Saturday Trends and Indexes

[Udog]

Six-Pack for Saturday

-- At any other point in the history of time has the National League had worse teams? Right now, two of their four in playoffs would be three games over .500, and Cardinals are 15-24 in their last 39 games- they're second best NL team.

-- Boy, do the Indians have an awful bullpen.

-- Barry Bonds' 715th home run ball sold for $220,100 on ebay this week. Bonds got tossed in ninth inning Friday for arguing balls/strikes-- after he had hit homer #723.

-- Losing offensive coordinator Chuck Long to San Diego State is now bigger problem for Oklahoma, since they have to coach up a kid to play QB that they had demoted to WR. Good luck with that one.

-- Are Jacksonville Jaguars only NFL team that sells beer at their training camp practices?

-- A's have now won ten straight games against Mariners.

[Udog]

Saturday's List of 13: A closer look at NFL officiating.........

Through the help of a buddy, *************** has gotten hold of the booklets NFL officials give out to the media each season; it is 75 pages, filled with diagrams, charts and stats that track a lot of the little things that occur in NFL games. Here are some of the more interesting tidbits I pulled out of this very interesting booklet……….

13) While this is a great book, it is frustrating, because they don't include challenges and reversals by team, and by referee. You just know some refs are less likely to overturn a call than others, and it would be fun to know which ones were which. And it would also be great fun to see which coaches butchered the challenge system, and which ones used it to their advantage.

12) For some reason, they do include team info for playoff games; since '99, Cowher is 7-9 on challenges in playoff tilts. . Reid is 4-6, Belichick 4-7. Jeff Fisher is 1-4; the Bucs are 2-6.

11) In the last two NFL seasons, 31% of replay challenges were reversed in regular season (180-578), but in postseason games, 63% (20-32) of challenges were reversed.

10) Confirming our theory that NFL games are over-officiated, there were 4,436 penalties called last year, the most since at least 1990; 84.6% of those were accepted. 1990 was last time less than 80% of penalties called were accepted.

9) They're cracking down on DB's; in '01, there were 129 defensive holds called; last year, 247. In last two seasons, an average of 177.7 illegal contacts per season were called; in the nine years from 1995-2003, an average of 69.4 were called.

8) In 81 of 256 games last year (32%) there were no replay reviews.

7) The average length of a review last season was 1:07.

6) When coaches challenge spot of ball to gain/overturn a first down, they were successful just 5 of 22 times (22.7%).

5) Last year, there were 852 false starts called and 880 offensive holdings, both record highs. In 1990, there were only 408 false starts; why the increase?

4) Rams had 47 false start penalties, nine more than any other team (Giants 38, Redskins 37). Hopefully the new coaching staff in St Louis can clean that up. Carolina had only 11 false starts all year.

3) In case you were wondering, there were an average of 152.75 plays in an NFL game last year, with an average of 41.23 points scored.

2) On challenges involving complete/incomplete passes; coaches were right on 44.8% of challenges involving balls officials ruled complete (13-29) but were 0-15 on balls that officials ruled incomplete.

1) In 1990, roughing the passer was called 35 times; in last four years, it was called an average of 121 times. Somewhere in western Pennsylvania, Jack Lambert is growling.

[Udog]

cfl trends

SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 3) at CALGARY (3 - 4) - 8/5/2006, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

WNBA Basketball Trend Report

SAN ANTONIO (12 - 17) at INDIANA (18 - 11) - 8/5/2006, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) against Western conference opponents since 1997.
INDIANA is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




CHICAGO (4 - 25) at NEW YORK (8 - 21) - 8/5/2006, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 1-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




LOS ANGELES (23 - 8) at PHOENIX (13 - 16) - 8/5/2006, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games in August or September games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
PHOENIX is 95-63 ATS (+25.7 Units) in home games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in home games in August or September games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

Pro Baseball Trend Report

ATLANTA (50 - 58) at CINCINNATI (56 - 53) - 1:20 PM
JASON SHIELL (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 50-58 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 48-57 (-17.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ATLANTA is 39-46 (-14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ATLANTA is 26-32 (-9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 18-9 (+19.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 since 1997.
ATLANTA is 15-6 (+11.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 46-25 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 45-46 (-28.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 10-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 17-21 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 170-208 (-63.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 184-181 (-52.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)



JASON SHIELL vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.



