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**djmauiboy** · 10-01-2006, 02:35 AM

2006 Week 4 NFL
Colts (3-0) @ Jets (2-1)-Peyton Manning usually struggles vs Patriots, and Mangini was Pats' DC, so we'll see how #18 plays here- only once in their last 13 meetings vs Jets have Colts won by more than eight points. Last Indy visit here was 41-0 playoff loss in '02. Jets have forced 53 incompletions (2nd) and eight turnovers (T4) this year, now step up in class vs Colt offense that has converted 63.4% on third down in '06. Indy giving up 161.7 rushing yards/game, as Jaguars showed way to stay close to Colts is to keep ball away from them, but Jets running ball for just 72 ypg so far.

Chargers (2-0) @ Ravens (3-0)- San Diego dominated two stiff teams before their bye, now step way up in class, as Rivers makes third start vs stout Baltimore defense that has 11 takeaways (1st) and has forced 22 3/outs on 38 drives (1st) so far in '06. McNair found way to win in Cleveland last week (23-41/254 passing), rallying from 14-3 halftime deficit. Baltimore has outscored its three opponents 34-3 in second half of games, and allowed total of just 103 yards on 58 rushes in three games; foes are just 11-38 on third down against them. Bolts have 435 rushing yards in two games, so something has to give.

Vikings (2-1) @ Bills (1-2)-Buffalo just played all three AFC East rivals, now they face Minnesota squad whose first three games were all decided by FG. Bills are 29th in NFL in 3rd down conversions (10-36), 28th in red zone defense (5.43 ypd); they've given up three TD drives of 80+ yards, in only eight such chances. Vikings have only one TD on 23 drives in last two games; their defense scored huge TD vs Bears last week. Vikes give up 87 rushing yards per game; Buffalo needs to run ball well, to take pressure off shaky Losman. Big edge at QB for Vikings, who've won four of five visits here, with only loss in '88.

Cowboys (1-1) @ Titans (0-3)-Whole Owens soap opera hovers over Dallas now, hard to tell what effect, if any, this latest episode will have on them. Tennessee is awful, but they hung in at Miami last week; so far this season, Titans have turned ball over eight times (last), thrown 61 IPs (last), scored once on 13 drives that started 80+ yds from end zone (28th), while already giving up three TD drives of 80+ yds. Cowboys were 3-0 in Houston against Oilers, but lost only visit to this site 31-0 back in 2000; with rival Eagles on deck, do they take this 0-3 opponent lightly?

49ers (1-2) @ Chiefs (0-2)-No Trent Green at QB for Chiefs, who scored one touchdown on 20 drives in first two games, with five turnovers, 8 3/outs. Niners have been outscored 58-20 in first half of their games, and RB Gore was banged up last week, but Norv Turner has made Smith look like different QB; SF has eight TDs on 35 drives. 49ers need improvement on 3rd down (11-28, 28%, 28th) and long drives (one FG on eight black zone drives). Chiefs have only one TD in four trips to red zone; will extra practice during by e week help Huard? Home team won last six series games; 49ers lost last visit here 44-9 in '97.

Saints (3-0) @ Panthers (1-2)-Tough spot for Saints, after emotional win Monday, now traveling to face wounded, desperate Carolina team that lost four of last five home games in this visitor-dominated series (visitor 7-1 in last eight). Panthers been outscored 34-12 in second half of games; does their paper-thin OL wear down late in games? Carolina is a dismal 7-38 on third down; their offense looked better with WR Smith back last week, but they still kicked four FGs with two TDs in Tampa, blowing 17-0 lead to QB playing with a ruptured spleen. Saints have balance on offense, move chains well (42.2% on 3rd down).

Cardinals (1-2) @ Falcons (2-1)- Arizona gives shaky starting nod to Warner, probably because Leinart (last first-round pick to sign) isn't ready to start on road vs defense that allowed only one TD on opponents' first 32 drives this season. Short week for Atlanta after dismal effort Monday; now they finally face non-division foe not as familiar with Vick's scrambles, so that could help. Falcon offense struggling (27th on third down, 31st in red zone, no second half points last two games) but defense has been stellar and could get premier pass rusher Abraham back for this.

Dolphins (1-2) @ Texans (0-3)-Houston already 4-point home dog for third time this season; natives must be restless after team took defensive player with first pick in draft, passing on Bush/Young, but has still allowed foes to convert 63% (27-43) on third down, and allowed five TD drives of 80+ yds in nine such chances (last). Texans have given up 12 TDs on 26 drives, forcing just two 3/outs; Brunell completed his first 22 passes against them last week. Miami has been awful thus far, with three TDs, twelve 3/.outs on 32 drives. In last two games, Miami has total of three points in first half.

Lions (0-3) @ Rams (2-1)-Mike Martz returns to St Louis to find Rams second in NFL in turnover margin (+7, 10 takeaways) a huge difference from when Martz was head man under the arch. Ram offense struggling to learn new scheme (two TDs on 30 drives) but Bulger passed for 300+ last week, so its coming. In their two wins, Rams scored two TDs and kicked nine field goals, as defense, special teams finally holding up their end. Lions are just 9-35 (25.7%, 30th) on third down; their defense has forced only 23 IPs in three games, so Holt, Bruce figure to run wild vs their old coach (Favre had 340 passing yds vs Detroit last week).

