Mondays Trends and Indexes

[Spark]

Hot Pitchers
-- Webb is 3-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.


-- Loewen is 1-0, 2.70 in two starts since returning from minors. Meche is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three road starts.
-- Detroit is 8-1 in last nine Rogers starts, but he gave up seven runs on just 48 pitches (got two outs) in last start.

Cold Pitchers
-- Marlins lost last three Johnson starts (0-1, 5.00). Lieber is 1-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
-- Cubs are 0-6 in Prior starts, but he left last outing in sixth with a no-hitter going (103 PT).
-- Capuano is 0-2, 9.98 in his last three starts. Colorado is 1-11 in last 12 Cook starts (6/12 quality starts).
-- Lowry has 6.66 RA in his last four home starts. Astacio is 0-1, 6.65 in his last four starts.

-- Wells is 0-1, 8.64 in two starts this season (April 12, May 26), lasting total of 8.1 IP. Byrd has 10.50 RA in last four starts.
-- Fossum has 10.00 RA in his last four starts, but Tampa Bay is 5-1 in his last six home starts.
-- Contreras is 0-3, 4.33 in his last four starts. Royals lost seven in a row when Hernandez starts.
-- Silva allowed 23 runs in his last 21.1 IP, but Twins still are 5-1 in his last six starts. Rheinecker is 0-3, 8.31 in last four starts.
-- ESantana is 0-2, 8.44 in his last two starts. Haren is 0-2, 6.08 vs the Angels this season.

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Josh Johnson starts stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Webb starts went over the total.
-- Under is 10-5-4 in last nineteen Cook starts.
-- Four of last five Lowry starts went over the total.

-- Four of last five Byrd starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Loewen starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Rogers starts went over the total.
-- Four of last five Silva starts went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Contreras starts went over the total.
-- Over is 4-2-1 in last seven ESantana starts.

Hot Teams
-- Phillies won last three games, scoring 30 runs.
-- Cubs won six of their last seven games.
-- Rockies won three of their last four games.


-- Red Sox won six of their last nine home games.
-- Mariners won six of their last eight games.
-- Tigers are 34-12 in their last forty-six games.
-- Twins are 36-10 in their last forty-six games.
-- A's won four of their last five games. Angels won six of their last eight games.


Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost last three games, allowing 20 runs.
-- Colorado lost fourteen of their last twenty games.
-- Giants lost last seven games, allowing 33 runs. Nationals lost last three games, allowing 24 runs.


-- Indians lost five of their last seven games.
-- Orioles are 5-7 in their last twelve games.
-- Devil Rays are 13-24 in their last 37 games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last seven games.
-- White Sox lost eight of their last eleven games.

[Spark]

Six-Pack for Monday
-- How in God's name do the Phillies give away Cory Lidle and Bobby Abreu, and get nothing but minor leaguers in return? Another reason why baseball is so fouled up-- it is sad when All-Stars get traded for minor leaguers.
-- When BJ Ryan blew save Sunday, it was just third time in Halladay's last 21 starts Toronto lost.
-- Before Milton Bradley hit his walk-off homer, it was Mark Kotsay's 12-pitch walk that kept the game alive. A's-Angels Monday will decide who is in first place, for now.
-- Red Sox had their 274th consecutive home sellout when they lost to the Angels Sunday; thats over three years.
-- Latest exercise fad for women in Florida is Pole Dancing, where strippers instruct class in how to dance like strippers do. Apparently, classes fill up quickly, and not with guys who just want to watch.
-- Corey Pavin won his first golf tournament in ten years on Sunday, earning $720,000; his last win netted him $270,000, and when he won in Milwaukee twenty years ago, he got a winner's check worth $72,000. Now thats progress.

[Spark]

Monday's List of 13: Lights go dim, team in orange wins....
13) At 10pm, about half the lights in the Milk House went out, but scoreboards stayed on, and it was bright enough to play, and oddly enough, the team with loudest uniforms shone the brightest from that point on.

