Monday Trends and Indexes

[Udog]

Six-Pack for Monday
Six reasons I'm glad Columbus discovered America......

-- Ponce de Leon Day doesn't have the same ring to it.

-- Otherwise, people might still think the world is flat.

-- If Columbus hadn't discovered America, Al Gore may be taking credit for it.

-- The NHL wouldn't have put a team in Magellan, Ohio.

-- People who get the day off can go to the golf course and play nine holes with Alex Rodriguez and Jason Giambi.

-- If Columbus hadn't discovered America, the capitol of Ohio might be in Tipp City.

[Udog]

Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday...............

13) Steelers are in serious trouble for this year; with accident and appendectomy, Roethlisberger can't be anywhere near 100%; they already trail the Ravens by three games.

12) How could any football player not wear an eye shield on their helmet? It seems stupid not to.

11) The field at Foxboro is a disgrace, and has been since the new stadium was built; they play soccer on the field too, so it is always mess in the middle of the field. The league should make them put Field Turf down, or stop the soccer there.

10) In their last three games, Colts have one TD on 14 drives in first half of games; on 14 drives in second half, they've got six TDs and a field goal. They ran ball well against Tennessee but didn't have point at halftime Sunday.

9) Packers are now 46-1 at home when Favre doesn't throw an interception. Sunday was his first loss.

8) Steelers won the last 65 times they led by 8+ pts at the half.

7) Vikings scored 23 points in fourth quarter to beat the Lions and also get an unlikely cover, thanks to two defensive TDs.

6) 49ers were stopped twice on 4th-and-1, in 2nd quarter of their win vs Raiders, when they could have kicked easy FGs. Oakland is so bad the Niners still beat them by two TDs.

5) Raiders have been outscored 64-10 in second half so far.

4) Right now, the Bears are the best team in the league.

3) Chiefs haven't allowed second half TD this season.

2) In their first five games, five different Eagles have led the team in receiving yardage.

1) Speaking of the Eagles, think they're glad last year is over?

[Udog]

NFL

Ravens (4-0) @ Broncos (2-1)-Resourceful Baltimore found ways to weasel out wins last two weeks, but opposing QBs were rookies; now they face veteran Plummer coming off bye. Broncos are 13-3 vs spread in last 16 post-bye games, winning last three by combined score of 102-38 (34-13 avg). Billick won four of last five vs Shanahan, losing here 12-10 last year, in game where Baltimore had pair of empty red zone trips, while Plummer was 8-16 on 3rd down. Ravens have forced 28 3-and-outs on 50 drives, helping Ravens to field position edges in last three games. Denver is just 35.7% on 3rd down this year; they'll need to move chains again to win this game.

[Udog]

NFL - DUNKEL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 9

Game 237-238: Baltimore at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 129.464; Denver 132.268
Dunkel Line: Denver by 3; 35
Vegas Line: Denver by 4; 33
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+4); Over

[Udog]

NFL

BALTIMORE (4 - 0) at DENVER (2 - 1) - 10/9/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
DENVER is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a bye week since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NFL

Monday, October 9th

Baltimore at Denver, 8:30 EST ESPN
Baltimore: 12-2 Under away vs. conference opponents
Denver: 14-4 ATS off a bye week

[Udog]

MLB - ALCS Tuesday

DETROIT (98 - 68) at OAKLAND (96 - 69) - 8:05 PM
NATE ROBERTSON (L) vs. BARRY ZITO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ROBERTSON is 9-24 (-15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 96-69 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 88-60 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 52-36 (+14.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-39 (+17.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 17-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
OAKLAND is 47-34 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 29-19 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ZITO is 16-7 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 99-68 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 51-33 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 91-59 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 68-38 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 62-35 (+19.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 21-28 (-17.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 (+0.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)



NATE ROBERTSON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ROBERTSON is 2-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.46 and a WHIP of 1.071.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)



BARRY ZITO vs. DETROIT since 1997
ZITO is 7-5 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.68 and a WHIP of 1.149.
His team's record is 8-6 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.6 units)

[Udog]

