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Home dog for Wednesday

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  • Home dog for Wednesday

    Picked up three dollars yesterday, as the White Sox held off the Yankees, but the Reds exploded late to push that game over the total.
    Yesterday, this line moved with the Yankees, but I don't think that happens again today. If it does, I'll just be amazed, and hope the result is the same.

    Baseball Plays (+2.94 units)

    Chicago White Sox +105 (Garland/Johnson)
    Everyone is expecting the Yankees to just run away with this division now that the Red Sox are struggling, but I just don't see it. The Yankees had been beating up on the sisters of the poor, and that was stopped when they were badly outplayed Tuesday by the White Sox. They are at best slightly better than the White Sox, and they send the inferior pitcher to the mound in this one.
    Outside Bedard and Zambrano, Jon Garland has been the best pitcher in baseball the past couple months. The White Sox have won his last nine starts, and given up 2 runs or less in six of those games. His home ERA is 3.50, and it is well under 3 the last two months.. He's faced the Yankees three times in the last three years (I think that's his only three career starts against them - not sure. That's as far as my database goes.), and has been very successful. The Yankees scored only a total of 9 runs in those games.
    Despite putting up average numbers, Randy Johnson continues to be bizarrely overpriced. His ERA is 5.12, road ERA is 5.16, and last five starts it's 5.08. He's only 11-9 with one of the best offenses in baseball behind him (as compared to Garland's 12-3).
    CWS average 5.3 rpg against LHSP, NYY average 5.3 rpg against RHSP, so no concern there. White Sox home record is 9 games better than the Yanks' road record, and I think the second part of the sweep goes here.

    Small personal play:
    Under 10 (-112) - Yankees hit lefties better, White Sox hit righties better. Before Tuesday's game (which took extra innings to go over), the last five meetings in Chicago had gone under, and seven straight NYY games went under.

    Good luck to everyone!
    Records:

    NCAA Hoops (38-34-2, +4.59*)
    NFL Sides (34-25, +12.15*)
    NFL Totals (18-14-1, +8.23*)
    NCAA Foots Plays (65-48-4, +21.47*)
    NBA Plays (4-1-0, +5.92*)

  • #2
    GL tomorrow Anthony

    Comment


    • #3
      Good Luck TP
      MLB Picks
      27-32
      NFL Picks
      1-0

      Red Hot Plays
      4-1


      All Picks are one unit, Red Hot 5

      Comment


      • #4
        Good Luck Anthony
        "Calling an illegal alien an 'undocumented immigrant'
        is like calling a drug dealer an 'unlicensed pharmacist'"

        Comment


        • #5
          Best of luck Paper!

          Comment


          • #6
            Gl, Tp
            On the Outside Looking In

            Comment


            • #7
              good luck
              THINK BLUE

              Comment


              • #8
                Good luck TP!! Can't believe Garland is a dog at home. Like this play as well. He's been excellent recently only hiccup was in Baltimore and I believe he had the flu that week.

                Good luck!!

                Kappa

                Comment


                • #9
                  Nice writeup as usual- Good Luck Anthony
                  "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    best of luck TP

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      gl TP

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                      • #12
                        gl tp!

                        NCAA Hoops 14-14-1 -2.35 units NFL 2-1 +1 unit
                        NBA 6-7-1 -2.32 units NHL 10-4-1 +3.95 units
                        MLB 6-7-1 -2.95u WNBA 1-0 +1u. NCAAF 3-1 +1.5 u

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          GL Paper
                          Questions, comments, complaints:
                          [email protected]

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            good luck with the Chisox Paper
                            MLB (2014): (3-4) -.9 units

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                            • #15
                              gl, TP


                              hammy

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