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California (-2) for 3 units
Hawaii (+16) for 3 units
Utah (+3.5) for 2 units
Cal was a very good team last year with an amazing running game but was a team cursed with bad luck. They suffered some tough losses, mainly due to one thing. The QB position. Due to injuries, they had to plug in freshman QB Ayoob into the starters role, and he proved to be an INT machine. The great news is that QB Longshore is back to reclaim his starting job. Cal has excellent receivers, will still run the ball great, has an excellent special team, and has an improved defense. They are considered one of the favorites to win the PAC 10 this year. Tenn also suffered a bunch of tough losses, and QB Ainge was a main culprit, and he is back. Tenn suffered more losses to graduation than Cal. Tenn is 8-25 ATS in their last 33 home games, and 0-10 ATS ini their last 10 home games. Cal is the much better team.
UCLA was a very, very lucky team last year. They kept winning games with miracle plays, special teams, key bounces of the ball, despite being ranked #115 in defense. Reality sets in this year. UCLA outscored teams last year, but lost QB Olsen, RB Drew, and TE Lewis to graduation and the NFL. I spent a good part of the beginning of last year betting against Utah after Urban Meyer left. Finally, the line and public caught up to Utah being overrated to the point where at the end of the year Utah was underrated, and I started pounding Utah with my bets with much success. Utah is 14-1ATS in the last 15 games as an underdog. They finished the year on a very high note, shreding Georgia Tech in a bowl game last year 38-10; I had a 5 unit play on Utah in that game. When QB Ratliff took over in the last two games, Utah averaged over 500 yards total offense per game. This is still a high powered offense that UCLA cannot stop. Utah has the better offense and better defense in this game.
Hawaii was rebuilding last year, but showed signs of brilliance in certain games. They return 9 starters to a high powered offense constructed by June Jones, led by amazing QB Colt Brennan. Hawaii moved the ball up and down the field on everyone, including WAC powerhouses Fresno St and Boise St. Hawaii will throw 50+ times a game, and Brenna rarely throws picks. Jerry Glanville took a rebuilt young defense, and improved them from 115th overall to 85th overall. They will only get better. Alabama was carried by an outstandind defense last year, but only return 4 starters, including losing 3 defensive backs and 2 linebackers. The leader of the team, QB Brodie Croyle is now in the NFL. Alabama rarely beats teams by double digits at home. Alabama covered only one of four games last year when favored by double digits, and scored no offensive touchdowns in the one that they did cover. And don't worry about Hawaii struggling on the mainland. They are starting to play better, win, and cover some of these games.Hawaii is an underrated team, and we need to keep an eye on them this year. I might be riding them a lot this year, like the second half of last year.
Hawaii (+16) for 3 units
Utah (+3.5) for 2 units
Cal was a very good team last year with an amazing running game but was a team cursed with bad luck. They suffered some tough losses, mainly due to one thing. The QB position. Due to injuries, they had to plug in freshman QB Ayoob into the starters role, and he proved to be an INT machine. The great news is that QB Longshore is back to reclaim his starting job. Cal has excellent receivers, will still run the ball great, has an excellent special team, and has an improved defense. They are considered one of the favorites to win the PAC 10 this year. Tenn also suffered a bunch of tough losses, and QB Ainge was a main culprit, and he is back. Tenn suffered more losses to graduation than Cal. Tenn is 8-25 ATS in their last 33 home games, and 0-10 ATS ini their last 10 home games. Cal is the much better team.
UCLA was a very, very lucky team last year. They kept winning games with miracle plays, special teams, key bounces of the ball, despite being ranked #115 in defense. Reality sets in this year. UCLA outscored teams last year, but lost QB Olsen, RB Drew, and TE Lewis to graduation and the NFL. I spent a good part of the beginning of last year betting against Utah after Urban Meyer left. Finally, the line and public caught up to Utah being overrated to the point where at the end of the year Utah was underrated, and I started pounding Utah with my bets with much success. Utah is 14-1ATS in the last 15 games as an underdog. They finished the year on a very high note, shreding Georgia Tech in a bowl game last year 38-10; I had a 5 unit play on Utah in that game. When QB Ratliff took over in the last two games, Utah averaged over 500 yards total offense per game. This is still a high powered offense that UCLA cannot stop. Utah has the better offense and better defense in this game.
Hawaii was rebuilding last year, but showed signs of brilliance in certain games. They return 9 starters to a high powered offense constructed by June Jones, led by amazing QB Colt Brennan. Hawaii moved the ball up and down the field on everyone, including WAC powerhouses Fresno St and Boise St. Hawaii will throw 50+ times a game, and Brenna rarely throws picks. Jerry Glanville took a rebuilt young defense, and improved them from 115th overall to 85th overall. They will only get better. Alabama was carried by an outstandind defense last year, but only return 4 starters, including losing 3 defensive backs and 2 linebackers. The leader of the team, QB Brodie Croyle is now in the NFL. Alabama rarely beats teams by double digits at home. Alabama covered only one of four games last year when favored by double digits, and scored no offensive touchdowns in the one that they did cover. And don't worry about Hawaii struggling on the mainland. They are starting to play better, win, and cover some of these games.Hawaii is an underrated team, and we need to keep an eye on them this year. I might be riding them a lot this year, like the second half of last year.
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