MLB - ALCS Tuesday, October 10th


American League Championship Series
Game One
TV: FOX
Series Tied, 0-0
Detroit at Oakland, 8:05 EST
Nate Robertson (L) vs. Barry Zito (L)


Robertson:
5-12 TSR in the second half of the season
Detroit 26-12 Under as a road underdog

Zito:
16-7 TSR pitching off a team win
Oakland 17-6 SU at home off 3+ wins

[Udog]

MLB - ALCS Tuesday

Key Performance Information

DETROIT
in all games
99-68 This season | 242-249 Last 3 seasons

when the total is 8 to 8.5
23-19 This season | 54-58 Last 3 seasons

as a road underdog of +125 to +150
9-6 This season | 30-33 Last 3 seasons

in road games
51-33 This season | 117-129 Last 3 seasons

on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5
13-10 This season | 26-26 Last 3 seasons

in October games
3-2 This season | 4-6 Last 3 seasons

when playing on Tuesday
12-11 This season | 29-42 Last 3 seasons

in games played on a grass field
91-59 This season | 218-223 Last 3 seasons

in night games
68-38 This season | 161-154 Last 3 seasons

against left-handed starters
34-20 This season | 79-78 Last 3 seasons

in playoff games
3-1 This season | 3-1 Last 3 seasons

after a win
62-35 This season | 128-112 Last 3 seasons

after 3 or more consecutive wins
26-14 This season | 38-32 Last 3 seasons

when playing against a team with a winning record
36-41 This season | 117-151 Last 3 seasons

when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
23-28 This season | 61-91 Last 3 seasons


OAKLAND
in all games
96-69 This season | 275-216 Last 3 seasons

when the total is 8 to 8.5
25-22 This season | 99-85 Last 3 seasons

as a home favorite of -125 to -150
13-13 This season | 29-34 Last 3 seasons

in home games
50-32 This season | 147-97 Last 3 seasons

at home when the total is 8 to 8.5
16-13 This season | 61-50 Last 3 seasons

in October games
4-0 This season | 7-2 Last 3 seasons

when playing on Tuesday
15-11 This season | 38-37 Last 3 seasons

in games played on a grass field
88-60 This season | 253-195 Last 3 seasons

in night games
53-48 This season | 159-149 Last 3 seasons

against left-handed starters
24-18 This season | 79-53 Last 3 seasons

in playoff games
3-0 This season | 3-0 Last 3 seasons

after a win
58-39 This season | 165-111 Last 3 seasons

after 3 or more consecutive wins
21-14 This season | 59-39 Last 3 seasons

when playing against a team with a winning record
47-34 This season | 133-113 Last 3 seasons

when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
29-19 This season | 73-62 Last 3 seasons

[Udog]

NHL

Pro Hockey Trend Report

PHOENIX (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at COLUMBUS (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/9/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 14-9 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 11-5 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 23-18 ATS (+23.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 23-18 ATS (+23.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 23-18 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 12-6 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 2-2 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 2-2-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)




ATLANTA (1-0-0-1, 3 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/9/2006, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 6-3-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)




FLORIDA (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at TORONTO (1-1-0-1, 3 pts.) - 10/9/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 160-183 ATS (-67.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 180-256 ATS (-82.2 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 3-18 ATS (+34.2 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-0 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)




SAN JOSE (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at CALGARY (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/9/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 174-182 ATS (+174.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
CALGARY is 83-74 ATS (+191.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)




ST LOUIS (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) at ANAHEIM (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/9/2006, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 3-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)

[Udog]

NHL - DUNKEL

MONDAY, OCTOBER 9
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Phoenix at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.223; Columbus 10.679
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Under

Game 53-54: Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.592; Tampa Bay 11.066
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1 1/2); Under

Game 55-56: Florida at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.389; Toronto 11.732
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 57-58: San Jose at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.270; Calgary 11.743
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+1 1/2); Under

Game 59-60: St. Louis at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 9.668; Anaheim 12.357
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-1 1/2); Over

[Udog]

NFL - Weather

Rain and snow this evening turning to all snow overnight. Cold. Low 32F. Winds E at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precip 80%. 1 to 3 inches of snow expected.

