YTD 36-27 +12.02 units
all plays 1*
Dogs 15-12 +7.86 units
Faves 10-5 +3.95 units
Totals 11-10 +0.21 units
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I have taken some flack for advocating plays on all-star games but I think they are often great wagering opportunities. My pro football playoff GOY two years ago was on the over in the Pro Bowl. I had very sound reasoning, and it hit. Just because a game is "meaningless" doesn't mean bookies aren't capable of throwing up bad lines. That's the case with this year's all-star game. I have one play and a strong opinion (opinions don't count in my posted record).
1* OVER 10 (-110)
Like many other all-star games, the trend in the baseball game is for lots of scoring. The last four years the scores were: 7-7, 7-6, 9-4 and 7-5. All of those were easily over this total. Among the reasons is that managers now are reluctant to "embarrass" a pitcher by pulling him out of a bad inning. You may recall Clemens being shelled for four or five runs in a start a few years ago. There are several pitchers on this year's rosters with either dubious stats or coming in cold (Rogers, Turnbow and a few others). This season has seen a big increase in home runs and a lot of hitters are going to be swinging for the fences. Pittsburgh's stadium is rather hitter friendly. It all adds up to a logical play, even if the game is "meaningless."
Opinion only: National League
I'd make this a play because I'm a dog player at heart and +133 is great value for a home team in a game that ought to be a tossup. But it's only an opinion because the AL has won eight in a row and, as a streak player, I don't want to go against that. The AL is the dominant league this year (154-98 in interleague play) but that shouldn't matter much in an all-star game where one bad inning can sink a team.
I'm playing the opinion at 20 percent of the size of my play on the total but the total will be the only rated play to count in my records.
all plays 1*
Dogs 15-12 +7.86 units
Faves 10-5 +3.95 units
Totals 11-10 +0.21 units
******************
I have taken some flack for advocating plays on all-star games but I think they are often great wagering opportunities. My pro football playoff GOY two years ago was on the over in the Pro Bowl. I had very sound reasoning, and it hit. Just because a game is "meaningless" doesn't mean bookies aren't capable of throwing up bad lines. That's the case with this year's all-star game. I have one play and a strong opinion (opinions don't count in my posted record).
1* OVER 10 (-110)
Like many other all-star games, the trend in the baseball game is for lots of scoring. The last four years the scores were: 7-7, 7-6, 9-4 and 7-5. All of those were easily over this total. Among the reasons is that managers now are reluctant to "embarrass" a pitcher by pulling him out of a bad inning. You may recall Clemens being shelled for four or five runs in a start a few years ago. There are several pitchers on this year's rosters with either dubious stats or coming in cold (Rogers, Turnbow and a few others). This season has seen a big increase in home runs and a lot of hitters are going to be swinging for the fences. Pittsburgh's stadium is rather hitter friendly. It all adds up to a logical play, even if the game is "meaningless."
Opinion only: National League
I'd make this a play because I'm a dog player at heart and +133 is great value for a home team in a game that ought to be a tossup. But it's only an opinion because the AL has won eight in a row and, as a streak player, I don't want to go against that. The AL is the dominant league this year (154-98 in interleague play) but that shouldn't matter much in an all-star game where one bad inning can sink a team.
I'm playing the opinion at 20 percent of the size of my play on the total but the total will be the only rated play to count in my records.
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