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Red Sox -103 (Wells/Verlander)
Well, looking at these pitchers over the course of the season would lead you to believe the Tigers have a strong advantage on the mound tonight. I’m not so sure that’s the case, as David Wells has been in much better form than Verlander in recent starts.
Everything I’m hearing indicates that Verlander has a dead arm. His last two outings have done nothing to dissuade that thought, as he gave up 21 total hits in those games, despite pitching only 5 innings in each.
Boomer Wells, on the other hand, has only given up 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his two starts this month. Combined with the Tigers’ awful numbers against lefties (4.4 rpg against LHSP, .261 batting average), I would expect him to have at least moderate success in this one.
Even if Wells does struggle, he should get plenty of support, as the Red Sox just kill righties (5.8 rpg against RHSP, .290 batting average), and they should take the finale at Fenway, where they have only been swept one time this decade.
The oddsmakers aren’t in the business of giving away money, and they made the pitcher with the 6.93 ERA a -112 favorite over the one with a 2.96 ERA for a reason. The line seems to have settled at -103, and that’s the number at which I’m playing it.
Best of luck everyone!
Well, looking at these pitchers over the course of the season would lead you to believe the Tigers have a strong advantage on the mound tonight. I’m not so sure that’s the case, as David Wells has been in much better form than Verlander in recent starts.
Everything I’m hearing indicates that Verlander has a dead arm. His last two outings have done nothing to dissuade that thought, as he gave up 21 total hits in those games, despite pitching only 5 innings in each.
Boomer Wells, on the other hand, has only given up 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his two starts this month. Combined with the Tigers’ awful numbers against lefties (4.4 rpg against LHSP, .261 batting average), I would expect him to have at least moderate success in this one.
Even if Wells does struggle, he should get plenty of support, as the Red Sox just kill righties (5.8 rpg against RHSP, .290 batting average), and they should take the finale at Fenway, where they have only been swept one time this decade.
The oddsmakers aren’t in the business of giving away money, and they made the pitcher with the 6.93 ERA a -112 favorite over the one with a 2.96 ERA for a reason. The line seems to have settled at -103, and that’s the number at which I’m playing it.
Best of luck everyone!
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