BRONSON ARROYO vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ARROYO is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.778.
His team's record is 3-2 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)




COLORADO (53 - 55) at SAN FRANCISCO (52 - 57) - 9:05 PM
JASON JENNINGS (R) vs. NOAH LOWRY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 316-222 (+63.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 547-417 (+98.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LOWRY is 10-1 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 54-55 (+2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 54-55 (+2.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 15-8 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-57 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 52-57 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-58 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-31 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
LOWRY is 1-7 (-7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-4 (+2.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)



JASON JENNINGS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
JENNINGS is 6-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.91 and a WHIP of 1.741.
His team's record is 8-8 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-3.2 units)



NOAH LOWRY vs. COLORADO since 1997
LOWRY is 1-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 6.99 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)




TEXAS (56 - 54) at LA ANGELS (55 - 54) - 4:05 PM
JOHN KORONKA (L) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 224-209 (+19.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 41-33 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 30-24 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TEXAS is 30-23 (+11.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 41-27 (+17.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 208-194 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 53-51 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 19-14 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-54 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 25-28 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA ANGELS are 4-12 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.
LA ANGELS are 13-19 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 48-48 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 8-14 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-4 (+0.7 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.8 Units)



JOHN KORONKA vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
KORONKA is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



ERVIN SANTANA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SANTANA is 2-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 7.88 and a WHIP of 1.688.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)




NY YANKEES (65 - 41) at BALTIMORE (49 - 61) - 4:35 PM
MIKE MUSSINA (R) vs. ADAM LOEWEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 115-79 (-51.2 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more since 1997.
MUSSINA is 39-31 (-29.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 37-35 (+8.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 123-150 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 66-76 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 126-181 (-71.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 105-130 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 177-222 (-72.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 45-84 (-32.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-44 (-23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 5-2 (+2.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)



MIKE MUSSINA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MUSSINA is 9-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.180.
His team's record is 10-7 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-10. (-5.1 units)



ADAM LOEWEN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
LOEWEN is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

[djmauiboy]

Texas at L.A. Angels
After losing six straight, Texas has righted the ship by winning five of six, including the last four on the road. The Angels are just 1-4 on the current homestand and under .500 (25-28) on the season. The Rangers look like a solid play getting the run line today according to Dunkel, which has Texas favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, AUGUST 5
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Atlanta at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Shiell) 15.03; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.20
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 10
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+1 1/2); Over

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lieber) 17.41; NY Mets (Glavine) 16.10
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+1 1/2); Over

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.92; Chicago Cubs (Prior) 15.67
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 907-908: LA Dodgers at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.03; Florida (Johnson) 16.21
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+1 1/2); Under

Game 909-910: Milwaukee at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.08; St. Louis (Reyes) 13.72
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+1 1/2); Over

Game 911-912: Colorado at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jennings) 15.64; San Francisco (Lowry) 14.24
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

Game 913-914: Houston at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Clemens) 15.26; Arizona (Nippert) 14.53
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 915-916: Washington at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Astacio) 15.39; San Diego (Thompson) 14.76
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago White Sox (Vazquez) 16.05; Toronto (Rosario) 15.42
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 919-920: Oakland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Haren) 17.12; Seattle (Pineiro) 16.12
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+1 1/2); Neutral

Game 921-922: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Koronka) 16.87; LA Angels (Santana) 16.30
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+1 1/2); Over

Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Mussina) 17.65; Baltimore (Loewen) 15.21
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-1 1/2); Neutral

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 15.84; Detroit (Rogers) 17.29
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

Game 927-928: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Silva) 16.90; Kansas City (Hernandez) 14.98
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-1 1/2); Over

Game 929-930: Boston at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wells) 15.88; Tampa Bay (Fossum) 15.17
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+1 1/2); Under

[pm530]

djmauiboy

Thanks fot the back up!

