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  • Sunday Trends and Indexes

    Pro Football Trend Report

    NY JETS (1 - 1) at BUFFALO (1 - 1) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY JETS are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all games where the total is 35 or less since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 3-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 2-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    CINCINNATI (2 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 1) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 41-64 ATS (-29.4 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    JACKSONVILLE (2 - 0) at INDIANAPOLIS (2 - 0) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    JACKSONVILLE is 2-1 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    TENNESSEE (0 - 2) at MIAMI (0 - 2) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 1-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    WASHINGTON (0 - 2) at HOUSTON (0 - 2) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




    CHICAGO (2 - 0) at MINNESOTA (2 - 0) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    CAROLINA (0 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 2) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    GREEN BAY (0 - 2) at DETROIT (0 - 2) - 9/24/2006, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GREEN BAY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    GREEN BAY is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    BALTIMORE (2 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 2) - 9/24/2006, 4:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 2-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    ST LOUIS (1 - 1) at ARIZONA (1 - 1) - 9/24/2006, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 56-81 ATS (-33.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
    ST LOUIS is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
    ARIZONA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 3-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    ARIZONA is 2-2 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    NY GIANTS (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (2 - 0) - 9/24/2006, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
    SEATTLE is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY GIANTS is 1-0 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
    SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 1) - 9/24/2006, 4:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 104-74 ATS (+22.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    DENVER (1 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (2 - 0) - 9/24/2006, 8:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 2-0 straight up against NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




    ATLANTA (2 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 0) - 9/25/2006, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  • #2
    Sunday, September 24th

    NY Jets at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
    NY Jets: 18-6 ATS off a home division loss
    Buffalo: 6-17 ATS off a division win by 10+ points

    Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 1:00 EST
    Cincinnati: 9-1 ATS away off a straight up win
    Pittsburgh: 8-0 Over as a home favorite

    Jacksonville at Indianapolis, 1:00 EST
    Jacksonville: 12-4 Under in dome stadiums
    Indianapolis: 14-5 ATS off BB ATS wins as favorites

    Tennessee at Miami, 1:00 EST
    Tennessee: 12-2 Over off BB losses
    Miami: 1-7 ATS as a home favorite

    Washington at Houston, 1:00 EST
    Washington: 6-0 Under off BB ATS losses
    Houston: 1-6 ATS in September

    Chicago at Minnesota, 1:00 EST
    Chicago: 8-1 Under away off a home game
    Minnesota: 18-6 ATS as a home underdog

    Carolina at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
    Carolina: 6-0 ATS away vs. division opponents
    Tampa Bay: 13-4 Under off a road game

    Green Bay at Detroit, 1:00 EST
    Green Bay: 0-6 ATS vs. division opponents
    Detroit: 6-1 ATS off a loss by 14+ points

    Baltimore at Cleveland, 4:05 EST
    Baltimore: 10-2 Under away vs. conference opponents
    Cleveland: 13-5 Under in home games

    St. Louis at Arizona, 4:15 EST
    St. Louis: 2-8 ATS as a road underdog of 7 or less points
    Arizona: 7-1 Over off BB ATS losses

    NY Giants at Seattle, 4:15 EST
    NY Giants: 18-7 ATS after gaining 400+ total yards
    Seattle: 2-11 ATS off a division game

    Philadelphia at San Francisco, 4:15 EST
    Philadelphia: 11-3 Under off an Over
    San Francisco: 22-10 ATS after allowing 400+ total yards

    Denver at New England, 8:15 EST NBC
    Denver: 8-0 Under off a division win
    New England: 11-2 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change


    Monday, September 25th

    Atlanta at New Orleans, 8:30 EST ESPN
    Atlanta: 11-3 ATS at New Orleans
    New Orleans: 16-34 ATS at home vs. division opponents

    ** (TC) Denotes Time Change


    NFL Week 3 Bye Week:
    Dallas Cowboys, Kansas City Chiefs, Oakland Raiders, San Diego Chargers

    Comment


    • #3
      Dunkel Index - NFL

      SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 24

      Game 199-200: NY Jets at Buffalo
      Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 122.361; Buffalo 127.787
      Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 37 1/2
      Vegas Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 34
      Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

      Game 201-202: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
      Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 132.670; Pittsburgh 133.935
      Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 42 1/2
      Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 41
      Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

      Game 203-204: Jacksonville at Indianapolis
      Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 131.666; Indianapolis 136.532
      Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 5; 41 1/2
      Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7; 44
      Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+7); Under

      Game 205-206: Tennessee at Miami
      Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 117.124; Miami 126.035
      Dunkel Line: Miami by 9; 41 1/2
      Vegas Line: Miami by 11; 35 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+11); Over

      Game 207-208: Washington at Houston
      Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.453; Houston 119.442
      Dunkel Line: Washington by 5; 41 1/2
      Vegas Line: Washington by 4; 37 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4); Over

      Game 209-210: Chicago at Minnesota
      Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 130.494; Minnesota 126.901
      Dunkel Line: Chicago by 3 1/2; 34
      Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 35
      Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-3); Under

