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Trends and Indexes for Saturday, October 14
Good Luck this weekend!
Good Luck this weekend!
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Dunkel Index - College Football (Saturday, Sunday)
Dunkel Index – NCAA Football
SATURDAY, OCTOBER 14
Game 309-310: Syracuse at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 78.068; West Virginia 107.398
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 29 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 24 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-24 1/2); Over
Game 311-312: Purdue at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 87.688; Northwestern 82.505
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Purdue by 7; 53
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+7); Under
Game 313-314: Minnesota at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 94.007; Wisconsin 98.544
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 8 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+8 1/2); Under
Game 315-316: Iowa at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 102.204; Indiana 78.489
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 23 1/2; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Iowa by 17 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-17 1/2); Over
Game 317-318: Wake Forest at N.C. State
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 89.939; N.C. State 87.637
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: N.C. State by 4; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+4); Under
Game 319-320: Maryland at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 88.613; Virginia 85.697
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3; 42
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+5); Over
Game 321-322: South Florida at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 87.025; North Carolina 77.899
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 9; 49
Vegas Line: South Florida by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-2 1/2); Over
Game 323-324: Miami (OH) at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 77.128; Buffalo 64.391
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 13; 52
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 8 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-8 1/2); Over
Game 325-326: Ball State at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 76.729; Central Michigan 83.848
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 7; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 9 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+9 1/2); Over
Game 327-328: Army at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Army 73.989; Connecticut 76.282
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Army (+5 1/2); Over
Game 329-330: Rutgers at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 91.014; Navy 89.446
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Navy by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (+1 1/2); Over
Game 331-332: Missouri at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 102.046; Texas A&M 94.894
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-2); Under
Game 333-334: Nebraska at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 104.429; Kansas State 87.933
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 16 1/2; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 10 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-10 1/2); Under
Game 335-336: Northern Illinois at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 81.312; Western Michigan 84.902
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 3 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+2); Under
Game 337-338: Mississippi at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 82.544; Alabama 92.969
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 10 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Alabama by 16; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+16); Over
Game 339-340: Utah at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.143; Wyoming 83.854
Dunkel Line: Utah by 9 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Utah by 4; 40
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-4); Neutral
Game 341-342: Tulsa at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 84.681; East Carolina 85.995
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+2 1/2); Under
Game 343-344: Marshall at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 75.018; SMU 83.044
Dunkel Line: SMU by 8; 46
Vegas Line: SMU by 4; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (-4); Over
Game 345-346: Florida at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 102.752; Auburn 105.981
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 3; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Pick; 38
Dunkel Pick: Auburn; Over
Game 347-348: California at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: California 104.903; Washington State 92.505
Dunkel Line: California by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: California by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: California (-7 1/2); Under
Game 349-350: Vanderbilt at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 84.905; Georgia 103.242
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 18 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia by 13 1/2; 38
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-13 1/2); Over
Game 351-352: Ohio State at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 117.100; Michigan State 93.131
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 24; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-14 1/2); Under
Game 353-354: Florida State at Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 95.965; Duke 69.953
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 26; 40
Vegas Line: Florida State by 23; 42
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-23); Under
Game 355-356: Oregon State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 88.469; Washington 94.723
Dunkel Line: Washington by 6 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Washington by 9 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+9 1/2); Neutral
Game 357-358: UCLA at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 91.946; Oregon 104.211
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 13 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Oregon by 10; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-10); Over
Game 359-360: Toledo at Kent
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 75.145; Kent 86.230
Dunkel Line: Kent by 11; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Kent by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: Kent (-7); Under
Game 361-362: Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 64.849; Bowling Green 76.016
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 11; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 10 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-10 1/2); Under
Game 363-364: Iowa State at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 89.043; Oklahoma 102.938
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 14; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 19 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+19 1/2); Over
Game 365-366: Hawaii at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 84.705; Fresno State 87.328
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 4 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4 1/2); Under
Game 367-368: Arizona at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 84.506; Stanford 79.790
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Arizona by 3 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-3 1/2); Over
Game 369-370: Utah State at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 61.679; San Jose State 81.999
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 20; 50
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 14; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-14); Over
Game 371-372: UAB at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 82.250; Rice 74.672
Dunkel Line: UAB by 7 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: UAB by 5 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-5 1/2); Over
Game 373-374: Ohio at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 75.441; Illinois 80.380
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Illinois by 6 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+6 1/2); Over
Game 375-376: Cincinnati at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 79.534; Louisville 109.148
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 29 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Louisville by 26 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-26 1/2); Over
Game 377-378: Houston at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 82.064; Southern Mississippi 87.778
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-2); Under
Game 379-380: Oklahoma State at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 83.675; Kansas 89.427
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 6; 54
Vegas Line: Kansas by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-3); Over
Game 381-382: Texas Tech at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 93.023; Colorado 82.957
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 10; 40
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 7; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-7); Under
Game 383-384: Baylor at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 86.960; Texas 111.385
Dunkel Line: Texas by 24 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Texas by 29; 48
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+29); Neutral
Game 385-386: Idaho at Louisiana Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 70.017; Louisiana Tech 70.442
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+2 1/2); Over
Game 387-388: Kentucky at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 78.936; LSU 112.277
Dunkel Line: LSU by 33; 45
Vegas Line: LSU by 26 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-26 1/2); Under
Game 389-390: Arizona State at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 94.190; USC 116.654
Dunkel Line: USC by 22 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: USC by 18 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: USC (-18 1/2); Neutral
Game 391-392: Michigan at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 110.528; Penn State 104.957
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Michigan by 6 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+6 1/2); Over
Game 393-394: Tulane at UTEP
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 77.754; UTEP 85.582
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 8; 60
Vegas Line: UTEP by 13 1/2; 62
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+13 1/2); Under
Game 395-396: New Mexico at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 80.926; UNLV 70.209
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3); Over
Game 397-398: Florida International at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 60.201; Miami (FL) 97.506
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 37; 40
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 28; 41
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-28); Under
Game 399-400: Arkansas State at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 73.089; Memphis 75.923
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 3; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Memphis by 11 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+11 1/2); Over
Game 401-402: UL Monroe at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 64.569; Troy 71.541
Dunkel Line: Troy by 7; 40
Vegas Line: Troy by 8 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: UL Monroe (+8 1/2); Under
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15
Game 427-428: Boise State at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 109.797; New Mexico State 67.124
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 42 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 26; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-26); Under -
Dunkel Index - Pro Football (Sunday, Monday)
Dunkel Index - NFL
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 15