Patriots (2-1) @ Bengals (3-0)- Corey Dillon returns to Queen City to find Bengals 3-0 but vulnerable vs run, allowing Steelers 113.3 ypg in emotional win at Heinz last week. Cincinnati's three wins are all by 8+ pts, outscoring foes 48-13 in first half. Belichick's defense is struggling, ranked 28th on 3rd down (46.7%), but they do have 11 sacks; only three teams have forced less than the seven 3/outs they have. Patriots won four of last five series tilts, but this is first time they've visited Cincy since '98. Bengals tied for NFL lead in takeaways (11), TDs (10) and are +16 in IPs, three good stats to be strong in.

Jaguars (2-1) @ Redskins (1-2)-Brunell faces his old team on heels of 24-27 day where he completed his first 22 passes; Jaguars are tough in clutch, winning 59% of third down plays this year (2nd); they're also 2nd in NFL in black zone defense, allowing one TD on 17 opponent drives that started 80+ yards from goal line. Jags getting good field position every week (+9,+17,+8 in average starting field position). Redskins most penalized team so far (30 for 298 yds); they're 27th-ranked 3rd down defense (45%), and worst red zone D (five TDs, two FGs on seven drives). Health of Portis a key; Skins had 234 rushing yds last week, were 9-13 on 3rd down.

Browns (0-3) @ Raiders (0-2)- Nothing good at all to say about Oakland's 0-2 start; Brooks is out here, so young Walter (Arizona State) gets first NFL start, vs Cleveland defense that stuffed Raiders last year in late-season 9-7 win, just Cleveland win in six last visits to this site. Raiders had 25 drives in first two games, went 3-and-out 17 times, tried two FGs, had zero TDs. Browns have gone 3/out 16 times (29th) in 36 drives with 8 giveaways (last) but Browns have committed league-low penalties. Browns getting outgained by 124 yds/game, have rushed ball for just 60 ypg. Not much to choose from in this tilt.

Seahawks (3-0) @ Bears (3-0)- Star RB Alexander (foot) out for Seahawks in this outstanding matchup of two best teams in NFC. Seattle is 6-2 in series, winning three of four here. Not only do Bears have terrific defense (allowed one TD on 31 drives, with eight takeaways) their offense has perked up, scoring 26.3 ppg and getting key TD pass late last week when game was on line. Bears have gone 3/out only seven times in 31 drives, so they're moving chains, allowing defense to defend long field. Backup RB Morris gets rare chance to shine with Alexander out; Seahawks converted 16-29 (55%) on 3rd down in last two games.

Packers (1-2) @ Eagles (2-1)- Eagle fans might be sneak peak ahead at Dallas visit a week from now, but Andy Reid used to work in Green Bay, and Eagles narrowly escaped Favre in home playoff game few years back, so doubt Philly looks ahead, especially on Monday night. Philly won last four series games, by 3,3,30,5 points; Pack lost last seven visits to Philly, with their last win back in '62. In last two games, Favre has put 58 points on board, passing for 662 yds, while Pack ran for just 123. Eagles are ranked 3rd in NFL on 3rd down, 2nd in both red, black zones and are tied for NFL lead with 10 TDs.

**djmauiboy** · 10-01-2006, 02:35 AM

INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 0) at NY JETS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SAN DIEGO (2 - 0) at BALTIMORE (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS (1 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 3) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) at CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA (1 - 2) at ATLANTA (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (0 - 3) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DETROIT (0 - 3) at ST LOUIS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) at CINCINNATI (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at OAKLAND (0 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (3 - 0) at CHICAGO (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GREEN BAY (1 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 10/2/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 105-74 ATS (+23.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against NFC North division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**djmauiboy** · 10-01-2006, 02:36 AM

THIS WEEKENDS N F L TRENDS

Sunday, October 1st

Indianapolis at NY Jets, 1:00 EST
Indianapolis: 7-0 ATS as a road favorite
NY Jets: 6-19 ATS at home in the first month of the season

San Diego at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
San Diego: 11-1 ATS off a home win by 21+ points
Baltimore: 9-1 Under at home off an ATS loss

Minnesota at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Minnesota: 3-13 ATS away off a division loss
Buffalo: 11-5 ATS as a favorite

Dallas at Tennessee, 1:00 EST
Dallas: 3-14 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points
Tennessee: 14-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents

San Francisco at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
San Francisco: 2-8 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Kansas City: 8-1 ATS as a favorite

New Orleans at Carolina, 1:00 EST
New Orleans: N/A
Carolina: 7-0 Under at home vs. division opponents

Arizona at Atlanta, 1:00 EST
Arizona: 2-9 ATS as an underdog
Atlanta: N/A

Miami at Houston, 1:00 EST
Miami: 8-1 Under away off a home game
Houston: 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

Detroit at St. Louis, 4:05 EST
Detroit: 5-1 Under after allowing 400+ total yards
St. Louis: 14-4 ATS at home off BB division games

New England at Cincinnati, 4:15 EST
New England: 5-1 ATS off a loss by 10+ points
Cincinnati: 6-1 Over off BB division wins

Jacksonville at Washington, 4:15 EST
Jacksonville: 9-1 ATS after scoring 14 or less points
Washington: 6-21 ATS at home in the first month of the season

Cleveland at Oakland, 4:15 EST
Cleveland: 8-1 Under away with a line of +3 to -3
Oakland: 0-9 ATS as a home underdog

Seattle at Chicago, 8:15 EST NBC
Seattle: 16-36 ATS in October
Chicago: 14-3 Under off an ATS loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Monday, October 2nd