[djmauiboy]

Np Pm...
Just Happy To Help Out.

[djmauiboy]

HOT

Dan Haren (Oakland Athletics) - Haren is comming off two magnificent starts. He threw seven strong innings holding the Red Sox to four hits and one earned run on July 26 and then went the distance while allowing just one earned run against the Los Angeles Angels in his next outing. Both wins played under the total. Oakland takes on the Seattle Mariners today with oddsmakers listing the Athletics as -123 favorites and setting the total at 9. Haren is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA in his career against the M`s.

Mike Mussina (New York Yankees) - The anchor of the Yankees pitching staff has been consistent again this year. Mussina is 13-3 with a respectable 3.40 ERA and 131 strikeouts and hasn`t taken a loss since June 15. In his last trip to the mound he allowed two earned runs on five hits in seven innings of work. Mussina is 7-1 with a 0.99 WHIP and a 3.28 ERA on the road this year and New York is in Baltimore to take on the Orioles tonight with the Yanks listed as -205 favorites.

Carlos Silva (Minnesota Twins) - The Twins may have the strongest pitching staff in baseball right now. With Johan Santana and rookie Francisco Liriano having spectacular seasons, Silva is starting to show signs that he`s no slouch either. He is 3-0 with a 4.43 ERA in four starts since the All-Star break. The Twins take on the Kansas City Royals tonight and in Silva`s last and only appearance against the Royals this season, he pitched seven innings allowing just one earned run in a 1-0 loss. Minnesota is a -144 favorite for the matchup.

COLD

Kenny Rogers (Detroit Tigers) - It seems like the same story every year with Rogers. He looks like a Cy Young candidate before the All-Star break and a minor-leaguer after it. Rogers started the season 11-3 but hasn`t won a game since July 5, allowing 32 runs in his last 31 innings pitched. Even more bad news for him may be that he`s facing the Cleveland Indians tonight. Two starts ago Rogers had possibly the worst outing of his career against the Indians. He recorded just two outs before getting the hook, allowing seven earned runs on five hits. The Tigers are listed as -136 favorites for tonight`s affair.

Javier Vazquez (Chicago White Sox) - Vasquez has been a model of consistancy lately, but not in a good way. In his last three starts he has given up five earned runs and has had one terrible inning them in each of them. Batters have had his number during their third look at him, hitting .377. He is 0-2 with a 7.79 ERA in his last three starts and hasn`t pitched past the sixth inning since May 18. The White Sox go up against the Toronto Blue Jays tonight with Chicago listed as a -124 favorite and the total set at 11. The over is 15-6 when Vazquez takes the mound this season.

Tom Glavine (New York Mets) - Usually Glavine can be found amongst the hot pitchers, but recently he has had his share of struggles. He is winless since June 23, going 0-2 with four no-decisions while posting a 5.68 ERA along the way. Over that stretch the Mets have played over the total in five of the seven games. In Glavine`s last outing he pitched just four innings, giving up six earned runs on 10 hits. New York hosts the Philiadelphia Phillies tonight with the Mets listed as -152 favorites and the total set at 9 1/2.

Other notables:

Josh Johnson (Florida Marlins) - Johnson allowed just one earned run on five hits in seven innings in his last start.

Jason Shiel (Atlanta Braves) - 0-2 with a 6.39 ERA in two starts for the Braves this season.

[Udog]

Would anybody be interested in seeing these stats in this thread?