Game 403-404: Cincinnati at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 133.628; Tampa Bay 123.951
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 5 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-5 1/2); Under
Game 405-406: Tennessee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 117.705; Washington 127.492
Dunkel Line: Washington by 10; 41 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington by 10; 39
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 407-408: Houston at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.795; Dallas 131.443
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 13; 44 1/2
Vegas Line: Dallas by 13; 43
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over
Game 409-410: Buffalo at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 127.245; Detroit 123.217
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1; 40
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-1); Under
Game 411-412: Seattle at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 130.674; St. Louis 123.961
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 7; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under
Game 413-414: NY Giants at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 128.634; Atlanta 133.904
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 5; 41
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Under
Game 415-416: Philadelphia at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 134.828; New Orleans 127.720
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 7; 44
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-3); Under
Game 417-418: Carolina at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 127.299; Baltimore 132.773
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 5 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-3); Over
Game 419-420: Miami at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.313; NY Jets 123.423
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2; 38
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3; 36
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3); Over
Game 421-422: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 133.639; San Francisco 120.103
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 13 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 10; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-10); Over
Game 423-424: Kansas City at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 127.957; Pittsburgh 133.815
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6; 39
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 7; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+7); Over
Game 425-426: Oakland at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 116.210; Denver 134.174
Dunkel Line: Denver by 18; 37
Vegas Line: Denver by 15; 36
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-15); Over
MONDAY, OCTOBER 16
Game 429-430: Chicago at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 139.637; Arizona 122.480
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 17; 42
Vegas Line: Chicago by 10; 37
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10); OverComment
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The “Dunkel Index” for other sports will be posted as soon as possible.Comment
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Saturday, October 14th
Syracuse at West Virginia, 12:00 EST
Syracuse: 0-6 ATS in October
West Virginia: 8-0 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Purdue at Northwestern, 12:00 EST
Purdue: 0-6 ATS in October
Northwestern: 26-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Minnesota at Wisconsin, 12:00 EST ESPN
Minnesota: 5-14 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Wisconsin: 11-2 ATS in home games
Iowa at Indiana, 12:00 EST ESPN2
Iowa: 10-2 ATS off BB Overs
Indiana: 13-30 ATS as a home underdog
Wake Forest at NC State, 12:00 EST
Wake Forest: 6-0 ATS in October
NC State: 16-6 Under as a home favorite
(TC) Maryland at Virginia, 3:30 EST
Maryland: 3-10 ATS as a favorite
Virginia: 10-2 Under at home in October
South Florida at North Carolina, 12:00 EST ESPNU
South Florida: 10-1 Under as a favorite
North Carolina: 6-18 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents
Miami OH at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Miami OH: 6-2 ATS off a home conference loss
Buffalo: 5-1 Under off an ATS loss
Ball State at Central Michigan, 1:00 EST
Ball State: 6-1 Under off a win
Central Michigan: 6-0 ATS off an ATS win
(TC) Army at Connecticut, 12:00 EST
Army: 1-5 ATS off a home win by 28+ points
Connecticut: 5-1 ATS off BB losses by 17+ points
Rutgers at Navy, 1:30 EST CSTV
Rutgers: 10-2 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Navy: 9-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
(TC) Missouri at Texas A&M, 3:30 EST ABC
Missouri: 7-1 ATS off BB conference wins
Texas A&M: 6-1 Under as a home underdog of 7 points or less
Nebraska at Kansas State, 2:00 EST
Nebraska: 22-9 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
Kansas State: 1-6 ATS off a win as an underdog
Northern Illinois at Western Michigan, 2:00 EST
Northern Illinois: 12-3 ATS off BB road games
Western Michigan: 4-10 ATS as a home underdog
(TC) Mississippi at Alabama, 3:30 EST CBS
Mississippi: 9-2 Under away in the first half of the season
Alabama: 1-8 ATS as a home favorite
Utah at Wyoming, 3:00 EST
Utah: 16-3 Under away off a conference win
Wyoming: 13-3 ATS off an ATS win
Tulsa at East Carolina, 3:00 EST
Tulsa: 8-1 ATS in road games
East Carolina: 12-2 Under off an Over
Marshall at SMU, 3:00 EST
Marshall: 0-7 ATS away vs. conference opponents
SMU: 12-1 Under off a straight up loss
(TC) Florida at Auburn, 7:45 EST ESPN
Florida: 13-5 Under in road games
Auburn: 9-1 ATS in October
(TC) California at Washington State, 5:00 EST
California: 22-9 ATS away off a combined score of 60+ points
Washington State: 2-11 ATS off a road game
(TC) Vanderbilt at Georgia, 12:30 EST
Vanderbilt: 6-0 ATS as a road underdog
Georgia: 7-0 Under off a combined score of 70+ points
Ohio State at Michigan State, 3:30 EST ABC
Ohio State: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents
Michigan State: 1-8 ATS off a conference game
(TC) Florida State at Duke, 1:00 EST
Florida State: 8-2 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Duke: 0-6 ATS in home games
(TC) Oregon State at Washington, 6:30 EST
Oregon State: 16-5 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Washington: 6-19 ATS off a conference road loss
UCLA at Oregon, 3:30 EST ABC
UCLA: 2-10 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Oregon: 6-0 ATS off an ATS loss
Toledo at Kent State, 4:00 EST
Toledo: 12-4 ATS off a loss by 17+ points
Kent State: 6-1 Under in home games
Eastern Michigan at Bowling Green, 4:00 EST
Eastern Michigan: 6-18 ATS on grass fields
Bowling Green: 10-2 ATS at home off BB road games
(TC) Iowa State at Oklahoma, 12:30 EST FSN
Iowa State: 6-0 ATS away after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Oklahoma: 2-10 ATS at home off a loss by 17+ points
Hawaii at Fresno State, 5:00 EST
Hawaii: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Fresno State: 0-7 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Arizona at Stanford, 5:00 EST
Arizona: 7-19 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
Stanford: 24-11 Under after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Utah State at San Jose State, 6:00 EST
Utah State: 5-16 ATS away off a win
San Jose State: 7-1 Under vs. conference opponents
(TC) UAB at Rice, 7:30 EST CSTV
UAB: 0-7 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Rice: 24-9 ATS as a home underdog
Ohio U at Illinois, 7:00 EST
Ohio U: 2-10 ATS as a road underdog
Illinois: 8-1 Under off a home game
(TC) Cincinnati at Louisville, 3:30 EST ESPNU
Cincinnati: 22-10 Under off a home game
Louisville: 8-0 ATS at home off a road game
Houston at Southern Miss, 7:00 EST
Houston: 2-10 ATS away off a loss by 6 points or less
Southern Miss: 23-10 ATS after scoring 14 points or less
(TC) Oklahoma State at Kansas, 2:00 EST
Oklahoma State: 8-2 Over in October
Kansas: 8-22 ATS off a home conference loss
(TC) Texas Tech at Colorado, 3:30 EST
Texas Tech: 15-1 ATS off a home loss
Colorado: 7-1 Over off a loss as a home favorite
Baylor at Texas, 7:00 EST TBS
Baylor: 7-0 Under off a combined score of 60+ points
Texas: 11-2 ATS off 3+ wins
Idaho at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST
Idaho: 1-10 ATS off a home conference win
Louisiana Tech: 15-5 Over off a conference game
(TC) Kentucky at LSU, 8:00 EST
Kentucky: 3-10 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
LSU: 6-0 ATS off a straight up loss
Arizona State at USC, 8:00 EST ABC
Arizona State: 12-3 Over off a loss by 21+ points
USC: 0-7 ATS off an Under
Michigan at Penn State, 8:00 EST ABC
Michigan: 2-10 ATS away off 3+ games allowing 17 points or less
Penn State: 7-0 Over at home off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Tulane at UTEP, 9:00 EST
Tulane: 8-1 Over off an Over
UTEP: 9-2 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
New Mexico at UNLV, 10:00 EST CSTV
New Mexico: 22-10 ATS off a home loss
UNLV: 8-21 ATS off an Under
Added Games:
(TC) Florida International at Miami FL, 7:00 EST
Florida Int: 4-0 ATS off a conference loss by 7 points or less
Miami FL: 0-6 ATS off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
Arkansas State at Memphis, 2:00 EST
Arkansas State: 5-16 ATS off a home win
Memphis: 21-8 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Louisiana Monroe at Troy, 4:00 EST
LA Monroe: 1-6 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or less
Troy: 5-1 ATS as a home favorite
** (TC) Denotes Time ChangeComment
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The “Outplay Factor” has become a household term as subscribers have made this powerful team strength indicator a regular part of their handicapping routine. With 5-6 weeks in the books already, we figured this would be a good time to catch up with the current Outplay Factor ratings. We listed the teams in both college and pro in order according to their current rating. We’ve also taken this week’s full betting board and calculated the theoretical spreads based on the OF and compared them to the actual lines. As you’ll see, there are a number of encouraging discrepancies.
Before we get into the current ratings though, we’d like to reintroduce the Outplay Factor to all of our readers. The term “Outplay Factor” was coined after determining that the rating being calculated in the soon to follow formula essentially indicated how well a team was either outplaying or being outplayed by its opponents. In short, it involves four different key statistics
- Offensive Points per Game: Points scored by that team
- Opponents’ Defensive Average: The combined average defensive points per game allowed for all of that teams’ opponents for the season
- Defensive Points per Game: Points against that team
- Opponents’ Offensive Average: The combined average offensive points per game scored by all of that teams’ opponents for season
Keep in mind that this particular Outplay calculation simply involves scoring. Similar calculations can be made using Yards per Play, or Total Yards stats, etc. Using scoring sets up differentials very similar to spreads, therefore, the scoring statistics were chosen as the basis for our Outplay Factor calculation. Therefore, the following is the formula for determining the Outplay Factor. For each team, determine its:
Offensive Outplay Factor = Offensive Points per Game – Opponents’ Defensive Average
then its’
Defensive Outplay Factor = Defensive Points per Game – Opponents’ Offensive Average
and finally its’
Composite Outplay Factor (COF) = Offensive Outplay Factor (OOF) – Defensive Outplay Factor (DOF)
The key to the COF formula is in subtracting the DOF, as the lower the DOF, the better the defensive performance. In fact, the good defenses have a negative DOF calculation. Therefore, when subtracting this negative number, it actually adds positively to the overall rating.
Here are the current College Football Outplay Factor Ratings as of 10/10/06, listed in order from best to worst. You’ll see that the order closely resembles the national polls. Again, this rating can be an excellent team strength indicator. An interesting thing to note on these rankings is the low positions of teams like West Virginia and Notre Dame. Perhaps these teams are ripe for upsets in the very near future.