Green Bay at Philadelphia, 8:30 EST ESPN
Green Bay: 7-2 ATS after gaining 300+ passing yards
Philadelphia: 6-1 Under after scoring 30+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-01-2006, 08:47 AM

Sunday Trends and Indexes

Dunkel Index - NFL

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 1

Game 401-402: Indianapolis at NY Jets
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 136.609; NY Jets 123.662
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 13; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9); Under

Game 403-404: San Diego at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 134.033; Baltimore 132.299
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 38 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 33
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+2 1/2); Over

Game 405-406: Minnesota at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 127.038; Buffalo 127.413
Dunkel Line: Even; 37
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Over

Game 407-408: Dallas at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 130.508; Tennessee 117.964
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 12 1/2; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: Dallas by 9; 37
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-9); Over

Game 409-410: San Francisco at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 118.768; Kansas City 127.843
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 9; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 7; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-7); Over

Game 411-412: New Orleans at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 123.390; Carolina 128.275
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 5; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Carolina by 7; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+7); Under

Game 413-414: Arizona at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 122.315; Atlanta 131.884
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 7; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-7); Neutral

Game 415-416: Miami at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.326; Houston 117.263
Dunkel Line: Miami by 7; 41
Vegas Line: Miami by 3 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3 1/2); Over

Game 417-418: Detroit at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 121.487; St. Louis 124.669
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 3; 39 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 5 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5 1/2); Under

Game 419-420: New England at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: New England 130.090; Cincinnati 133.400
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 6; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New England (+6); Under

Game 421-422: Jacksonville at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 129.323; Washington 126.955
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 2 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 34
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3); Neutral

Game 423-424: Cleveland at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 120.359; Oakland 121.247
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 35
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+3); Over

Game 425-426: Seattle at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 130.132; Chicago 132.717
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 2 1/2; 31 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3 1/2; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+3 1/2); Under

MONDAY, OCTOBER 2

Game 427-428: Green Bay at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 120.994; Philadelphia 128.603
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 7 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 11; 48
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+11); Under

**Udog** · 10-01-2006, 08:48 AM

2006 Week 4 NFL
Colts (3-0) @ Jets (2-1)-Peyton Manning usually struggles vs Patriots, and Mangini was Pats' DC, so we'll see how #18 plays here- only once in their last 13 meetings vs Jets have Colts won by more than eight points. Last Indy visit here was 41-0 playoff loss in '02. Jets have forced 53 incompletions (2nd) and eight turnovers (T4) this year, now step up in class vs Colt offense that has converted 63.4% on third down in '06. Indy giving up 161.7 rushing yards/game, as Jaguars showed way to stay close to Colts is to keep ball away from them, but Jets running ball for just 72 ypg so far.

Chargers (2-0) @ Ravens (3-0)- San Diego dominated two stiff teams before their bye, now step way up in class, as Rivers makes third start vs stout Baltimore defense that has 11 takeaways (1st) and has forced 22 3/outs on 38 drives (1st) so far in '06. McNair found way to win in Cleveland last week (23-41/254 passing), rallying from 14-3 halftime deficit. Baltimore has outscored its three opponents 34-3 in second half of games, and allowed total of just 103 yards on 58 rushes in three games; foes are just 11-38 on third down against them. Bolts have 435 rushing yards in two games, so something has to give.

Vikings (2-1) @ Bills (1-2)-Buffalo just played all three AFC East rivals, now they face Minnesota squad whose first three games were all decided by FG. Bills are 29th in NFL in 3rd down conversions (10-36), 28th in red zone defense (5.43 ypd); they've given up three TD drives of 80+ yards, in only eight such chances. Vikings have only one TD on 23 drives in last two games; their defense scored huge TD vs Bears last week. Vikes give up 87 rushing yards per game; Buffalo needs to run ball well, to take pressure off shaky Losman. Big edge at QB for Vikings, who've won four of five visits here, with only loss in '88.

Cowboys (1-1) @ Titans (0-3)-Whole Owens soap opera hovers over Dallas now, hard to tell what effect, if any, this latest episode will have on them. Tennessee is awful, but they hung in at Miami last week; so far this season, Titans have turned ball over eight times (last), thrown 61 IPs (last), scored once on 13 drives that started 80+ yds from end zone (28th), while already giving up three TD drives of 80+ yds. Cowboys were 3-0 in Houston against Oilers, but lost only visit to this site 31-0 back in 2000; with rival Eagles on deck, do they take this 0-3 opponent lightly?

49ers (1-2) @ Chiefs (0-2)-No Trent Green at QB for Chiefs, who scored one touchdown on 20 drives in first two games, with five turnovers, 8 3/outs. Niners have been outscored 58-20 in first half of their games, and RB Gore was banged up last week, but Norv Turner has made Smith look like different QB; SF has eight TDs on 35 drives. 49ers need improvement on 3rd down (11-28, 28%, 28th) and long drives (one FG on eight black zone drives). Chiefs have only one TD in four trips to red zone; will extra practice during by e week help Huard? Home team won last six series games; 49ers lost last visit here 44-9 in '97.

Saints (3-0) @ Panthers (1-2)-Tough spot for Saints, after emotional win Monday, now traveling to face wounded, desperate Carolina team that lost four of last five home games in this visitor-dominated series (visitor 7-1 in last eight). Panthers been outscored 34-12 in second half of games; does their paper-thin OL wear down late in games? Carolina is a dismal 7-38 on third down; their offense looked better with WR Smith back last week, but they still kicked four FGs with two TDs in Tampa, blowing 17-0 lead to QB playing with a ruptured spleen. Saints have balance on offense, move chains well (42.2% on 3rd down).

