NFL Excel Program Picks Thread

[Larry29]

Thanks Dave

Should have been a blowout, these teams never learn. Teams should play like they need the next score to win the game. If you score 50 points a game, not many teams will beat you. That's why the college game is more fun to watch. They fail to understand that it's the entertainment value. People don't like boring games and the Denver game was diffently BORING.

Thanks Dave for the plays. I'll be looking for them every week.

[moondog22]

good luck Dave

[birdog]

good luck this weekend

[dave T]

Philly will completely DOMINATE the Bucs. This is a complete, utter MISMATCH. In the past, I would've given real consideration to the Bucs here for technical reasons, and I would be backing a LOSER. This is where I value my program and where it steers me right. Philly ROLLS BIG...

dt

[BillMill71]

I agree with you here Dave. Good luck

[dave T]

The Eagles did as expected, completly dominating the Bucs 506-196 in total yards, making it the biggest domination of the season out of 100 games played. Unfortunately they failed to get the win and cover.

5* 0-1
4* 0-1
3* 1-1

Week 8:
3* Saints
3* Eagles

[dave T]

Warning: This is the first season against virgin numbers for my NFL Excel Program.

5* XL STOMP ASS
4* XL MISMATCH
3* EXCEL PLAY

Four-star and higher were 16-2 ATS last season with lotsa' blowouts. Three star were 14-4 ATS.

2006
5* 0-1
4* 0-1
3* 1-3

WEEK NINE
5* GIANTS
5* CHARGERS
4* BEARS
4* SAINTS
3* COWBOYS
3* VIKINGS

dt

[TWOLIP]

Can you disclose the parameters of the program so we can get an idea of what the program is compiling/comparing? I understand if you would rather not. Thanks

[dave T]

It's just a program factoring in various statistics and compiling a power rating and ranking. Saints are #7; Bucs are #29; etc.

Chargers should win by 22; Cowboys-Panthers line should have been pick'em last Sunday night; etc.

gl
dave

[dave T]

Right now the program has the Chargers #1 in the AFC and nearly six percentage points better than the Patriots. In the NFC, the #1 Bears are about 4 percentage points above the Giants.

As of now, the Bears and Chargers would meet in the SB in a virtual toss up, San Diego being about 1/2 of a percentage point better.

Here's the NFL rank:

1- Chargers
2- Bears
3- Giants
4- Eagles
5- Cowboys
6- Patriots
7- Saints

That's as far as I can remember right now.

dt

[ChuckLazar]

The Chargers, Colts, and Pats would beat anyone in the NFC on a nuetral field!!!

[dave T]

Yeah. Because most games are within the conference the strength of schedule is limited. NFC team stats are primarily vs NFC teams, and vice versa...