Dunkel Index Totals for 8-4-06

SU 9-5-1 (64.2%) 827-697-73 (54.3%)
ATS 8-4-3 (66.6%) 834-591-172 (58.5%)
O/U 5-6-4 (45.4%) 602-608-387 (49.8%)

[djmauiboy]

Saturday, August 5th

National League:

Atlanta at Cincinnati, 1:20 EST FOX
Jason Shiell (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Shiell: Atlanta 18-9 SU as a road underdog of +150 to +175
Arroyo: 4-19 SU after leaving 3 or less runners on base last game

Philadelphia at NY Mets, 1:20 EST FOX
Jon Lieber (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)
Lieber: Philadelphia 13-3 Over away off a division win as an underdog
Glavine: 14-3 TSR as a favorite

Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs, 4:05 EST
Zach Duke (L) vs. Mark Prior (R)
Duke: 1-11 TSR in road games
Prior: Cubs 19-6 SU after having 4 hits or less

LA Dodgers at Florida, 6:05 EST
Chad Billingsley (R) vs. Josh Johnson (R)
Billingsley: Dodgers 2-10 SU away after allowing 2 runs or less
Johnson: Florida 21-7 Over after scoring 2 runs or less

Milwaukee at St. Louis, 7:15 EST
Ben Sheets (R) vs. Anthony Reyes (R)
Sheets: 17-3 Under with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs
Reyes: St. Louis 2-8 SU off 4+ losses

Colorado at San Francisco, 9:05 EST
Jason Jennings (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)
Jennings: Colorado 18-45 SU after allowing 2 runs or less
Lowry: 10-1 SU in August

Houston at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Roger Clemens (R) vs. Dustin Nippert (R)
Clemens: Houston 12-4 Over after scoring 8+ runs
Nippert: Arizona 10-4 SU off a one-run loss

Washington at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Pedro Astacio (R) vs. Mike Thompson (R)
Astacio: Washington 20-8 Under off 7+ road games
Thompson: San Diego 11-20 SU at home in August


American League:

Chicago White Sox at Toronto, 4:05 EST WGN
Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Dustin McGowan (R)
Vazquez: White Sox 10-1 SU with a total of 11 runs or higher
McGowen: Toronto 15-3 Over off a loss by 2 runs

Oakland at Seattle, 4:05 EST FOX
Danny Haren (R) vs. Joel Pineiro (R)
Haren: Oakland 15-4 SU away in August
Pineiro: Seattle 8-20 SU after scoring 2 runs or less

Texas at LA Angels, 4:05 EST FOX
John Koronka (L) vs. Ervin Santana (R)
Koronka: Texas 17-9 SU away off an Over
Santana: 1-9 SU revenging BB home losses

NY Yankees at Baltimore, 4:35 EST
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Adam Loewen (L)
Mussina: Yankees 12-2 Over away off a one-run division win
Loewen: Baltimore 9-26 SU off a one-run loss

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)
Byrd: 2-14 SU away with a total of 10 runs or higher
Rogers: 28-9 TSR in home games

Minnesota at Kansas City, 7:10 EST
Carlos Silva (R) vs. Runelvys Hernandez (R)
Silva: Minnesota 48-21 SU off a win
Hernandez: Kansas City 7-32 SU after the bullpen allowed 4+ runs

Boston at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
David Wells (L) vs. Casey Fossum (L)
Wells: Boston 20-8 Over in August
Fossum: 9-2 TSR at home in the second half of the season

[maxell]

Hot Pitchers
-- Johnson is 1-0, 3.15 in his last three starts. Billingsley has 1.57 RA in his last four starts.
-- Jennings has 1.13 RA in his last two starts.
-- Sheets has 1.80 RA in his two starts since coming off the DL. .
-- Clemens has 1.35 RA in his last three starts, but Houston lost six of his eight starts so far this season.
-- Nationals won last three Astacio starts, scoring 21 runs.

-- Bronx won seven of Mussina's last eight starts.
-- Haren is 2-0, 1.13 in his last two starts. Mariners are 5-2 in Pineiro's last seven starts.
-- Koronka has 2.45 RA in his last two starts.
-- Minnesota won six of Silva's last seven starts.
-- Tampa Bay is 5-2 in Fossum's last seven starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Shiell is 0-2, 7.00 in two starts this season. Arroyo is 0-5, 5.19 in his last eight starts.
-- Glavine is 0-2, 7.11 in his last seven starts. Lieber is 1-3, 7.11 in his last five starts.
-- Cubs are 0-7 in Prior's starts this season. Pirates lost Duke's last seven road starts.
-- Lowry is 1-2, 6.65 in his last four starts.
-- Reyes is 0-2, 7.15 in his last two starts; Cardinals are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
-- Nippert lost his only start, 7-3 vs Phillies on June 7, allowing six runs in five IP.
-- Thompson is 0-1, 4.62 in his last four starts.