Cardinals (1-2) @ Falcons (2-1)- Arizona gives shaky starting nod to Warner, probably because Leinart (last first-round pick to sign) isn't ready to start on road vs defense that allowed only one TD on opponents' first 32 drives this season. Short week for Atlanta after dismal effort Monday; now they finally face non-division foe not as familiar with Vick's scrambles, so that could help. Falcon offense struggling (27th on third down, 31st in red zone, no second half points last two games) but defense has been stellar and could get premier pass rusher Abraham back for this.

Dolphins (1-2) @ Texans (0-3)-Houston already 4-point home dog for third time this season; natives must be restless after team took defensive player with first pick in draft, passing on Bush/Young, but has still allowed foes to convert 63% (27-43) on third down, and allowed five TD drives of 80+ yds in nine such chances (last). Texans have given up 12 TDs on 26 drives, forcing just two 3/outs; Brunell completed his first 22 passes against them last week. Miami has been awful thus far, with three TDs, twelve 3/.outs on 32 drives. In last two games, Miami has total of three points in first half.

Lions (0-3) @ Rams (2-1)-Mike Martz returns to St Louis to find Rams second in NFL in turnover margin (+7, 10 takeaways) a huge difference from when Martz was head man under the arch. Ram offense struggling to learn new scheme (two TDs on 30 drives) but Bulger passed for 300+ last week, so its coming. In their two wins, Rams scored two TDs and kicked nine field goals, as defense, special teams finally holding up their end. Lions are just 9-35 (25.7%, 30th) on third down; their defense has forced only 23 IPs in three games, so Holt, Bruce figure to run wild vs their old coach (Favre had 340 passing yds vs Detroit last week).

Patriots (2-1) @ Bengals (3-0)- Corey Dillon returns to Queen City to find Bengals 3-0 but vulnerable vs run, allowing Steelers 113.3 ypg in emotional win at Heinz last week. Cincinnati's three wins are all by 8+ pts, outscoring foes 48-13 in first half. Belichick's defense is struggling, ranked 28th on 3rd down (46.7%), but they do have 11 sacks; only three teams have forced less than the seven 3/outs they have. Patriots won four of last five series tilts, but this is first time they've visited Cincy since '98. Bengals tied for NFL lead in takeaways (11), TDs (10) and are +16 in IPs, three good stats to be strong in.

Jaguars (2-1) @ Redskins (1-2)-Brunell faces his old team on heels of 24-27 day where he completed his first 22 passes; Jaguars are tough in clutch, winning 59% of third down plays this year (2nd); they're also 2nd in NFL in black zone defense, allowing one TD on 17 opponent drives that started 80+ yards from goal line. Jags getting good field position every week (+9,+17,+8 in average starting field position). Redskins most penalized team so far (30 for 298 yds); they're 27th-ranked 3rd down defense (45%), and worst red zone D (five TDs, two FGs on seven drives). Health of Portis a key; Skins had 234 rushing yds last week, were 9-13 on 3rd down.

Browns (0-3) @ Raiders (0-2)- Nothing good at all to say about Oakland's 0-2 start; Brooks is out here, so young Walter (Arizona State) gets first NFL start, vs Cleveland defense that stuffed Raiders last year in late-season 9-7 win, just Cleveland win in six last visits to this site. Raiders had 25 drives in first two games, went 3-and-out 17 times, tried two FGs, had zero TDs. Browns have gone 3/out 16 times (29th) in 36 drives with 8 giveaways (last) but Browns have committed league-low penalties. Browns getting outgained by 124 yds/game, have rushed ball for just 60 ypg. Not much to choose from in this tilt.

Seahawks (3-0) @ Bears (3-0)- Star RB Alexander (foot) out for Seahawks in this outstanding matchup of two best teams in NFC. Seattle is 6-2 in series, winning three of four here. Not only do Bears have terrific defense (allowed one TD on 31 drives, with eight takeaways) their offense has perked up, scoring 26.3 ppg and getting key TD pass late last week when game was on line. Bears have gone 3/out only seven times in 31 drives, so they're moving chains, allowing defense to defend long field. Backup RB Morris gets rare chance to shine with Alexander out; Seahawks converted 16-29 (55%) on 3rd down in last two games.

Packers (1-2) @ Eagles (2-1)- Eagle fans might be sneak peak ahead at Dallas visit a week from now, but Andy Reid used to work in Green Bay, and Eagles narrowly escaped Favre in home playoff game few years back, so doubt Philly looks ahead, especially on Monday night. Philly won last four series games, by 3,3,30,5 points; Pack lost last seven visits to Philly, with their last win back in '62. In last two games, Favre has put 58 points on board, passing for 662 yds, while Pack ran for just 123. Eagles are ranked 3rd in NFL on 3rd down, 2nd in both red, black zones and are tied for NFL lead with 10 TDs.

