Monday Trends And Indexes

[djmauiboy]

Hot Pitchers
-- Sanchez has 2.50 RA in last three starts, but no wins. Traber is 2-0, 4.26 since returning to starting rotation.
-- Atlanta won Smoltz's last three home starts (2-0, 2.63).
-- Hill is 2-0, 2.40 in his last two Wrigley starts. Lieber is 1-0, 1.69 in his last two starts.
-- Dodgers won last four Billingsley starts (3-0, 1.13).

-- Red Sox won four of Wells' last five starts.
-- Haren is 5-0, 1.50 in his last five starts.
-- Eaton is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Pirates lost Duke's last nine road starts.
-- Arroyo is 1-3, 6.40 in his last five starts. Pettitte has 9.90 RA in two starts against Reds this season.
-- Park is 1-3, 6.91 in his last five starts.
-- Giants lost five of Lowry's last seven home starts. LHernandez has 5.52 RA in his first two starts for Arizona.

-- Lidle is 1-2, 3.86 in three Bronx starts.
-- Lilly is 1-3, 5.86 in his last five starts.
-- White Sox are 1-4 in last five Contreras road starts (1-3, 6.00). Verlander is 0-2, 8.18 in his last two starts.
-- Devil Rays lost eight of Shields' last ten starts.

Totals
-- Five of last six Florida games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta home games went over the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine games at Cincinnati.
-- Eight of last eleven Cub games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dodger road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five San Francisco games went over the total.

-- Over is 13-3-1 in last seventeen Fnway games.
-- Nine of last ten Oakland road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven White Sox games.
-- Eight of last eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won three of last four games, but are 3-7 in their last ten home games.
-- Reds are 6-4 in their last ten home games.
-- Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers are 19-3 in their last twenty-two games.

-- Bronx scored 47 runs in first four games of Boston Massacre.
-- A's won eight of their last ten games.
-- White Sox are 7-2 in game after their last nine losses.
-- Rangers won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Florida lost five of their last six home games. Nationals are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eight road games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Cubs are 2-8 in first game of their last ten home series.
-- Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Arizona lost three of their last four games. Giants lost seven of their last ten home games.


-- Red Sox lost five of their last six games.
-- Detroit lost four of their last five games.
-- Devil Rays are 10-26 since All-Star break.

[djmauiboy]

NFL


DALLAS (1 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (1 - 0) - 8/21/2006, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) as a favorite since 1993.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[djmauiboy]

Six-Pack for Monday

-- It still bothers me that Eli Manning stiffed the Chargers; what QB in their right mind doesn't want to play in San Diego?
Dan Fouts, John Hadl.......Helloooooo?????

-- Weekends don't get any more painful than the one the Red Sox just suffered through. Four losses, the shortest of which lasted 3:41. Unless things change very quickly, the Red Sox will be staying at home this October.

-- Red Sox bullpen allowed 23 runs in 16 IP this weekend.

-- Joe Torre gave up his DH in 10th inning last night, as he put Alex Rodriguez in at 3B; this doesn't happen very often and I think it is part of Don Zimmer's influence on Torre, even though Zimmer is long gone from the Bronx.

-- Manny Ramirez has been walked intentionally five times in the last four games. Varitek's absence takes its toll.

-- Someone should teach David Ortiz how to slide, before he hurts himself. Watching him run the bases is painful.

[djmauiboy]

QB ROTATION FOR MNF - NFL


Saints to use Arena League quarterback

The Saints will split QB duties between three signal callers against Dallas, just as they did in their pre-season opener versus Tennessee.

Drew Brees starts, with Todd Bouman likely replacing him mid-way to late in the first quarter.

Bouman is expected to see plenty of action in the game, as Saints head coach Sean Payton tries to determine who is the best backup option behind Brees.

Jamie Martin took most of the snaps last week versus the Titans, but Payton recently told reporters that Martin is likely be replaced on Monday with Jason Fife, a former Arena and NFL Europe quarterback.