      Game 211-212: Carolina at Tampa Bay
      Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 127.714; Tampa Bay 123.833
      Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4; 33
      Vegas Line: Carolina by 3; 35
      Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-3); Under

      Game 213-214: Green Bay at Detroit
      Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 120.077; Detroit 124.138
      Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 37
      Vegas Line: Detroit by 7; 39
      Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (+7); Under

      Game 215-216: Baltimore at Cleveland
      Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 130.840; Cleveland 121.028
      Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 10; 34
      Vegas Line: Baltimore by 6 1/2; 33
      Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-6 1/2); Over

      Game 217-218: St. Louis at Arizona
      Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 120.850; Arizona 122.738
      Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 45
      Vegas Line: Arizona by 4 1/2; 44 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+4 1/2); Over

      Game 219-220: NY Giants at Seattle
      Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 129.602; Seattle 131.308
      Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 41 1/2
      Vegas Line: Seattle by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3 1/2); Under

      Game 221-222: Philadelphia at San Francisco
      Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 128.378; San Francisco 119.740
      Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 8 1/2; 44
      Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 6; 43
      Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-6); Over

      Game 223-224: Denver at New England
      Dunkel Ratings: Denver 129.610; New England 130.865
      Dunkel Line: New England by 1; 40
      Vegas Line: New England by 7; 39
      Dunkel Pick: Denver (+7); Over

      MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 25

      Game 225-226: Atlanta at New Orleans
      Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 133.006; New Orleans 123.390
      Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 9 1/2; 39 1/2
      Vegas Line: Atlanta by 3; 43 1/2
      Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3); Under

      Comment


      • #4
        NFL Line Watch - Week 3

        Jacksonville at Indianapolis: -9 ½ to -7

        Pinnaclesports.com pegged the Indianapolis Colts as 9 ½-point favorites last Sunday, a number that stuck until the Jacksonville Jaguars used the Monday Night Football stage to showcase their second upset of a preseason sweetheart in as many games.

        Shutting out the defending champion Steelers was especially impressive and Pinnacle quickly downgraded Peyton & Co. to 7-point faves. That hasn’t budged since the wee hours of Tuesday morning.

        Bettors shouldn’t count on the line dropping below the touchdown line. ***********’s Andrew Folkes wrote of the Colts’ rare status as an “underrated public team” and the books have even more reason to hold the line at seven.

        “It has a lot to do with the conditions,” says Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club consulting service. “Jacksonville is playing on the road and on turf. Add in the short week for Jacksonville as another factor against them.”

        Cincinnati at Pittsburgh: -3 to -1

        The logical inverse of the Jacksonville line is happening with the Pittsburgh Steelers. The defending champs were established as three-point favorites over the Cincinnati Bengals, but their poor Monday night showing has sapped bettors’ confidence.

        The line has shrunk in half-point increments through the week, with some books now listing the Bengals as merely one-point dogs as they venture into the Steel City. Cincy starting the season 2-0 and covered both spreads, including the opening week trip to Kansas City as slight underdogs.

        5Dimes dropped the Steelers to 1 ½-point faves and bettors can expect another drop as public money pounds the Bengals.

        “Yeah, I can see it going further,” says one of the sportsbook’s linesmakers. “It’s been dropping all week. It won’t go down much more, though, likely just down to –1.”

        Baltimore at Cleveland: -4 ½ to -7

        The Baltimore Ravens opened as tentative 4 ½-point faves for their trek to Ohio, though it wasn’t long before books made the Cleveland Browns 6 ½-point home dawgs.

        Many books are still offering this number while Bodog, 5dimes and Sports Interaction bumped the spread to seven on Tuesday, where it has remained. Bet365 followed suit on Saturday afternoon.

        Korner is surprised that the line hasn’t pushed even further.

        “We opened that game at 7 ½ and you see many books reluctant to come up that far,” he says. “I’m really not too sure why that is the case. Baltimore has looked really good and with [quarterback Steve] McNair they have someone who can do it for them on offense.”

        Korner only half-jokingly suggests that the Ravens’ defense is good enough to cover the spread by itself against a struggling Cleveland offense. Baltimore has won each of its games by a margin of at least three touchdowns, including first road venture in Tampa Bay as 3-point dogs.

        Atlanta at New Orleans: +3 to +4 1/2

        There’s some variation in the line for the Monday night game, where the Atlanta Falcons started off as 3-point visiting favorites. That spread has widened, but by how much depends on your book of choice.

        The New Orleans Saints are currently dogged by either 3 ½, 4 or 4 ½ points. 5Dimes has had the Saints at +4 since Wednesday and bettors shouldn’t expect that to change any time soon, despite heavy action on the Falcons.

        “It’ll likely stay at four points,” says the linesmaker at 5Dimes, who admits that even if bets continue to pour in on Atlanta the line will top out at 4 ½.

        Both teams enter 2-0 straight-up and have covered each of their games, but Atlanta’s margin of victory has been wider and achieved against decidedly more difficult opposition.

