NFL Angle?

[weazel079]

Anyone know how this angle had done long term in the NFL Regular season? Play on an NFL Home Dog getting 3.5 to 5.5 points. Thanks if anyone can find this out.

[jcindaville]

I am no help sorry

[weazel079]

I am no help sorry

Frank is the one that can figure this out with his database. The reason is I saw this on another site and it was stated that it hits 76% in the long run but I find it hard to believe.

[TMAC951]

I do the Home Dog getting 3.5 alot of times and it has worked ata pretty good % for me..

[CheechB03]

The reason is I saw this on another site and it was stated that it hits 76% in the long run but I find it hard to believe.

76% No way. It's a money burner.

Since 1989:

157-151

Last season a poor 7-14. Dogs took a beating last season.

Home +3.5 dogs

59-47 a slight winner

[CheechB03]

Home dogs of +2.5 or less is a good investment

172-131

[weazel079]

thank you Frank

[10DimeBry]

i dont have any stats here at work but if my memory is correct, dogs have taken a beating last 2yrs. and i remember vividly that popular favorites ie....pats,colts,steelers, etc covered surprising more than they should. IMO last year the square bettor made a killing.

[CheechB03]

i dont have any stats here at work but if my memory is correct, dogs have taken a beating last 2yrs. and i remember vividly that popular favorites ie....pats,colts,steelers, etc covered surprising more than they should. IMO last year the square bettor made a killing.

You are correct. The past two season dogs have taken a beating. Last season they were slaughtered. I'm a dog player in the NFL. I've done poorly the last two season.

Overall last season in the NFL home dogs 28-47 OUCH

[CheechB03]

Home Dogs have done poorly the past three season. Since 2003:
99-124

After further research aside from 2002 (49-34) and 2001 (44-37) home dogs have done poorly since 2000

[weazel079]

Did favorites hit something like 58% last year in the NFL? If someone bet all favorites last season they would have made a fortune.

[CheechB03]

Did favorites hit something like 58% last year in the NFL? If someone bet all favorites last season they would have made a fortune.

58% is correct

142-103

Favorites were over 59% thru week 13. Favorites flattened out the last few weeks of the season.

[BigWeiner]

What are the numbers on Dogs +2.5 as straight up winners? The moneyline on those plays is probably +125, right? So even a split would be solid

[CheechB03]

What are the numbers on Dogs +2.5 as straight up winners? The moneyline on those plays is probably +125, right? So even a split would be solid

Since 1989

All +2.5 dogs

ATS: 127-114
SU: 113-127

Home +2.5 dogs

ATS: 64-40
SU: 58-46

[BigWeiner]

Thanks Frank, what about all Home Dogs SU?