Both 1* Plays - I don't think either will be that close.
Atlanta Braves Regular Season Wins Over 72.5 (-110)
Currently 40-49, the Braves have won 3 consecutive series, and they face an easy second half schedule, particularly in August, where they should be favored in no fewer than 21 of their 28 games - probably closer to 24, depending on the pitching matchups. The bullpen has quietly been very good recently - the Braves have the best overall ERA in the NL the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the top of the order is on fire, and the addition of Chuck James to the rotation will build stability.
Baltimore Orioles Regular Season Wins Under 75 (-110)
Currently 41-49, the Orioles would have to go 34-38 the rest of the way to push this bet. I don't see how that happens. They only play 3 home games against a team with a worse record than them - Tampa. They play 32 games against the big five (NYY, Bos, Tor, CHW, Det), and have two 9-game road trips - one out west, and the other at Toronto, NYY, Boston.
Atlanta Braves Regular Season Wins Over 72.5 (-110)
Currently 40-49, the Braves have won 3 consecutive series, and they face an easy second half schedule, particularly in August, where they should be favored in no fewer than 21 of their 28 games - probably closer to 24, depending on the pitching matchups. The bullpen has quietly been very good recently - the Braves have the best overall ERA in the NL the last two weeks. Meanwhile, the top of the order is on fire, and the addition of Chuck James to the rotation will build stability.
Baltimore Orioles Regular Season Wins Under 75 (-110)
Currently 41-49, the Orioles would have to go 34-38 the rest of the way to push this bet. I don't see how that happens. They only play 3 home games against a team with a worse record than them - Tampa. They play 32 games against the big five (NYY, Bos, Tor, CHW, Det), and have two 9-game road trips - one out west, and the other at Toronto, NYY, Boston.
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