West Virginia Mountaineers visited Mississippi State two weeks ago, opening as 28-point favorites, but with the pointspread dropping to 20 ½ by kickoff.

I interpreted the reduced spread as a lack of respect for both the Mountaineers and the Big East and listed reasons why they’d beat the Bulldogs by at least three touchdowns.

It wasn’t pretty, but they did it and I patted myself on the back without realizing how soon I’d have to stand up for the West Virginia boys again.

While the 22-point spread against the Connecticut Huskies likely won’t drop too much before kickoff, I`m still compelled to reiterate why WVU looks like a safe bet to cover another hefty spread tonight.

A mismatch that matters

West Virginia has the best running game in the nation, featuring Heisman candidate Steve Slaton. The Mountaineers have topped 300 rushing yards in five of six games this season, topped by last week’s 457 yards against Syracuse. Quarterback Patrick White led the way with 247 yards and four touchdowns.

UConn struggles against the run, especially when a mobile quarterback is part of the equation. The Huskies allowed 464 yards on the ground to Navy three weeks ago when the Midshipmen had a healthy Brian Hampton.

West Virginia’s opponents knew that the run was coming, yet the Mountaineers couldn’t be stopped.

UConn knew Navy was coming with the run and still couldn’t stop it.

It’s a bad combination for Huskies backers.

Passive attack

UConn head coach Randy Edsall says ball control is the key to beating the Mountaineers.

“You take a look at West Virginia and see how explosive they are,” Edsall tells The Charleston Gazette. “The best way you can try to not let them beat you is if they’re on the sideline.”

The Huskies rank ninth in the country with 209 rushing yards per game, hinting that they know how to eat up the clock. But there’s a hitch. They have to be winning for it to work.

UConn won the three games in which they built a first-quarter lead, pounding the ball (145 carries for 901 yards and eight touchdowns) for the rest of the game against hapless defenses.

The Huskies have lost each game in which they’ve fallen behind in the first quarter. They failed to pass their way out of deficits, allowing defenses to key in on the run (only 101 carries for 354 yards and only two majors in the three losses).

That’s a big problem for Connecticut, because…

West Virginia starts fast

The Thursday night game against Maryland in Week 3 is a good precedent, as the Mountaineers scored twice in the first five minutes and led a 28-0 after the first quarter.

“It’s a Friday night game with a national spotlight, and that’s rare in Storrs,” says Sportsmemo.com’s Rob Veno on the phone from Connecticut. “But any emotion that’s in the crowd will get taken away pretty quickly.”

A fast start by West Virginia means the Huskies will have to pass more often, likely the end of Edsall’s ball-control plans.

UConn can’t pass

Sophomore D.J. Hernandez couldn’t build upon his effort against Louisville to close out 2005 and has been replaced behind center by senior Matt Bonislawski.

Combined, the pair has completed only 47.9 percent of their passes against Division I-A opponents. That leads to the Huskies topping out at 21 points in games with a line, despite not yet facing a ranked team.

The numbers get worse as the game progresses. The pair has completed only 16 of 43 passes in the fourth quarter, none of them for touchdowns. That makes a backdoor cover scenario even less likely.

“The quarterbacks haven’t been that accurate all year,” Veno says. “There’s been way too many three-and-outs. Making matters worse is that West Virginia has finally figured out how to pressure the quarterback.”

Placekicker blues

The topper for the Huskies is that even if they advance deep into the red zone, there’s no guarantee of points. Edsall hasn’t decided on who will kick tonight, with three players fighting for the spot.

Matt Nuzie is the incumbent but has already missed two field goals from inside 30 and a pair of extra points. Graig Vicidomino went 0-3 against Army last week on field goal attempts. Combined, the pair are 1-5 from inside 35, giving Tony Ciaravino a shot at the job.

“You know those yellow uprights?” a frustrated Edsall asked The Connecticut Post. “Have you seen those things where it has a pole there, the crossbar? I just want the ball to go through the uprights.”

The total for tonight’s game has been set at 50 ½ points.

[djmauiboy]

N H L

Hot Teams
-- Carolina won last three games, scoring 14 goals, allowing five. Sabres are 6-0, scoring 16 goals in last two games; they won at Carolina 3-2so Oct. 4, despite being 0-9 on power play.
-- Chicago won three of their last four games. Dallas won five of their first six games.
-- Anaheim won four of their first six games. Minnesota is 6-0, allowing four goals in last four games (killed 18-19 penalties).

Cold Teams
-- Toronto is 3-4 this season, but 3-0 after a loss. Columbus split their first four games, scoring only four even-strength goals.
-- Florida lost four of their last six games. Flyers lost last four in a row, allowing 19 goals.
-- Vancouver lost four of their last five games, scoring 10 goals. Blues are 2-4, but 2-1 at home.
--

Series Records
-- Columbus, Toronto didn't play last season.
-- Flyers were 4-0 vs Florida LY, winning two at Florida 3-2so/4-0
-- Carolina won both games at Buffalo LY (5-3/4-3); they lost 3-2 to Buffalo in shootout Oct 4.
-- Blues were 4-0 vs Vancouver last year, winning two games in this building (4-1/4-0).
-- Dallas was 4-0 vs Chicago LY, outscoring them 24-8.
-- Minnesota won three of four games vs Anaheim LY, splitting pair of games in this building (4-3ot/2-4).