Under is tempting with this report.....

[Udog]

NHL - Monday's Games

Coyotes, Columbus split four games last year, with teams going 1-1 on each rink; average total in four games was 7.25. Phoenix split its first two home games, routing Islanders, losing by goal to Anaheim, 2-1. Jackets won 5-4 at Chicago Saturday, after OT loss to Vancouver in opener Friday.

Lightning beat Atlanta 3-2 in SO Thrusday, outshooting hosts 26-11 (Atlanta was 2-7 on power play, still had only 11 shots on goal). Teams split four games on this ice last year, with average total 7.5. Tampa lost home opener to Bruins Saturday, going 0-6 on power play. Thrashers whacked Florida 6-0 Saturday night.

Toronto split pair of games with Ottawa, then lost in shootout to Montreal in last game; last year, Maple Leafs were 4-0 against Florida, beating them 2-1/6-5ot at home, 2-1/4-2 down south in Miami. Panthers crushed Bruins in home opener, then went to Atlanta and lost 6-0.

Calgary opened season with 3-1 loss, 2-1 win vs Edmonton, its arch-rival; now they face San Jose squad they beat three out of four last year, winning twice at Saddledome, 3-2/2-0. The total in all four games was average of 4.75. Sharks won their first two games, both at home, 5-4ot vs Blues, 2-0 vs Islanders.

Blues lost first two games of west coast swing, 5-4ot at San Jose then 4-1 at Staples Saturday; last year, they lost three of four vs Ducks, losing both times at Pond, 6-4/6-3. Average total in the four games was 8.25. Anaheim won 2-1 in Phoenix Saturday; in their opener, they beat Los Angeles 4-3 at home.

[Udog]

NHL

Monday, October 9th

Phoenix at Columbus, 7:05 EST
Phoenix: 3-7 SU as a road underdog of +150 or less
Columbus: 12-6 SU at home off a division game

Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 7:35 EST
Atlanta: 6-14 SU as a road underdog of +150 or less
Tampa Bay: 11-2 SU off a loss by 1 goal

Florida at Toronto, 7:35 EST
Florida: 3-18 SU away in the first half of the season
Toronto: 10-3 SU at home vs. Florida

San Jose at Calgary, 8:05 EST
San Jose: 37-14 SU playing off a win or tie
Calgary: 31-13 Under at home off a home game

St. Louis at Anaheim, 10:05 EST
St. Louis: 9-35 SU off BB losses
Anaheim: 6-2 SU off a road win by 1 goal

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

NFL

Ravens 4-1 straight up and 5-0 against the number the last 5 versus the Broncos. Ravens are 3-7 ATS as road short of 7 or less points. 5-1 ATS on Monday, 4-1 ATS vs AFC West, 4-1 ATS as a short off a s/u home short win, 1-4 ATS after facing the "Bolts", 3-9 ATS on the road with non-division revenge.

"Broncos" are 33-14 ATS at home versus teams with a winning record, 14-4 ATS following their bye week, 6-13-1 ATS as "chalk" on Monday night, 4-15-1 ATS against non-division foes under the Monday Night Lights, 6-0 ATS at home before the Raiders, 8-2 ATS versus an undefeated foe after game 3, 0-8 ATS off a straight up road short win, 0-4 ATS at home versus AFC North, 1-6 ATS as a non-division favorite, 2-5 ATS off an ATS win of more than 14 points, DENVER is 10-1 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992. DENVER is 14-4 ATS after a bye week since 1992. DENVER is 10-2 ATS after scoring 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992. DENVER is 12-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

"Total Info":
Ravens Under in 13 of 18 when playing teams from the AFC West, 17-4 Under on the road, 11-1 Under on the road when playing on grass,
Broncos have gone Over in 20 of their last 28 games at Invesco Field during the month of October, Under in 7 of last 11 as host.

Fundamental Set:

Baltimore is allowing 8 points per game, 219 yards per game, and 2.6 yards per carry. Denver is allowing 10 points per game, 322 yards per game and 3.9 yards per carry.