“I might not play Jamie, so I can get Jason Fife some snaps, to find out where I`m at with him,” Payton told NewOrleansSaints.com.

The Deuce is loose

Saints running back Deuce McAllister makes his preseason debut against the Cowboys.

McAllister hasn’t played since last October because of a knee injury.

“There’s still some things I’m lacking,” he told The Times-Picayune. “You see some things you were able to do maybe two or three years ago that I haven’t been able to with the knee.”

McAllister and Reggie Bush are both expected see time at running back for the Saints against the Cowboys, with McAllister playing at least one quarter.

Abram the able

Cowboys` first-year safety Abram Elam could see a lot of playing time on Monday, if for no other reason than Bill Parcells has really taken a shine to the former high school quarterback who played college ball at both Notre Dame and Kent State.

During practice last week, Parcells had the 6-foot, 210-pounder running with the second team at strong safety and returning kicks with the first-team return unit.

Parcells told reporters that Elam, whose devastating hit on rookie running back Demetris Summers is still a hot topic at Cowboys’ camp - has a lot to offer.

“He really studies hard,” Parcells told the media. “Extremely, extremely conscientious. Pretty tough. Shows a willingness to tackle.”

Elam wasn’t drafted after college, but tried out for the Dolphins in 2005 before being released. Legal troubles - mainly a conviction for sexual battery – are believed to have stalled his professional career.

Who is this guy?

One player to look for on Monday night is Cowboy’s rookie receiver Sam Hurd.

Hurd, an un-drafted free agent out of Northern Illinois, was a long shot to make the team at the beginning of camp, but appears to have played his way onto the Cowboys with several big catches during practices and scrimmages.

The fact he has knowledge of more than one receiver position also helps his chances, and it looks as though a big performance against the Saints would solidify Hurd’s spot on the team.

Big names in and out of lineup

Drew Bledsoe is in, but Terrell Owens is still out.

Parcells hasn’t said how much Bledsoe will play, but has indicated only Bledsoe and Tony Romo will see time at quarterback.

Romo took every snap in the Cowboys’ game with Seattle.

Neutral site game

The Saints are the home team in this game, but it is being played in a neutral site.

The Cowboys-Saints matchup takes place at Independence Stadium in Shreveport, Louisiana.

[djmauiboy]

Monday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but...............

13) I am convinced that how baseball teams play after August 1 is determined by how much faith the players have in team's front office. Teams with strong front offices are tough after the trading deadline. The other teams tend to go in the tank.

12) Brian Cashman bought Abreu and Lidle on July 31; yeah, he has the only payroll that could afford such a move, but he still took on $19 million in salary- they could have tried to get by on the cheap and win without Abreu, but they didn't, and the Red Sox haven't been the same since.

11) Boston, despite being beset by injuries, did very little to get stronger around the deadline; now they're paying for it.

10) A team like Tampa Bay was 39-50 at All-Star break and showing signs of life; then they trade Huff and Lugo, getting three minor leaguers and Ben Zobrist in return, and the team goes in the tank (10-26 since All-Star break). If the front office doesn't appear to care about winning, will the players?

9) Jose Reyes signs a $23.5M, four-year deal with the Mets, a money team; Lugo couldn't have been asking for more than that. Should Tampa ownership show the fans they care about winning, just a little? This is why some teams always lose.

8) Then there's the Reds, whose GM seems to acquire a new pitcher every other day; the damn guy is trying, and because of it, the Reds are hanging in the race, still clinging to a lead in the Wild Card chase. Their front office is trying to help.

7) White Sox and A's didn't do much around the deadline, but their GMs have solid history of helping their club, so players believe in them. Both teams have played well since the break, because their teams have recent history of success.

6) Padre players were very upset that Dodgers made several moves to get better, while San Diego cut Vinny Castilla, and did nothing to replace him (Todd Walker isn't third baseman, but they have him there). Padres have been awful in August.

5) Not sure how to explain the Astros, other than maybe they needed another bat instead of Roger Clemens at $13M for his half season of pitching. Clemens has pitched well, but Astros cut Preston Wilson, and their offense hasn't been good.

