Saturday College Play

[prettyboy]

This play that i like on Saturday is a line movement play for
the most part.....

You got Akron who opened up a 3.5 pt. favorite and now they sit
at -1 with 69% of the public on there side.

2.5 pt drop is suspect with almost 70% of the public on your
side.


Central Michigan +1

[Kaptain]

If Akron opened at - 3 1/2, and 70% of the Public is on them, then the line would have moved the other way.....say Akron -5 1/2..........The public is on Akron, according to you, and you're saying line should have risen, but didn't so go with C Michigan, or are you saying---go against public, with the public....

The key to this is, "Where did you get the 69 % info on Akron"....thats the key.....wait and see if some big money didn't go on C Mich....I think you're on the right side, but not undersstanding your reasons why......

maybe it's jsut me and the good old english language I'm having problems with.......

gl to ya---kapt

[prettyboy]

If Akron opened at - 3 1/2, and 70% of the Public is on them, then the line would have moved the other way.....say Akron -5 1/2..........The public is on Akron, according to you, and you're saying line should have risen, but didn't so go with C Michigan, or are you saying---go against public, with the public....

The key to this is, "Where did you get the 69 % info on Akron"....thats the key.....wait and see if some big money didn't go on C Mich....I think you're on the right side, but not undersstanding your reasons why......

maybe it's jsut me and the good old english language I'm having problems with.......

gl to ya---kapt

Yes i was saying.....with 70% of the public on Akron the line should not have fallen 2.5 pts.....The public was banging Akron at -3.5 now thye have the luxury of hitting them at -1...something is fishy.....Central Michigan looks like a good play

Akron -1 68.22% Central Michigan +1 31.78%


Date/Time Odds (Line)
09/10/06 05:24 PM ET (Open)
09/10/06 06:55 PM ET +3.5
09/10/06 07:14 PM ET +3
09/10/06 08:34 PM ET +2.5
09/11/06 09:45 AM ET +3
09/11/06 01:34 PM ET +2.5
09/12/06 12:57 PM ET +2
09/12/06 06:25 PM ET +2
09/12/06 11:34 PM ET +1

[Stealth]

Sounds like some heavy money on CMU then.

[molta02]

I'm guessing the sharper money is on Central???

[moondog22]

smart money on CM looks like to me

[prettyboy]

I'm guessing the sharper money is on Central???

Somethings going on.....Going to make Cen Michigan a medium size play...See what happens

Good luck on Saturday

[molta02]

Somethings going on.....Going to make Cen Michigan a medium size play...See what happens

Good luck on Saturday

This is Akron's 3rd road game in 3 weeks. I'm sure the numbers aren't too good on college teams in this situation, but don't know for sure.

[prettyboy]

This is Akron's 3rd road game in 3 weeks. I'm sure the numbers aren't too good on college teams in this situation, but don't know for sure.

You bet Baseball ?

If so the Brewers look good tonight at +111

[molta02]

You bet Baseball ?

If so the Brewers look good tonight at +111

Passing on baseball 'till the playoffs. GL with the brew-crew tonite.

[prettyboy]

Passing on baseball 'till the playoffs. GL with the brew-crew tonite.

Thanks.....Let`s go Mets !!!!

[KazDog]

If what you're saying is true about money on Akron, and the line is moving down, the play is Central Mich because Vegas is dropping the line to get more square money or public money on Akron....Something is fishy, If all you say is true to form. I like the call....

KAZ

[thesandman]

He's right playing Central Michigan. At sportsbook.com 75% of the money is on Akron and just 25% on Central Michigan. The line on Akron has gone down from -3.5 to just -1 point. Lowering the spread on Akron is the books way of getting more money on Akron, which is what the books do when they want to force money to even out the bets on each team. In this case all the money is on Akron but instead of making them a bigger favorite to force money on Cent. Michigan, they are doing the opposite trying for even more money on Akron. That means they have taken a position on Central Michigan to cover. If you want to play with the books then you play Central Michigan, which is what I just did.

[keawe]

Goodluck today PB!!!!!!!!!!!!
........thanks for the info Sandman!!!

[Lsufan]

Good Luck PB