-- Vazquez is 0-2, 7.79 in his last three starts. McGowan makes his first start of season for slumping Toronto.
-- Loewen is 1-3, 6.03 in his last six starts.
-- ESantana is 0-3, 6.27 in his last three starts.
-- Byrd has an 11.05 RA in his last five starts. Rogers is 0-2, 10.91 in his last four starts.
-- Royals lost last eight Hernandez starts.
-- Wells is 0-1, 11.08 in three starts this season.

Totals
-- Last four Atlanta games all stayed under the total, as did six of last seven Cincinnati games.
-- Five of last seven Met games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-5-1 in last fifteen Cub games.
-- Six of last eight Florida games went over the total.
-- Under is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Cardinal games.
-- Six of last seven Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Arizona games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-5 in San Diego's last fourteen games.

-- Seven of their last White Sox games went over the total, as did fourteen of last seventeen Vazquez starts.
-- Under is 7-2 in Oakland's last nine games.
-- Eight of last ten Texas games went over the total.
-- Last three Baltimore games, last five Bronx contests all stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Royals' last six games, 5-1-1 in last seven Twin contests.
-- All three Wells starts went over the total (12-12-17).

Hot Teams
-- Pirates won seven of their last nine games. Cubs won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Phillies won seven of their last eight games.
-- Arizona is 7-4 in their last eleven home games.
-- Marlins won five of their last seven home games. Dodgers won last seven games, scoring 48 runs.
-- Milwaukee is 4-2 in their last six games.
-- Rockies won six of their last eight games.
-- Astros won three of their last four games.


-- White Sox won five of their last seven games.
-- Bronx won nine of their last ten games.
-- A's won their last ten games against the Mariners.
-- Tigers are 37-14 in their last fifty-one games.
-- Twins are 39-12 in their last fifty-one games.
-- Rangers won four of last five games, scoring 43 runs.


Cold Teams
-- Mets lost three of their last four games.
-- Cardinals lost their last eight games.
-- Braves lost six of their last eight games. Reds lost last five of their last six games, outscored 32-18.
-- Padres lost six of their last eight games.
-- Giants lost ten of their last eleven games.


-- Orioles lost three of last four games, scolring seven runs in last three contests.
-- Indians lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Toronto lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Devil Rays are 15-27 in their last 42 games. Boston is 7-7 in their last 14 road games, 1-5 in game after their last six wins. .
-- Rangers lost seven of their last eleven games. Angels lost last three games, allowing 17 runs.
-- Royals lost nine of their last thirteen games.

Umpires
-- (Atl-Cin) Underdog is 4-2 in last six Diaz games.
-- (Phil-NY) Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Layne games; favorites are 11-2 in his last thirteen games behind plate.
-- (Pitt-Chi) Over is 4-0-1 in last five Culbreth games.
-- (LA-Fla) Last twelve Guccione games all went over the total.
-- (Mil-StL) Underdogs are 9-7 in last sixteen Schrieber games.
-- (Col-SF) Visiting team is 8-2 in last ten Iassogna games.
-- (Hst-Az) Underodg is 6-5 in Onora's last eleven games.
-- (Wsh-SD) Under is 8-3 in last eleven Winters games.

-- (Chi-Tor) Under is 11-5 in last 16 Hirschbeck games.
-- (A's-Sea) Over is 3-0-1 in last four Randazzo games.
-- (Tex-LA) Underdog is 9-5 in last 14 Timmons games; six of his last nine games went over the total.
-- (NY-Balt) Favorite is 7-1 in last eight Cederstrom games.
-- (Clev-Det) Favorite is 16-3 in Darling's last nineteen games.
-- (Min-KC) Underdogs won Knight's last three games.
-- (Bos-TB) Underdog is 7-3 in Meals' last ten games.

[vinnyvegas]

Thx guys