        Comment


        • #5
          Six-Pack for Sunday

          NFL trends for Week 3

          -- Dolphins covered five of last 17 when giving 9+ points.

          -- Jets covered three of last fifteen as a road underdog.

          -- Redskins lost their last ten games against the AFC.

          -- Eagles covered only three of their last eleven road games.

          -- Carolina is 8-1-1 vs spread in NFC South road games.

          -- Jacksonville covered 17 of their last 22 tries as underdog.

          Comment


          • #6
            2006 Week 3 NFL

            Jets (1-1) @ Bills (1-1)- Impressive start by Bills, holding Pats, Miami to 25 points in splitting pair of road games. Play of Losman still concern, as Bills just 7-24 on third down- will be harder to Magahee to find running room if Bills don't have passing threat. Jets have thrown ball for 588 yards, run it for 142 in 1-1 start; they need better balance, but showed spunk scaring Patriots after trailing 24-0 last week. Home side won last seven series games, with Jets losing last three games in Buffalo by 11,5,10 points.

            Packers (0-2) @ Lions (0-2)- Both teams off to disappointing starts, with Pack losing twice at home, while Lions have just one TD in two games. Detroit has started 12 of 21 drives 80+ yards from end zone, so up to defense/special teams to create better chances for offense still learning Martz system. Pack allowed 60 points in pair of home losses, giving up 9.0/7.4 yds per pass attempt. Home team won six of last seven series games, with five of last six series totals 37 or less. Lions are 31-24 vs spread after loss last 5+ years, Pack 13-10 last 3+ yrs.

            Redskins (0-2) @ Texans (0-2)- Washington's new offense has scored one TD on 21 drives this year, putting up total of just 511 yards; they've been outscored 20-3 in second half. Skins had 11 penalties for 117 yards in Dallas, so second straight trip to Texas becomes huge game for Washington. Houston still struggling on defense, allowing 127.5 rushing yds/game; foes are 18-30 (60%) on third down so far, awful numbers, and Texans have been outgained 956-540, albeit vs strong teams (Eagles, Colts). Skins won only series meeting 26-10 three years ago in DC.

            Jaguars (2-0) @ Colts (2-0)- Jags on road after Monday night's physical, emotional home win; they've lost eight of ten vs Colts, but only one of last six series losses was by more than six points. Jax lost four of last five visits to this site, with losses by 29,7,10,7 pts. Indy not as balanced with James gone; they've run ball for only 180 yards, passed for 662 but they'll get stiffer challenge from Jax defense that has five INTs in two games. Colts have converted 20-28 on third down (71.4%) in two games, and are also winning field position battle, with 13,7-yd edges in average starting field position. Jags have also had edge in field position (+9,+17).

            Titans (0-2) @ Dolphins (0-2)- Tennessee in desperate straits with Collins at QB and raw rookie Young behind him; with Volek gone, there is no #3 guy yet. Miami ran ball for 192 yards in 24-10 home win vs Titans in Week 16 last year, as Fish forced Titans to go 3/out on seven of 15 drives, but Dolphins not running it well so far in '06, gaining 130 yards on 38 carries (3.4 ypc). Miami only has two TDs on 22 drives this season, hard to lay double digits, even vs Titans squad that covered eight of last 23 after a loss. Titans completing 41.3% of passes, converting 28% on 3rd down.

            Bears (2-0) @ Vikings (2-0)- Home side won last eight series games, with Bears losing last five games at this site, by 18,11,5,34 pts. Chicago stepping up in class some here, as they complete opening three-game swing vs division foes, but Bear defense allowed only two of 20 third down conversions (10%) in first two games, as they outscored first two opponents 40-0 in first half. Vikings have pair of FG wins, as defense has held enemy to 7-27 on third down (26%) and two TDs on 22 drives. Bears 11-6 vs spread after a win under Smith.

            Bengals (2-0) @ Steelers (1-1)- Carson Palmer tossed long TD pass on first series of playoff game vs Pitt last winter, but blew his knee out on play and Bengals lost. Cincy won two of last three visits to Heinz Field, their only wins in last nine series games; last four totals at this site were all 44+. Steelers on short week after Monday night loss at Jaguars. Bengals had to have this game circled on calendar after home playoff loss; they already have three TD drives of 80+ yards, as Palmer has made amazingly fast recovery from his injury. Steelers 10-5 vs spread after loss last three years.

            Panthers (0-2) @ Buccaneers (0-2)- With other NFC South teams at 2-0 and facing each other Monday, loser here is three games behind in race they were supposed to contend, so this is very big September game. Bucs have three points in two games (0 TDs on 22 drives), running ball for 66 yards on 29 carries thus far. Panther run defense has allowed 392 rushing yards in two games (4.9 ypc), but held foes to 6-28 on third down. Carolina won five of last six series games, winning last three visits to this site by 3,17,20 pts. Panthers are 9-5 vs spread after loss last 2+ years, Bucs are 19-13-1 last 6+ years.

