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I realize that Aaron Harang is hit or miss and I realize that when the Padres bats heat up, they can stay hot for several games. This is why I will make this a minimum bet.
Cincinnati Reds, laying $111 to win $100
Reasoning:
The Reds have been shutout 11 times this season and after the previous 10 shutouts, they have produced a 7-3 record and Harang is 3-1 in this spot. I simply am not impressed with Clay Hensley. He has an ERA that is about a point and a half higher outside of Petco and he just faced the Reds there 2 starts ago on Sept. 1st and gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Now he has to make his first start at The Great American Ballpark. Outside of that bad start vs. the Reds 13 days ago (a loss), he has put together 8 fairly solid outings in his last 9, but most of them were at Petco or at Colorado or San Fran, teams he has done well against all year. The Padres haven't seen Harang this season and SD scored just 2 runs off him last year in 16 innings. I like the Reds to bounce back here today.
Week 3: 3-0, +$400
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913
Cincinnati Reds, laying $111 to win $100
Reasoning:
The Reds have been shutout 11 times this season and after the previous 10 shutouts, they have produced a 7-3 record and Harang is 3-1 in this spot. I simply am not impressed with Clay Hensley. He has an ERA that is about a point and a half higher outside of Petco and he just faced the Reds there 2 starts ago on Sept. 1st and gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Now he has to make his first start at The Great American Ballpark. Outside of that bad start vs. the Reds 13 days ago (a loss), he has put together 8 fairly solid outings in his last 9, but most of them were at Petco or at Colorado or San Fran, teams he has done well against all year. The Padres haven't seen Harang this season and SD scored just 2 runs off him last year in 16 innings. I like the Reds to bounce back here today.
Week 3: 3-0, +$400
Week 2: 5-3, +$306 (did win $509 on the Mansion free bet & hedge)
Week 1: 5-1, +$913
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