1. OHIO ST: 30.2
2. LOUISVILLE: 27.5
3. FLORIDA: 27.2
4. MICHIGAN: 26.6
5. CALIFORNIA: 24.3
6. TENNESSEE: 22
7. LSU: 21.1
7. TEXAS: 21.1
7. USC: 21.1
10. OKLAHOMA: 19.8
11. BOISE ST: 19.1
12. CLEMSON: 17.2
13. AUBURN: 15.2
13. W VIRGINIA: 15.2
15. NEBRASKA: 15
16. TEXAS TECH: 14.1
17. MISSOURI: 13.8
18. PITTSBURGH: 13.4
19. OREGON: 13.2
20. MINNESOTA: 12.3
21. FLORIDA ST: 10.8
22. BOSTON COLLEGE: 10.7
22. HAWAII: 10.7
24. WISCONSIN: 10.5
25. AIR FORCE: 10.2
25. BYU: 10.2
27. NOTRE DAME: 9.8
28. GEORGIA TECH: 9.4
28. IOWA: 9.4
30. TEXAS A&M: 9.3
31. ALABAMA: 9.2
32. WASHINGTON ST: 8.9
33. NAVY: 8.7
34. RUTGERS: 8.1
35. TULSA: 8
36. MICHIGAN ST: 7.9
36. TCU: 7.9
38. KANSAS ST: 7.7
39. UTAH: 7.6
40. VIRGINIA TECH: 7.5
41. UCLA: 7.2
42. WASHINGTON: 6.9
43. GEORGIA: 6.8
44. HOUSTON: 6.4
44. SYRACUSE: 6.4
46. OKLAHOMA ST: 6
47. MIAMI: 5.6
48. WAKE FOREST: 5.4
49. S FLORIDA: 5.2
50. MARYLAND: 5
51. E CAROLINA: 4.8
52. KANSAS: 4.7
53. ARKANSAS: 4.1
53. PENN ST: 4.1
55. KENTUCKY: 2.7
56. OREGON ST: 2.6
57. BAYLOR: 2.4
58. SOUTHERN MISS: 2.1
59. WYOMING: 2.1
60. OHIO U: 1.9
60. S CAROLINA: 1.9
62. IOWA ST: 1.7
62. NEVADA: 1.7
64. COLORADO: 1.6
65. CINCINNATI: 1
66. NEW MEXICO: 0.7
67. COLORADO ST: 0.4
67. INDIANA: 0.4
69. ARIZONA ST: 0.2
69. N ILLINOIS: 0.2
69. NC STATE: 0.2
72. VIRGINIA: 0.1
73. UTEP: -0.3
74. PURDUE: -0.5
75. BALL ST: -1
76. C MICHIGAN: -1.8
77. FRESNO ST: -3
78. W MICHIGAN: -3.1
79. VANDERBILT: -3.2
80. MISSISSIPPI: -3.6
81. KENT ST: -3.8
82. N CAROLINA: -3.9
83. ARKANSAS ST: -4.2
84. ARIZONA: -4.3
85. ILLINOIS: -4.6
86. ARMY: -4.9
87. UAB: -5
88. CONNECTICUT: -5.2
88. RICE: -5.2
90. LA LAFAYETTE: -5.7
91. C FLORIDA: -5.8
92. BOWLING GREEN: -6.2
92. MARSHALL: -6.2
94. AKRON: -6.5
94. SMU: -6.5
96. MIDDLE TENN ST: -7
96. SAN JOSE ST: -7
98. NORTHWESTERN: -7.4
99. MISSISSIPPI ST: -7.9
100. TOLEDO: -9.2
101. UNLV: -9.7
102. SAN DIEGO ST: -9.8
103. TROY ST: -10.5
104. MIAMI OHIO: -10.7
105. DUKE: -11.2
105. MEMPHIS: -11.2
107. FLA INTERNATIONAL: -11.3
108. NEW MEXICO ST: -12
109. TULANE: -12.1
110. NORTH TEXAS: -13
111. STANFORD: -14.3
112. LA MONROE: -14.4
113. IDAHO: -15
114. LOUISIANA TECH: -17.1
115. E MICHIGAN: -18.2
116. BUFFALO: -20.4
117. UTAH ST: -22.8
118. FLA ATLANTIC: -23.2
119. TEMPLE: -27.1
These are the current pro Outplay Factor rankings heading into week six. Again, note some of the unusual figures. Unbeaten Indianapolis ranks just 13th in the NFL, and Chicago’s 18.7 rating, if it were to hold up, would surpass the ’96 Green Bay Packers rating of 15.7 as the best in the last 15 years.
1. CHICAGO: 18.7
2. SAN DIEGO: 10.1
3. DENVER: 10
4. JACKSONVILLE: 8.8
5. DALLAS: 7.5
6. PHILADELPHIA: 7.1
7. BALTIMORE: 6.1
8. KANSAS CITY: 5.1
9. NY GIANTS: 4.9
10. NEW ENGLAND: 4.4
11. CINCINNATI: 4.3
12. ATLANTA: 4
13. INDIANAPOLIS: 2.3
13. NEW ORLEANS: 2.3
15. MINNESOTA: 2.2
16. PITTSBURGH: 1.7
17. SEATTLE: 0.9
18. CAROLINA: -1.1
19. WASHINGTON: -1.5
20. BUFFALO: -1.8
21. GREEN BAY: -3.4
22. ST LOUIS: -3.7
23. ARIZONA: -4.8
24. CLEVELAND: -5.4
25. TAMPA BAY: -5.5
26. NY JETS: -6.8
27. DETROIT: -7.3
28. SAN FRANCISCO: -8.5
29. HOUSTON: -9.3
30. TENNESSEE: -11.5
31. MIAMI: -11.9
32. OAKLAND: -13.6
Using the Outplay Factor Ratings, we are able to come up with a theoretical spread in a game involving two teams, simply by comparing the teams’ individual ratings and crediting the hosts 4-points for home field advantage. For example, looking ahead to the huge season finale between Michigan and Ohio State, the host Buckeyes would be a 7.6–point favorite (30.2-26.6+4).
Using that logic, here are the theoretical Outplay Factor spreads vs. the actual for all 52 college and 13 pro games this weekend. The 4-point home-field edge is built into the home team’s rating:
Thu - 10/12 (301) TEMPLE: -27.1
7:30 PM (302) CLEMSON: 17.2
Actual Line: -44 OF Line: -44.3, Edge: CLEMSON - 0.3
Thu - 10/12 (303) VIRGINIA TECH: 7.5
7:30 PM (304) BOSTON COLLEGE: 14.7
Actual Line: +2.5 OF Line: -7.2, Edge: BOSTON COLLEGE - 9.7
Thu - 10/12 (305) COLORADO ST: 0.4
8:00 PM (306) AIR FORCE: 14.2
Actual Line: -5.5 OF Line: -13.8, Edge: AIR FORCE - 8.3
Fri - 10/13 (307) PITTSBURGH: 13.4
8:00 PM (308) C FLORIDA: -1.8
Actual Line: +10 OF Line: +15.2, Edge: PITTSBURGH - 5.2
Sat - 10/14 (309) SYRACUSE: 6.4
12:00 PM (310) W VIRGINIA: 19.2
Actual Line: -25 OF Line: -12.8, Edge: SYRACUSE - 12.2
Sat - 10/14 (313) MINNESOTA: 12.3
12:00 PM (314) WISCONSIN: 14.5
Actual Line: -8.5 OF Line: -2.2, Edge: MINNESOTA - 6.3
Sat - 10/14 (327) ARMY: -4.9
12:00 PM (328) CONNECTICUT: -1.2
Actual Line: -5.5 OF Line: -3.7, Edge: ARMY - 1.8
Sat - 10/14 (317) WAKE FOREST: 5.4
12:00 PM (318) NC STATE: 4.2
Actual Line: -4 OF Line: +1.2, Edge: WAKE FOREST - 5.2
Sat - 10/14 (321) S FLORIDA: 5.2
12:00 PM (322) N CAROLINA: 0.1
Actual Line: +2.5 OF Line: +5.1, Edge: S FLORIDA - 2.6
Sat - 10/14 (311) PURDUE: -0.5
12:00 PM (312) NORTHWESTERN: -3.4
Actual Line: +7 OF Line: +2.9, Edge: NORTHWESTERN - 4.1
Sat - 10/14 (315) IOWA: 9.4
12:00 PM (316) INDIANA: 4.4
Actual Line: +17.5 OF Line: +5, Edge: INDIANA - 12.5
Sat - 10/14 (325) BALL ST: -1
1:00 PM (326) C MICHIGAN: 2.2
Actual Line: -9.5 OF Line: -3.2, Edge: BALL ST - 6.3
Sat - 10/14 (323) MIAMI OHIO: -10.7
1:00 PM (324) BUFFALO: -16.4
Actual Line: +8.5 OF Line: +5.7, Edge: BUFFALO - 2.8
Sat - 10/14 (353) FLORIDA ST: 10.8
1:00 PM (354) DUKE: -7.2
Actual Line: +23 OF Line: +18, Edge: DUKE - 5
Sat - 10/14 (329) RUTGERS: 8.1
1:30 PM (330) NAVY: 12.7
Actual Line: -1 OF Line: -4.6, Edge: NAVY - 3.6
Sat - 10/14 (379) OKLAHOMA ST: 6
2:00 PM (380) KANSAS: 8.7
Actual Line: -3 OF Line: -2.7, Edge: OKLAHOMA ST - 0.3
Sat - 10/14 (337) MISSISSIPPI: -3.6
2:00 PM (338) ALABAMA: 13.2
Actual Line: -16 OF Line: -16.8, Edge: ALABAMA - 0.8
Sat - 10/14 (335) N ILLINOIS: 0.2
2:00 PM (336) W MICHIGAN: 0.9
Actual Line: +2 OF Line: -0.7, Edge: W MICHIGAN - 2.7
Sat - 10/14 (399) ARKANSAS ST: -4.2
2:00 PM (400) MEMPHIS: -7.2
Actual Line: -11.5 OF Line: +3, Edge: ARKANSAS ST - 14.5
Sat - 10/14 (331) MISSOURI: 13.8
2:00 PM (332) TEXAS A&M: 13.3