4) Do Phillies' scouts even watch games they go to? Phillies traded for Jamie Moyer this weekend; he is not good, and in a hitters' ballpark like Philly, this could be very ugly. He wasn't good in Safeco, a pitcher's paradise. Phils still have shot at a Wild Card berth, but Jamie Moyer? Eeesh.

3) If Tom Glavine and Pedro Martinez are both lost to Mets in the playoffs, that makes their pitching rotation OHernandez-Maine-Trachsel-Dave Williams. The NL could be wide open.

2) Eldrick Woods has won 10 of the 18 majors he's played in, where par at that course was 72; he is 2 for 22 in the others.

1) Woods is best golfer I've ever seen, but when he's playing well, it is boring to watch-- he has no chance of losing. He is that intimidating. The other players fall apart around him.

[djmauiboy]

Mlb Strength Index

(1) DETROIT [3] | Previous: (1) [3]
Units: +29.1 | Winning PCT: 0.650 | Run DIFF: +1.17
The Tigers finally hit their first rough patch of the season in taking on a couple of Central Division heavyweights. Team leader Ivan Rodriguez went nuts and lost his cool in Chicago, showing a lack of composure. Detroit’s still solidly in first in all three areas, yet schedule remains challenging this week, with games at Boston and four at home with Texas. Detroit starts week 9-17 against the top teams from the AL East and AL Central.


(2) NY METS [7] | Previous: (2) [9]
Units: +15.5 | Winning PCT: 0.612 | Run DIFF: +0.89
Another outstanding week for the Mets had them posting 5-1 record. New York starts the week with a 15-game lead. The biggest enemy for the Mets is complacency, with no other National League team in their area code. Four games in Philly should at least make them interested since they are 36-23 +11.4 units on the road, the best in the senior circuit.


(3) CHI WHITE SOX [11] | Previous: (5) [14]
Units: +10.6 | Winning PCT: 0.603 | Run DIFF: +0.85
Chicago picked a great time to get hot in beating the Yankees and sweeping the Tigers. That makes it 9 of 12 for the defending champs, who are playing at 65% clip at U.S. Cellular. The miserable Royals are in for 4 games and the White Sox are 8-1 as favorites of -200 or better. That is followed by intriguing trip to the Twin Cities.


(4) MINNESOTA [14] | Previous: (4) [13]
Units: +17.3 | Winning PCT: 0.581 | Run DIFF: +0.54
Major League’s 2nd best bet has six important games at the MetroDome this week, with division rivals Cleveland and Chicago arriving in town. Twins still hoping Francisco Liriano can return by at least September. All the good work in Detroit was wasted with, flat home efforts against Toronto. Minny crushing RH pitchers, posting 44-27 record.


(5) BOSTON [16] | Previous: (6) [15]
Units: +6.0 | Winning PCT: 0.586 | Run DIFF: +0.56
Red Sox started week miserably losing three times at Kansas City; however nothing like the haunts of Fenway Park to cure the bats. Boston scored 28 runs against brutal O’s pitching in sweep and regaining ground on the Yankees. Boston has best home winning percentage and incredible homestand this week. Starting with 3 with Detroit and an enormous 5 games with the Yankees.


(6) NY YANKEES [22] | Previous: (3) [12]
Units: -1.5 | Winning PCT: 0.596 | Run DIFF: +0.82
After playing superb baseball for weeks, Yankees pitching let them down, giving up 5.1 RPG this last week. Playing Baltimore at home will help, before traveling north to Bean-Town.


(7) OAKLAND [26] | Previous: (7) [29]
Units: +11.4 | Winning PCT: 0.556 | Run DIFF: +0.03
Oakland has taken command of the West with 14-3 mark since July 26. Eliminate 14-0 whitewashing to Texas, A’s pitching staff had given up 3 RPG in other 16 contests. Winning should continue with three against Seattle, whom they have beaten a dozen straight times and a trip to K.C.


