GL tonight Spearit!
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Yep- I am just a square tonight my friends- no riders- Love Grossman- Don't buy the Zona Hype- Don't care about Big Al McMordie and all the touts and the numerous cappers that I am fading. Sometimes this biz is just plain funny. We forget that the game is played between two teams with one team the Bears having a weak rookie safety and the other the Cards having a a rookie defensivesive tackle and the loss of a wide receiver. We forget about special teams and penalties that can turn a game quickly. We marvel at this grass that was just sitting out in the sun a few hours ago. We see Leinart willing a win hopefully in the second half for me. Ahhh gonna be a goot one!!!!!!!!"The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
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I meant -4 at Bodog- Sandy- I would love over 4 but it is much much higher- can you say 13 points. I figure that is about the time Grossman gets his feet under him and the running game jells.Last edited by Spearit; 10-16-2006, 08:38 PM."The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
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7* 1-0 and 5* 2-2 Record on MNF.
I don't see this game as any picnic.
I have systems supporting both and generally that means Caution. I present various opinions on systems and trends for you to decide. Other cappers on board here may have more for you to look over. Golden Contender has some nice info on Dallas. Check em and go with your gut feeling.
5*Dallas/NY Giants Under 44 1/2
5*Dallas -1 1/2 1st Half
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Record
Giants – 3-2, 3-2 ATS, 2-2-1 Totals
Cowboys – 3-2, 2-2 ATS, 3-1-1 Totals
Team Trends
Giants are 7-1 away when the total is 42 points or higher.
Giants are 19-8 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 16-5 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games.
Cowboys are 16-6 ATS in home games versus good rushing teams averaging >=130 rushing yards/game.
Giants are 6-14-1 UNDER as an underdog after a SU win.
Cowboys are 7-3 OVER as a home favorite of 3.5 or less.
Monday Night Team Trends
Giants – 4-8 ATS, 1-3 ATS as away underdog since 1989.
Cowboys – 17-15 ATS, 4-6 ATS as home favorite since 1989.
Monday Night System-Giants
Play On any Monday Night underdog that has covered its last two contests.
(17-6-2 ATS 73.9%)
5-1-0 (4.8) The Giants are 5-1 ATS (+4.8 ppg) since week 15, 2004 after an away game as a dog.
6-1-0 (4.9) The Giants are 6-1 ATS (+4.9 ppg) since week 15, 2004 after being a dog.
NY Giants: 35-16 Under off a win by 10+ points
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
Dallas: 2-11 ATS off a win by 28+ points
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
Since 1989 the Giants and Cowboys had met 32 times prior to last seasons 10.16 meeting. The highest posted total for both teams before that game was 41. That total was posted at 47! Final score was 16-13 Dallas in OT. The only time in the last 4 meetings of these teams the total went over was the final game of the 2004 season, when the Cowboys allowed rookie Eli Manning to rally and beat them in the 4th quarter. Does 45 points look a little high to anyone else, especially considering..
1. The Giants pass rush
2. The Giants running game and ability to run out the clock
3. Tom Coughlin and Bill Parcells coaching in a big game on Monday night, both coaches preach not making mistakes and with both coaches having decent ground games, does anyone else think this might not be the aerial show everyone else thinks it is going to be?
1H play
Dallas avg score at half at home 10.1
NYG avg score at half on road 4.3
--The Cowboys have won seven of eight games against the Giants on Monday Night Football
----Bledsoe has a 4-1 record in five career starts against the Giants
----Owens has 15 career TD catches on MNF, tying him for the second most of all-time
--Home Teams with a lower Def passer Rating this week were
4-1 SU, 3-1-1 ATS , w Dallas pending on MNF
Play Against Road Teams off an upset win , w/ a winning record on the season.
Entering this season the Record was (196-118 ATS) since 1983. good for 62.4% 2*
NFL (line differential of 2 or more...excluding jacksonville game) 6-1 yesterday. Sagarin rating has line differentail off by 5 in favor of Giants
--NY Giants are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
--NY Giants are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Dallas
--The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
--The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Giants last 5 games when playing Dallas
Favoring: DALLAS on the money line.
Play Against - Underdogs vs. the money line (NY GIANTS) - after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game against opponent after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards in 2 straight games
(26-2 since 1983.) (92.9%, +23 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Past games played in Dallas favor the UNDER (games in NY favor the Over).
Dallas has the NFL’s No. 1 ranked run defense, allowing opponents just 67 yards a game on the ground. The Cowboys have not allowed an opponent to rush for 100 yards in a game yet this year, and have not permitted any opposing running back to run for more than 40 yards since Jacksonville`s Fred Taylor rushed for 74 yards in the season opener.Last edited by Spearit; 10-23-2006, 05:07 PM."The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
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Cisco the Corona King adds:
Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the money line (NY GIANTS) - with a poor first half defense - 14 or more points per game, after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game.
(42-3 over the last 10 seasons.) (93.3%, +35.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -223.3
The average score in these games was: Team 29.2, Opponent 14 (Average point differential = +15.2)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1, +7.2 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-1, +15.2 units).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (83-23, +15.4 units)."The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.
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