Cnotes 2020-2021 wnba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[StarDust Bum]

SEPTEMBER WNBA Best Bet Record:

Date w-l-t % units record

09/12/2021........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
09/11/2021........2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
09/10/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/09/2021........0-2-0...........00.00%.........,-11.00
09/08/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/07/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/06/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%...........-0.50
09/05/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/04/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/02/2021........5-3-0...........62.50%.........+ 8.50

Totals:............22-20-0...........52.38%.........+ 0.00


BEST BETS:

09/12/2021........2-3-0...........40.00%...........-6.50
09/11/2021........2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
09/10/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%.........-11.50
09/09/2021........0-2-0...........00.00%.........,-11.00
09/08/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/07/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/06/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%...........-0.50
09/05/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/04/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/02/2021........5 - 3 - 0........62.50%........+ 8.50

Totals:............21-20-0...........51.21%........., - 5.00

[Udog]

Monday’s 6-pack
College football leagues ATS so far this season:
— ACC teams are 2-6 ATS away from home.
— Big 14 teams are 9-3 ATS as favorites.
— Big X teams are 2-7 ATS as favorites.
— Mountain West teams are 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
— Pac-12 teams are 3-6 ATS as favorites.
— Sun Belt teams are 2-5 ATS on the road.

Quote of the Day
“He (Pat Riley) took out this velvet bag full of championship rings and he dumped them all across the table. He picked one up, and he looked me dead in my eyes and he said, ‘You give it back to me when we win one together.”
Chris Bosh, who gave the ring back to Riley this weekend

Monday’s quiz
Which two head coaches led the Chicago Bears to a Super Bowl?

Sunday’s quiz
Davey Johnson has most wins as a manager in New York Mets’ history.

Saturday’s quiz
When the Cubs won the 2016 World Series, they beat Cleveland.

************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Cincinnati 27, Minnesota 24 (OT)
— Vikings drilled a 53-yard FG at gun to force OT.
— Minnesota threw 50 passes, ran ball only 22 times.
— penalties: Vikings 12 for 116 yards; Bengals 3 for 15
— Vikings are 0-4-1 SU, 0-5 ATS last five road openers.

— Cincinnati kicked 33-yard FG on last play of overtime.
— Bengals’ first three drives: 11 plays, 14 yards, 0 points
— Bengals’ next three drives: 24 plays, 225 yards, 21 points
— Cincinnati started out 1-0 five of last eight years.

San Francisco 41, Detroit 33
— SF led this game 38-10 with 5:00 left in third quarter.
— 49ers got pick-6 that made it 28-10 with 1:10 left in half.
— 49ers averaged 11.5 yards/pass play.
— 49ers won 9 of last 11 season openers.

— Detroit had ball on 49ers’ 25 in last 0:30 to tie game.
— Lions lost five of last seven home openers.
— Over 9-3 in their last 12 home openers.
— Lions’ last 11 season openers went over the total.

Pittsburgh 23, Buffalo 16
— Steelers blocked a punt for a TD.
— Steelers’ first five drives: 21 plays, 38 yards, 0 points.
— Steelers’ last four drives: 34 plays, 231 yards, 16 points.
— Steelers are 11-3 ATS in last 14 games as road underdogs.

— Bills ran 79 plays for 371 yards; Steelers 55 for 252.
— Buffalo had ball in red zone four times, scored only 16 points.
— Bills converted 8-18 on third down; Steelers only 4-12.
— Buffalo averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.

Carolina 19, NJ Jets 14
— Jets’ first eight drives: 37 plays, 68 yards, 0 points.
— Jets scored TD’s on two of their last three drives.
— Jets started 0-1 five of last six years.
— Last 5+ years, Gang Green is 10-23-2 ATS as road underdogs.

— Panthers had 14-yard edge in starting field position.
— Total yardage: Carolina 381, Jets 252.
— Panthers’ QB Darnold threw for 279 yards and a TD.
— Last 6+ years, Carolina is 16-9 ATS vs AFC teams.

Philadelphia 32, Atlanta 6
— Total yardage: Eagles 434, Falcons 260
— Three trips to red zone, Eagles scored 22 points.
— Philly had 14 penalties for 89 yards; Falcons 12 for 99.
— Eagles won five of last six season openers.

— Falcons were only team in 1:00 games not to score a TD.
— Atlanta was also only team not to have a play of 20+ yards.
— Last 5+ years, Falcons are 15-19 ATS as home favorites.
— Falcons lost five of last six Week 1 games

Arizona 38, Tennessee 13
— Arizona scored on four of first five possessions (24 points)
— Total yardage: Cardinals 416, Tennessee 258
— Murray threw for 289 yards, four TD’s.
— Cardinals had 17-yard edge in starting field position.

— Titans’ first four drives: 15 plays, minus-16 yards, 0 points.
— Henry was held to 58 yards on 17 rushes.
— Tennessee lost SU last four times they opened season at home.
— Titans are 2-6 SU last eight home openers (2-8 ATS last ten)

Seattle 28, Indianapolis 16
— Seahawks averaged 9.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Seattle scored TD’s on three of first four drives.
— Seattle won last 3 road openers 28-26/38-25/28-16.
— Seattle is 8-4-1 ATS last 13 games vs AFC teams.

— Colts started out 0-1 the last eight years.
— Indy had ball in red zone four times, scored only 16 points.
— Colts had only one play of 20+ yards.
— Seattle had 10-yard edge in starting field position.