Actual Line: +2 OF Line: +0.5, Edge: TEXAS A&M - 1.5
Sat - 10/14 (333) NEBRASKA: 15
2:00 PM (334) KANSAS ST: 11.7
Actual Line: +10.5 OF Line: +3.3, Edge: KANSAS ST - 7.2
Sat - 10/14 (343) MARSHALL: -6.2
3:00 PM (344) SMU: -2.5
Actual Line: -4 OF Line: -3.7, Edge: MARSHALL - 0.3
Sat - 10/14 (341) TULSA: 8
3:00 PM (342) E CAROLINA: 8.8
Actual Line: +1.5 OF Line: -0.8, Edge: E CAROLINA - 2.3
Sat - 10/14 (339) UTAH: 7.6
3:00 PM (340) WYOMING: 6.1
Actual Line: +4 OF Line: +1.5, Edge: WYOMING - 2.5
Sat - 10/14 (355) OREGON ST: 2.6
3:30 PM (356) WASHINGTON: 10.9
Actual Line: -9.5 OF Line: -8.3, Edge: OREGON ST - 1.2
Sat - 10/14 (349) VANDERBILT: -3.2
3:30 PM (350) GEORGIA: 10.8
Actual Line: -14.5 OF Line: -14, Edge: VANDERBILT - 0.5
Sat - 10/14 (357) UCLA: 7.2
3:30 PM (358) OREGON: 17.2
Actual Line: -10 OF Line: -10, Edge: None - 0
Sat - 10/14 (363) IOWA ST: 1.7
3:30 PM (364) OKLAHOMA: 23.8
Actual Line: -19.5 OF Line: -22.1, Edge: OKLAHOMA - 2.6
Sat - 10/14 (375) CINCINNATI: 1
3:30 PM (376) LOUISVILLE: 31.5
Actual Line: -27 OF Line: -30.5, Edge: LOUISVILLE - 3.5
Sat - 10/14 (351) OHIO ST: 30.2
3:30 PM (352) MICHIGAN ST: 11.9
Actual Line: +15 OF Line: +18.3, Edge: OHIO ST - 3.3
Sat - 10/14 (381) TEXAS TECH: 14.1
3:30 PM (382) COLORADO: 5.6
Actual Line: +7 OF Line: +8.5, Edge: TEXAS TECH - 1.5
Sat - 10/14 (319) MARYLAND: 5
3:30 PM (320) VIRGINIA: 4.1
Actual Line: +5 OF Line: +0.9, Edge: VIRGINIA - 4.1
Sat - 10/14 (401) LA MONROE: -14.4
4:00 PM (402) TROY ST: -6.5
Actual Line: -8.5 OF Line: -7.9, Edge: LA MONROE - 0.6
Sat - 10/14 (359) TOLEDO: -9.2
4:00 PM (360) KENT ST: 0.2
Actual Line: -7 OF Line: -9.4, Edge: KENT ST - 2.4
Sat - 10/14 (361) E MICHIGAN: -18.2
4:00 PM (362) BOWLING GREEN: -2.2
Actual Line: -11 OF Line: -16, Edge: BOWLING GREEN - 5
Sat - 10/14 (365) HAWAII: 10.7
5:00 PM (366) FRESNO ST: 1
Actual Line: +4.5 OF Line: +9.7, Edge: HAWAII - 5.2
Sat - 10/14 (347) CALIFORNIA: 24.3
5:00 PM (348) WASHINGTON ST: 12.9
Actual Line: +8 OF Line: +11.4, Edge: CALIFORNIA - 3.4
Sat - 10/14 (367) ARIZONA: -4.3
5:00 PM (368) STANFORD: -10.3
Actual Line: +3.5 OF Line: +6, Edge: ARIZONA - 2.5
Sat - 10/14 (369) UTAH ST: -22.8
6:00 PM (370) SAN JOSE ST: -3
Actual Line: -14 OF Line: -19.8, Edge: SAN JOSE ST - 5.8
Sat - 10/14 (397) FLA INTERNATIONAL: -11.3
7:00 PM (398) MIAMI: 9.6
Actual Line: -28 OF Line: -20.9, Edge: FLA INTERNATIONAL - 7.1
Sat - 10/14 (383) BAYLOR: 2.4
7:00 PM (384) TEXAS: 25.1
Actual Line: -28.5 OF Line: -22.7, Edge: BAYLOR - 5.8
Sat - 10/14 (387) KENTUCKY: 2.7
7:00 PM (388) LSU: 25.1
Actual Line: -26.5 OF Line: -22.4, Edge: KENTUCKY - 4.1
Sat - 10/14 (385) IDAHO: -15
7:00 PM (386) LOUISIANA TECH: -13.1
Actual Line: -2.5 OF Line: -1.9, Edge: IDAHO - 0.6
Sat - 10/14 (373) OHIO U: 1.9
7:00 PM (374) ILLINOIS: -0.6
Actual Line: -6.5 OF Line: +2.5, Edge: OHIO U - 9
Sat - 10/14 (377) HOUSTON: 6.4
7:00 PM (378) SOUTHERN MISS: 6.1
Actual Line: -2 OF Line: +0.3, Edge: HOUSTON - 2.3
Sat - 10/14 (371) UAB: -5
7:30 PM (372) RICE: -1.2
Actual Line: +6 OF Line: -3.8, Edge: RICE - 9.8
Sat - 10/14 (345) FLORIDA: 27.2
7:45 PM (346) AUBURN: 19.2
Actual Line: +0 OF Line: +8, Edge: FLORIDA - 8
Sat - 10/14 (389) ARIZONA ST: 0.2
8:00 PM (390) USC: 25.1
Actual Line: -19 OF Line: -24.9, Edge: USC - 5.9
Sat - 10/14 (391) MICHIGAN: 26.6
8:00 PM (392) PENN ST: 8.1
Actual Line: +6.5 OF Line: +18.5, Edge: MICHIGAN - 12
Sat - 10/14 (393) TULANE: -12.1
9:00 PM (394) UTEP: 3.7
Actual Line: -12.5 OF Line: -15.8, Edge: UTEP - 3.3
Sat - 10/14 (395) NEW MEXICO: 0.7
10:00 PM (396) UNLV: -5.7
Actual Line: +3 OF Line: +6.4, Edge: NEW MEXICO - 3.4
Sun - 10/15 (413) NY GIANTS: 4.9
1:00 PM (414) ATLANTA: 8
Actual Line: -3 OF Line: -3.1, Edge: ATLANTA - 0.1
Sun - 10/15 (405) TENNESSEE: -11.5
1:00 PM (406) WASHINGTON: 2.5
Actual Line: -10 OF Line: -14, Edge: WASHINGTON - 4
Sun - 10/15 (407) HOUSTON: -9.3
1:00 PM (408) DALLAS: 11.5
Actual Line: -13 OF Line: -20.8, Edge: DALLAS - 7.8
Sun - 10/15 (417) CAROLINA: -1.1
1:00 PM (418) BALTIMORE: 10.1
Actual Line: -3 OF Line: -11.2, Edge: BALTIMORE - 8.2
Sun - 10/15 (409) BUFFALO: -1.8
1:00 PM (410) DETROIT: -3.3
Actual Line: +1 OF Line: +1.5, Edge: BUFFALO - 0.5
Sun - 10/15 (403) CINCINNATI: 4.3
1:00 PM (404) TAMPA BAY: -1.5
Actual Line: +6 OF Line: +5.8, Edge: TAMPA BAY - 0.2
Sun - 10/15 (415) PHILADELPHIA: 7.1
1:00 PM (416) NEW ORLEANS: 6.3
Actual Line: +3 OF Line: +0.8, Edge: NEW ORLEANS - 2.2
Sun - 10/15 (411) SEATTLE: 0.9
1:00 PM (412) ST LOUIS: 0.3
Actual Line: +3 OF Line: +0.6, Edge: ST LOUIS - 2.4
Sun - 10/15 (423) KANSAS CITY: 5.1
4:15 PM (424) PITTSBURGH: 5.7
Actual Line: -7 OF Line: -0.6, Edge: KANSAS CITY - 6.4
Sun - 10/15 (419) MIAMI: -11.9
4:15 PM (420) NY JETS: -2.8
Actual Line: -3 OF Line: -9.1, Edge: NY JETS - 6.1
Sun - 10/15 (421) SAN DIEGO: 10.1
4:15 PM (422) SAN FRANCISCO: -4.5
Actual Line: +10 OF Line: +14.6, Edge: SAN DIEGO - 4.6
Sun - 10/15 (427) BOISE ST: 19.1
8:00 PM (428) NEW MEXICO ST: -8
Actual Line: +26.5 OF Line: +27.1, Edge: BOISE ST - 0.6
Sun - 10/15 (425) OAKLAND: -13.6
8:15 PM (426) DENVER: 14
Actual Line: -15 OF Line: -27.6, Edge: DENVER - 12.6
Mon - 10/16 (429) CHICAGO: 18.7
8:30 PM (430) ARIZONA: -0.8
Actual Line: +10.5 OF Line: +19.5, Edge: CHICAGO - 9Comment
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harmon forecast
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Games for Oct. 12 - Oct. 15
*Air Force 27 Colorado State 24
*Alabama 28 Mississippi 12
Arizona 22 *Stanford 21
*Arkansas 35 Southeast Missouri State 7
*Auburn 24 Florida 19
*Boise State 41 New Mexico State 19
*Bowling Green 26 Eastern Michigan 19
California 30 *Washington State 23
*Central Michigan 31 Ball State 26
*Clemson 49 Temple 3
*Connecticut 27 Army 19
*Florida Atlantic 21 Southern Utah 14
Florida State 36 *Duke 10
*Georgia 30 Vanderbilt 13
Hawaii 29 *Fresno State 27
*Illinois 23 Ohio 18
Iowa 34 *Indiana 16
*Kansas 26 Oklahoma State 25
*Kent 27 Toledo 23
*Louisiana Tech 27 Idaho 23
*Louisville 39 Cincinnati 10
*LSU 41 Kentucky 12
Maryland 21 *Virginia 19
*Memphis 27 Arkansas State 18
*Miami (Fla.) 37 Florida International 10
