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I analyzed these games using a program that is 10+ years old but uses the basic concept that hasn't changed since day 1... ball control and running. I tried it 2 weeks ago on CFB and realized by Saturday I didn't have the time and energy to do 50+ games. So I gave up quickly. Here is the NFL. It was fun. Hopefully someone finds some number in the complete writeup that helps them play or fade my picks. I just put these exact picks in with Pinny with different odds. If you want the odds, log in yourself.
Good luck and do a shot a CABO TEQUILA for good luck!
4* :broom: Chicago -11.5 @ Arizona
Is there a category that Chicago isn’t completely dominant in over an Arizona team with rookie Leinart starting? Chicago has 5 turnovers compared to 15 take aways. Arizona has turned the ball over 12 times. The Chicago D has allowed a mere 36 points in 5 games! Arizona is averaging 2.8 yards per carry. The Bears have a huge advantage in yardage gained versus allowed. Monday night in the Windy City. I’m going to lay the points and watch Chicago have some fun with this pitiful Arizona team.
2* :broom: Tennessee @ Washington -10.5
Washington is running the ball at a nice clip and averaging 4.5 yards per carry and Tennessee is giving up 4.7 yards per carry. Tennessee has a huge negative difference in yardage gained versus allowed (1368 gained vs. 1874 allowed). Washington is at Home and all this spells an easy day for Washington. I’ll lay the big points in this one.
2* :broom: NY Giants @ Atlanta -3
Atlanta is well rested after a Bye week and playing at home after the Giants had a tough divisional game last week against the Skins. The Giants has 2 tuff road games in a row with Atlanta this week and Dallas next week. On defense, Atlanta is only giving up 3.1 yards per carry and 42 points in 4 games. New Orleans scored over ½ those points. They are averaging 6.1 yards per carry. Their turnover ratio is 9 take aways compared to only 3 give aways. They will control the clock, line of scrimmage and score of this game. I like Vick to get it going and the Atlanta defense to shut down Manning #2.
2* :broom: Carolina @ Baltimore -3
Ray Lewis is a convict that plays like he is behind bars, but the Balitmore D has allowed only 46 points in 5 games so how can I ignore that? Meanwhile Carolina is having a hell of time this year. Giving up more yards on both the ground and the air than they have gained. Oh, did I mention Baltimore has 2:1 ratio on turnovers on the plus side? Lay the points and hope Ray doesn’t stab anyone before game time!
2* :broom: San Diego -9.5 @ San Francisco
San Diego makes a short trip up the coast for what should be a blow out. San Diego is moving the ball on the ground and in the air with only 2 turnovers in the process. Their defense has stopped the run allowing only 266 yards in 4 games. I’ll take LT and the Chargers to control this game big time. Rivers should be able to throw rather easily against a 49er defense that has allowed 1120 yards passing.
2* :broom: Kansas City +7 @ Pittsburgh
Why does everyone think Pittsburgh is suddenly going to flip a switch and start wining? Their numbers suck and now they are giving a touchdown to Kansas City? Pitt could very well be 0-4 if Miami had just about any other QB in the league. I’ll take KC in this one.
Good luck and do a shot a CABO TEQUILA for good luck!
4* :broom: Chicago -11.5 @ Arizona
Is there a category that Chicago isn’t completely dominant in over an Arizona team with rookie Leinart starting? Chicago has 5 turnovers compared to 15 take aways. Arizona has turned the ball over 12 times. The Chicago D has allowed a mere 36 points in 5 games! Arizona is averaging 2.8 yards per carry. The Bears have a huge advantage in yardage gained versus allowed. Monday night in the Windy City. I’m going to lay the points and watch Chicago have some fun with this pitiful Arizona team.
2* :broom: Tennessee @ Washington -10.5
Washington is running the ball at a nice clip and averaging 4.5 yards per carry and Tennessee is giving up 4.7 yards per carry. Tennessee has a huge negative difference in yardage gained versus allowed (1368 gained vs. 1874 allowed). Washington is at Home and all this spells an easy day for Washington. I’ll lay the big points in this one.
2* :broom: NY Giants @ Atlanta -3
Atlanta is well rested after a Bye week and playing at home after the Giants had a tough divisional game last week against the Skins. The Giants has 2 tuff road games in a row with Atlanta this week and Dallas next week. On defense, Atlanta is only giving up 3.1 yards per carry and 42 points in 4 games. New Orleans scored over ½ those points. They are averaging 6.1 yards per carry. Their turnover ratio is 9 take aways compared to only 3 give aways. They will control the clock, line of scrimmage and score of this game. I like Vick to get it going and the Atlanta defense to shut down Manning #2.
2* :broom: Carolina @ Baltimore -3
Ray Lewis is a convict that plays like he is behind bars, but the Balitmore D has allowed only 46 points in 5 games so how can I ignore that? Meanwhile Carolina is having a hell of time this year. Giving up more yards on both the ground and the air than they have gained. Oh, did I mention Baltimore has 2:1 ratio on turnovers on the plus side? Lay the points and hope Ray doesn’t stab anyone before game time!
2* :broom: San Diego -9.5 @ San Francisco
San Diego makes a short trip up the coast for what should be a blow out. San Diego is moving the ball on the ground and in the air with only 2 turnovers in the process. Their defense has stopped the run allowing only 266 yards in 4 games. I’ll take LT and the Chargers to control this game big time. Rivers should be able to throw rather easily against a 49er defense that has allowed 1120 yards passing.
2* :broom: Kansas City +7 @ Pittsburgh
Why does everyone think Pittsburgh is suddenly going to flip a switch and start wining? Their numbers suck and now they are giving a touchdown to Kansas City? Pitt could very well be 0-4 if Miami had just about any other QB in the league. I’ll take KC in this one.
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