12) City Rocks, with most of their kids coming from within 50 miles of Albany, pulled away from Florida Stars down stretch to win by 9 (they were up one when lights went out with less than 4:00 left), advancing to Elite Eight of national tourney.

11) Earlier in day, City Rocks pulled off wild comeback with a 100-95 win over Queen City Prophets (Cincinnati) after they had trailed by 13 late in third quarter. So on a night when the lights nearly went out, it paid to have bright orange uniforms.

10) It is more important to have excellent perimeter play, with Fredette (rumored to BYU), Battle (Class of '08 to Penn State) and Lyons (Class of '08; not even sure where he is playing in high school next year) taking both games over down stretch.

9) Lyons' situation will be interesting; he has more than some Terrell Owens in him, and was tossed from squad last season at Schenectady High. He played well enough this weekend to merit scholarship consideration, but when they check into his grades and high school career, it isn't going to help him.

8) Coach Tim Moseman did excellent job, especially in Queen City game, keeping his team pasted together during difficult times. They play in quarterfinals Monday afternoon at 2:30.

7) Elsewhere, on my last day down here, you knew it was big day when first person I saw in the gym was Roy Williams. Lot of big names in the house Sunday: Izzo, Donovan, Williams, Tubby Smith and Tim Floyd, (watching OJ Mayo play). Even former Super Bowl MVP Doug Williams ducked into the gym for while, checking out the air-conditioned hoop action.

6) Lebron James' fantastic start to his career makes it harder for OJ Mayo, in my opinion, because it is so difficult to live up to the tremendous hype this kid has gotten. His team has not lost down here, but they haven't blown anyone out, so it is almost like you feel disappointed watching him play, when in reality, he is a fine player who is extremely tough taking the ball to the basket. Anyone would love to have him, and that probably includes a few NBA teams.

5) Today is July 31; I remember my first night here, hearing a kid from Iowa saying he hadn't been home since July 3, and wouldn't get home until August 1 or 2. Long month for these kids-- hope they enjoyed the experience.

4) Minnesota Magic player Jon Leuer is 6-9 with soft touch from perimeter; he had lot of people watching him play.

3) Subtle change for Cincinnati Bearcats; they're now Adidas team, instead of Nike, when Bob Huggins was coach there. Not sure what it means, but my Nike flexfit Bearcat hat might be a collector's item now.

2) Speaking of Huggins; as soon as it came out that recruit Herb Pope had been sent home, for punching out someone in the hotel (an assistant coach, we were told), the Kansas State coaches weren't seen again.

1) Weird moment of the day: after Queen City flurry that gave them bit of a cushion vs City Rocks (a lead they would lose at the end), the Prophets' coach yelled over at Tommy Amaker, who was sitting four chairs to my right.........."Thats why you came to see this game, Tommy, thats why you came!!!!"

Amaker had no idea why the coach was yelling at him- it was the first and only time he did it the whole game. Guess he'd be happy if Michigan recruited some of his players.

[Spark]

Pro Baseball Trend Report
FLORIDA (48 - 56) at PHILADELPHIA (49 - 54) - 1:05 PM
JOSH JOHNSON (R) vs. JON LIEBER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 131-136 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 51-64 (-18.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 55-33 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LIEBER is 18-3 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in home games in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
LIEBER is 70-39 (+27.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 22-18 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 48-54 (+4.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 38-40 (+6.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 49-54 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-30 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-52 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-41 (-12.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 87-89 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
LIEBER is 6-12 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LIEBER is 0-6 (-8.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-2 (+2.9 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.6 Units)



JOSH JOHNSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.