            Ravens (2-0) @ Browns (0-2)- Baltimore defense yet to allow TD, but facing third anemic offense in row; they've allowed 65 yards on 39 rushes in two games (1.7 ypc). Browns been outscored 26-3 in first half of games; they've allowed 155 rushing yards/game in losing two games they had field position edge in. Cleveland 7-4 vs spread after loss under Crennel, Ravens 13-10 after win last 3+ years. Home team won last four series games, with four of last five series totals 36 or less. Ravens, who used to be the Browns, are 4-3 in their returns to Lake Erie.

            Rams (1-1) @ Cardinals (1-1)- St Louis offense struggling in transition to new scheme; in two games, they've scored one TD on 20 drives, are -84 in penalty yardage and just 10-32 on third down. If defense allowed 49ers 10.6 yards per pass attempt, what will Arizona receivers get? Cards are 13-28 on third down (46%) but have run ball for just three yards a carry, so Warner is making plays with his arm. Rams are 6-2 in series since it became division rivalry, winning first meeting all four years; they've won three of last four visits to desert, but Cardinals have home field edge for first time this year, with their new dome.

            Eagles (1-1) @ 49ers (1-1)- How will Eagles react after 4th quarter collapse last week cost them home division game? Philly crushed Niners 42-3 in Week 2 last year (with 49ers coming off win vs Rams, just like now), with 583-142 edge in total yardage; McNabb was 33-39/443 passing, as Eagles scored six TDs on ten drives. Norv Turner has improved Niner offense; they've run ball for 117 yds/game, and averaged 7.0/10.6 yds per pass, but blitzing Eagle defense will supply Smith's toughest test so far in '06. 49ers winning field position battle so far, as eight of 21 opponent drives started 80+ yds from paydirt.

            Giants (1-1) @ Seahawks (2-0)- Home team won last seven series games, with Seattle winning here 24-21 in Week 12 OT tilt last year, Giants' third straight loss here (by 5,2,3 pts); their last win in Seattle was 25 years ago. Giants gained 490 yards in last year's game, but had kicking issues, missing three of five FG tries. Not sure why Eli plays so much better in 4th quarter than rest of game, but he does; Giants averaging 418.5 yds/game, are 10-23 (43.5%) on third down and have 272 rushing yards in two games. Seattle banged up on OL, but defense allowed only one TD on 22 drives, with enemy getting inside their red zone only one time in two games.

            Broncos (1-1) @ Patriots (2-0)- Shaky Plummer (one TD in two games) takes act on road to face revenge-minded Pats. Denver beat Patriots twice at Invesco last year, including playoff win that turned on shaky interference call vs NE. Broncos won four of last five visits to Foxboro; their only loss in last five series games was 30-26 at this site three years ago. Denver ran ball for 178 yards in regular season win last year, with two TD drives of 80+ yards. Patriots 24-12 vs spread after win last 3+ years; they've run ball for 330 yards in two games this year, converting 13-27 (48%) on third down.

            Falcons (2-0) @ Saints (2-0)-Superdome re-opens with Saints facing archrival Falcons who lost last two visits here; three of last five series games were decided by FG. Saints have never opened season with two road wins before, so Brees/Bush era off to flying start, scoring 26.5 ppg, converting 15-33 on third down (45.5%). Atlanta 2-0 after wins at Carolina, vs Bucs; they've run ball for third-highest total ever after three games (558 yds) so Saint run defense that held first two foes to 74 ypg will be reated again. Five of last six series totals were 43+. Vick's cousin Aaron Brooks was dumped by Saints last winter.

            Comment


            • #7
              Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up college football Saturday

              13) Michigan State's John L. Smith is an awful game manager; last year, he butchered the Ohio State game when they had a FG blocked and run back for TD right before halftime, when they didn't have enough guys on the field. Saturday night, he topped that disaster.

              12) Down 37-21 entering the fourth quarter, Notre Dame didn't onside kick with 3:00 left, trailing 37-33,; Spartan return man, for some reason took knee on his own 12-yard line, when he had chance to advance ball few more yards. Then, on the 3rd down play with 2:00 left, State threw a pass, and had it picked for a TD and the very improbable loss. Horrendous loss.

              11) Brady Quinn for Heisman campaign is in dumper, though.

              10) Ole Miss has to be real glad they fired David Cutcliffe, he of six winning seasons out of seven. Since firing Cutcliffe, the Rebels are 4-11, and sinking quickly. They lost at home to a Wake Forest team using a freshman backup QB. Deacons are one of nation's best-coached teams, getting most out of little, while Ole Miss is spinning its wheels, getting nowhere.

              9) NC State pulled rabbit out of its hat when new QB Evans threw TD pass with :08 left to stun Boston College 17-15, but why did they kick the PAT? Up 16-15, if kick is blocked and run back for two points, they lose game, when they could just take a knee and eliminate that risk from the equation.

              8) Stanford is horrible; now 0-4, Cardinal allowed 157 points in four games. Not good to be 0-4 with a senior QB. Actually, its never good to be 0-4.

              7) Florida International is also 0-4, but the losses are by total of eleven points. FIU could be a threat in the Sun Belt.

