Thursday Trends and Indexes

[pm530]

Trends & Indexes - Thursday, September 14, '06

Good Mornin' Udog, djmauibay, Kaptain and all of the BC crew!

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - College Football (Thursday, Friday, Saturday)

Dunkel Index – NCAA Football

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 14

Maryland at West Virginia
Coming off its impressive win over Georgia in last year's Sugar Bowl, West Virginia was expected by many to challenge for the national championship this season. Thus far the Mountaineers have not disappointed. Although the competition has been weak (Marshall and Eastern Washington), Rich Rodriguez' team has avoided the slips that have caught other teams off guard in the early going. Tonight the competition will increase a bit as WVU renews its rivalry with Maryland. But this is a Terp team that lost four of its last five at the end of last season and has not looked particularly overpowering in wins over I-AA William & Mary (27-14) and lower-rated Middle Tennessee St. (24-10). Against the ultra-quick backfield of Pat White and Steve Slaton in Morgantown, the Terps may have a tough time keeping it under the 16 1/2-point Vegas line according to Dunkel, which has the Mountaineers a slightly stronger favorite at 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-16 1/2). Here are all of this week's Division I games.

Game 301-302: Maryland at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 89.302; West Virginia 106.857
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 17 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 16 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-16 1/2); Under

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

Game 303-304: Kansas at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 86.306; Toledo 83.929
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 2 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Toledo by 4; 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+4); Under

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 305-306: Iowa State at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 91.331; Iowa 101.294
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 10; 47
Vegas Line: Iowa by 13 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+13 1/2); Under

Game 307-308: BYU at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 91.024; Boston College 97.353
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Boston College by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+7); Over

Game 309-310: Syracuse at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 76.829; Illinois 78.464
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 1 1/2; 38
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3 1/2); Under

Game 311-312: Temple at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 57.660; Minnesota 94.192
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 36 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 42, 54
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+42); Under

Game 313-314: Cincinnati at Ohio State
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 77.856; Ohio State 114.965
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 37; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 29 1/2; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-29 1/2); Neutral

Game 315-316: Duke at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 70.793; Virginia Tech 105.481
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 35; 43 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 35; 45
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 317-318: Wake Forest at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 84.051; Connecticut 85.853
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 6; 42
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+6); Over

Game 319-320: Western Michigan at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 78.195; Virginia 86.766
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 8 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia by 9 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+9 1/2); Neutral

Game 321-322: Marshall at Kansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 76.826; Kansas State 87.333
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 10 1/2; 51 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 10 48
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-10); Over

Game 323-324: Ohio at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 76.484; Rutgers 91.372
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 15; 47
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 15, 47
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

Game 325-326: Ball State at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 75.285 ; Purdue 90.951
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 15 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Purdue by 17; 55
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+17); Over

Game 327-328: Akron at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 83.648; Central Michigan 80.718
Dunkel Line: Akron by 3; 47
Vegas Line: Akron by 1; 47
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-1); Neutral

Game 329-330: Kent at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 62.281; Miami (OH) 83.409
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 21; 43
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 11; 43
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-11); Neutral

Game 331-332: Eastern Michigan at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 67.495; Northwestern 86.183
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 18 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 17; 52
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-17); Over

Game 333-334: South Florida at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 86.232; Central Florida 80.082
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 6; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 2; 44
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+2); Under

Game 335-336: San Diego State at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 85.810; Wisconsin 98.153
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 12 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+14); Over

Game 337-338: Boise State at Wyoming
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 97.369; Wyoming 84.338;
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 13; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 7; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-7); Over

Game 339-340: Michigan State at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 91.143; Pittsburgh 96.025
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 47 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-2); Under

Game 341-342: Florida at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 105.955; Tennessee 101.205
Dunkel Line: Florida by 5; 45
Vegas Line: Florida by 3 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-3 1/2); Neutral

Game 343-344: Baylor vs. Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 85.384; Washington State 91.692
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 6 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Washington State by 13; 50
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+13); Under

Game 345-346: Michigan at Notre Dame
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 104.372; Notre Dame 109.029
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 4 1/2; 48 1/2
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 6 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+6 1/2); Under

Game 347-348: Oklahoma at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 97.976; Oregon 103.825
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Oregon by 4 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-4 1/2); Neutral

Game 349-350: Miami (FL) at Louisville
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 99.386; Louisville 104.567
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 5; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-4); Over

