Saturday Trends and Indexes

[Udog]

NHL

Pro Hockey Trend Report

BUFFALO (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at OTTAWA (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 65-37 ATS (+22.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 65-37 ATS (+22.2 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 65-37 ATS (+22.2 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 31-21 ATS (+56.7 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 31-21 ATS (+56.7 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 31-21 ATS (+56.7 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 29-20 ATS (+53.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 26-12 ATS (+38.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 24-11 ATS (+11.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 27-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 58-36 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 58-36 ATS (-30.1 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 58-36 ATS (+58.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 50-42 ATS (+50.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 7-6 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 7-6-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)




MONTREAL (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) at TORONTO (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 57-63 ATS (-53.9 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.0 Units)




NY RANGERS (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 4-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-4-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)




FLORIDA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at ATLANTA (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 57-92 ATS (-44.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
FLORIDA is 67-101 ATS (-40.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 160-182 ATS (-66.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
FLORIDA is 180-255 ATS (-81.4 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 55-50 ATS (+117.3 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.4 Units)




CAROLINA (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) at WASHINGTON (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 10-17 ATS (-14.0 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-5 (+3.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-3-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)




DETROIT (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-12 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-12 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 32-12 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 1-0-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)




BOSTON (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 29-54 ATS (+94.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-54 ATS (+94.4 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 5-17 ATS (+25.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 29-54 ATS (+94.4 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 143-203 ATS (+385.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 63-102 ATS (-43.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)




NEW JERSEY (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at DALLAS (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 2-10 ATS (-8.4 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 50-19 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 28-16 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




NASHVILLE (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at MINNESOTA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 10-18 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 3-11 ATS (-8.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)




COLUMBUS (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) at CHICAGO (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 134-180 ATS (+134.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 67-92 ATS (-47.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 118-160 ATS (+118.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (+7.2 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 5-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 5-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)




EDMONTON (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at CALGARY (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 14-22 ATS (-19.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 82-74 ATS (+190.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
EDMONTON is 28-26 ATS (+61.4 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 28-26 ATS (+61.4 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 28-26 ATS (+61.4 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 9-3 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-4-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.4 Units)




ANAHEIM (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at PHOENIX (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 121-89 ATS (+22.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 82-65 ATS (+171.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 7-1 (+6.4 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 7-1-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)




ST LOUIS (0-0-0-1, 1 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-0-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)




NY ISLANDERS (0-1-0-0, 0 pts.) at SAN JOSE (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/7/2006, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 9-1 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 28-11 ATS (+12.3 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 14-7 ATS (+22.2 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Hockey

Dunkel Index - NHL

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 51-52: Buffalo at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 12.022; Ottawa 11.903
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2); Over

Game 53-54: Montreal at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.057; Toronto 11.061
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+1 1/2); Over

Game 55-56: NY Rangers at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.291; Philadelphia 10.510
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+1 1/2); Over

Game 57-58: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.269; Atlanta 11.096
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+1 1/2); Under

Game 59-60: Carolina at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.602; Washington 10.124
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Carolina by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

Game 61-62: Detroit at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.851; Pittsburgh 10.646
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+1 1/2); Under

Game 63-64: Boston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.257; Tampa Bay 11.238
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Over

Game 65-66: New Jersey at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.020; Dallas 11.763
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+1 1/2); Under

Game 67-68: Nashville at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.086; Minnesota 11.406
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (+1 1/2); Under

Game 69-70: Columbus at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.223; Chicago 10.374
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+1 1/2); Under

Game 71-72: Edmonton at Calgary
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 12.379; Calgary 11.481
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+1 1/2); Under

Game 73-74: Anaheim at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.121; Phoenix 11.276
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+1 1/2); Over

Game 75-76: St. Louis at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 9.871; Los Angeles 11.213
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 77-78: NY Islanders at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.300; San Jose 11.473
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 7
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+1 1/2); Over

[Udog]

MLB

Saturday, October 7th


National League Divisional Series
Game Three
TV: ESPN2
St. Louis leads, 2-0
San Diego at St. Louis, 1:05 EST
Chris Young (R) vs. Jeff Suppan (R)


Young:
11-4 TSR in road games
SD 11-1 after 4+ errorless games

Suppan:
StL 12-4 Over after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less
Stl 34-24 Over at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

National League Divisional Series
Game Three
TV: FOX
New York leads, 2-0
NY Mets at LA Dodgers, 7:35 EST
Steve Trachsel (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)


Trachsel:
15-5 TSR in night games
NYM 14-7 as a road underdog of +100 to +125

Maddux:
0-8 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter
6-15 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

American League Divisional Series
Game Three
TV: FOX
Detroit Leads, 2-1
Detroit at NY Yankees, 4:05 EST
Jaret Wright (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)


Wright:
8-0 TSR as a road favorite of -110 or higher
9-1 TSR Away when the total is 10 or higher

Bonderman:
8-15 TSR in day games
5-13 TSR at home off a Det win

[Udog]

MLB
Line Watch

San Diego at St. Louis – San Diego –101

Pulling the Padres out of an 0-2 hole is definitely a tall task for any pitcher. Except if you’re 6-foot-10 beanpole Chris Young.