(8) LA DODGERS [28] | Previous: (8) [34]
Units: +1.4 | Winning PCT: 0.525 | Run DIFF: +0.46
The old 1970’s song by Jerry Reed “When you hot, you hot” tells the Dodgers story. Los Angeles is 12-1 August and winners of 15 of 16. Dodger pitchers are dominating like the Koufax and Drysdale era, allowing 2.5 runs per game in current streak. The winning homestand closes with Florida before heading up the coast to face an embarrassed Giants team, whom they just swept.


(9) TORONTO [30] | Previous: (9) [34]
Units: -1.2 | Winning PCT: 0.534 | Run DIFF: +0.40
Toronto has a reason to feel better with 6-2 record including winning three times in Minnesota in last eight days. Blue Jays have favorable road schedule at Tampa Bay and Baltimore. If Toronto expects to make move in Wild Card race, it has to post terrific results this week.


(10) TEXAS [35] | Previous: (13) [40]
Units: -0.0 | Winning PCT: 0.513 | Run DIFF: +0.33
Rangers trying to stay close to A’s winning last five contests. Chance to move back into 2nd place against visiting Angels before four games at Detroit. Texas starts week up 8 units on the road and down 8 units at home.


(11) ARIZONA [39] | Previous: (12) [39]
Units: +4.2 | Winning PCT: 0.504 | Run DIFF: -0.03
Diamondbacks hit the road for a long trip starting in the Rocky Mountains. Arizona is 7th in playing OVER on the road at 56.9%. Currently in 2nd place in the West, Snakes need to start fast in a series, having dropped the opener in the last three.


(12) COLORADO [39] | Previous: (11) [37]
Units: -0.2 | Winning PCT: 0.487 | Run DIFF: +0.21
The Colorado organization has to be happy the team still is competing in the middle of August for division title. Efforts have been made to change the make-up of the club, which have been somewhat successful this season. It still boils down to scoring for the Rockies who are 25-15 in games decided by 4 or more runs and 23-14-2 OVER. Big 4-game series puts them directly in the division picture with three wins. Problem is Rockies 1-5 vs. D-Backs at Coors Field.


(13) LA ANGELS [40] | Previous: (14) [41]
Units: -5.0 | Winning PCT: 0.517 | Run DIFF: +0.17
Nearly impossible team to get a read on. After miserable 3-4 homestand against AL West contenders, the Angels lose series in lowly Cleveland. Headed to the Big Apple lends little reason to expect anything positive to happen, except the Halos win 2 of first 3 games. With Oakland darting off to substantial lead, Angels must stay within range to have a chance.


(14) SAN DIEGO [41] | Previous: (10) [36]
Units: -3.3 | Winning PCT: 0.513 | Run DIFF: +0.05
Padres found out first hand they are not in Mets league at this time, losing three times and scoring 8 total runs. Road trip was salvaged winning at Houston. In order to win the NL West, San Diego has to turn around at Petco Park. Friars are 28-31 at home and the 3rd worst bet in baseball in home park at -12.3 units.


(15) CINCINNATI [42] | Previous: (15) [42]
Units: +3.2 | Winning PCT: 0.517 | Run DIFF: -0.25
Another team that is hard to get a solid read on, even this late in the year. Reds can draw even closer to taking Central Division lead with three games at St. Louis. Cincy has done best work on the road with 30-26 record and up + 10 units. Keeping the games relatively close in evidently the key for the Reds who are 43-32 in games decided by 3 or less runs.


(16) ST LOUIS [48] | Previous: (16) [43]
Units: -10.9 | Winning PCT: 0.530 | Run DIFF: +0.02
The vultures circling above PNC Park might as well have been for the Cardinals who were shamed after losing all three games in Pittsburgh. With Scott Rolen forced to sit out the series with back spasms, the rest of his team-mates scored 3 runs against the less then vaunted Pirate pitchers. Having posted 4-13 record since July 27 leaves little margin for error with Cincinnati coming to town. Redbirds just another ordinary NL club.