Game 351-352: Fresno State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 92.075; Washington 82.494
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 9 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-3 1/2); Over

Game 353-354: Mississippi at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 81.096; Kentucky 83.292
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 2; 49
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 4; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+4); Under

Game 355-356: Texas vs. Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 109.042; Rice 74.651
Dunkel Line: Texas by 34 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Texas by 31 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-31 1/2); Over

Game 357-358: Texas Tech at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 101.207; TCU 98.226
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 3; 57 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 1 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-1 1/2); Over

Game 359-360: Memphis at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 82.473; East Carolina 80.044
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 1 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1 1/2); Under

Game 361-362: UAB at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 85.321; Georgia 105.267
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 20; 43
Vegas Line: Georgia by 17; 38
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-17); Over

Game 363-364: Tulane at Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 67.919; Mississippi State 78.848
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 11; 33 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 11; 39
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 365-366: NC State at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 89.477; Southern Mississippi 85.078
Dunkel Line: NC State by 4 1/2; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+2 1/2); Under

Game 367-368: Arkansas at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 89.971; Vanderbilt 86.183
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 5 1/2; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+5 1/2); Over

Game 369-370: Arizona State at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 95.506; Colorado 78.624
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 17; 53
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 10; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-10); Over

Game 371-372: LSU at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 111.716; Auburn 107.756
Dunkel Line: LSU by 4; 45
Vegas Line: Auburn by 3 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+3 1/2); Over

Game 373-374: Buffalo at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 63.704; Northern Illinois 84.217
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 20 1/2; 46 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 23; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+23); Under

Game 375-376: Clemson at Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 99.445; Florida State 99.284
Dunkel Line: Even; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida State by 4 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (+4 1/2); Over

Game 377-378: Nebraska at USC
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 102.138; USC 119.313
Dunkel Line: USC by 17; 60 1/2
Vegas Line: USC by 18 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+18 1/2); Over

Game 379-380: Missouri at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 89.798; New Mexico 76.497
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 54 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 381-382: Utah at Utah State
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 93.333; Utah State 65.383
Dunkel Line: Utah by 28; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 20 1/2; 44
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-20 1/2); Over

Game 383-384: Colorado State at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 84.397; Nevada 81.682
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 2 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Nevada by 2 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+2 1/2); Under

Game 385-386: Army vs. Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Army 69.204; Texas A&M 94.868
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 25 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Texas A&M 27 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Army (+27 1/2); Neutral

Game 387-388: Navy at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 87.465; Stanford 80.280
Dunkel Line: Navy by 7; 58
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3; 58
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+3); Neutral

Game 389-390: UNLV at Hawaii
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 76.373; Hawaii 84.072
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 7 1/2; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 12; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+12); Over

Game 392-392: Troy at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 71.792; Georgia Tech 96.660
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 25; 37 1/2
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 17; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-17); Neutral

Game 393-394: UL Monroe at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 68.051; Alabama 97.634
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 29 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Alabama by 24 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-24 1/2); Neutral

Game 395-396: Bowling Green at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 79.981; Florida International 71.220
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 9; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 5; 48
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-5); Under

Game 397-398: Florida Atlantic at Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 59.672; Oklahoma State 86.267
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 26 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 30; 47
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+30); Neutral

Game 399-400: North Texas at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 69.755; Tulsa 87.459
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 17 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 19 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+17 1/2); Under

[djmauiboy]

GM PM530 THANKS FOR THE EARLY START.

UDOG, GET THEM DOUGHNUTS AND LETS GET TO WORK

------------------------------
Hot Pitchers
-- Hensley has 2.08 RA in his last four starts.
-- Kuo tossed six shutout innings at Shea in his first '06 start, a
5-0 Dodger win Friday night.
-- Cain is 4-0, 0.53 in his last five starts.
-- James is 5-0, 2.70 in his last six starts. Moyer is 1-0, 2.35 in his last two starts.

-- Orioles are 8-3 in Loewen's last eleven starts.
-- Bronx won ten of Wang's last twelve starts. Shields has 2.40 RA in his last two road starts, but hideous Devil Rays lost his last seven starts on foreign soil.
-- Lee is 2-0, 3.46 in his last two starts. Bonser is 4-1, 2.93 in his last five starts.
-- Escobar has 1.96 RA in his last three starts, but Angels scored total of three runs in those games.