Miami (Ohio) 26 *Buffalo 18
Michigan 24 *Penn State 21
*Mississippi State 29 Jacksonville State 6
*Navy 26 Rutgers 24
Nebraska 27 *Kansas State 20
New Mexico 22 *UNLV 18
*North Carolina State 22 Wake Forest 21
Northern Illinois 28 *Western Michigan 22
Ohio State 33 *Michigan State 19
*Oklahoma 34 Iowa State 18
*Oregon 33 UCLA 27
Pittsburgh 30 *Central Florida 22
Purdue 31 *Northwestern 20
*San Jose State 30 Utah State 13
*SMU 27 Marshall 18
South Florida 27 *North Carolina 21
*Southern California 40 Arizona State 17
*Southern Mississippi 27 Houston 24
*Texas 41 Baylor 12
*Texas A&M 27 Missouri 26
Texas Tech 28 *Colorado 16
*Troy 22 Louisiana-Monroe 16
Tulsa 28 *East Carolina 23
UAB 26 *Rice 20
Utah 23 *Wyoming 22
*UTEP 37 Tulane 20
Virginia Tech 20 *Boston College 19
*Washington 31 Oregon State 18
*Wisconsin 31 Minnesota 19
*West Virginia 39 Syracuse 10
* - Denotes home teamComment
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Saturday's Games
Televised Games
Favorite is 13-4 vs spread in last 17 West Va-Syracuse games, with Orange losing last two visits to this site (34-7/27-6). WVa covered 21 of last 27 Big East games, nine of last 14 at home. Last year, they outrushed SU 172-18 in 15-7 win at Carrier Dome. Orange is 5-1 vs spread this year, losing games by 10,7ot,10 points. WVa is 3-1 vs spread as favorite this season, with I-A home wins by 32,21 points.
Road team is 10-3 vs spread in last 13 Purdue-Northwestern games, with Wildcats winning last two meetings (13-10/34-29). NW was 38-57/475 passing in last year's 34-29 win, but they don't get that kind of production this year. Boilers playing third road game in row, allowing 82 points, 995 yards in losses at Notre Dame, Iowa. Dog is 4-1 vs spread in Purdue games this year. Wildcats lost their last three games, outscored 74-16 in last two- they allowed 540 rushing yards in last two games.
Minnesota had 411 rushing yards vs Wisconsin last year, still lost game 38-34, when Gopher punter dropped ball near goal line in final minute; home side is 9-5 vs spread in series. Minnesota lost in OT last week, on bogus interference call and missed PAT that hit upright. Badgers scored 93 points in winning their last two games. Average total in last six series games is 68. Gophers lost last two visits to Madison, 49-31/38-14.
Iowa won last three games vs Indiana (42-28/24-8/38-21) but has covered only two of last eight vs Hoosiers, who were 37-57/360 passing vs Hawkeyes last year. Indiana actually won last week, rallying from 25-7 deficit to nip Illinois; they lost their last three home games, and allowed average of 233 rushing yards in their last four games overall. Iowa failed to cover last six in row as a road favorite, has Mihcigan next. Favorite covered seven of last eight series games.
North Carolina is 0-4 vs I-A teams this season, losing last three by 25-45-20 points. Only game Heels won was 45-42 vs Furman, a I-AA team. South Florida split its two road games this season but they beat UConn last week 38-16, surviving 14 penalties for 115 yards, an awful lot. ACC teams covered only eight of 24 in non-conference games. Big East teams are shining 23-7-1 vs the spread in their non-league games.
Home side won last four Rutgers-Navy games, but the Knights are on roll, winning all five games this season, running ball for 220.7 yards per game the last three contests, so they will try to run ball right at smallish Navy defense. Having last week off is help for preparing for Navy option attack, but Rutgers also has Pitt on deck, so they could be looking ahead. Middies had 207 rushing yards vs Rutgers last year in 31-21 loss, but were -3 in turnovers. Navy is 5-1, losing only in OT vs Tulsa (24-23).
Missouri is 6-0 this season, school's best record in over 30 yrs; they won easily at Texas Tech last week, running two INTs in for TDs in :28 span of second quarter. Mizzou won their last two games vs Texas A&M (33-27/45-22); they're making plays this season, having converted 25 of last 45 third down plays. Aggies pulled out win at Kansas in last minute last week; three of their last four games were decided by four or less points. Home teams are 3-7 vs spread in Big 12 games this season.
Ole Miss is horrible, but they'll play their butts off vs arch-rival Crimson Tide, which trailed Duke at half last week, as Duke had 158-17 edge in rushing yards at halftime. Bama is struggling and has internal issues; their backup QB quit team this week, sign of problems. Senior players don't just quit teams. Home side is 6-0 vs spread in this series; Rebels lost last two visits here, 42-7 and 28-7 and are just 5-9 vs spread in last fourteen series games.
Florida covered seven of its last nine games vs Auburn, 12 of last 17 before a bye; home side won last two series games, with Gators losing last visit here, 23-20. Since '02, Auburn is 7-3 vs spread in game following a loss; Arkansas ran ball for 279 yds against them last week, bad sign for Auburn. Gators outscored their opponents 86-16 in second half this season; they're a dog for first time this season. Five of six Florida games stayed under
Georgia covered four of last five games vs Vanderbilt, winning last two games at this site (48-17/33-3), but Dawgs got whacked 51-33 at home by Tennessee last week- they're 6-16 vs spread in last 22 SEC home games, and 10-6 vs spread in game following a a loss (since '99). Vandy lost at Ole Miss last week, even though they outgained Rebels 405-177. Vandy's QB Nickson was hurt. Commodores are 3-0 vs spread as underdog this season.
Ohio State didn't cover last week for first time in 13 games, but Tressel is 3-0 vs spread when facing John L Smith (this might be last time the two face, considering Spartans' struggles). Ohio St won last three series games (33-23/32-19/35-24) blocking FG for TD to turn last year's game around and send Spartans reeling. Michigan State is 16-9 vs spread as home dog, but they've lost three games in row, allowing 31.3 ppg; they've given up total of 463 rushing yds in their last two contests.