(17) FLORIDA [52] | Previous: (18) [57]
Units: +3.0 | Winning PCT: 0.470 | Run DIFF: -0.18
Florida showed gumption hitting the road and winning the first and last games of the two series. Before leaving South Florida the Marlins faced a buzz saw called the Dodgers and lo and behold they get to face them again to start this week. The Wednesday contest is not good news, being an afternoon getaway game, were Florida is just 18-26.


(18) SEATTLE [56] | Previous: (17) [52]
Units: -5.9 | Winning PCT: 0.479 | Run DIFF: -0.08
If ever a team needed to stand up and be counted it is the Mariners. After losing four consecutive times in Texas, Seattle has seven games against the other two teams in the division. The first part of the week is not looking particularly bright having lost 12 in a row to Oakland and 10-25 overall vs. the AL West.


(19) HOUSTON [60] | Previous: (24) [68]
Units: -14.4 | Winning PCT: 0.487 | Run DIFF: -0.05
The Astros moved up five spots in the Strength Index Poll, largely due to starting the month 8-2 before losing the last two games at home to San Diego. This helped the Astros to re-enter the Wild Card picture. If Houston expects to really make it back to the playoffs, beating the Cubs and Milwaukee will go a long way towards possibly making that a reality, while still 25th in money line wagering.


(20) CLEVELAND [60] | Previous: (22) [66]
Units: -19.7 | Winning PCT: 0.453 | Run DIFF: +0.51
OK, the Indians are having a terrible year, but does that mean they have to roll over? Of course not, after winning 6 straight. They can make life miserable for the contenders ahead of them and earn back some of the – 19.7 units they have cost their followers.


(21) PHILADELPHIA [64] | Previous: (20) [62]
Units: -14.5 | Winning PCT: 0.483 | Run DIFF: -0.08
Just as the Phillies were starting to play like they had a heart, they lose 2 of 3 to the team leading the Wild Card race Cincinnati. Philadelphia has been hearing it from the home fans and why not with 28-33 mark, losing the most units of any team in baseball at home.(-15.4) Additionally, the Phils are putrid 15-25 as underdog.


(22) ATLANTA [64] | Previous: (21) [63]
Units: -16.8 | Winning PCT: 0.466 | Run DIFF: +0.03
The Braves hitters are 3rd in runs scored and 2nd in homers in the NL. The Braves pitchers are 10th in runs allowed and 11th in pitches leaving the yard in the senior circuit. Guess which plays a bigger role in the Atlanta season?


(23) MILWAUKEE [66] | Previous: (26) [70]
Units: -9.2 | Winning PCT: 0.470 | Run DIFF: -0.71
Maybe Milwaukee manager Ned Yost should have the players bring their own bed sheets from home after losing another road series and are now 21-38 as a visitor. Brewers have lost 7 consecutive series on the road heading to Pittsburgh.


(24) WASHINGTON [68] | Previous: (23) [67]
Units: -8.2 | Winning PCT: 0.436 | Run DIFF: -0.56
It is never quite enough for the Nationals whose last 9 losses have been by 2 or less runs. Nats have drawn the second most walks in the NL, yet have scored 68 fewer runs the Philadelphia, who has drawn two fewer passes.


(25) SAN FRANCISCO [68] | Previous: (19) [62]
Units: -13.2 | Winning PCT: 0.462 | Run DIFF: -0.09
After hanging around for most of the season, the Giants poor line-up finally caught up with them. Team is desperate need of a face lift, starting with the left-fielder.


(26) BALTIMORE [75] | Previous: (25) [70]
Units: -10.3 | Winning PCT: 0.432 | Run DIFF: -0.84
Don’t the Orioles have somebody in the minors who can pitch as poorly as they guys. Slumping Red Sox scored better then 9 runs a game in sweep of O’s. Only good news to report on this team is 42-29-7 OVER mark in night games.


(27) KANSAS CITY [77] | Previous: (28) [81]
Units: -5.4 | Winning PCT: 0.347 | Run DIFF: -1.51
Reality is often a cruel customer, after the Royals won all three home games against Boston. Departing Kansas City only made the 15-44 road record make them seem more helpless.


