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YTD 46-37 +10.25 units
3* 0-1 -3.0 units
1* 46-36 +13.25 units
Dogs 19-16 +6.81 units
Faves 11-8 +1.43 units
Totals 16-13 +2.01 units
I had a brutal beat Sunday on a +155 dog as the Mets somehow pitched a one-hitter........and lost. Uggh.
1* Royals +205
Ruvelys Hernandez is on a roll. He beat Roy Halladay as an enormous +260 dog two starts back and came right back to beat Jose Contreras as a +160 dog. Despite this, he's still an enormous underdog against Randy Johnson despite Johnson's mediocre year. Johnson has given up 13 earned runs in his last 23 innings and while the Yankees are 18-11 in his starts he actually has lost money for betters with a -113 ROI. Hernandez has been awful all year but is red hot right now. He's given up only one earned run his last 15 innings and has a 2.90 ERA in his last five starts. While KC is 6-10 in his starts he has been a huge moneymaker with a +296 ROI. That's right, making flat bets on Johnson all year would have lost money while flat bats on Hernandez would have made a sizable profit. (How many people know this?) Yankees are 6-4 their last ten; KC is also 6-4 its last 10. KC is 32-39 at home where they play much better than on the road. Royals have been halfway respectable for a month. Having said all of this, I doubt many will take this play because it's hard to play big dogs. But, emotions aside, the facts make it clear this is the right side considering the enormous price.
3* 0-1 -3.0 units
1* 46-36 +13.25 units
Dogs 19-16 +6.81 units
Faves 11-8 +1.43 units
Totals 16-13 +2.01 units
I had a brutal beat Sunday on a +155 dog as the Mets somehow pitched a one-hitter........and lost. Uggh.
1* Royals +205
Ruvelys Hernandez is on a roll. He beat Roy Halladay as an enormous +260 dog two starts back and came right back to beat Jose Contreras as a +160 dog. Despite this, he's still an enormous underdog against Randy Johnson despite Johnson's mediocre year. Johnson has given up 13 earned runs in his last 23 innings and while the Yankees are 18-11 in his starts he actually has lost money for betters with a -113 ROI. Hernandez has been awful all year but is red hot right now. He's given up only one earned run his last 15 innings and has a 2.90 ERA in his last five starts. While KC is 6-10 in his starts he has been a huge moneymaker with a +296 ROI. That's right, making flat bets on Johnson all year would have lost money while flat bats on Hernandez would have made a sizable profit. (How many people know this?) Yankees are 6-4 their last ten; KC is also 6-4 its last 10. KC is 32-39 at home where they play much better than on the road. Royals have been halfway respectable for a month. Having said all of this, I doubt many will take this play because it's hard to play big dogs. But, emotions aside, the facts make it clear this is the right side considering the enormous price.
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