San Diego’s budding ace will face the St. Louis Cardinals with his team’s back against the ropes on the road, a place were Young finds himself comfortable. The right-handed hurler has the National League’s lowest road ERA (2.41) and has held opponents` bats to a .176 average away from home.

"I don`t want to get too analytical about it, because I don`t want it to affect my mental state or anything when I`m at home vs. on the road,” Young says of his road statistics. “So, it`s just one of those things that has just sort of turned out that way over the course of time.”

Young credits his unorthodox fastball for most of his success this season. Already with an intimidating stature on the mound, Young’s release point, coupled with deceptive movement on his fastball has retired its share of frustrated batters this season.

The 27-year-old has gone 6-0 on the road this season and has not record a loss in his last 24 starts away from Petco Park. Young has been stellar in day games this season with a 2.22 ERA and a .141 BA against, bad news for the Cardinals with today’s first pitch scheduled for 1:05 p.m. EST.

New York at Detroit – New York –125

With Jaret Wright taking the mound for the reeling New York Yankees this afternoon, there may be more than the ALDS on the line for the right-handed pitcher.

Wright who is in the first year of a two-year contract will be playing for his job tonight when he faces the Detroit Tigers. The Yankees signed the 30-year-old pitcher with an option to buy out his final year on the contract. With the emergence of Chein-Ming Wang as the team’s top game winner, Wright’s future in New York is looking bleak.

"I love playing [in New York]," Wright told reporters. "It`s kind of like, how you feel inside is expressed by the fans. If you pitch bad, you feel bad inside [and fans boo]. I`ve never been to a place where 50,000 plus are so intense when they watch the games."

Wright will face a hostile crowd in Detroit tonight with the team’s playoff life in his hand. However, Wright has his share of postseason experience despite his young career. He has pitched in playoff games for the Braves in 2003 and 2004 and more notably with the Cleveland Indians in Game 7 of the 1997 World Series against the Florida Marlins.

“He was lights out then," said Tigers manager Jim Leyland who managed the Marlins in 1997. ``We`ll have our hands full and we know that.”

New York at Los Angeles – Los Angeles –135

Grizzled boxing manager Mickey said it best in Rocky.

“Women weaken the legs!”

Mets starting pitcher Steve Trachsel could be weak in the wallet after having to leave the team to deal with a possible divorce from his wife Sarah. Trachsel has been away from the club for four days and hasn’t pitched in almost two weeks. His family has been constantly bothered by media, most recently by the New York Daily News, who phoned Trachsel’s wife at home.

New York manager Willie Randolph addressed the press about Trachsel’s situation this week, assuring doubters that the veteran righty would have his head on baseball and not the marital issues at home.

“I don’t think he’ll be scared, I don’t think he’ll be uncomfortable,” Randolph told the New York Times. “I think he’ll be fine as long as he executes his pitches, just like anyone else.”

Surprisingly, Trachsel is making the first playoff appearance of his 15-year career in the midst of this scandal. The 35-year-old will carry a heavy load during today’s game with the Mets rotation still in shambles after losing key starters Pedro Martinez and Orlando Hernandez. New York is still not sure who will take the mound for Game 4 if Trachsel fails to win today’s crucial contest.

[Udog]

NHL
Saturday, October 7th

Buffalo at Ottawa, 7:05 EST
Buffalo: 15-6 SU after scoring 5+ goals
Ottawa: 0-5 SU at home after allowing 5+ goals

Montreal at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Montreal: 3-7 SU off a road loss by 1 goal
Toronto: 14-6 SU at home vs. Montreal

NY Rangers at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
NY Rangers: 18-34 SU vs. Philadelphia
Philadelphia: 8-1 SU off a division loss by 2+ goals

Florida at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Florida: 1-12 SU away off a win by 4+ goals
Atlanta: 4-0 SU at home vs. Florida

Carolina at Washington, 7:05 EST
Carolina: 12-3 SU as a road favorite of -150 or less
Washington: 6-13 SU as a home underdog

Detroit at Pittsburgh, 7:35 EST
Detroit: 11-1 SU away on Saturdays
Pittsburgh: 1-9 SU vs. non-conference opponents

Boston at Tampa Bay, 7:35 EST
Boston: 23-8 SU vs. Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay: 1-7 SU at home off a road win

New Jersey at Dallas, 8:05 EST
New Jersey: 2-10 SU away playing without rest
Dallas: 11-3 SU playing with two days rest

Nashville at Minnesota, 8:05 EST
Nashville: 0-12 SU away after allowing 6+ goals
Minnesota: 4-0 Under off a division win by 1 goal

Columbus at Chicago, 8:35 EST
Columbus: 13-5 Over playing without rest
Chicago: 0-7 SU at home off a win by 2+ goals

Edmonton at Calgary, 10:05 EST
Edmonton: 22-9 Over off a division game
Calgary: 9-0 SU at home on Saturdays

Anaheim at Phoenix, 10:05 EST
Anaheim: 7-1 SU vs. Phoenix
Phoenix: 5-1 Over after scoring 6+ goals

St. Louis at Los Angeles, 10:35 EST
St. Louis: 2-15 SU on Saturdays
Los Angeles: 14-6 SU on Saturdays

NY Islanders at San Jose, 10:35 EST
NY Islanders: 17-6 Under away off a road loss
San Jose: 9-1 SU vs. non-conference opponents

** (TC) Denotes Time Change