(28) TAMPA BAY [78] | Previous: (27) [72]
Units: -9.3 | Winning PCT: 0.398 | Run DIFF: -1.03
Heading to the West Coast has been a real problem for the D-Rays after losing six in a row this past week. That brings their overall record to 5-21 against the AL West. At least they can return home to the West side of Florida this week.


(29) CHICAGO CUBS [82] | Previous: (29) [81]
Units: -15.9 | Winning PCT: 0.419 | Run DIFF: -0.97
Did you realize the Cubs are 37-63 with all other pitchers not named Zambrano?


(30) PITTSBURGH [84] | Previous: (30) [83]
Units: -20.0 | Winning PCT: 0.381 | Run DIFF: -0.62
Let’s focus on the positive here. Pittsburgh is now 31-28 at PNC Park and the bullpen has a home ERA of 3.30 after taking out the first place Cardinals. Now isn’t that positive?

[Udog]

What did you do??? Hire a crew to work all night?? LOL!!! Nice goin', dj! Good luck today! Thanks!

[djmauiboy]

Lol...i Think I Broke My Copy And Paste Button.

[djmauiboy]

Dunkel

MONDAY, AUGUST 21

Game 901-902: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Traber) 15.375; Florida (Sanchez) 15.220
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.162; Atlanta (Smoltz) 16.186
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-1 1/2); Neutral

Game 905-906: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Pettitte) 15.169; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.098
Dunkel Line: Even; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1 1/2); Under

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lieber) 16.564; Chicago Cubs (Hill) 15.500
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.779; San Diego (Park) 15.345
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

Game 911-912: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hernandez) 15.499; San Francisco (Lowry) 15.944
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 913-914: NY Yankees at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Lidle) 17.573; Boston (Wells) 15.439
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-1 1/2); Under

Game 915-916: Oakland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Haren) 17.472; Toronto (Lilly) 16.498
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+1 1/2); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago White Sox (Contreras) 16.870; Detroit (Verlander) 16.753
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+1 1/2); Under

Game 919-920: Texas at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Eaton) 17.767; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.224
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Pro Baseball Trend Report

WASHINGTON (54 - 70) at FLORIDA (57 - 66) - 7:05 PM
BILLY TRABER (L) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 13-37 (-18.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 57-64 (+3.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 135-150 (+0.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 134-145 (+4.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 140-146 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 113-103 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 136-147 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 66-75 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 8-7 (+1.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.6 Units)



BILLY TRABER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
No recent starts.



ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.389.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)




PITTSBURGH (47 - 77) at ATLANTA (58 - 65) - 7:05 PM
ZACH DUKE (L) vs. JOHN SMOLTZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 47-77 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 15-47 (-26.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 47-77 (-22.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 9-29 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-28 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
PITTSBURGH is 10-37 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
PITTSBURGH is 47-72 (-21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 1-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
DUKE is 1-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 123-86 (+26.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 58-65 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 25-31 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 56-64 (-17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 40-45 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 (+0.7 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)



ZACH DUKE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
DUKE is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.08 and a WHIP of 0.960.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)



JOHN SMOLTZ vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SMOLTZ is 7-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.46 and a WHIP of 0.824.
His team's record is 7-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-6. (-3.9 units)




HOUSTON (59 - 65) at CINCINNATI (64 - 60) - 7:10 PM
ANDY PETTITTE (L) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 60-65 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 60-65 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 43-46 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 44-55 (-20.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 27-32 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CINCINNATI is 42-31 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 86-108 (-37.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 187-207 (-49.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 173-210 (-62.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 187-183 (-51.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 7-2 (+5.7 Units) against HOUSTON this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)



ANDY PETTITTE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PETTITTE is 3-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.646.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-6. (-4.6 units)



BRONSON ARROYO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ARROYO is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.518.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)




PHILADELPHIA (61 - 62) at CHICAGO CUBS (53 - 70) - 8:05 PM
JON LIEBER (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 61-62 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 60-60 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 38-45 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LIEBER is 2-15 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)
LIEBER is 6-13 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LIEBER is 0-7 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 134-152 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 64-75 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 117-158 (-47.4 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 64-75 (-29.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-75 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 58-63 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



JON LIEBER vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LIEBER is 2-3 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.93 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.2 units)



RICH HILL vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.




