Tweet
Assuming the White Sox don't do something crazy, loser Wednesday.
Baseball Plays (+1.94 units)
I think we get a really nice price on the Cardinals to avenge their brutal loss Wednesday night.
St. Louis Cardinals +110 (Reyes/Arroyo)
Their ERAs won't show it, but these two pitchers are basically evenly matched. Since a fabulous start, Arroyo hasn't been very good at all. He had 9 wins almost three months ago, and he is still on that number today. His last three starts have been particularly bad, as he has given up 17 runs (16 earned) in those 18.1 innings.
Reyes doesn't give up anywhere near as many hits, but he has had a problem walking people. That shouldn't be much of a problem tomorrow, as the Reds are among the most free-swinging teams in all of baseball. He is a better pitcher than his 4.65 ERA would indicate, as his WHIP is virtually identical to Arroyo's.
The Cardinals average 0.5 more rpg against RHSP than LHSP, and the Reds average 1.2 fewer rpg against RHSP than LHSP.
Also, there is an angle that strongly favors the Cardinals. That would be record in day games:
St. Louis: 29-12
Cincinnati: 17-22
Best of luck guys. I will probably be adding the White Sox, I just want to see what the line does.
Baseball Plays (+1.94 units)
I think we get a really nice price on the Cardinals to avenge their brutal loss Wednesday night.
St. Louis Cardinals +110 (Reyes/Arroyo)
Their ERAs won't show it, but these two pitchers are basically evenly matched. Since a fabulous start, Arroyo hasn't been very good at all. He had 9 wins almost three months ago, and he is still on that number today. His last three starts have been particularly bad, as he has given up 17 runs (16 earned) in those 18.1 innings.
Reyes doesn't give up anywhere near as many hits, but he has had a problem walking people. That shouldn't be much of a problem tomorrow, as the Reds are among the most free-swinging teams in all of baseball. He is a better pitcher than his 4.65 ERA would indicate, as his WHIP is virtually identical to Arroyo's.
The Cardinals average 0.5 more rpg against RHSP than LHSP, and the Reds average 1.2 fewer rpg against RHSP than LHSP.
Also, there is an angle that strongly favors the Cardinals. That would be record in day games:
St. Louis: 29-12
Cincinnati: 17-22
Best of luck guys. I will probably be adding the White Sox, I just want to see what the line does.
Comment