JON LIEBER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
LIEBER is 6-7 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.02 and a WHIP of 1.372.
His team's record is 8-9 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-11. (-6.4 units)




ARIZONA (53 - 51) at CHICAGO CUBS (43 - 61) - 8:05 PM
BRANDON WEBB (R) vs. MARK PRIOR (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 29-23 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 53-52 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 67-66 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 53-49 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 44-44 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 53-48 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 34-28 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 44-61 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-70 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 124-140 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 68-71 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 25-33 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)



BRANDON WEBB vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
WEBB is 3-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 1.291.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)



MARK PRIOR vs. ARIZONA since 1997
PRIOR is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.228.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)




MILWAUKEE (50 - 55) at COLORADO (50 - 54) - 9:05 PM
CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. AARON COOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 39-53 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-24 (-16.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-8 (-8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 35-19 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CAPUANO is 34-22 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CAPUANO is 33-20 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 104-164 (-61.2 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 23-37 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 4-11 (-9.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
COOK is 6-15 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
COOK is 2-9 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
COOK is 6-15 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.



CHRIS CAPUANO vs. COLORADO since 1997
CAPUANO is 3-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.27 and a WHIP of 0.918.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.3 units)



AARON COOK vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
COOK is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.757.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)




WASHINGTON (46 - 59) at SAN FRANCISCO (51 - 54) - 10:15 PM
PEDRO ASTACIO (R) vs. NOAH LOWRY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 11-36 (-20.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-43 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 316-220 (+66.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-8 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 547-414 (+102.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 127-139 (+1.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 126-134 (+4.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-56 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-28 (-20.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-0 (+3.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)



PEDRO ASTACIO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ASTACIO is 4-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.365.
His team's record is 6-5 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.1 units)



NOAH LOWRY vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
LOWRY is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)




CLEVELAND (45 - 58) at BOSTON (62 - 41) - 7:05 PM
PAUL BYRD (R) vs. DAVID WELLS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 45-58 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-29 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 43-54 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-42 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 58-29 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 45-25 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 16-2 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 44-12 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WELLS is 184-98 (+52.5 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 140-74 (+41.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 120-63 (+34.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 96-39 (+34.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 36-28 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)



PAUL BYRD vs. BOSTON since 1997
BYRD is 3-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.158.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.2 units)



DAVID WELLS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
WELLS is 15-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.62 and a WHIP of 1.271.
His team's record is 15-4 (+11.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-7. (+1.1 units)




SEATTLE (51 - 53) at BALTIMORE (48 - 58) - 7:05 PM
GIL MECHE (R) vs. ADAM LOEWEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 183-244 (-50.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 78-133 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 547-515 (-85.0 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 42-56 (-19.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 11-25 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MECHE is 24-33 (-16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 3-12 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 37-33 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 122-147 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 65-73 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-33 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 104-127 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 39-49 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 45-52 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 77-75 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-4 (-0.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)



GIL MECHE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MECHE is 4-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.316.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.5 units)



ADAM LOEWEN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.




DETROIT (70 - 34) at TAMPA BAY (43 - 62) - 7:15 PM
KENNY ROGERS (L) vs. CASEY FOSSUM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 65-64 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 65-64 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 44-41 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 73-79 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 30-34 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 71-34 (+32.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 38-17 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 46-16 (+28.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 24-8 (+15.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 43-15 (+24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ROGERS is 17-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 42-19 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 7-0 (+7.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 29-10 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 (+0.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)



KENNY ROGERS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
ROGERS is 9-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.78 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 9-4 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-9. (-6.5 units)



CASEY FOSSUM vs. DETROIT since 1997
FOSSUM is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 6.19 and a WHIP of 1.426.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)




TEXAS (52 - 53) at MINNESOTA (60 - 43) - 8:10 PM
JOHN RHEINECKER (L) vs. CARLOS SILVA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-3 (+0.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)



JOHN RHEINECKER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
RHEINECKER is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)



CARLOS SILVA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SILVA is 1-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.571.
His team's record is 1-4 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)




CHI WHITE SOX (61 - 42) at KANSAS CITY (37 - 67) - 8:10 PM
JOSE CONTRERAS (R) vs. RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-13 (-17.0 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -175 or more since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 9-15 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 11-8 (+10.2 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +175 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 29-42 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-16 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 172-105 (+42.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 85-51 (+31.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 75-40 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 158-94 (+41.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 108-70 (+19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 124-64 (+48.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 6-3 (+0.1 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)