Cold Pitchers
-- Harang is 0-3, 4.50 in his last four starts.
-- Cook is 0-4, 6.75 in his last five road starts.
-- Miller allowed four runs in three IP in his first '06 start, a 7-3 loss at Atlanta.

-- Dinardo was 1-2, 6.58 in five starts early in the season.
-- Volquez is 0-3, 7.88 in his last four starts.
-- Odalis Perez is 0-2, 7.41 in his last three starts. Washburn has 7.79 RA in his last three road starts.

Totals
-- Under is 12-5 in Harang's last seventeen starts.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Dodgers' last eleven road games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cook's last six starts.
-- Seven of last ten Atlanta home games went over total.

-- Five of last seven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Bronx games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in Bonser's last ten starts.
-- Last eight Escobar starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 13-3-2 in Seattle's last eighteen games.


Hot Teams
-- Giants won six of their last eight home games.
-- Phillies won five of their last six games.


-- Indians won eleven of their last fourteen home games. Twins won seven of their last ten games.
-- Bronx won eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Royals are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.


Cold Teams
-- Padres are 8-13 in last 21 road games. Cincinnati is 5-12 in its last seventeen games overall.
-- Cubs lost nineteen of their last twenty-four games. Dodgers are 6-9 in their last fifteen road games, 0-4 in game after their last four wins.
-- Colorado is 3-16 in their last nineteen road games.
-- Braves lost last three games, allowing 21 runs.

-- Orioles lost ten of their last thirteen games. Red Sox are 3-12 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Devil Rays are 2-24 in their last twenty-six road games; in their last five games, their starting pitcher hasn't lasted five innings.
-- Angels are 7-8 in their last fifteen road games. Rangers are 2-5 in first game of their last seven home series.

[djmauiboy]

Ncaaf

Thursday's Game
Maryland covered 10 of its last 14 road games; they're 10-4-1 vs spread when facing West Virginia, but lost 31-19 at home to WV last year, as 3-pt favorite. Mountaineers are 5-9 vs spread in last 14 tries as home favorite; they have eight offensive starters from last year back. Terps were outgained 329-275 by MTSU a week ago, but Maryland was up 17-3 at half in 24-10 win. WVU is 9-0 in night games under Rodriguez. Mountaineers played I-AA foe last week, hammered Marshall week before, so hard to tell how sharp they are at this point.

[pm530]

Dunkel Index - Baseball

Dunkel Index - MLB

Thursday, September 14

San Diego at Cincinnati
The Padres come into today riding the momentum of a 10-0 drubbing of Cincinnati last night that dealt the Reds' wild card chances a real blow. The Reds will have to regroup in short order today behind starter Aaron Harang, who is winless in his last three starts with a less than stellar 5.40 ERA. San Diego starter Clay Hensley continues to be a pleasant surprise as he has posted a 2.43 ERA over his last 10 starts covering 59 1/3 innings. The Padres look like a strong underdog play in this one according to Dunkel, which has San Diego favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

Game 901-902: San Diego at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hensley) 17.051; Cincinnati (Harang) 16.100
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+1 1/2); Under

Game 903-904: LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuo) 16.824; Chicago Cubs (Miller) 15.302
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Over

Game 905-906: Colorado at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 15.543; San Francisco (Cain) 16.750
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+1 1/2); Over

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 16.532; Atlanta (James) 16.123
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+1 1/2); Under

Game 909-910: Boston at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Dinardo) 15.394; Baltimore (Loewen) 15.826
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 11
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+1 1/2); Under

Game 911-912: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.075; NY Yankees (Wang) 18.718
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 3 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-1 1/2); Under

Game 913-914: Minnesota at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Bonser) 17.756; Cleveland (Lee) 17.098
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+1 1/2); Over

Game 915-916: LA Angels at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Escobar) 16.961; Texas (Volquez) 16.578
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+1 1/2); Under

Game 917-918: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 16.112; Kansas City (Perez) 16.302
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1 1/2); Neutral

[djmauiboy]

Thu, Sep 14, 2006


Hot streaks:

Kelvim Escobar (Los Angeles Angels) - If the Angels can`t catch the Oakland Athletics at the top of the NL West, it won`t be because of Escobar. The veteran starter has a 1.57 ERA in his last three starts without allowing a big fly. The Angels are -124 road favorites tonight against the Texas Rangers.