**Udog** · 10-01-2006, 08:48 AM

INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 0) at NY JETS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANAPOLIS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SAN DIEGO (2 - 0) at BALTIMORE (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MINNESOTA (2 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games off a loss against a division rival since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DALLAS (1 - 1) at TENNESSEE (0 - 3) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (0 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) at CAROLINA (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA (1 - 2) at ATLANTA (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI (1 - 2) at HOUSTON (0 - 3) - 10/1/2006, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DETROIT (0 - 3) at ST LOUIS (2 - 1) - 10/1/2006, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 57-81 ATS (-32.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

NEW ENGLAND (2 - 1) at CINCINNATI (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
CINCINNATI is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 1) at WASHINGTON (1 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CLEVELAND (0 - 3) at OAKLAND (0 - 2) - 10/1/2006, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

SEATTLE (3 - 0) at CHICAGO (3 - 0) - 10/1/2006, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

GREEN BAY (1 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) - 10/2/2006, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 105-74 ATS (+23.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against NFC North division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Udog** · 10-01-2006, 08:49 AM

Sunday, October 1st

Indianapolis at NY Jets, 1:00 EST
Indianapolis: 7-0 ATS as a road favorite
NY Jets: 6-19 ATS at home in the first month of the season

San Diego at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
San Diego: 11-1 ATS off a home win by 21+ points
Baltimore: 9-1 Under at home off an ATS loss

Minnesota at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
Minnesota: 3-13 ATS away off a division loss
Buffalo: 11-5 ATS as a favorite

Dallas at Tennessee, 1:00 EST
Dallas: 3-14 ATS as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points
Tennessee: 14-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents

San Francisco at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
San Francisco: 2-8 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games
Kansas City: 8-1 ATS as a favorite

New Orleans at Carolina, 1:00 EST
New Orleans: N/A
Carolina: 7-0 Under at home vs. division opponents

Arizona at Atlanta, 1:00 EST
Arizona: 2-9 ATS as an underdog
Atlanta: N/A

Miami at Houston, 1:00 EST
Miami: 8-1 Under away off a home game
Houston: 0-6 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 7 points

Detroit at St. Louis, 4:05 EST
Detroit: 5-1 Under after allowing 400+ total yards
St. Louis: 14-4 ATS at home off BB division games

New England at Cincinnati, 4:15 EST
New England: 5-1 ATS off a loss by 10+ points
Cincinnati: 6-1 Over off BB division wins

Jacksonville at Washington, 4:15 EST
Jacksonville: 9-1 ATS after scoring 14 or less points
Washington: 6-21 ATS at home in the first month of the season

Cleveland at Oakland, 4:15 EST
Cleveland: 8-1 Under away with a line of +3 to -3
Oakland: 0-9 ATS as a home underdog

Seattle at Chicago, 8:15 EST NBC
Seattle: 16-36 ATS in October
Chicago: 14-3 Under off an ATS loss

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Monday, October 2nd

Green Bay at Philadelphia, 8:30 EST ESPN
Green Bay: 7-2 ATS after gaining 300+ passing yards
Philadelphia: 6-1 Under after scoring 30+ points

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

**Udog** · 10-01-2006, 08:58 AM

NFL Week 4 - Line Moves

Dallas at Tennessee, +7 to +9 ½

Nothing unusual in Dallas this week. Nope, nothing out of the ordinary at all.

At least that’s what bettors might think if they only looked at the line, which held steady through the entire Terrell Owens saga.

Pinnacle.com originally pegged the Cowboys as 7-point favorites last Sunday, a number that jumped to -9 ½ overnight. From then on the line held steady, even through the non-stop Owens coverage on Wednesday and afterwards.

Now that Owens has assured us that he wants to continue living, he’s doing his best to assure head coach Bill Parcells that he’s ready to play.

”If he gives me the nod that I can play, then you best believe I will be ready no matter what,” Owens told The Dallas Morning News before referring to his injured hand. “They can slap the hand, do whatever they want to the hand, I will be ready.”

Whether Owens suits up on Sunday won’t sway the line much anyways.

”It doesn’t look like he’s going to play much,” says Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club consulting service. “His shock value doesn’t affect the line and I just don’t see a lot of value in him.”

San Diego at Baltimore, +3 to +1

Baltimore is gaining respect as the week rolls on, with the spread dropping below the crucial 3-point plateau on Saturday morning to as low as a single point with Skybook.com.

”I think (the early action) was a case of everyone remembering what was freshest in their memory,” Korner says, referring to the Ravens’ inability to cover last weekend in Cleveland.

Korner noted the drop below three points and approved of further movement in Baltimore’s favor. He notes San Diego’s lightweight opposition as a big factor in his opinion.

Former Pro Bowl defenders Terrell Suggs and Ed Reed will both be game time decisions for the Ravens.

Jacksonville at Washington, +2 ½

The spread returned to its opening level on Saturday, dropping to +2 1/2 after sitting at +3 since Tuesday.

The line move comes shortly after Washington quarterback Mark Brunell told reporters that he intends to play Sunday. He suffered a nasty cut in his throwing elbow last week, but has healed nicely and was able to avoid infection.

”He looked very good today, so I think we`re all set,” head coach Joe Gibbs told reporters after Friday’s practice.

Brunell completed 24 of his 27 passes last week against Houston, leading the Redskins to a 31-15 win in which they easily covered the 3 ½-point spread.

Korner doesn’t expect the line to move any further prior to kickoff on Sunday.

Seattle at Chicago, +1 to –3 ½

Seattle started out as a 1-point favorite with Pinnacle.com’s tentative opening line and was quickly established as a 1-point dog by the time Sunday evening was done.

Shaun Alexander’s foot injury led to Chicago being bumped up to a 3 ½-point fave from Wednesday onwards.

Maurice Morris will start at tailback for the Seahawks, who are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS this year.