Oregon State lost three of last four games, and is reeling badly enough that the guy who donated $20M to athletic department ripped club recently. Pac-10 home favorites are 5-2 vs spread in conference games this season. Washington lost three of four vs Oregon State, but things are different this year; Beavers scored 14-13-6 points in losses this season (by 28-28-7). UDub is fave for first time since their opener; they're 10-19 as a home favorite since '99.
UCLA QB Olson hurt knee, is out 4-6 weeks, but sub Cowan did Ok in win vs Arizona last week; Bruins are 13-2 SU in last fifteen visits to Eugene; underdogs are 10-3 vs spread in series, with a visitor covering 11 of last 14 series games. Oregon got smoked at Cal last week (outrushed 235-70, -3 turnover ratio); last week was first timein '06 they've scored less than 31 points. Oregon is 4-2 vs spread in game after a loss, since 2004.
Oklahoma crushed Iowa State last two times teams played, with wins by 49-3/53-7 scores; Sooners covered seven of last 10 yrs, the week after playing Texas. Home teams are 3-7 vs spread in Big 12 games this season. Oklahoma lost two of last three games winning 59-0 in between, their only win this year by more than 17 points. Iowa State lost three of last four games; they're 0-2 on road this season, losing 27-17 at Iowa, 37-14 at Texas.
Rice covered 18 of its last 23 conference home games; Owls lost 45-26 at UAB last year, as Blazers gained 506 yards, led 35-16 at the half. Rice is 1-5 this season, allowing average of 40.2 ppg in their losses (by 1-10-45-48-14 pts); they're switching from team that runs to one that throws and have 600 passing yards in last two games. This is their first game on campus since opener vs Houston when they blew 27-14 halftime lead in 31-30 loss.
Louisville covered seven of its last eight games vs Cincinnati; last time Bearcats were here, they lost 70-7, then lost 46-22 to a Cardinal club that loves to run scores up. UC won its last two games to get to 3-3, but they're 0-2 on road, losing 37-7 at Ohio State, 29-13 at Virginia Tech (they led 10-5 at half). Lousiville is 61% play vs spread in conference games the last eight years.
Baylor won last two games to get to 3-3, but they've been waxed often by Texas recently, losing last five meetings by an average score of 50-5. Longhorns gaiend 645 yards in 62-0 win in Waco last season (-29). Texas spanked rival Sooners last week; they are 6-1 vs spread the last seven years the week after facing OU. Texas goes to Nebraska next week, so a lookahead is possible, but Longhorns are 3-2 vs spread as a favorite this season.
USC has been tempting fate last couple weeks, squeaking by in wins at Washington State and vs Washington, but they're 6-2 vs spread in last eight games vs Arizona State, with Sun Devils losing last three visits to Coliseum (48-17/34-13/45-7). ASU has been awful, allowing 97 points in losing last two games (49-21/ 48-13 vs Cal, Oregon). Home favorites are 5-2 vs the spread in Pac-10 conference games this season.
Road team covered eight of the last eleven Michigan-Penn State games, with Wolverines winning on last play of game last year, ending Lions' hopes for unbeaten season- it was Michigan's 7th win in row vs Penn State. Lions covered seven of last ten tries as Big 11 underdog; they won in OT at Minnesota last week, on bogus interference call, missed PAT. Closest game for Michigan this season was 28-14 win at Minnesota; they're 1-3-1 as faves.
Troy finally gets home game at its own level, after playing rough slate of games for big paydays. Underdogs are 6-0 vs spread in Sun Belt games this season, home teams 1-5. Hard to tell what Troy is about, but they were tied with Florida State and Georgia Tech in fouth quarter, before Nebraska, UAB beat them pretty good in their third, fourth weeks in row on road. First time Troy is favored this season. UL-Monroe is 0-4 vs D-I teams, losing by 2,34,2,4 points.
Other Games of Interest
--Home team covered eight of last ten Wake Forest-NC State games, winning last four SU. Wake lost last two visits to Raleigh, 32-13/27-21.
-- Home team covered nine of last 12 Maryland-Virginia games, winning last five SU. Terps lost last seven visits to this site, last two by 48-13/16-0 scores.
-- Miami won last eight games vs Buffalo by average score of 38-8, but Red Hawks are 0-6 this season, allowing 25 ppg. Bulls lost last four games, last three by 18,31,30 pts.
-- Average total in last six Ball State-Central Michigan games is 68. Chippewas beat Ball last two years, 41-40 here, 31-24ot in Muncie. Central won three of last four games, scoring 78 pts in last two games.
-- UConn has internal problems; five players were tossed after last week's games for bring beer into hotel night before the game. Huskies won their last three games vs Army (48-21/40-3/ 47-13).
-- Kansas State covered last six games vs Nebraska, winning last two meetings in Little Apple, 49-13/45-21; Wildcats covered 22 of last 30 vs Big 12 North. Average total in last nine series games is 60.
-- Northern Illinois covered eight of last nine games vs Western Michigan, including last five in row; they won last two visits to Western (24-20/59-38). Wolfe had 277 rushing yards in Sunday win at Miami last week.
-- Utah won last five games vs Wyoming by average score of 38-15; last year, Utes had 563 total yards in 43-13 home win vs Cowboys. Wyoming is 2-10 SU in last 12 games.
-- Home side covered five of last six Tulsa-East Carolina games; Hurricane won its last three games, allowing total of 32 points. ECU is 13-3 vs spread under Holtz, but lost 45-13 to Hurricane last year, outrushed 238-120.
-- SMU won three of last four games, losing 24-21 at UTEP last week, after trailing 17-0 at half; Mustangs lost 16-13 in overtime at Marshall last year. Herd has covered only nine of last 32 conference road games.
-- Washington State won four of last five games, losing only 28-22 to USC. Home side is 11-4 vs spread in their games vs Cal, with average total in last seven, 64. Bears won their last five games, averaging 43.4 ppg.
-- Duke led Alabama 14-10 at half last week, and trailed 16-14 with 5:00 left, but Blue Devils are 1-7 vs spread when Seminoles are favored by less than 33 points over them. Florida State won last five series games by average score of 48-14.
-- Toledo gave up 87 points in last two games, has allowed 31+ in all five games vs I-A opponents; they lost their three road games this year (43-45ot/10-31/3-45). Kent State won last four games in row, scoring 29.8 ppg.
-- Eastern Michigan is 0-5 this year, allowing 32.2 ppg; they lost last two visits to Bowling Green (63-21/41-20). Home side has covered six of last seven series games.
-- Fresno State had hideous loss at Utah State last week, is now 1-8 in last nine games. Home side covered ten of their last 14 games vs Hawai'i. Warriors lost 70-14 last time they came to Fresno- they lost 27-13 at home to Fresno LY.
-- Stanford is 0-6 this season, with only one of the losses by less than 21 points; Cardinal has won last three games vs Arizona (51-37/16-6/20-16). Visiting team covered eight of last ten series games, with Stanford covering four of last five.
-- Utah State beat San Jose 24-17 LY (-5) third straight series cover for home side; Aggies got their first '06 win last week, while Spartans are 2-1 vs I-A teams this year- their only loss was 35-29 at improved Washington. First time San Jose is favored this season.
-- Illinois is 1-5 this yr, with lone win by FG over dysfunctional Michigan State; Illini lost momentum of that win by losing at home to Indiana LW (34-32); they're 1-13 SU intheir last 14 D-I games. Ohio lost both their I-A non-MAC games this year (24-7 at Rutgers, 31-6 at Missouri).
-- Southern Miss won three of last four games vs Houston, winning last two at this site (58-14/35-29ot); home side covered six of last eight series games. Both teams are off tough losses, USM losing 20-6 at Tulsa, Cougars blowing 21-10 halftime lead in bad home loss vs UL-Lafayette.
-- Oklahoma State Kansas lost three of last four games, with losses 37-31ot/39-32ot, both on road, and 21-18 home game vs Texas A&M when Aggies scored winning TD in last :90. Cowboys lost last two games, allowing 65 points.
-- Colorado is 0-6 after OT loss at home to Baylor, now they face Texas Tech squad smarting from home loss to improved Mizzou. Tech lost last three visits to Boulder by average of 15 points- their three '06 road games were decided by total of 16 points.
-- Louisiana Tech is 17-9 vs spread in last 26 games as home favorite; they covered last five league home openers, and won 41-38 at Idaho last year (+9), but Tech is 0-4 vs I-A teams this year, allowing 50.3 ppg in last three weeks. Idaho scored 69 pts in winning last two games.