Matt Cain (San Francisco Giants) - Matt Cain is the hottest starting pitcher in baseball. Thankfully for the Giants, his start couldn`t come at a better time, with the Giants two games behind the San Diego Padres for the NL Wild Card. Cain hasn`t lost in over a month, and hasn`t given up an earned run in three outings. The Giants are -177 home favorites tonight against the Colorado Rockies.

Boof Bonser (Minnesota Twins) - While Johan Santana gets all the press clippings, Bonser has quietly done his share of the cashing for Twins backers recently. Bonser has a 2.41 ERA in his last three trips to the hill with 19 strikeouts in 18 innings.

Cold streaks:

Aaron Harang (Cincinnati Reds) - So much for being a Cy Young contender. Harang has won only two of his last nine starts, while sporting a 5.14 ERA for the Reds, which are priced as -113 home favorites today against the San Diego Padres.

Odalis Perez (Kansas City Royals) - Perez complained and got traded out of Los Angeles earlier this season. Now Royals backers are complaining about Perez`s woes on the mound lately. He has won only once since coming over to the Royals from the Dodgers on July 23. To make matters worse, Perez has posted a 14.59 ERA and horrible .507 OBP against in his last three starts. Kansas City are listed as +112 home underdogs tonight against the Seattle Mariners.

Other notables:

Chien-Ming Wang (New York Yankees) - Wang has a 10-2 record at home this season with a 2.76 ERA.

[djmauiboy]

Line Watch

Philadelphia at Atlanta: Braves -130

The Braves found out they wouldn’t win the NL East two nights ago during a rainout and their disappointment was obvious as they were swept by the Phillies in Wednesday’s doubleheader.

Atlanta’s blues could end tonight, however, with Chuck James taking the hill. The rookie southpaw has a 9-3 record this year, impressive in its own right, but he`s been lights-out over the last month. Since August 14, the Braves are 5-1 and up 4.48 units in James’ six starts, propelled by his awesome 2.03 ERA over those games.

Adding to the good news for Braves backers is the club`s stellar work from the team’s bullpen. Its 2.10 ERA over the last 10 games is less than half of what the Phillies’ pen has allowed over the same span of games.

Jamie Moyer pitches for the Phillies. Both home runs that Moyer has allowed as an NL pitcher were to the Braves a couple of weeks back, a no decision.



Los Angeles Angels at Texas: Angels (-1 ½) +125

It’s a pitching mismatch in Arlington tonight, despite Kelvim Escobar’s mediocre record for the Angels. He’s been the victim of poor support from his teammates, though they should find relief tonight when they face young Edinson Volquez.

The Dallas Morning News reports that the Rangers are keeping a close eye on Volquez, who has already surpassed his 2005 innings pitched output. The team might not have to bother with a pitch count, however, as Volquez hasn’t pitched more than four innings in any of his last three starts.

The Rangers have generally fared well against its AL West rivals this year but they have a losing record against Los Angeles, largely thanks to the bat of Vladimir Guerrero. Vlad has impaled the Rangers for a career .443 average and since the start of 2003, he’s slugged .895 in Arlington.



Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals: Royals +115

The Mariners just fired their bench coach Ron Hassey as well as Dan Rohn, an administrative coach closely tied with player development. The team wanted Hassey to stick out the season, but lucky for him, he missed out on yesterday’s 10-0 home loss to the Blue Jays. Seattle fans should have been so lucky.

Speaking of Seattle fans, many feel that Rohn was the wrong man to get canned after his work with young players coming through Triple-A Tacoma. They’ve focused their collective wrath instead on manager Mike Hargrove, who is likely relieved to hit the road.

Kansas City is wrapping up a dismal season in winning form. They’re 7-4 in September and have been dogged every game, which means big bucks for backers: 8.7 units already this month.

They’re averaging 5.8 runs per game, compared to Seattle’s 3.3 and while their pitching leaves a little to be desired, the Royals give good value at home. Despite a 32-40 record in Kauffman Stadium this year, the team’s home backers have actually profited to the tune of 7.33 units.

