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This is my favorite play of the year to date. Jacksonville continues to receive no respect from the betting public, as they opened the favorite for the second consecutive week, and are currently a 2.5-3 point dog. Last week in that role, they fell behind 10-0, and then completely dominated the last three quarters, even more than the 24-17 final showed.
The Steelers are obviously a good team, but there is nothing about them that indicates they are better than Jacksonville on a neutral field, let alone in the sweltering Florida humidity. I don't think Pittsburgh will have much success running the ball against the fabulous Jags' run defense, which features the best defensive tackles in the league and one of the best middle linebackers. If Roethlisberger starts - it appeared he was going to earlier in the week, but now Cowher is saying that it isn't 100% - he isn't likely to win this game singlehandedly.
The Jags aren't likely to have a lot of success running the ball either, but Leftwich and his big receivers had a lot of success with a Cowboys secondary that is better than the one they will face this week. The offensive line was dominant in that game, and they should be able to protect Leftwich pretty well against LeBeau's blitzes.
The books didn't have the best day yesterday, and they got killed last Monday. Not that it means a whole lot, but I'd rather be betting with Vegas than against them, and that's what I'm doing here.
Jacksonville 20, Pittsburgh 10
3* Jaguars +3.5 (-140)
1* Jaguars ML +130
The reason I chose to play the game this way is that I feel there is a greater than average chance this game hits on 3, but I also played the moneyline to balance out the juice.
The Steelers are obviously a good team, but there is nothing about them that indicates they are better than Jacksonville on a neutral field, let alone in the sweltering Florida humidity. I don't think Pittsburgh will have much success running the ball against the fabulous Jags' run defense, which features the best defensive tackles in the league and one of the best middle linebackers. If Roethlisberger starts - it appeared he was going to earlier in the week, but now Cowher is saying that it isn't 100% - he isn't likely to win this game singlehandedly.
The Jags aren't likely to have a lot of success running the ball either, but Leftwich and his big receivers had a lot of success with a Cowboys secondary that is better than the one they will face this week. The offensive line was dominant in that game, and they should be able to protect Leftwich pretty well against LeBeau's blitzes.
The books didn't have the best day yesterday, and they got killed last Monday. Not that it means a whole lot, but I'd rather be betting with Vegas than against them, and that's what I'm doing here.
Jacksonville 20, Pittsburgh 10
3* Jaguars +3.5 (-140)
1* Jaguars ML +130
The reason I chose to play the game this way is that I feel there is a greater than average chance this game hits on 3, but I also played the moneyline to balance out the juice.
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