LA DODGERS (66 - 58) at SAN DIEGO (62 - 62) - 10:05 PM
CHAD BILLINGSLEY (R) vs. CHAN HO PARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 93-107 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-18 (+5.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PARK is 78-49 (+25.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
PARK is 46-25 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 16-3 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
LA DODGERS are 66-55 (+6.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 30-36 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 15-25 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games in August games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-18 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
SAN DIEGO is 30-36 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 24-30 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 11-19 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 8-3 (+5.5 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)



CHAD BILLINGSLEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BILLINGSLEY is 0-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



CHAN HO PARK vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
PARK is 2-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.622.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.8 units)




ARIZONA (62 - 62) at SAN FRANCISCO (59 - 65) - 10:15 PM
LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R) vs. NOAH LOWRY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 43-78 (-35.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 88-122 (-42.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-9 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 552-423 (+97.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LOWRY is 11-3 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 62-63 (+2.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 72-72 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 68-55 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 62-60 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 47-47 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HERNANDEZ is 19-13 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 19-13 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 59-65 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 59-65 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-61 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LOWRY is 9-19 (-11.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-6 (+0.9 Units) against ARIZONA this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)



LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 3-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.88 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.8 units)



NOAH LOWRY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LOWRY is 4-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.346.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)




NY YANKEES (74 - 48) at BOSTON (69 - 54) - 1:05 PM
CORY LIDLE (R) vs. DAVID WELLS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 96-72 (-24.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 108-49 (+35.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
WELLS is 187-99 (+54.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 15-2 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 22-8 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 40-20 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 6-13 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
BOSTON is 67-61 (-13.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-17 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 4-11 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 9-5 (+3.8 Units) against BOSTON this season
11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.6 Units)



CORY LIDLE vs. BOSTON since 1997
LIDLE is 2-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 7.01 and a WHIP of 1.626.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.7 units)



DAVID WELLS vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WELLS is 6-5 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.078.
His team's record is 7-6 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.4 units)




OAKLAND (70 - 54) at TORONTO (66 - 58) - 7:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. TED LILLY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 47-26 (+19.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 105-79 (+32.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 97-71 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 64-41 (+21.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 70-54 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 41-25 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 34-28 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 19-13 (+9.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 19-6 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in August games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 41-30 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 30-23 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 22-16 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 18-38 (-18.1 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 30-36 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-3 (+1.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.6 Units)



DAN HAREN vs. TORONTO since 1997
HAREN is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.061.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)



TED LILLY vs. OAKLAND since 1997
LILLY is 3-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.45 and a WHIP of 1.563.
His team's record is 3-4 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.6 units)




CHI WHITE SOX (73 - 50) at DETROIT (79 - 45) - 7:05 PM
JOSE CONTRERAS (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 80-45 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 47-19 (+22.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 37-19 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
DETROIT is 73-39 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 54-24 (+27.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 52-32 (+15.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 184-113 (+42.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-11 (+17.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 90-55 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 83-45 (+21.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 167-99 (+41.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 116-76 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 132-70 (+46.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 89-57 (+28.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-13 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CONTRERAS is 16-6 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 9-3 (+6.1 Units) against DETROIT this season
11 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+9.9 Units)



JOSE CONTRERAS vs. DETROIT since 1997
CONTRERAS is 8-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.01 and a WHIP of 1.151.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-5. (+4.6 units)



JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
VERLANDER is 0-3 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 9.88 and a WHIP of 2.195.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)