**djmauiboy** · 10-01-2006, 10:17 AM

Week 4 - Sunday, Oct. 1, 2006

HARMON FORECAST

Miami Dolphins 27 at Houston Texans 17
The Texans have been dominated in every game this season. The Dolphins' offense will get back on track this week.

New Orleans Saints 18 at Carolina Panthers 21
The Saints dominated Michael Vick and the Falcons last week, but they could have a letdown against the Panthers.

Minnesota Vikings 17 at Buffalo Bills 20
Quarterback J.P. Losman doesn't believe he or his teammates took a step backward with the loss to the N.Y. Jets. Expect the Bills to regroup and limit their mistakes against the Vikings.

San Diego Chargers 18 at Baltimore Ravens 17
Jamal Lewis and LaDainian Tomlinson are averaging 4.0 yards per carry and their defenses are playing very well. The Chargers will squeak out a win in this tough defensive struggle.

Arizona Cardinals 15 at Atlanta Falcons 23
There is already a quarterback controversy in Arizona, which is not good for team chemistry. The Falcons will go back to the running game against the Cardinals, who are giving up 105 yards per game on the ground.

Indianapolis Colts 26 at NY Jets 20
Expect Peyton Manning to air it out against the N.Y. Jets, who are allowing 253 passing yards per game.

Dallas Cowboys 24 at Tennessee Titans 15
The Cowboys will turn to Julius Jones and the running game with Terrell Owens in the hospital. Jones has 37 carries for 167 yards and a touchdown.

San Francisco 49ers 17 at Kansas City Chiefs 24
The Chiefs have been too conservative since Trent Green has been sidelined with a concussion injury. The Chiefs will open up the playbook this week at home against the San Francisco 49ers, even with Green sidelined.

Detroit Lions 17 at St. Louis Rams 21
The Rams are winning with a defense that is taking the ball away from its opponents. The Rams offense should also play better against the Lions, who let Brett Favre Favre complete 25 of 36 passes for 340 yards and three touchdowns.

Jacksonville Jaguars 16 at Washington Redskins 19
Clinton Portis had 86 yards on 16 carries last week against the Texans, while Mark Brunell broke an NFL single-game record after completing his first 22 passes. The Jaguars' defense is tough, but the Redskins have the weapons on offense to win.

Cleveland Browns 21 at Oakland Raiders 16
QB Charlie Frye took a beating from the Ravens, but bounced back from some vicious hits and threw for 298 yards. Frye will have an easier time against the Raiders who are giving up over 27 points per game.

New England Patriots 17 at Cincinnati Bengals 27
Carson Palmer threw four touchdown passes against the Steelers last week. Tom Brady and the New England offense is sputtering, which will put a lot of pressure on their defense this week.

Seattle Seahawks 13 at Chicago Bears 19
The Seahawks will be without MVP running back Shaun Alexander for the next several weeks after he suffered a non-displaced fracture in his left foot. Seattle could be in trouble this week against the Bears who are allowing less than eight points per game.

Week 4 - Monday, Oct. 2, 2006

Green Bay Packers 16 at Philadelphia Eagles 26
26 The Packers' defense is going to have a tough time against Donovan McNabb and Brian Westbrook, especially with their porous secondary. The Packers are giving up 301 yards per

**Udog** · 10-01-2006, 10:31 AM

dj!

Sorry about all the duplicate crap, buddy! I looked through two pages for a Sunday start! Now I see that you started shortly after midnight my time. Well, at least it'll be damn hard to miss any of the info today! LOL!
Good luck today, dj!

**Udog** · 10-01-2006, 10:35 AM

No MLB info available yet.
It looks like everything will be on hold until two teams decide pitching.
In my opinion, there's only two games worth looking at, anyway.

**vinnyvegas** · 10-01-2006, 11:32 AM

National Football League Weather
Sunday, October 1st
Indianapolis Colts at New York Jets, 1:00 p.m.
Mostly cloudy with a 80-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the South at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.
San Diego Chargers at Baltimore Ravens, 1:00 p.m.
Mostly cloudy with a 60-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the West at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
Minnesota Vikings at Buffalo Bills, 1:00 p.m.
Mostly cloudy with a 40-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the West at 5-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.
Dallas Cowboys at Tennessee Titans, 1:00 p.m.
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the West at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 90.
San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs, 1:00 p.m.
Sunny. Winds blowing from the South at 10-20 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 90.
New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers, 1:00 p.m.
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the West at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
Miami Dolphins at Houston Texans, 1:00 p.m.
Mostly sunny. Winds blowing from the South at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 90.
New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals, 4:15 p.m.
Mostly sunny. Winds blowing from the West at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Washington Redskins, 4:15 p.m.
Mostly cloudy with a 60-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the West at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 70.
Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders, 4:15 p.m.
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the West at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 60.
Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears, 8:15 p.m.
Clear. Winds blowing from the Southwest at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 75.

Monday, October 2nd
Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles, 8:30 p.m.
Mostly cloudy with a 80-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing from the West at 5-10 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 65.

**vinnyvegas** · 10-01-2006, 11:32 AM

It was another stellar week of football in the National Football League. We had some upsets, some standout performances and of course a near tragedy in Dallas. We've had to adjust our top 12 teams to accommodate the changing landscape that is the NFL. New teams are assuming positions on this list that weren't even on the radar before Week 1. You might ask how we can put the Bears ahead of teams like the Colts and Bengals. The reason is defense. Everyone knows you win championships with defense and that's what this rankings system is all about.