JOSE CONTRERAS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CONTRERAS is 6-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.915.
His team's record is 8-0 (+8.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.1 units)



RUNELVYS HERNANDEZ vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 2-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 6.79 and a WHIP of 1.549.
His team's record is 3-6 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.4 units)




OAKLAND (55 - 50) at LA ANGELS (54 - 50) - 10:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 19-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
LA ANGELS are 23-10 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 144-108 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 17-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 32-23 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 70-65 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-20 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-17 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-45 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 54-49 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 83-61 (+18.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 28-22 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 95-93 (+27.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-4 (+0.3 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)



DAN HAREN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HAREN is 1-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.12 and a WHIP of 1.360.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)



ERVIN SANTANA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SANTANA is 4-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.54 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-5. (-5.5 units)

[djmauiboy]

BETTING THE OVERS

Inside the numbers: This year`s MLB over trend

By Jeff Mason
Sat, Jul 29, 2006


Only seven teams in baseball played over more than they played under in 2005. So you can guess what’s happened this season.

That’s right, the over is dominating. Heading into Friday’s action, 1520 games have been played in the 2006 season, and 768 of those games have played over.

Combine that with 697 unders and 55 pushes and you get 52.4 percent of all baseball games this season playing over.

Amazingly, anyone who played over in every baseball game this season with –110 juice would be up 1.18 units. A profit, sure, but that’s certainly a lot of work for what amounts to a little over a unit over the course of the season.

“Bettors will always love the over because your bet is always alive right down to the last pitch,” says a bookmaker at Bodog.com. “(We’ve) fared well this year. Even though there have been some 20+ run games, there have also been some young stars making a statement on the mound.”

Only six teams in baseball are playing under more than over this season. Though many of those playing under are doing it at quite a clip. The Colorado Rockies (39-56-7), Detroit Tigers (40-59-3) and Texas Rangers (43-56-4) have combined to go 122-171-14 over/under this season.

The weak-hitting, power-pitching National League is also an over haven. Only two teams, Colorado and the Houston Astros (48-49-6), have more unders than overs, leaving 14 of 16 NL teams making money on the over.

Ten of 14 AL teams are playing over, but only three, the Cleveland Indians (58-40-3), Baltimore Orioles (55-44-5) and the Los Angeles Angels (54-43-5), rank among baseball’s top 10 over teams, and only Cleveland ranks among the top seven.

Overall, American League teams have combined to go 709-670-49 (51.4 percent) while National League teams have combined to go 849-728-61 (53.8 percent).

“Last year around this time, we were talking about the decline in runs scored and attributing it to the new steroid policies,” says the Bodog.com bookmaker. “This year, we`ve seen some monster scores as the ‘save some offense for tomorrow’ mentality has been thrown out the window.”

For a closer look at how totals have progressed throughout the year, let’s break things down month-by-month.

April (190-158-18 over/under)

Oddsmakers were clearly expecting the decline of the steroid era to have an impact on the offense as it did last season. The average total in April was just 9.01, but the average total score was 9.85.

All things equal, when you put April’s average total and April’s average runs scored up against each other, teams should be playing over 52.2 percent of the time, which is right on the season average. But as the numbers show, teams actually played over 54.6 percent of the time.

Essentially that means that games playing over were just barely playing over, while games playing under were playing well under. It’s a tough thing to do, as a game can play over by an infinite amount, but can only play under by so much.

May (212-190-20)

Things evened out a little more in May as the books began to get a better gauge on what they were dealing with in 2006. The average total remained relatively steady at 9.04 and the average score dropped down to 9.68 runs per game.

The result was the frequency of overs dropping to 52.7 percent and the predicted over frequency dropping to 51.7.

June (188-200-12)

Things finally got interesting in June, when we saw the first big rise in totals. The average total for the month was the highest yet at 9.3 and, strangely enough, June also saw the lowest average score at just 9.57 runs per game.

This was the type of month oddsmakers are used to. Over paid in just 48.4 percent of games and for the first time all season, the predicted over frequency was actually higher than the actual over frequency at 50.7.