-- Last time LSU played Kentucky, in '02, Tigers hit long pass for game-winning TD at gun, longer than even Hail Mary would be. Wildcats are 8-2-1 vs spread in last 11 games vs LSU. Tigers smarting from loss to Florida; their four wins this year are by 42-42-42-31 points.
-- UTEP (-7) beat Tulane 45-21 last year in game played at La Tech, because of Katrina. Miners' three wins this year are by 7-6-3 points; they've allowed average of 18.2 ppg in second half, very high number. All five Tulane games this season went over.
-- UNLV lost last four games, last three by 29-28-21 points; they lost four of last five games vs New Mexico, dropping last two at this site (25-16/24-20). Lobos covered seven of last nine on artificial turf, five of last seven vs Rebels.
-- Florida International is 0-6, with losses by 1-1-5-4-25-3 points; last week's loss came in seven OT's at North Texas. They only lost 14-10 at Maryland. Miami is giving 28 pts here, but hasn't scored more than 27 vs I-A foes. Much bigger game for FIU.
-- Memphis fired their defensive coordinator three weeks ago, has given up 35-41-35 points in last three games; they've won ten games in row vs Arkansas State, winning last two by 38-16/47-35 scores. Tigers scored 21 pts in last 3:00 to beat ASU last year.Comment
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SYRACUSE (3 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE (4 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PURDUE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA (2 - 4) at WISCONSIN (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IOWA (5 - 1) at INDIANA (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
INDIANA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST (5 - 1) at NC STATE (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in October games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND (3 - 2) at VIRGINIA (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA (4 - 2) at N CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
MIAMI OHIO (0 - 6) at BUFFALO (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST (2 - 4) at C MICHIGAN (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARMY (3 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 2-0 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS (5 - 0) at NAVY (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 85-54 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI (6 - 0) at TEXAS A&M (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NEBRASKA (5 - 1) at KANSAS ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS (4 - 2) at W MICHIGAN (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI (2 - 4) at ALABAMA (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ALABAMA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
ALABAMA is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ALABAMA is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH (4 - 2) at WYOMING (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULSA (4 - 1) at E CAROLINA (2 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL (1 - 4) at SMU (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
MARSHALL is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA (6 - 0) at AUBURN (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
AUBURN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CALIFORNIA (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT (2 - 4) at GEORGIA (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-38 ATS (-22.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST (3 - 2) at DUKE (0 - 5) - 10/14/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST (2 - 3) at WASHINGTON (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UCLA (4 - 1) at OREGON (4 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO (2 - 4) at KENT ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
E MICHIGAN (0 - 5) at BOWLING GREEN (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
BOWLING GREEN is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST (3 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
HAWAII (3 - 2) at FRESNO ST (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
HAWAII is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
FRESNO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA (2 - 4) at STANFORD (0 - 6) - 10/14/2006, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST (1 - 5) at SAN JOSE ST (3 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
UAB (3 - 3) at RICE (1 - 5) - 10/14/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U (3 - 3) at ILLINOIS (2 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 40-69 ATS (-35.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
CINCINNATI (3 - 3) at LOUISVILLE (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON (4 - 2) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST (3 - 2) at KANSAS (3 - 3) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 45-75 ATS (-37.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 36-72 ATS (-43.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 23-47 ATS (-28.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
TEXAS TECH (4 - 2) at COLORADO (0 - 6) - 10/14/2006, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
COLORADO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
BAYLOR (3 - 3) at TEXAS (5 - 1) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 68-44 ATS (+19.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO (3 - 3) at LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY (3 - 3) at LSU (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARIZONA ST (3 - 2) at USC (5 - 0) - 10/14/2006, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN (6 - 0) at PENN ST (4 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
TULANE (2 - 3) at UTEP (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTEP is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO (2 - 4) at UNLV (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 1-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 6) at MIAMI (3 - 2) - 10/14/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
ARKANSAS ST (3 - 2) at MEMPHIS (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE (1 - 4) at TROY ST (1 - 4) - 10/14/2006, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against TROY ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonsComment
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Team Sites NCAAF
AIR FORCE- www.airforcesports.com
AKRON- www.gozips.com
ALABAMA- www.rolltide.com
ALA-BIRM- www.uabsports.com
ARIZONA- www.arizonaathletics.com
ARIZ. ST.- www.sundevils.com
ARKANSAS- www.hogwired.com
ARKANSAS ST- www.asuindians.com
ARMY- www.goarmysports.com
AUBURN- www.auburntigers.com
BALL STATE- www.ballstatesports.com
BAYLOR- www.baylorbears.com
BOISE ST.- www.broncosports.com
BOSTON COLLEGE- www.bceagles.com
BOWLING GREEN- www.bgsufalcons.com
BYU- www.byucougers.com
BUFFALO- www.ubathletics.buffalo.edu
CAL- www.calbears.com
C. FLORIDA- www.ucfathletics.com
C. MICH- www.cmuchippewas.com
CINCY- www.ucbearcats.com
CLEMSON- www.clemsontigers.com
COLORADO- www.cubuffs.com
COLO ST. - www.csurams.com
CONN- www.uconnhuskies.com
DUKE- www.goduke.com
E. CAR.- www.ecupirates.com
E. MICH- www.emueagles.com
FLORIDA- www.gatorzone.com
FLORIDA ATL.- www.fausports.com
FLORIDA INT. - www.flusports.com
FLORIDA ST. - www.seminoles.com
FRESNO ST. - www.gobulldogs.com
GEORGIA- www.georgiadogs.com
GEORGIA TECH- www.ramblinwreck.com
HAWAII- www.uhathletics.hawaii.edu
HOUSTON- www.uhcougers.com
IDAHO- www.uiathletics.com
ILLINI- www.fightingillini.com
INDIANA- www.iuhoosiers.com
IOWA- www.hawkeyesports.com
IOWA ST. - www.cyclones.com
KANSAS- www.kuathletics.com
KANSAS ST. - www.k-statesports.com
KENT ST. - www.kentstatesports.com
KENTUCKY- www.ukathletics.com
LOUIS. LAFAYETTE- www.ragincajuns.com
LOUIS. MONROE- www.ulmathletics.com
LSU- www.LSUsports.com
LOUIS. TECH - www.latechsports.com
LOUISVILLE- www.uoflsports.com
MARSHALL- www.herdzone.com
MARYLAND- www.umterps.com
MEMPHIS - www.gotigersgo.com
MIAMI FL. - www.hurricanesports.com
MIAMI OHIO- www.muredhawks.com
MICHIGAN- www.mgoblue.com
MICH ST- www.msuspartans.com
MIDD TENN ST. - www.goblueraiders.com
MINNESOTA- www.gophersports.com
MISSISSIPPI- www.olemisssports.com
MISS. STATE- www.mstateathletics.com
MISSOURI- www.mutigers.com
NAVY- www.navysports.com
NEBRASKA- www.XXXXs.com
NEVADA- www.nevadawolfpack.com
NEW MEXICO- www.golobos.com
NEW MEXICO ST- www.nmstatesports.com
NORTH CAROLINA- www.tarheelblue.com
NC STATE- www.gopack.com
NO. TEXAS- www.meangreensports.com
NO. ILLINOIS- www.niuhuskies.com
NORTHWESTERN- www.nusports.com
NOTRE DAME- www.und.com
OHIO ST. - www.ohiostatebuckeyes.com
OHIO U. - www.ohiobobcats.com
OKLAHOMA- www.soonersports.com
OKLA ST- www.okstate.com
OREGON- www.goducks.com
OREGON ST- www.osubeavers.com
PENN ST.- www.gopsusports.com
PITT- www.pittsburghpanthers.com
PURDUE- www.purduesports.com
RICE- www.riceowls.com
RUTGERS- www.scarletknights.com/football
SDSU- www.goaztecs.com
SAN JOSE ST- www.sjsuspartons.com
SMU- www.smumustangs.com
SOUTH CAROLINA - www.uscsports.com
SOUTH FLORIDA- www.gobulls.usf.edu
SOUTHERN CAL - www.usctrojans.com
SO. MISS- www.southernmiss.com
STANFORD- www.gostanford.com
SYRACUSE- www.suathletics.com
TCU- www.gofrogs.com
TEMPLE- www.owlsports.com
TENNESSEE- www.utsports.com
TEXAS- www.texassports.com
TEXAS AM- www.aggiesports.com
TEXAS EL PASO - www.utepathletics.com
TEXAS TECH- www.texastech.com
TOLEDO- www.utrockets.com
TROY- www.troytrojans.com
TULANE- www.tulanegreenwave.com
TULSA- www.tulsahurricane.com
UCLA- www.uclabruins.com
UNLV- www.unlvrebels.com
UTAH- www.utahutes.com
UTAH ST. www.utahstateaggies.com
VANDY- www.vucommodores.com
VIRGINIA- www.virginiasports.com
V. TECH- www.hokiesports.com
WAKE FOREST- www.wakeforestsports.com
WASHINGTON- www.gohuskies.com
WASH ST. - www.wsucougars.com
WEST VIRGINIA- www.wvu.edu/~sports
W. MICH- www.wmubroncos.com
WISKY- www.uwbadgers.com
WYOMING- www.wyomingathletics.comComment
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Week 18 CFL
Montreal (9-6) @ Saskatchewan (7-8)-- Alouettes beat Riders on Monday 35-8, winning their second game in row; they're 1-3 in last four road games, after winning first three games on foreign soil. Seven of last ten Montreal games stayed under the total, but five of last seven Saskatchewan games went over the total. Roughriders lost three of last four games, but are 4-1 in their last five at home. Riders allowed 28 ppg in their last four games.