              6) Who will the new coach at North Carolina be? When you get beat 52-7, its time to start packing the bags and updating your resume, especially when they beat I-AA Furman 45-42 last week, for their only win this season.

              5) Penn State gave up two TDs on INTs in last 3:00, as a 14-6 deficit became a 28-6 loss. Not good if you took the 17 points.

              4) Colorado had Georgia by throat and other body parts, up 13-0 after three quarters, then stopping Dawgs on downs on two occasions in fourth quarter, but 3rd-string QB Cox led a last-minute drive to save major panic in Bulldog Nation, 14-13 Buffaloes can build on the effort, but they're also 0-4. Georgia has real reason for concern as schedule gets tougher.

              3) Boston College and Alabama both lost because they don't have a good kicker; how can teams at that level not have kid who is reliable from 45 yards in?

              2) Kentucky is better than they have been; looking at who is on their schedule rest of the way, they could make it to the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, if they win winnable tilts.

              1) Every week I write this article, USC has won; they have lot of new players, but they just keep winning. No one says lot about Pete Carroll being a great coach-- how can that be?

              Comment


              • #8
                Thanks For Posting Up Udog

                I'm Off To A Late Start Today.

                Good Luck Today

                Comment


                • #9
                  NP, dj! Good luck to you, too! That team total last night saved my mortal butt!!! LOL!!!!!! Sometimes I guess right!

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Pro Baseball Trend Report

                    WASHINGTON (67 - 87) at NY METS (93 - 61) - 1:10 PM
                    TONY ARMAS JR (R) vs. STEVE TRACHSEL (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    WASHINGTON is 38-64 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 9-26 (-13.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
                    WASHINGTON is 44-68 (-15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    WASHINGTON is 1-11 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more this season.
                    NY METS are 93-61 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    NY METS are 46-25 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
                    NY METS are 41-25 (+10.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
                    NY METS are 36-18 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
                    NY METS are 91-60 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    NY METS are 69-40 (+19.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    TRACHSEL is 20-9 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                    TRACHSEL is 19-9 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
                    TRACHSEL is 18-5 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    WASHINGTON is 148-167 (+0.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 147-162 (+4.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    TRACHSEL is 14-36 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997. (Team's Record)


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NY METS is 9-4 (+3.5 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
                    8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.6 Units)



                    TONY ARMAS JR vs. NY METS since 1997
                    ARMAS JR is 5-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.280.
                    His team's record is 6-6 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-10. (-8.6 units)



                    STEVE TRACHSEL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
                    TRACHSEL is 8-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.267.
                    His team's record is 14-7 (+7.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-13. (-6.2 units)




                    CHICAGO CUBS (63 - 92) at CINCINNATI (75 - 79) - 1:15 PM
                    JUAN MATEO (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 64-92 (-21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 213-263 (-78.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 112-165 (-52.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 32-48 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 64-89 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 161-176 (-41.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 29-43 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 35-45 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 44-39 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO CUBS are 39-32 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
                    CINCINNATI is 51-75 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
                    CINCINNATI is 24-39 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
                    CINCINNATI is 25-31 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
                    CINCINNATI is 192-188 (-52.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
                    CINCINNATI is 47-47 (-27.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CHICAGO CUBS is 10-7 (+2.1 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
                    9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)



                    JUAN MATEO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
                    MATEO is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
                    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



                    AARON HARANG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
                    HARANG is 4-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.64 and a WHIP of 1.338.
                    His team's record is 5-3 (+5.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)




                    FLORIDA (76 - 79) at PHILADELPHIA (81 - 73) - 1:35 PM
                    SCOTT OLSEN (L) vs. JAMIE MOYER (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    FLORIDA is 66-78 (-17.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 50-27 (+18.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 62-42 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MOYER is 25-9 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    MOYER is 25-9 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    MOYER is 58-20 (+23.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    FLORIDA is 76-77 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    FLORIDA is 375-417 (+27.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
                    FLORIDA is 206-214 (+38.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
                    FLORIDA is 76-80 (+5.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 96-95 (-38.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 40-39 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 40-39 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    PHILADELPHIA is 10-5 (+3.4 Units) against FLORIDA this season
                    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)



                    SCOTT OLSEN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
                    OLSEN is 1-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.683.
                    His team's record is 1-3 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)



                    JAMIE MOYER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
                    MOYER is 1-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.625.
                    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)




                    ST LOUIS (80 - 73) at HOUSTON (76 - 78) - 8:05 PM
                    JEFF WEAVER (R) vs. ROGER CLEMENS (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ST LOUIS is 36-37 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 46-41 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 25-30 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 80-73 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 34-46 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 37-39 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 80-73 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 43-55 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 100-54 (+28.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                    HOUSTON is 37-39 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                    HOUSTON is 32-42 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    HOUSTON is 77-78 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    HOUSTON is 31-31 (-8.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
                    HOUSTON is 77-78 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    HOUSTON is 55-55 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
                    HOUSTON is 56-63 (-16.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    CLEMENS is 24-28 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    CLEMENS is 24-28 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    CLEMENS is 16-21 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    HOUSTON is 8-7 (+1.4 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
                    7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)



