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Nice to get to post a double digit profit in units.
Baseball Plays (60-55, +10.18*)
Chicago White Sox Team Total Over 5 (-109)
Well, Brad Radke announced that this will be his last season, and taking a close look at his road numbers probably gives a good indication as to why.
Radke is 8-7 with a 4.84 ERA, but on the road he is 1-5 with a 6.55 ERA and a WHIP above 2. People seem to think he is pitching better lately, because his ERA last five starts is 2.18. Not so fast - only one of those was away from home, at Kansas City. The Royals got 11 hits off him in 5 innings, somehow only scoring 3 runs in a 6-3 win. The White Sox won't blow all those chances, and oh yeah, they score more runs than anyone in baseball overall, and they are the best team against righties.
They also have faced Radke twice this season. At home, they beat him 9-2 (5 IP, 10 hits, 6 ER). They lost at Minnesota 8-4, but still hit Radke well (5.2 IP, 8 hits, 4 ER).
Oakland A's +104 (Zito/Beckett)
Sometimes you get a line that just doesn't make any sense, and that's the case here. The A's just won 3 of 4 in Boston, including a 15-3 win in a game these pitchers started.
This is pretty simple really. The A's hit righties better than lefties, and Josh Beckett is laughably overpriced, especially on the road where he has a 6.33 ERA - not that his 4.79 ERA is very good either.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox don't hit lefties very well, and they face Barry Zito, who has regained his Cy Young form - there, I said it. His ERA last five starts is 2.71, and that brings his ERA for the season down to 3.20 (3.10 at home).
Beckett's record is 12-5, Zito's is 10-6, but Zito is 5 times the better pitcher. I won't even consider passing him up at plus odds at home.
Good luck guys!
Baseball Plays (60-55, +10.18*)
Chicago White Sox Team Total Over 5 (-109)
Well, Brad Radke announced that this will be his last season, and taking a close look at his road numbers probably gives a good indication as to why.
Radke is 8-7 with a 4.84 ERA, but on the road he is 1-5 with a 6.55 ERA and a WHIP above 2. People seem to think he is pitching better lately, because his ERA last five starts is 2.18. Not so fast - only one of those was away from home, at Kansas City. The Royals got 11 hits off him in 5 innings, somehow only scoring 3 runs in a 6-3 win. The White Sox won't blow all those chances, and oh yeah, they score more runs than anyone in baseball overall, and they are the best team against righties.
They also have faced Radke twice this season. At home, they beat him 9-2 (5 IP, 10 hits, 6 ER). They lost at Minnesota 8-4, but still hit Radke well (5.2 IP, 8 hits, 4 ER).
Oakland A's +104 (Zito/Beckett)
Sometimes you get a line that just doesn't make any sense, and that's the case here. The A's just won 3 of 4 in Boston, including a 15-3 win in a game these pitchers started.
This is pretty simple really. The A's hit righties better than lefties, and Josh Beckett is laughably overpriced, especially on the road where he has a 6.33 ERA - not that his 4.79 ERA is very good either.
Meanwhile, the Red Sox don't hit lefties very well, and they face Barry Zito, who has regained his Cy Young form - there, I said it. His ERA last five starts is 2.71, and that brings his ERA for the season down to 3.20 (3.10 at home).
Beckett's record is 12-5, Zito's is 10-6, but Zito is 5 times the better pitcher. I won't even consider passing him up at plus odds at home.
Good luck guys!
Hope were winners tomorrow.
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