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Spears MLB Dilemma Play 7-20-06

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  • Spears MLB Dilemma Play 7-20-06

    WEBB is 0-16 (-17.4 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was WEBB 2.0, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 4*)

    ARIZONA is 9-0 (+11.3 Units) against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 this season.
    The average score was ARIZONA 7.4, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 4*)

    What possibly does this mean Spearit- Arizona wins the game or Webb loses if the score goes over 4.8.

    Based on this What play would you make? Arizona or Dodgers or Over or Under.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    LA DODGERS are 3-22 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was LA DODGERS 2.9, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 2*)

    LA DODGERS are 27-13 OVER (+12.5 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season this season.
    The average score was LA DODGERS 5.3, OPPONENT 4.8 - (Rating = 2*)
    ARIZONA is 21-11 OVER (+9.0 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 6 or less times/game this season.
    The average score was ARIZONA 4.7, OPPONENT 5.7 - (Rating = 1*)
    ARIZONA is 27-15 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was ARIZONA 4.2, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
    ARIZONA is 17-4 UNDER (+12.5 Units) in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    The average score was ARIZONA 2.9, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 2*)
    ARIZONA is 27-13 UNDER (+13.0 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage of .340 or better over the last 3 seasons.
    The average score was ARIZONA 4.6, OPPONENT 4.0 - (Rating = 1*)
    WEBB is 12-2 UNDER (+9.6 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.8 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was WEBB 2.0, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 1*)

    LA DODGERS are 24-9 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after being shut out in a loss to a division rival since 1997.
    The average score was LA DODGERS 5.3, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 1*)
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

    Comment


    • #3
      Under is the play IMO, especially considering Hendrickson's road numbers.
      I would say take the Dodgers if anybody, but they aren't scoring at all right now.
      Records:

      NCAA Hoops (38-34-2, +4.59*)
      NFL Sides (34-25, +12.15*)
      NFL Totals (18-14-1, +8.23*)
      NCAA Foots Plays (65-48-4, +21.47*)
      NBA Plays (4-1-0, +5.92*)

      Comment


      • #4
        LA DODGERS are 7-33 (-21.4 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 2.8, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 1*)
        LA DODGERS are 117-139 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
        LA DODGERS are 3-20 (-15.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +175 over the last 3 seasons.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 2.4, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 1*)
        LA DODGERS are 5-24 (-15.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 3 seasons.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 2.7, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 0*)
        LA DODGERS are 5-30 (-21.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 3 seasons.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 2.6, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)

        LA DODGERS are 25-12 OVER (+12.0 Units) when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 5.6, OPPONENT 4.5 - (Rating = 2*)
        LA DODGERS are 37-24 OVER (+10.4 Units) on a good fielding streak, 10 straight games with one or less errors this season.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 4.6, OPPONENT 5.0 - (Rating = 1*)
        LA DODGERS are 31-16 OVER (+13.1 Units) on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors this season.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 4.9, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 2*)
        LA DODGERS are 52-36 OVER (+11.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 5.2, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 1*)
        LA DODGERS are 93-73 OVER (+11.7 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 4.5, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 0*)
        LA DODGERS are 10-1 OVER (+9.0 Units) after a loss by 8 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 4.5, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 1*)
        LA DODGERS are 26-13 OVER (+11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive road games this season.
        The average score was LA DODGERS 4.9, OPPONENT 5.5 - (Rating = 1*)

        HENDRICKSON is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in road games after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
        The average score was HENDRICKSON 2.6, OPPONENT 2.6 - (Rating = 0*)
        ARIZONA is 45-28 UNDER (+14.6 Units) after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival over the last 2 seasons.
        The average score was ARIZONA 4.4, OPPONENT 3.9 - (Rating = 1*)
        ARIZONA is 17-7 UNDER (+9.6 Units) after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season.
        The average score was ARIZONA 4.6, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 1*)
        ARIZONA is 14-4 UNDER (+10.0 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.
        The average score was ARIZONA 4.6, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 2*)
        ARIZONA is 37-19 UNDER (+16.2 Units) after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
        The average score was ARIZONA 4.1, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 2*)
        ARIZONA is 39-21 UNDER (+16.2 Units) after 6 or more consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
        The average score was ARIZONA 4.0, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 1*)
        WEBB is 25-10 UNDER (+14.1 Units) after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
        The average score was WEBB 3.6, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 1*)
        "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

        Comment


        • #5
          TP That is my guess as well- Looking at the pitchers Hendrickson is ready to throw another good game with batterymate Toby Hall and challenge Webb today.

          Arizona/Dodgers Under 8 1/2 -105
          Last edited by Spearit; 07-20-2006, 03:24 PM.
          "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

          Comment


          • #6
            Detroit - hugh 5 unit winner last night.
            Now 7-2 on primo picks winning nights for moi. Imcluding the RL dog on the 9 game winless pitcher. Made 1.5 units that night.
            I like this game- it goes for 2 units and I think it stays competitive thruout. Playing with small in account. Local is not what he used to be. Laying off of him as the vig is weird and he wants you to jump thru hoops now if he takes my play. screw him!
            "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

            Comment


            • #7
              GL tonight Spearit!
              It's always noon somewhere!

              My Fish and Aquariums

              Griffey's Posted Record

              Comment


              • #8
                Winner
                "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                Comment


                • #9
                  good call Spearit---kapt


                  Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

                  Comment

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