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Complete disappointment is the best way to describe Friday. I did final table in a 900 person tournament as I watched everything lose, but that doesn't help anyone who read my thread. Anyway, sorry Garza didn't live up to the buzz - though I hope he gets another start, he actually wasn't nearly as bad as it looked, and I'll probably give him another chance.
So, taking a little different tact Saturday, and playing two totals.
Baseball Plays (+2.04 units)
Orioles (Benson) @ Red Sox (Johnson) Over 11 (+101)
A lot of people don't like taking over big numbers or under small numbers - I am the opposite. These totals are set that high for a very good reason. Namely, both these pitchers are horrendous, and both bullpens suck as well.
The Orioles have lost Benson's last five starts. He got beat up in four of those, including all three road starts, where he gave up 17 runs in 14 innings. It's his first start in three weeks, and he a) won't last long and b) shouldn't be that effective when he is in the game.
The Indians/Red Sox have lost Jason Johnson's last 8 starts. Since coming to Boston, the only thing even resembling a quality start was his last time out, against Tampa Bay's inept offense (see below).
Both bullpens are awful. Baltimore's pen has an ERA above 5, and the Red Sox pen has been terrible lately, with even Papelbon looking like a shell of what he did early this season.
Anyway, the team that wins this game is going to have to score a lot of runs, as far as I can tell.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays (Fossum) @ Oakland A's (Blanton) Under 9 (-105)
Not much to say here really. The A's are the worst team in all of baseball against LHSP (3.8 rpg), and the Rays are the worst team in all of baseball against RHSP (4.1 rpg).
Both pitchers are hot lately, as Fossum has a 3.60 ERA last five, and Blanton has a 3.46 ERA last five. Fossum's road numbers are worse than his overall numbers, but Blanton's home numbers are better than his overall numbers, so that should even out.
Best of luck guys!
P.S. - JC, I was going to post in your thread that OU/Texas is a neutral site game (you said it was a home game for OU in Kapt's bowl thread), but I never saw one. I actually think Thompson will adapt very well to offensive coordinator Wilson, after struggling under Chuck Long last season, and the Sooner will win this game regardless.
So, taking a little different tact Saturday, and playing two totals.
Baseball Plays (+2.04 units)
Orioles (Benson) @ Red Sox (Johnson) Over 11 (+101)
A lot of people don't like taking over big numbers or under small numbers - I am the opposite. These totals are set that high for a very good reason. Namely, both these pitchers are horrendous, and both bullpens suck as well.
The Orioles have lost Benson's last five starts. He got beat up in four of those, including all three road starts, where he gave up 17 runs in 14 innings. It's his first start in three weeks, and he a) won't last long and b) shouldn't be that effective when he is in the game.
The Indians/Red Sox have lost Jason Johnson's last 8 starts. Since coming to Boston, the only thing even resembling a quality start was his last time out, against Tampa Bay's inept offense (see below).
Both bullpens are awful. Baltimore's pen has an ERA above 5, and the Red Sox pen has been terrible lately, with even Papelbon looking like a shell of what he did early this season.
Anyway, the team that wins this game is going to have to score a lot of runs, as far as I can tell.
Tampa Bay Devil Rays (Fossum) @ Oakland A's (Blanton) Under 9 (-105)
Not much to say here really. The A's are the worst team in all of baseball against LHSP (3.8 rpg), and the Rays are the worst team in all of baseball against RHSP (4.1 rpg).
Both pitchers are hot lately, as Fossum has a 3.60 ERA last five, and Blanton has a 3.46 ERA last five. Fossum's road numbers are worse than his overall numbers, but Blanton's home numbers are better than his overall numbers, so that should even out.
Best of luck guys!
P.S. - JC, I was going to post in your thread that OU/Texas is a neutral site game (you said it was a home game for OU in Kapt's bowl thread), but I never saw one. I actually think Thompson will adapt very well to offensive coordinator Wilson, after struggling under Chuck Long last season, and the Sooner will win this game regardless.
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