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Well, my perfect week went down in a big way. I still think the White Sox were the right side of that game - hell, I know they were, but I made a big mistake on the other game. I should have bet the Orioles +116 when it was available near game time. Sowers is too unpredictable to not middle that game when given the chance. Oh well, live and learn.
Baseball Plays (48-47, +5.57*) - just one, and it's the longest shot on the board.
Texas Rangers +187 (Koronka/Santana)
I really, really like this play. Not that I expect to win most of the time, but I expect to win much more than 34.8% of the time, which is the break even point at +187.
It's absolutely to the Rangers advantage that the saw Liriano yesterday. Granted, they didn't score any runs, but they started to become more accustomed to the style of pitching and the release point as they saw him for the second and third time. They see basically a carbon copy of him Sunday in Johan Santana.
Even with the win, the Twins are only 16-28 on the road (4.0 rpg). That includes going 5-12 on the road against LHSP, and scoring well under 4 rpg. Their offense is cooling off after they were tearing the NL a new one. The Rangers hit .31 points higher against lefties than the Twins, and they average 1.1 more rpg against LHSP than Minnesota.
Strong pitching advantage to Minnesota, thus the line, but Santana wasn't good at all last time out, as the Royals got to him for 5 runs in 5.2 IP. Koronka has been really good last two times out, going a combined 14 IP, and giving up only 10 hits and 4 runs. I'll take my chances with him at this outrageous number.
Small personal play: Contreras -121 - Same numbers as yesterday, you can go back and read them if you want, but the pitching matchup is even more in the White Sox favor.
One not very bold prediction: France won't score.
Your NASCAR winner: Jeff Burton (+1049), with Kahne (+773), Harvick (+1057) and Biffle (+703) as other solid values.
Good luck everyone!
Baseball Plays (48-47, +5.57*) - just one, and it's the longest shot on the board.
Texas Rangers +187 (Koronka/Santana)
I really, really like this play. Not that I expect to win most of the time, but I expect to win much more than 34.8% of the time, which is the break even point at +187.
It's absolutely to the Rangers advantage that the saw Liriano yesterday. Granted, they didn't score any runs, but they started to become more accustomed to the style of pitching and the release point as they saw him for the second and third time. They see basically a carbon copy of him Sunday in Johan Santana.
Even with the win, the Twins are only 16-28 on the road (4.0 rpg). That includes going 5-12 on the road against LHSP, and scoring well under 4 rpg. Their offense is cooling off after they were tearing the NL a new one. The Rangers hit .31 points higher against lefties than the Twins, and they average 1.1 more rpg against LHSP than Minnesota.
Strong pitching advantage to Minnesota, thus the line, but Santana wasn't good at all last time out, as the Royals got to him for 5 runs in 5.2 IP. Koronka has been really good last two times out, going a combined 14 IP, and giving up only 10 hits and 4 runs. I'll take my chances with him at this outrageous number.
Small personal play: Contreras -121 - Same numbers as yesterday, you can go back and read them if you want, but the pitching matchup is even more in the White Sox favor.
One not very bold prediction: France won't score.
Your NASCAR winner: Jeff Burton (+1049), with Kahne (+773), Harvick (+1057) and Biffle (+703) as other solid values.
Good luck everyone!
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