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Spears Dog Play of the Day
Premium writeup picks are now 5-2 with a loss on Oakland which lost it late after tying it up. Now I love to go against the maddening on tilt crowd of favs and select:
Baltimore +100
Yes-I am going with a guy that has lost his last 9 games. I have asystem that states to play-100 to -150 on dogs that have apitcher not a whole lot better than than the doggie. The record is coming later but it is a goodun. If any of ya have any balls left this is play that can fit well into your money management. It has a good chance to win and with the bats being a little light -I would not play the over.
Oakland (48-45) at Baltimore (44-51) 7:05 pm EDT
BALTIMORE (Ticker) - Russ Ortiz will try to end a personal nine-game skid dating to last season when the Baltimore Orioles host the second of three contests against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday.
Ortiz (0-1, 8.68 ERA) has allowed 10 runs and 17 hits in 9 1/3 innings with the Orioles this month after going 0-5 with a 7.54 ERA in six starts with Arizona. He has not recorded a win since August 29 at San Diego.
After posting at least 14 victories in six straight seasons, Ortiz has gone 5-17 with a 7.10 ERA since signing a four-year contract worth $33 million with the Diamondbacks following the 2004 campaign. He has afforded the opposition a .336 average this season, but the A's are batting a major league-worst .245.
Oakland will counter with Esteban Loaiza (3-5, 6.34), who has gone 7-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 16 lifetime appearances - 15 starts - against Baltimore. Loaiza has not pitched here since 2004, when he allowed 11 runs and 14 hits in 8 2/3 innings over two outings.
In his last start Thursday, Loaiza allowed three runs, six hits and a season-high six walks at Boston. He was not involved in the decision as the A's needed 11 innings to post a 5-4 triumph.
The Orioles extended their winning streak to three games with a 5-3 triumph in Monday's series opener. Baltimore ranks last in the American League with seven homers this month, but Loaiza has surrendered 11 blasts in 61 innings this year after giving up only 18 in 217 frames with Washington in 2005.
Play Against - Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.700 or worse on the season-AL, good fielding team - averaging <=0.6 errors/game on the season.
(89-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.4%, +44.2 units. Rating = 3*)
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games.
(105-68 since 1997.) (60.7%, +38.5 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Against - Any team (OAKLAND) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA>=6.70) -AL, in July games.
(28-9 since 1997.) (75.7%, +27 units. Rating = 4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-3, +3.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4, +14.1 units).
2. Baltimore is at home--TED BARRETT- game stats when serving as the home plate umpire this Season: 14-6 +8.8 units.
Baltimore +100
Yes-I am going with a guy that has lost his last 9 games. I have asystem that states to play-100 to -150 on dogs that have apitcher not a whole lot better than than the doggie. The record is coming later but it is a goodun. If any of ya have any balls left this is play that can fit well into your money management. It has a good chance to win and with the bats being a little light -I would not play the over.
Oakland (48-45) at Baltimore (44-51) 7:05 pm EDT
BALTIMORE (Ticker) - Russ Ortiz will try to end a personal nine-game skid dating to last season when the Baltimore Orioles host the second of three contests against the Oakland Athletics on Tuesday.
Ortiz (0-1, 8.68 ERA) has allowed 10 runs and 17 hits in 9 1/3 innings with the Orioles this month after going 0-5 with a 7.54 ERA in six starts with Arizona. He has not recorded a win since August 29 at San Diego.
After posting at least 14 victories in six straight seasons, Ortiz has gone 5-17 with a 7.10 ERA since signing a four-year contract worth $33 million with the Diamondbacks following the 2004 campaign. He has afforded the opposition a .336 average this season, but the A's are batting a major league-worst .245.
Oakland will counter with Esteban Loaiza (3-5, 6.34), who has gone 7-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 16 lifetime appearances - 15 starts - against Baltimore. Loaiza has not pitched here since 2004, when he allowed 11 runs and 14 hits in 8 2/3 innings over two outings.
In his last start Thursday, Loaiza allowed three runs, six hits and a season-high six walks at Boston. He was not involved in the decision as the A's needed 11 innings to post a 5-4 triumph.
The Orioles extended their winning streak to three games with a 5-3 triumph in Monday's series opener. Baltimore ranks last in the American League with seven homers this month, but Loaiza has surrendered 11 blasts in 61 innings this year after giving up only 18 in 217 frames with Washington in 2005.
Play Against - Road teams (OAKLAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.700 or worse on the season-AL, good fielding team - averaging <=0.6 errors/game on the season.
(89-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.4%, +44.2 units. Rating = 3*)
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (BALTIMORE) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 5 games.
(105-68 since 1997.) (60.7%, +38.5 units. Rating = 2*)
Play Against - Any team (OAKLAND) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a terrible starting pitcher (ERA>=6.70) -AL, in July games.
(28-9 since 1997.) (75.7%, +27 units. Rating = 4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-3, +3.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-4, +14.1 units).
2. Baltimore is at home--TED BARRETT- game stats when serving as the home plate umpire this Season: 14-6 +8.8 units.
It's always noon somewhere! 
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