July (178-147-5)

Heading into Friday night’s games, July was battling April for the most profitable over month. Over is cashing at 54.8 percent in July as teams finally appear to be finding their offensive stoke with the weather warming up.

July’s offensive production is the highest by far with teams combining to average 10.27 runs per game.

But oddsmakers aren’t adjusting to the offensive explosion. Totals are actually decreasing slightly from June’s numbers with the average total at 9.27.

As appears to be the case with months where over prevails, there is quite a difference between the actual and predicted overs. Looking at the average runs scored against the average total for July shows that over should be paying only 52.6 percent of the time.

[djmauiboy]

DUNKEL INDEX

Washington at San Francisco
A pair of struggling teams meet tonight as the Nats visit San Francisco. Washington hit the West Coast riding a six-game winning streak, but immediately lost three straight in L.A. Meanwhile the Giants have dropped seven straight, including a three-game set to the Nationals last week. While San Francisco should benefit from returning home, covering the run line tonight could be tough according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by just 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, JULY 31
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 15.41; Philadelphia (Lieber) 16.83
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

Game 953-954: Arizona at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Webb) 15.51; Chicago Cubs (Prior) 15.62
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 955-956: Milwaukee at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Capuano) 14.22; Colorado (Cook) 15.78
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

Game 957-958: Washington at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Astacio) 14.14; San Francisco (Lowry) 14.99
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 959-960: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 15.38; Boston (Wells) 16.23
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 11
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+1 1/2); Under

Game 961-962: Seattle at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Meche) 16.82; Baltimore (Loewen) 15.08
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 10
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Neutral

Game 963-964: Detroit at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 17.73; Tampa Bay (Fossum) 14.79
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1 1/2); Neutral

Game 965-966: Texas at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Rheinecker) 15.26; Minnesota (Silva) 17.66
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Contreras) 15.78; Kansas City (Hernandez) 15.74
Dunkel Line: Even; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+1 1/2); Over

Game 969-970: Oakland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Haren) 16.60; LA Angels (Santana) 16.97
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+1 1/2); Neutral

[pm530]

djmauiboy - Thanks for posting!

[djmauiboy]

No Problem Pm.....it Was Early And I Just Happened To Be There When They Put It Out.

[djmauiboy]

TOP 5 TEAMS TO WIN A SERIES OPENER

1) Boston 24-10
2) Detroit 22-11
3) New York Mets 21-12
4) San Francisco 21-13
5) Chicago White Sox 20-13


TOP 5 TEAMS TO LOSE A SERIES OPENER

1) Washington 11-22
2) Pittsburgh 12-22
3) Philadelphia 12-21
4) Houston 13-21
5) Cleveland, Tampa Bay and Kansas City 13-20

[djmauiboy]

Monday, July 31st

National League:

Florida at Philadelphia, 1:05 EST
Josh Johnson (R) vs. Jon Lieber (R)
Johnson: Fla 9-0 Over after allowing 7+ runs 3 straight games
Lieber: 18-3 TSR at home in July

Arizona at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 EST
Brandon Webb (R) vs. Mark Prior (R)
Webb: Ari 5-2 at CHC L3 seasons
Prior: Cubs 3-12 vs. NL West

Milwaukee at Colorado, 9:05 EST
Chris Capuano (L) vs. Aaron Cook (R)
Capuano: 0-3 TSR, 8.21 ERA L3 starts
Cook: 0-6 TSR at home when the total is 8.5 to 10

Washington at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Pedro Astacio (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)
Astacio: Wash 24-55 off a one run loss
Lowry: SF 7-0 at home off BB games

American League:

Cleveland at Boston, 7:05 EST
Paul Byrd (R) vs. David Wells (L)
Byrd: 2-13 TSR when the total is 10 or higher
Wells: Bos 22-3 at home off 3+ home games

Seattle at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Gil Meche (R) vs. Adam Loewen (L)
Meche: Sea 0-11 Away after allowing 3 runs or less 3 straight games
Loewen: Bal 18-5 at home off a one-run win