                    JEFF WEAVER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
                    WEAVER is 2-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.371.
                    His team's record is 3-3 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)



                    ROGER CLEMENS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
                    CLEMENS is 6-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.129.
                    His team's record is 7-6 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-9. (-5.7 units)




                    SAN FRANCISCO (75 - 79) at MILWAUKEE (72 - 83) - 2:05 PM
                    MATT CAIN (R) vs. BEN SHEETS (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 75-79 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 33-46 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 8-15 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 75-79 (-8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 26-42 (-23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 15-23 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 18-8 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 93-68 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 47-29 (+13.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN FRANCISCO is 316-285 (+49.1 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
                    MILWAUKEE is 26-50 (-25.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
                    MILWAUKEE is 72-80 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 53-65 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 29-48 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 19-32 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
                    MILWAUKEE is 72-83 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    SHEETS is 10-21 (-17.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MILWAUKEE is 5-3 (+2.7 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
                    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)



                    MATT CAIN vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
                    No recent starts.



                    BEN SHEETS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
                    SHEETS is 1-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.967.
                    His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)




                    ATLANTA (75 - 80) at COLORADO (73 - 82) - 3:05 PM
                    CHUCK JAMES (L) vs. JUAN MORILLO (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ATLANTA is 75-80 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    ATLANTA is 73-79 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    ATLANTA is 58-58 (-9.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    COLORADO is 39-20 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                    ATLANTA is 48-25 (+23.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
                    ATLANTA is 132-93 (+28.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
                    COLORADO is 31-43 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ATLANTA is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
                    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)



                    CHUCK JAMES vs. COLORADO since 1997
                    No recent starts.



                    JUAN MORILLO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
                    No recent starts.




                    PITTSBURGH (65 - 90) at SAN DIEGO (82 - 72) - 4:05 PM
                    MARTY MCLEARY (R) vs. CLAY HENSLEY (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    PITTSBURGH is 15-40 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 24-56 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 5-19 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 16-37 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 24-56 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 82-72 (+2.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 65-55 (+4.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 29-17 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                    SAN DIEGO is 82-72 (+2.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 12-9 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 51-56 (+8.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    SAN DIEGO is 16-21 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SAN DIEGO is 4-1 (+3.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
                    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)



                    MARTY MCLEARY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
                    No recent starts.



                    CLAY HENSLEY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
                    No recent starts.




                    ARIZONA (73 - 81) at LA DODGERS (81 - 74) - 4:10 PM
                    LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R) vs. HONG-CHIH KUO (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ARIZONA is 52-81 (-34.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
                    ARIZONA is 201-278 (-72.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    LA DODGERS are 48-30 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    ARIZONA is 74-66 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    ARIZONA is 75-80 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    ARIZONA is 75-83 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    LA DODGERS are 151-165 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    LA DODGERS are 19-30 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
                    LA DODGERS are 151-162 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    LA DODGERS are 117-128 (-22.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ARIZONA is 8-9 (+0.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
                    10 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)



                    LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
                    HERNANDEZ is 7-12 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.438.
                    His team's record is 8-15 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-10. (-1.2 units)



                    HONG-CHIH KUO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
                    No recent starts.




                    MINNESOTA (91 - 63) at BALTIMORE (68 - 87) - 1:35 PM
                    MATT GARZA (R) vs. ADAM LOEWEN (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    BALTIMORE is 52-54 (+8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    MINNESOTA is 91-63 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    MINNESOTA is 58-33 (+22.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                    BALTIMORE is 142-176 (-31.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 77-86 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 50-79 (-47.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
                    BALTIMORE is 121-153 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    BALTIMORE is 32-58 (-18.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    BALTIMORE is 32-69 (-30.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+2.2 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
                    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)



                    MATT GARZA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
                    GARZA is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
                    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)



                    ADAM LOEWEN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
                    LOEWEN is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.500.
                    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




                    BOSTON (83 - 72) at TORONTO (81 - 73) - 1:05 PM
                    KYLE SNYDER (R) vs. GUSTAVO CHACIN (L)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    BOSTON is 83-72 (-1.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    BOSTON is 6-15 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
                    BOSTON is 24-29 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
                    BOSTON is 35-35 (-10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
                    CHACIN is 11-4 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
                    CHACIN is 19-7 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    CHACIN is 19-7 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    BOSTON is 21-17 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    TORONTO is 81-73 (-5.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    TORONTO is 124-149 (-54.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 since 1997.
                    TORONTO is 49-63 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
                    TORONTO is 56-55 (-8.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    TORONTO is 35-46 (-20.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TORONTO is 10-7 (+2.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
                    9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)



                    KYLE SNYDER vs. TORONTO since 1997
                    SNYDER is 1-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.385.
                    His team's record is 1-2 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)



                    GUSTAVO CHACIN vs. BOSTON since 1997
                    CHACIN is 4-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.11 and a WHIP of 1.598.
                    His team's record is 5-1 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)