[djmauiboy]

SAN DIEGO (75 - 69) at CINCINNATI (72 - 73) - 12:35 PM
CLAY HENSLEY (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 31-21 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 49-39 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 17-11 (+8.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-32 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-32 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 31-21 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 26-20 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 25-29 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)



CLAY HENSLEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HENSLEY is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)



AARON HARANG vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
HARANG is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.60 and a WHIP of 0.976.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.0 units)




LA DODGERS (77 - 68) at CHICAGO CUBS (58 - 88) - 2:20 PM
HONG-CHIH KUO (L) vs. WADE MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 147-159 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 15-24 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 19-29 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 77-65 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 46-26 (+15.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA DODGERS are 25-10 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-88 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-42 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-20 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 4-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-85 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 21-33 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 73-98 (-28.8 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)



HONG-CHIH KUO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.



WADE MILLER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MILLER is 3-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)




COLORADO (68 - 77) at SAN FRANCISCO (73 - 72) - 3:35 PM
AARON COOK (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 53-81 (-24.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 10-33 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 4-18 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
COOK is 10-19 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
COOK is 2-11 (-9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
COOK is 10-19 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 898-730 (+97.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-4 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 559-429 (+98.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-63 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 24-37 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 8-6 (+2.6 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)



AARON COOK vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
COOK is 2-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 6.14 and a WHIP of 1.773.
His team's record is 2-8 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.6 units)



MATT CAIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
CAIN is 2-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.28 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.5 units)




PHILADELPHIA (74 - 71) at ATLANTA (69 - 76) - 7:35 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. CHUCK JAMES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 74-71 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 73-69 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 103-103 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 80-72 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-11 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 69-76 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 30-41 (-19.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 33-38 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 16-21 (-12.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 4-10 (-7.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
ATLANTA is 28-35 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 67-75 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 46-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 17-21 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 3-11 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
ATLANTA is 26-38 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 11-6 (+3.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)



JAMIE MOYER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MOYER is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.296.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)



CHUCK JAMES vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
JAMES is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




BOSTON (77 - 68) at BALTIMORE (63 - 82) - 7:05 PM
LENNY DINARDO (L) vs. ADAM LOEWEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 77-68 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 33-39 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 70-65 (-13.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 54-49 (-6.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 21-28 (-16.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 33-34 (-11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 13-21 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BOSTON is 13-16 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
BALTIMORE is 137-171 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 75-84 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 134-187 (-68.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 118-149 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-55 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-31 (-17.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 4-13 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after shutting out their opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 49-58 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 29-54 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 29-65 (-29.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-2 (+9.8 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.7 Units)



LENNY DINARDO vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DINARDO is 1-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)



ADAM LOEWEN vs. BOSTON since 1997
LOEWEN is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 23.18 and a WHIP of 3.433.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

[djmauiboy]

National League:

San Diego at Cincinnati, 12:35 EST
Clay Hensley (R) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Hensley: SD 4-19 vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5+ batters/start
Harang: Cin 21-7 Over off a loss by 8+ runs

LA Dodgers at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST
Hong-Chih Kuo (L) vs. Wade Miller (R)
Kuo: LAD 2-11 after allowing 1 run or less
Miller: 3-1 TSR, 2.67 ERA vs. Dodgers

Colorado at San Francisco, 3:35 EST
Aaron Cook (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Cook: 2-8 TSR, 6.14 ERA vs. Giants
Cain: 3-0 TSR, 0.00 ERA L3 starts

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Chuck James (L)
Moyer: 40-14 Over as a road underdog of +100 to +150
James: 3-0 TSR, 1.64 ERA L3 starts


American League:

Boston at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Lenny Dinardo (L) vs. Adam Loewen (L)
Dinardo: Bos 23-10 Under as an underdog of +100 to +150
Loewen: Bal 20-6 as a favorite of -125 to -175

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
James Shields (R) vs. Chien-Ming Wang (R)
Shields: TB 2-24 Away 2nd half of the season
Wang: NYY 15-1 off 4+ Overs

Minnesota at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Boof Bonser (R) vs. Cliff Lee (L)
Bonser: Min 34-15 after allowing 2 runs or less
Lee: Cle 1-7 off a division loss as a favorite of -200 or higher

LA Angels at Texas, 8:05 EST
Kelvim Escobar (R) vs. Edison Volquez (R)
Escobar: LAA 9-1 Under in September
Volquez: Tex 2-15 as a home underdog

Seattle at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
Washburn: 17-4 TSR Away with a money line of -100 to -125
Perez: 15-4 Under at home off BB team wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change
** TSR: Team Start Record

[SACPAC]

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