Toronto (9-6) @ Edmonton (5-10)-- Argonauts nipped Eskimos 28-23 last week, their seventh win in last eight games, now visit Edmonton, where Eskimos are 5-2. Six of last seven Edmonton games went over the total. Eskimos lost five of last seven games overall. Argos are 7-0 when they score 20+ points, 2-6 otherwise Eskimos' last seven opponents all scored at least twenty points.
Winnipeg (7-8) @ Hamilton (4-12)-- Home teams lost two earlier meetings between these two, with Bombers winning 29-0 on this field, then losing at home 26-11 the next week. Winnipeg is 2-6 in last eight games after 5-2 start; they're 4-3 on road. TiCats are 1-5 in last six home games. Under is 7-3 in Winnipeg's last ten games. Hamilton are 0-9 if they score less than 20 points, 4-3 if they score 20+. Winnipeg yielded 23+ in four of last five games.
BCLions (11-4) @ Calgary (9-7)-- Lions whacked Stampeders by 39-13 score last week, second big win over Calgary this season (43-20); now they return to McMahon winners of nine of last 10 games, with last four wins all by 16+ points. Stamps lost last two games (16-23/13-39), but won their last five home games. Lions won five of their last six road games. Last three BC games went under the total, as did last two Calgary games.Comment
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College football line moves
Ball State at Central Michigan: -8 to -10 ½ (line history)
Central Michigan opened as an 8-point favorite on Sunday and, save a small fluctuation upward, remained around that number until Tuesday. The line moved to -9 on Tuesday and then moved as high as -11 on Wednesday before quickly dropping back down to -10 ½, where is currently sits.
“Central Michigan opened as an 8-point favorite and we saw two-way action early on,” says Simon Noble of Pinnaclesports.com. “Then early on Thursday, there was an influx of heavy volume on Central Michigan, some of which was sharp money. Right now Central Michigan has received double the plays of Ball State.”
Ohio State at Michigan State: +16 ½ to +14 (line history)
This line has been all over the place. OSU opened as a 16 ½-point favorite on Sunday and was quickly bet up to -17. Action on the MSU then drove the line down incrementally over the next four days all the way to -13 ½. The line has since moved back up to -14.
“The wise guys seem to be pulling for Michigan State with this one, but the public is balancing everything by betting big on Ohio State,” says a bookmaker at Bodog.com.
Adds Noble, “After receiving two-way action early on, slightly larger volume on the dog gradually drove the price down. Early Thursday, we started getting favorite money, which continued through the day and stabilized the line at -14. The sharps are at opposition on this one, playing both sides.”
UCLA at Oregon: -12 ½ to -8 (line history)
This line is on its way back up after a big move downward. Oregon opened at -12 ½, but was down to -10 ½ by the end of Sunday. The line continued to move down, hitting -8 on Thursday, before moving back up to -9 on Friday.
“Wise guys were indeed on UCLA early, however, the sharps are all over Oregon now and have actually moving the line back towards -9,” says the Bodog.com bookmaker.
Utah State at San Jose State: -13 ½ to -16 ½ (line history)
San Jose State was available below the two-touchdown mark on Sunday and for most of Monday before being bet up to -14. That number has only increased since then with SJSU hitting -16 on Thursday and -16 ½ on Friday.
“Early favorite money was mixed with some two-way action, which was followed by a wave of favorite money,” says Noble. “Another round of favorite money came in on Thursday morning and right now there are over three times as many plays on San Jose State.”
Nebraska at Kansas State: +13 ½ to +8 ½ (line history)
Nebraska opened as a 13 ½-point favorite on Sunday and the line has done nothing but move in favor of Kansas State since then. The line moved down to +11 ½ by the end of Sunday and dropped another point on Tuesday. A second big move came on Thursday when the line dropped another two points, making KSU an 8 ½-point underdog.
“This is another matchup that the wiseguys have been all over, causing the line to move a lot,” says the Bodog.com bookmaker. “Even though no injuries have been reported the wise guys continue to bet hard on Kansas State and seem to think the oddsmakers made a mistake setting this line.”
Florida at Auburn: - 2 ½ to +2 (line history)
The line moves for Saturday’s most anticipated matchup are as complex as trying to figure out who’s going to win this SEC battle. Auburn’s move from a 2 ½-point favorite to a 2-point underdog wasn’t as simple as sharp action, as Noble explains.
“We first opened this game with Auburn listed as 2 ½-point favorites,” he says. “Two-way action started this week followed by some Florida backers. Some semi-sharp Auburn cash was interspersed. There was heavy balanced action around the ‘pick’ price with a lot of point buying and selling.
“Yesterday saw heavier volume on the Gators, followed by more two-way money. While there are nearly twice as many plays on Florida, the sharper action for this game is on the Tigers at home.”Comment
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Ncaaf Injury Report Week 7
Mario Manningham (Michigan Wolverines) - Michigan will not have its leading receiver this weekend against Penn State. Manningham had arthroscopic knee surgery this week and may miss more than just the Penn State game.
Marshawn Lynch (California) - Cal`s starting running back is probable for this weekend’s game against Washington State. Lynch injured his ankle during last week’s game against Oregon and sat out most of the game.
DeShawn Wynn (Florida Gators) - Florida`s leading rusher and starting running back will play this weekend against Auburn. The back missed last week’s game against LSU.
Willie Tuitama (Arizona Wildcats) - Arizona`s starting quarterback will not play this weekend against Stanford. Tuitama suffered a concussion during last week’s game.
Matt Trannon and Kellen Davis (Michigan State Spartans) - Michigan State will not have two of their top receiving threats this weekend against Ohio State. Starting wideout Trannon and starting tight end Davis both will not play.
Chris Nickson (Vanderbilt Commodores) - Vanderbilt`s starting quarterback is questionable for this weekend’s game against Georgia. Nickson is banged up with an ankle and thigh injury.
Kerry Meier (Kansas Jayhawks) - Kansas will welcome the return of its starting quarterback this weekend against Oklahoma State. Meier hasn`t played since suffering a shoulder injury in mid-September.
Ryan Walters and J.J. Billingsley (Colorado Buffaloes) - Colorado may be without its two starting safeties this weekend against Texas Tech. Walters is questionable with a neck injury while Billingsley is not expected to play because of a knee injury.
Hakeem Nicks (North Carolina Tar Heels) - North Carolina`s starting receiver is listed as doubtful for this weekend’s game against South Florida. Nicks is bothered by a sprained ankle.
Selwyn Lymon (Purdue Boilermakers) - Purdue starting wideout, Lymon, is not expected to play this weekend against Northwestern. He was hit in the eye during a paintball game on Monday.
Justin Willis (Southern Methodist Mustangs) - SMU`s starting quarterback has been reinstated from a suspension that forced him to miss last weekend’s game. Willis is listed as questionable for this week’s game against Marshall.Comment
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Wow! What a start! You guys aren't screwing around! Good morning and good luck, guys!Comment
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NCAAFB
Last week, Vinny posted a list of homecoming games. I tracked the host teams on the list. They covered, last week, at an astonishing rate! Let's see if it holds true again. Here is Vinny's list of homecoming games for this week.
HOMECOMING GAMES THIS WK/END
DATE HOME/VISITOR
14-Oct Arkansas SE Missouri St.
14-Oct Bowling Green E. Michigan
14-Oct Georgia Vanderbilt
14-Oct LA Tech Idaho
14-Oct Louisville Cincinnati
14-Oct Mississippi St. Jacksonville St.
14-Oct Navy Rutgers
14-Oct San Jose St. Utah St.
14-Oct So. Miss Houston
14-Oct Washington St. California
14-Oct W. Virginia Syracuse
14-Oct W. Michigan No. Illinois
14-Oct Wisconsin Minnesota
14-Oct Wyoming UtahComment
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