Detroit at Tampa Bay, 7:15 EST
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Casey Fossum (L)
Rogers: 7-0 TSR off a Detroit loss
Fossum: TB 11-3 Under vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 to 4.70

Texas at Minnesota, 8:10 EST
John Rheinecker (L) vs. Carlos Silva (R)
Rheinecker: 6-1 Under in nighta games
Silva: Min 31-12 off BB home games

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Jose Contreras (R) vs. Runelvys Hernandez (R)
Contreras: 8-0 TSR, 1.93 ERA vs. KC
Hernandez: KC 9-0 Over after a loss by 10 runs

Oakland at LA Angels, 10:05 EST
Danny Haren (R) vs. Ervin Santana (R)
Haren: Oak 16-5 Under at LAA
Santana: 17-4 TSR at home in night games

[djmauiboy]

Spark Or Udog:

Can You Guys Double Check The Hot/cold Pitcher Trends From Spark's Post 1 And See If They Released The Umpire Trends For Today?

Thanks Guys

[djmauiboy]

Hot Streaks

Josh Johnson (Florida Marlins) - Johnson has been a solid middle rotation starter for the Marlins this season. He`s posted eight wins and a very respectable 2.60 ERA. Over his last three games he`s averaged six strikeouts. He squares off against Jon Lieber and the Philadelphia Phillies this afternoon as a +107 underdog.

Brandon Webb (Arizona Diamondbacks) - Webb continues to roll as the Diamondbacks ace. His 2.64 ERA and 11-4 record make him one of the best pitchers in the majors this year. He went 2-1 in his last three while striking out an average of six batters per game. He`s a -119 favorite tonight against Mark Prior and the Chicago Cubs.

Ervin Santana (Los Angels Angels) - The Angels are going to need Santana to continue the success he had in the first half of the season in order to make a postseason run. He`s 11-4 on the year with a 4.25 ERA and averages just under five strikeouts per outing. He`ll look to get his Angels off on the right foot tonight against division rival Oakland as a -124 favorite.

Cold Streaks

Gil Meche (Seattle Mariners) - Meche is 1-1 in his last three starts with a 6.62 ERA which raised his season ERA to 4.19. In his last game against Toronto he gave up a season-high seven earned runs. He`s a -114 favorite tonight against the Orioles.

Kenny Rogers (Detroit Tigers) - Rogers has seen his early season success dwindle over his past three trips to the mound. He`s 0-1 with a 10.97 ERA and has averaged just over three innings pitched per start. He`s a -156 favorite tonight against the Devil Rays.

Jose Contreras (Chicago White Sox) - Contreras hasn`t notched a win since July 4, giving up more than four earned runs per game over that span. He`s a -134 favorite tonight against the Kansas City Royals.

Chris Capuano (Milwaukee Brewers) - Capuano has struggled in his last three games going 0-2 with a 8.22 ERA while serving up seven long balls. His strikeout numbers fell as well, averaging just three per game. He takes on Aaron Cook and the Colorado Rockies tonight in a pick `em.

Other Notables

Danny Haren (Oakland Athletics) - 7-9 season record, 3.89 ERA with 111 strikeouts.

[vinnyvegas]

Thx for posting guys!! Greatly appreciated.

[Udog]

From dj: "Spark Or Udog:

Can You Guys Double Check The Hot/cold Pitcher Trends From Spark's Post 1 And See If They Released The Umpire Trends For Today?"

I just checked, dj, and I guess this is just one of those days when the ump trends are not included. It seems to happen once or twice a week. Good luck tonight!

[Spark]

From dj: "Spark Or Udog:

Can You Guys Double Check The Hot/cold Pitcher Trends From Spark's Post 1 And See If They Released The Umpire Trends For Today?"

I just checked, dj, and I guess this is just one of those days when the ump trends are not included. It seems to happen once or twice a week. Good luck tonight!

Dog that happens on the first game of a series ... No one knows who the umps are going to be ..