                    NY YANKEES (93 - 61) at TAMPA BAY (59 - 95) - 1:15 PM
                    MIKE MUSSINA (R) vs. BRIAN STOKES (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NY YANKEES are 119-82 (-53.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more since 1997.
                    NY YANKEES are 188-131 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    MUSSINA is 41-33 (-31.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
                    TAMPA BAY is 40-39 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 40-43 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 43-49 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 31-28 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 91-105 (+16.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
                    TAMPA BAY is 43-48 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    TAMPA BAY is 42-56 (+10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NY YANKEES is 12-4 (+3.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
                    9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)



                    MIKE MUSSINA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
                    MUSSINA is 16-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.172.
                    His team's record is 19-7 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-16. (-7.7 units)



                    BRIAN STOKES vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
                    No recent starts.




                    CLEVELAND (71 - 83) at TEXAS (78 - 77) - 2:05 PM
                    JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. KEVIN MILLWOOD (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CLEVELAND is 33-47 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 9-16 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 65-74 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 47-51 (-10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 31-39 (-16.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                    CLEVELAND is 71-83 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    TEXAS is 246-232 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    TEXAS is 31-9 (+16.3 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 3 seasons.
                    TEXAS is 16-8 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
                    TEXAS is 39-41 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
                    TEXAS is 39-41 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
                    TEXAS is 28-30 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
                    MILLWOOD is 10-18 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CLEVELAND is 4-4 (+0.8 Units) against TEXAS this season
                    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)



                    JAKE WESTBROOK vs. TEXAS since 1997
                    WESTBROOK is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.489.
                    His team's record is 3-5 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.6 units)



                    KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
                    MILLWOOD is 2-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.733.
                    His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)




                    SEATTLE (75 - 80) at CHI WHITE SOX (86 - 69) - 2:05 PM
                    RYAN FEIERABEND (R) vs. FREDDY GARCIA (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    SEATTLE is 15-31 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
                    SEATTLE is 207-271 (-50.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    SEATTLE is 89-152 (-41.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
                    SEATTLE is 35-70 (-29.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 72-42 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 180-118 (+29.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 141-80 (+40.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 125-72 (+33.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
                    GARCIA is 11-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
                    GARCIA is 42-21 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
                    SEATTLE is 72-72 (+2.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 86-69 (-6.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 34-34 (-12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
                    CHI WHITE SOX are 8-14 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
                    GARCIA is 32-34 (-29.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SEATTLE is 4-4 (+1.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
                    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)



                    RYAN FEIERABEND vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
                    No recent starts.



                    FREDDY GARCIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
                    GARCIA is 1-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.47 and a WHIP of 1.438.
                    His team's record is 2-3 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)




                    DETROIT (93 - 62) at KANSAS CITY (58 - 96) - 2:10 PM
                    JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ (R)
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    DETROIT is 18-33 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
                    KANSAS CITY is 23-30 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
                    KANSAS CITY is 58-97 (+5.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    KANSAS CITY is 30-23 (+23.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
                    KANSAS CITY is 54-90 (+4.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    KANSAS CITY is 46-61 (+21.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
                    KANSAS CITY is 35-54 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    DETROIT is 49-32 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
                    DETROIT is 45-27 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
                    DETROIT is 86-53 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
                    DETROIT is 58-34 (+16.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
                    DETROIT is 54-23 (+23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    DETROIT is 94-62 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
                    VERLANDER is 13-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
                    KANSAS CITY is 49-111 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.


                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    DETROIT is 13-1 (+10.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
                    7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)



                    JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
                    VERLANDER is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.625.
                    His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)



                    RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
                    HERNANDEZ is 4-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.408.
                    His team's record is 4-3 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.7 units)

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Dunkel Index - Baseball

                      Dunkel Index – MLB

                      Sunday, September 24

                      Arizona at LA Dodgers
                      The Dodgers may be feeling it slip away as they've lost five of their last eight to drop 1 1/2 games behind the Padres in the West and 1/2 a game behind the Phillies in the wild card. Last night Brad Penny couldn't hold a three-run first inning lead and lost to Miguel Batista, who hadn't won in over six weeks. Today the pitching drops off a little for the Dodgers with rookie Hong-Chih Kuo (1-5, 4.72) facing veteran Livan Hernandez (2-2, 3.90 ERA in September). That's a tough matchup for an uncertain Dodger team and makes the D-backs a solid play with the run line according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


                      Game 901-902: Washington at NY Mets
                      Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Armas) 14.988; NY Mets (Trachsel) 16.555
                      Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
                      Vegas Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9
                      Dunkel Pick: Netural; Over

                      Game 903-904: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
                      Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Mateo) 15.831; Cincinnati (Harang) 15.416
                      Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9
                      Vegas Line: No Line
                      Dunkel Pick: N/A

                      Game 905-906: Florida at Philadelphia
                      Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Olsen) 16.586; Philadelphia (Moyer) 17.956
                      Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
                      Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9
                      Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