#1 Bears
A very gutsy effort on the road by Chicago. Rex Grossman made a mistake with an interception in the the third quarter and then put up 10 points in the fourth frame to win it. That's the mark of a resilient, championship team.

#2 Colts
It wasn't vintage, but the Colts got the job done in their biggest game of the season versus a hungry Jaguars team. Indianapolis is fallible, but they seem to be playing better as the year wears on. That's a good sign.

#3 Bengals
This team is hungrier than they were last year and that's a scary thought. Cincinnati is looking to win the Super Bowl, an attitude not common in their state. Look for them to go 13-3 or 14-2, they're that good.

#4 Seattle
I don't think Alexander's absence is going to hurt as much as people think. Maurice Morris is good enough to be a starter on some teams and Alexander hasn't even rushed for 100 yards as of yet.

#5 Ravens
We're a little wary of their offensive struggles, but they too have a top defense and that alone is enough to make them contenders. Baltimore fans are still waiting for Jamal Lewis to break free in a game- we are too!

#6 Jaguars
A tough loss to Indy in Week 3, but they only have themselves to blame. Jacksonville was good enough to win that game and they should have won it. No matter, this gritty team will regroup and take it out on Washington in Week 4.

#7 Chargers
The bye week means status quo for this undefeated team. A very big test in Baltimore for Mr. Rivers this week. Can he handle the pressure they will throw at him? I am betting we'll see some trickery from San Diego here.

#8 Saints
Okay, we'll bite. Something tells me we'll regret putting New Orleans on this list so high, but that's what happens when you are still undefeated. Sean Payton has been perfect thus far as a head coach.

#9 Falcons
Despite laying a stinker in New Orleans, we know this team will contend all season long. But can Michael Vick be a top passer in this league? And, does he have to be for his team to be successful?

#10 Eagles
We knew they would bounce back with a great effort. The Eagles are going to get another win on Monday night this week, ensuring yet another climb on this list next week.

#11 Broncos
It's about time a team that's allowed only one touchdown this season cracks the rankings. If Jake Plummer can continue to take care of the ball, then this team will get back to their 2005 form and continue their climb.

#12 Patriots
Tom Brady may have something in Doug Gabriel, but the key for New England is establishing the run. Expect the ground game to keep them in the game versus Cincinnati this Sunday.

Honorable Mentions

Vikings (If we had 13 teams on this list then they'd be right there), Steelers (Hey, you know they'll rattle off a few wins in a row), Jets (Are they for real? Hard to tell), Panthers (The long road back to dominance begins), Cowboys (A bye week but a media circus with TO. Will it ever stop

**vinnyvegas** · 10-01-2006, 11:33 AM

NFL Trends - Week Four

Sunday, October 1st

Indianapolis at NY Jets
IND is 1-3-1 ATS L5 vs. NYJ... IND is 4-6 ATS L10 vs. AFC East... IND is 6-2 ATS L8 October games... IND is 11-5 ATS L16 road games... NYJ is 9-12 ATS L21 as underdogs... NYJ is 2-5 ATS L7 October games... NYJ is 4-6 ATS L10 at home in Oct... NYJ total is 12-2 to the OVER L14 off division game... NYJ total is 3-0 to the OVER this season... The total is 7-3 to the UNDER L10 meetings.

San Diego at Baltimore
SD is 4-5 ATS L9 games vs. AFC North... SD is 7-2-1 ATS L10 on the road games... SD is 7-3 ATS L10 on the road in October... SD is 9-1 ATS L10 October games... SD is 21-9 ATS L30 games on grass... SD total is 12-8 to the UNDER L20 as favorites. BAL is 6-9 ATS L15 games as underdog... BAL is 6-3 ATS L9 games vs. AFC West... BAL is 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS L9 at home in October... BAL is 6-4 ATS L10 at home... BAL is 12-3 to the UNDER L15 as underdogs... The total is 4-0 to the UNDER L4 meetings...

Minnesota at Buffalo
MIN is 4-1 ATS L5 games at BUF... MIN is 1-3 SU & 2-2 ATS L4 vs. AFC East... MIN is 4-6 ATS L10 games on the road... MIN is 3-6 ATS L9 on the road in October... MIN is 10-3 to the UNDER L13 off division game... BUF is is 3-1 SU & 2-1-1 ATS L4 vs. NFC North... BUF is 5-4-1 ATS L10 at home in October... BUF is 11-5 ATS L16 as favorites... BUF total is 12-4 to the OVER L16 as favorites. The total is 3-1 to the OVER L4 meetings.

Dallas at Tennessee
DAL is 1-3 ATS L4 games vs. TEN... DAL is 3-2 ATS L5 games vs. AFC South... DAL is 7-10 ATS L17 on the road... DAL is 2-6 ATS L8 vs. non-conference foes... DAL total is 6-3 to the OVER L9 non-conference games... TEN is 9-17 ATS L26 as underdogs... TEN is 3-7 ATS L10 October games... TEN is 11-20 ATS L31 on grass... TEN total is 11-6 to the OVER L17 home games... The total is 5-2 to the UNDER L7 meetings.

San Francisco at Kansas City
SF is 1-9 SU & 4-6 ATS L10 on the road... SF is 1-3 ATS L4 vs. AFC West... SF total is 9-7 to the OVER L16 road games... KC is 3-1 ATS L4 games vs. SF... KC is 8-2 SU & 6-3-1 ATS L10 home games... KC is 5-2 ATS L7 games vs. NFC West... KC is 5-3 ATS L8 October games... KC total 11-9 to the UNDER L20 as favorites... The total is 3-1 to the UNDER L4 meetings.