TEXAS (65 - 60) at TAMPA BAY (49 - 75) - 7:15 PM
ADAM EATON (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 31-30 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 31-30 (+7.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 49-47 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 34-37 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 18-13 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 35-42 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 65-60 (+2.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 34-29 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 13-6 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in August games this season.
TEXAS is 52-42 (+6.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 172-153 (+22.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 106-70 (+23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 5-0 (+5.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)



ADAM EATON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
EATON is 0-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



JAMES SHIELDS vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

[djmauiboy]

Hot Streaks

John Smoltz (Atlanta Braves) - Smoltz tries to win his fifth straight start at Turner Field. He hasn`t lost at home since June 7, and is 6-3 with a 2.99 ERA at home this season. Smoltz, favored at -198 today, is 18-11 with a 3.24 career ERA against the Pirates.

Dan Haren (Oakland Athletics) - Haren goes after his sixth consecutive victory, and his fourth consecutive against the Blue Jays today. Haren has won five in a row and held opponents to a combined six runs - five earned - over 36 innings. The A`s are -114 favorites in Toronto.

Chad Billingsley (Los Angeles Dodgers) - Billingsley is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA over his last four outings after striking out nine and giving up three hits over seven innings in a 4-0 victory over Florida on Tuesday. The Dodgers are -118 favorites in San Diego.

Cold Streaks

Justin Verlander (Detroit Tigers) - Cold is a relative term here, but the Tigers rookie hasn`t looked his dominating self in the past two games. Verlander`s attempt to change his mechanics failed to bring the desired results in his most recent start against Boston on Wednesday. Verlander allowed five runs in six innings, striking out two and walking a career-high seven in a 6-4 loss. He is 0-3 with a 9.88 ERA in three starts against the White Sox this season, including a defeat to Jose Contreras August 11. Detroit is a slim -114 home favorite today against Contreras and the White Sox.

Other Notables

Andy Pettitte (Houston Astros) - Pettitte is coming off one of his best starts of the season despite getting the loss in it. He gave up one run and four hits while striking out seven in a complete-game 1-0 heartbreaker to the Cubs on Wednesday. The Astros are +111 underdogs in Cincinnati.

[Udog]

From post #6: "Mlb Strength Index "

I really like this, dj! I don't remember seeing this one before. Is this put out on days that new series start? Or daily?

[pm530]

djmauiboy

Thanks for the early post!
(at least its early over here on the left coast!!)

Lets all have a good week!!

[djmauiboy]

From post #6: "Mlb Strength Index "

I really like this, dj! I don't remember seeing this one before. Is this put out on days that new series start? Or daily?

THIS IS BRAND NEW FROM WHAT I CAN GATHER. IT LOOKS LIKE IT STARTED ABOUT TWO WEEKS AGO.

ONLY THING IS DUE TO THE COMPILATION OF STATS, IT'S BASED ON LAST WEEKS PERFORMANCE. I NOTICED THE WRITE UP ON THE YANKS WAS GOING INTO GAME 1 VS BOSTON, SO I'M GUESSING THE STRENGTH INDEX COMES OUT ON THE WEEKEND. SAFE TO SAY IT'LL BE OUT ON MONDAYS.
-----------------------------------
GOT A TIP FOR YOU UDOGG
CUBBIES OBVIOUSLY NOT PLAYING WELL THIS SEASON, BUT LOOK AT THEIR RECORD VS NL CENTRAL TEAMS.
HORRIBLE AGAINST THE MLB, BUT ON FIRE VS NL CENTRAL
17-41 VS THE REST OF THE MLB
35-27 VS NL CENTRAL
GAINING YOU +13 UNITS
--------------------------------

HEY PM, I WAS ON EARLY, SO I JUST DECIDED TO HELP OUT TODAY AND LET YOU GUYS ENJOY YOUR MORNING
--------------------------------------

GL ALL

[Udog]

From dj: "HORRIBLE AGAINST THE MLB, BUT ON FIRE VS NL CENTRAL
17-41 VS THE REST OF THE MLB
35-27 VS NL CENTRAL
GAINING YOU +13 UNITS"

Thank you, dj!!!! What a guy!