                      Game 907-908: St. Louis at Houston
                      Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Weaver) 15.933; Houston (Clemens) 16.651
                      Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 7 1/2
                      Vegas Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+1 1/2); Under

                      Game 909-910: San Francisco at Milwaukee
                      Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.724; Milwaukee (Sheets) 16.489
                      Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 8 1/2
                      Vegas Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8
                      Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-1 1/2); Over

                      Game 911-912: Atlanta at Colorado
                      Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (James) 17.373; Colorado (Morillo) 16.664
                      Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2
                      Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+1 1/2); Under

                      Game 913-914: Pittsburgh at San Diego
                      Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Mcleary) 15.826; San Diego (Hensley) 17.213
                      Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8
                      Vegas Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

                      Game 915-916: Arizona at LA Dodgers
                      Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hernandez) 16.278; LA Dodgers (Kuo) 16.277
                      Dunkel Line: Even; 9 1/2
                      Vegas Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
                      Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+1 1/2); Over

                      Game 917-918: Minnesota at Baltimore
                      Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Garza) 17.373; Baltimore (Loewen) 16.630
                      Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
                      Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+1 1/2); Neutral

                      Game 919-920: Boston at Toronto
                      Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Snyder) 17.658; Toronto (Chacin) 17.407
                      Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
                      Vegas Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Under

                      Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
                      Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mussina) 17.847; Tampa Bay (Stokes) 15.690
                      Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 10
                      Vegas Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
                      Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-1 1/2); Neutral

                      Game 923-924: Cleveland at Texas
                      Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Westbrook) 16.688; Texas (Millwood) 17.886
                      Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8 1/2
                      Vegas Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
                      Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+1 1/2); Under

                      Game 925-926: Seattle at Chicago White Sox
                      Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Feierabend) 17.502; Chicago White Sox (Garcia) 16.310
                      Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9 1/2
                      Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+1 1/2); Neutral

                      Game 927-928: Detroit at Kansas City
                      Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 17.608; Kansas City (Hernandez) 15.158
                      Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 10 1/2
                      Vegas Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1 1/2); Over

                      Game 929-930: LA Angels at Oakland
                      Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santana) 17.243; Oakland (Haren) 18.376
                      Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9 1/2
                      Vegas Line: No Line
                      Dunkel Pick: N/A
                      Last edited by pm530; 09-24-2006, 10:38 AM.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        NFL Weather

                        Thunder storms and high winds should have an effect on:
                        Bengals at Steelers
                        Jets at Bills
                        Broncos at Patriots

                        Thunderstorms could have an effect on:
                        Redskins at Texans
                        Ravens at Browns

                        The Phoenix area is expecting sun and a high of 95 today. Should be about 105 on the field.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Good morning, pm! Good luck!

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            STREAKING PITCHERS

                            Hot streaks:

                            Roger Clemens (Houston Astros) - The Rocket heads into what could be his final home start tonight against the St. Louis Cardinals with the Astros priced as -197 home favorites. Clemens has a 2.81 ERA in his last three starts, averaging a strikeout an inning.

                            Freddy Garcia (Chicago White Sox) - The White Sox season may be going down the tubes, but don`t blame Garcia. The right-hander is 2-0 in his last three trips to the bump with a 0.81 ERA and 0.63 WHIP. Garcia takes the mound against the Seattle Mariners today having given up only eight hits over that span. The White Sox are -188 favorites for the contest.

                            Gustavo Chacin (Toronto Blue Jays) - The Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox today as -153 favorites with Chacin on the hill. The lefty hasn`t lost in over a month, having gone 2-0 in three starts with a miniscule 1.83 ERA in the month of September.

                            Cold streaks:

                            Dan Haren (Oakland Athletics) - The usually steady Haren is slipping. He has a 5.30 ERA in his last three appearances with a 1.45 WHIP. Oddsmakers have the A`s as -125 favorites against the Los Angeles Angels.

                            Justin Verlander (Detroit Tigers) - It wasn`t too long ago that people were talking about the young flame thrower as a Cy Young candidate. Now the right-hander has a stiff 7.31 ERA since Sept. 3 with an .431 OBP against. The Tigers are -155 road favorites today against the Kansas City Royals.

                            Jamie Moyer (Philadelphia Phillies) - Moyer has a 6.35 ERA in his last three starts for the Phillies, set as -155 favorites at home today against the Florida Marlins. The veteran has a .405 OBP against over that span, having given up 25 hits in his last 17 innings.

                            Other notables:

                            Mike Mussina (New York Yankees) - Moose is 6-4 away from Yankee Stadium this season with a 3.83 ERA.

                            Ben Sheets (Milwaukee Brewers) - Sheets is 3-4 at home this season with a 4.36 ERA.

                            Kevin Millwood (Texas Rangers) - The former Atlanta Brave has a 3.79 ERA in day games in 2006.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              thanks guys!

                              NCAA Hoops 14-14-1 -2.35 units NFL 2-1 +1 unit
                              NBA 6-7-1 -2.32 units NHL 10-4-1 +3.95 units
                              MLB 6-7-1 -2.95u WNBA 1-0 +1u. NCAAF 3-1 +1.5 u

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