Totals
-- Five of seven Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Philly games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Six of seven Vancouver games stayed under the total.
-- Five of first six Dallas games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Minnesota games stayed under the total.

[djmauiboy]

Pro Hockey Trend Report
TORONTO (3-2-0-2, 8 pts.) at COLUMBUS (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/20/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 15-9 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 46-35 ATS (+92.2 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 24-18 ATS (+24.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 24-18 ATS (+24.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 24-18 ATS (+24.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 15-7 ATS (+23.7 Units) in home games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
TORONTO is 62-52 ATS (+119.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
TORONTO is 55-43 ATS (+103.9 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




PHILADELPHIA (1-5-0-1, 3 pts.) at FLORIDA (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/20/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-47 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-47 ATS (-23.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 86-95 ATS (-39.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-47 ATS (-23.9 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 10-2 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 162-186 ATS (+373.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 182-259 ATS (-131.9 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 164-196 ATS (+164.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)




CAROLINA (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) at BUFFALO (6-0-0-0, 12 pts.) - 10/20/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 22-11 ATS (+22.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 30-13 ATS (+15.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 23-7 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
BUFFALO is 12-4 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 24-7 ATS (+14.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 22-8 ATS (+10.4 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 34-20 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 7-5 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 7-5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)




VANCOUVER (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) at ST LOUIS (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/20/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 72-82 ATS (-38.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 27-16 ATS (+44.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 36-20 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 4-0 (+9.7 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 4-0-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.0 Units)




CHICAGO (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) at DALLAS (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/20/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 96-50 ATS (+96.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 51-19 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
CHICAGO is 48-41 ATS (+97.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)




MINNESOTA (6-0-0-0, 12 pts.) at ANAHEIM (4-0-0-2, 10 pts.) - 10/20/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 172-160 ATS (+343.8 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

[djmauiboy]

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20
Time Posted: 11:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Toronto at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.531; Columbus 10.771
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2); Under

Game 3-4: Philadelphia at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 9.737; Florida 11.704
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-1 1/2); Over

Game 5-6: Carolina at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.428; Buffalo 13.115
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 7-8: Vancouver at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 11.387; St. Louis 9.906
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 9-10: Chicago at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 10.984; Dallas 12.584
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 11-12: Minnesota at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.495; Anaheim 12.389
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2); Over

[djmauiboy]

Friday, October 20th

Toronto at Columbus, 7:05 EST
Toronto: 9-24 SU playing their second game in five days
Columbus: 6-1 SU at home off a road loss by 2+ goals

Philadelphia at Florida, 7:35 EST
Philadelphia: 15-3 SU at Florida
Florida: 0-6 SU off a division loss by 3+ goals

Carolina at Buffalo, 8:05 EST
Carolina: 10-1 Over playing with 3+ days rest
Buffalo: 8-1 SU off a win by 4+ goals

Vancouver at St. Louis, 8:05 EST
Vancouver: 3-9 SU after losing 4 of their last 5 games
St. Louis: 15-5 SU at home vs. Vancouver

Chicago at Dallas, 8:35 EST
Chicago: 4-14 SU at Dallas
Dallas: 24-3 SU at home off 3+ divisoin games

Minnesota at Anaheim, 10:05 EST
Minnesota: 6-0 SU this season
Anaheim: 14-6 Under vs. Minnesota

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey (Write-up)

Dunkel Index – NHL

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 20

Minnesota at Anaheim

Minnesota has lost three of its last four in Anaheim, but comes into tonight's contest riding the best start in franchise history (6-0-0). The Wild have gotten consistent production from Marian Gaborik, who has record at least a point in five of the six games, and Pavol Demitra, who has assisted in every game. And Manny Fernandez has been solid in net (1.63 GAA). The combination make the Wild a solid underdog pick tonight according to Dunkel, which has Minnesota favored straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1 1/2)

[pm530]

djmauiboy - I know what you were doing at 35 after the hour, the same as me! I changed my posting as you see. Great minds think alike?

Have a great day!

pm

[djmauiboy]

Lol..... I Wasn't Sure If You Were Covering Hockey

I Think That's It For The Day. No Mlb, So We Get A Break

I'm Leaving One Krispy Kreme Doughnut In The Box As We Fly In The Missing Man Formation Today Without Udog.

Gl Today Pm.... I'll See Ya Around The Net.

[Udog]

Hey, guys!

I was called way unexpectedly this morning and just now got a chance to get by a computer. I thought I'd check and see if there was anything I could do. LOL!!!!! What was I thinking?!?!?!?!? Great job, guys! Thanks, as always , and good luck!!