New Orlans at Carolina
NO is 4-0 ATS L4 games at CAR... NO is 3-6 ATS L9 October games... NO is 11-8 ATS L19 road games... NO is 0-2 ATS L2 games 1st game after MNF... NO total is 8-4 to the UNDER L12 vs. division opponents. CAR is 2-6 ATS L8 at home in October... CAR is 4-6 ATS L10 at home... Host in series (CAR) is 1-10 ATS L11... CAR total is 11-5 to the UNDER L16 home games... The total is 7-4 to the UNDER L11 meetings in CAR.

Arizona at Atlanta
ARI is 8-3-1 L12 at ATL... ARI is 2-8 SU & 4-6 ATS L10 on the road ... ARI is 6-3 ATS L9 vs. NFC South... ARI is 0-5 ATS L5 on the road in October... ARI total is 8-2 to the OVER L10 after 2 straight losses... ATL is 6-4 SU & 5-4-1 ATS L10 at home... ATL is 4-8 ATS L12 vs. NFC West... ATL is 4-1 ATS L5 before bye week... ATL is 2-4 ATS L6 in 1st game after MNF... ATL is 13-8 L21 to the UNDER as favorites... The total is 4-1 to the UNDER L5 meetings in ATL.

Miami at Houston
MIA is 1-4 ATS L5 on the road in October... MIA is 2-8 ATS L10 as favorites... MIA is 9-18 L27 vs. conference foes... MIA total is 3-0 to the UNDER L3 vs. AFC South opponents. HOU is 2-5 SU & 3-3-1 ATS L7 vs. AFC East... HOU is 8-4 ATS off BB SU losses... HOU is 0-6 ATS L6 as home dog of 3 1/2 - 7 pts... HOU is 6-11 ATS L17 home games... HOU total is 11-7 to the OVER L18 home games.

Detroit at St. Louis
DET is 5-1 ATS L6 vs. STL... DET is 4-7 SU & 6-4-1 ATS L11 vs. NFC West... DET is 11-2 ATS off BB SU/ATS losses... DET is 3-0 ATS L3 vs. NFC West... DET total is 10-7 to the UNDER L17 road games... STL is 5-13 ATS L18 home games... STL is 0-3 ATS L3 at home vs. DET... STL is 5-3 SU & 3-5 ATS vs. NFC North... STL total is 6-1 to the OVER off win vs. division rival.

New England at Cincinnati
NE is 7-3 SU & ATS L10 on the road... NE is 6-3 ATS L9 vs. AFC North... NE is 9-6 ATS L15 off division game... NE is 1-5-1 ATS L7 years in game four... NE total is 5-1 to the OVER L6 vs. NFC North... CIN is 7-0-1 ATS L8 game vs. NE... CIN is 5-0 ATS L5 at home vs. NE... CIN is 4-2 ATS L6 years before bye week... CIN is 7-12 ATS L19 on turf... CIN total is 4-1 to the OVER l5 vs. AFC East... The total is 2-1 to the OVER L3 meetings in CIN.

Jacksonville at Washington
JAC is 3-2 ATS L5 vs. NFC East... JAC is 11-7 ATS L18 road games... JAC is 6-3 ATS L9 non-conference games... JAC is 8-4 to the UNDER L12 off division games... WAS is 3-1 ATS L4 vs. AFC South... WAS is 7-3 SU & 6-4 ATS L10 at home... WAS is 3-6 ATS L9 non-conference games... WAS total is 12-4 to the UNDER L16 as underdogs...

Cleveland at Oakland
CLE is 3-5 SU & 4-3-1 ATS L8 games vs. AFC West... CLE is 6-11 ATS L17 road games... CLE is 4-2 ATS L6 as favorites... CLE total is 5-1 to the UNDER L6 as favorites... OAK is 0-8 ATS L8... OAK is 3-5 ATS L8 vs. AFC North... OAK is 4-12 ATS L16 home games... OAK is 6-19 ATS L25 vs. conference opponents... OAK total is 15-5 to the UNDER vs. AFC North.

Seattle at Chicago
SEA is 0-3 L3 vs. CHI... SEA is 5-3 SU & 3-4-1 ATS L8 vs. NFC North... SEA is 2-6 ATS L8 October games... SEA is 2-5 ATS L7 as underdogs... SEA is 7-1 to the OVER L8 October games... CHI is 5-2 ATS L7 at home in Oct... CHI is 6-3 ATS L9 vs. NFC North... CHI is 5-8 ATS L13 off a division game... CHI is 1-5 ATS L6 after playing MIN... CHI is 1-4-1 ATS L6 in games in week 4. CHI total is 7-1 to the UNDER L8 October games.

Monday, October 2nd

Green Bay at Philadelphia
GB is 1-6 L7 vs. PHI... GB is 5-4 ATS L9 vs. NFC East... GB is 15-12 ATS on MNF... GB is 6-3 ATS L9 October games... GB total is 6-3 to the OVER L9 October games... PHI is 2-4 ATS L6 on MNF... PHI is 5-1 ATS L6 at home vs. GB... PHI is 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS L8 vs. NFC North... PHI is 7-0 ATS L7 at home in October... PHI total is 5-1 to the UNDER L6 vs. NFC North... The total is 7-4 to the UNDER L11 meetings.

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Sunday Trends And Indexes

Sunday Trends And Indexes

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