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The Broncos are a very good 13-4 and 8-2 at home off their bye week. 7-1 if their opponent is off a win.
Baltimore is 4-0. They are off two come from behind wins. Their opponents are a combined 4-13. While the Broncos opponents are a combined 10-4. There's a huge strength of schedule descrepancy. Baltimore did beat a good SD team last week. The results of that game was misleading. The Chargers had better stats.
We all hear about Baltimore's tough defense. Denver's defense is probably better. Once again let's look at the both team's opponents. Baltimore has played Tampa (12ppg), Oakland (9ppg) and Browns (17ppg). While Denver has yielded one TD this season. Denver's previous opponents are all averaging 20 or more points per game.
Denver has won 11 straight at home and is 6-4 ATS. In 3 of those ATS losses they were 10.5 or more favorites. They also have an impressive record vs undefeated teams. Denver beat Baltimore at home last season 12-10 as 14 point favorites. That was a tough spot for Denver. They suffered a tough loss vs their hated rival in Kansas City the previous week.
Denver is also in a couple of nice Monday night situations of 64.9% and 67.4%.
Denver -5.5
gl to all
Baltimore is 4-0. They are off two come from behind wins. Their opponents are a combined 4-13. While the Broncos opponents are a combined 10-4. There's a huge strength of schedule descrepancy. Baltimore did beat a good SD team last week. The results of that game was misleading. The Chargers had better stats.
We all hear about Baltimore's tough defense. Denver's defense is probably better. Once again let's look at the both team's opponents. Baltimore has played Tampa (12ppg), Oakland (9ppg) and Browns (17ppg). While Denver has yielded one TD this season. Denver's previous opponents are all averaging 20 or more points per game.
Denver has won 11 straight at home and is 6-4 ATS. In 3 of those ATS losses they were 10.5 or more favorites. They also have an impressive record vs undefeated teams. Denver beat Baltimore at home last season 12-10 as 14 point favorites. That was a tough spot for Denver. They suffered a tough loss vs their hated rival in Kansas City the previous week.
Denver is also in a couple of nice Monday night situations of 64.9% and 67.4%.
Denver -5.5
gl to all
It's always noon somewhere! 
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