LA Chargers 20, Washington 16
— Chargers converted 14 of 19 third down plays.
— Keenan Allen caught nine passes for 100 yards.
— Chargers are 5-0-1 ATS last six Week 1 road games.
— Bolts are 7-2-1 ATS last ten road openers.

— QB Fitzpatrick left with hip injury in first quarter.
— Washington kicked a FG on three of first five drives.
— Total yardage: Chargers 424, Washington 259
— Washington ran only 49 plays; Chargers ran 78.

Houston 37, Jacksonville 21
— Jaguars were 3-12 on 3rd down, Houston 12-21.
— Jaguars threw three INT’s, were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Lawrence did throw for 332 yards in his NFL debut.
— Jaguars are 2-6-2 ATS last 3+ years in AFC South road games.

— Texans won last seven series games.
— Houston scored on five of seven drives in first half.
— WR Cooks caught five passes for 132 yards.
— Tyrod Taylor is now 25-21-1 as an NFL starter.

Kansas City 33, Cleveland 29
— Cleveland led 15-3 midway thru second quarter.
— Browns in first half: 3 drives, 25 plays, 231 yards, 22 points.
— Browns in second half: 5 drives, 24 plays, 126 yards, 7 points.
— Cleveland averaged 10.1 yards/pass attempt.

— Last 19 years, Super Bowl loser is 4-15 ATS in Week 1 the next year
— Chiefs won last seven season openers (4-1 ATS last five)
— Last six years, they scored 33-42-38-40-34-33 in Week 1.
— Over 5-0-2 in their last seven home openers.

Miami 17, New England 16
— Miami scored a TD on first drive of each half.
— Dolphins ran ball 23 times for only 74 yards.
— Since 1994, under is 23-5 in Miami’s road openers (13-0 last 13)
— Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games as road underdogs.

— New England fumbled on Dolphins’ 11-yard line with 3:31 left
— Patriots outgained Miami 393-259.
— New England scored 13 points on four red zone drives.
— Patriots were 11-16 on third down, Miami 4-11.

New Orleans 38, Green Bay 3
— Green Bay had ball in red zone twice, turned ball over both times.
— Packers ran ball 15 times for 43 yards.
— Green Bay converted only 1-10 on third down.
— Packers, Falcons were only teams not to score a TD this week.

— Winston completed 14-20 passes for 148 yards, five TD’s.
— Saints are 18-6 ATS in last 24 games on natural grass.
— New Orleans had 13-yard edge in starting field position.
— Saints are 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games as single digit underdog.

Denver 27, NY Giants 13
— Denver ran ball for 165 yards, outgained Giants 420-314.
— Gordon ran ball 11 times for 101 yards.
— Broncos scored four of last five times they had ball.
— Last 9+ years, Denver is 21-14-2 ATS vs NFC opponents.

— Giants started 10 of last 11 seasons 0-1.
— Last 4+ years, Giants are 9-23-1 ATS at home.
— Big Blue is 1-9 SU, 0-10 ATS last ten home openers.
— Last 2+ years, Giants are 1-8 ATS vs AFC opponents.

LA Rams 34, Chicago 14
— Chicago punted only once, went out on downs three times.
— Montgomery ran for 108 yards but appeared to hurt his hand.
— Bears are 2-5 ATS last seven road openers.
— Last 5+ years, Chicago is 10-17-1 ATS as road underdogs.

— Stafford threw three TD passes, two of them 67-56 yards.
— Under McVay, Rams are 5-0 SU in Week 1.
— Rams won/covered last seven home openers.
— LA in 2nd half: 3 drives, 24 plays, 220 yards, 21 points.


 

[Udog]

WNBA

Monday, September 13

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Las Vegas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Las Vegas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Monday, September 13




 

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 13
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

DAL at LV 03:00 PM
LV -10.5
O 164.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

SEPTEMBER WNBA Best Bet Record:

Date w-l-t % units record

09/13/2021........0-2-0............0.00% ..........-11.00
09/12/2021........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
09/11/2021........2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
09/10/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/09/2021........0-2-0...........00.00%.........,-11.00
09/08/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/07/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/06/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%...........-0.50
09/05/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/04/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/02/2021........5-3-0...........62.50%.........+ 8.50

Totals:............22-22-0...........50.00%.........- 11.50


BEST BETS:

9/13/2021..........0-2-0............0.00%..........-11.00
09/12/2021........2-3-0...........40.00%...........-6.50
09/11/2021........2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
09/10/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%.........-11.50
09/09/2021........0-2-0...........00.00%.........,-11.00
09/08/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/07/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/06/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%...........-0.50
09/05/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/04/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/02/2021........5 - 3 - 0........62.50%........+ 8.50

Totals:............21-22-0...........48.83%........, - 16.00

[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Six interesting college football spreads:
— Virginia Tech @ West Virginia (-3)
— Cincinnati (-3.5) @ Indiana
— Minnesota @ Colorado (-2)
— USC (-8.5) @ Washington State
— Mississippi State (-3) @ Memphis
— Auburn @ Penn State (-6)

Quote of the Day
“I want to be exceptionally clear: our university and its leadership are committed to winning national championships and restoring USC football to glory.”
USC AD Mike Bohn, who is either clueless or a puppet for rich boosters

Tuesday’s quiz
Oakland/Las Vegas Raiders have won three Super Bowls; John Madden won the first one. What coach won the other two?

Monday’s quiz
Mike Ditka, Lovie Smith are head coaches who led the Chicago Bears to a Super Bowl.

Sunday’s quiz
Davey Johnson has most wins as a manager in New York Mets’ history.

****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Raiders 33, Ravens 27 OT
— Carr tossed a 31-yard TD pass in OT to end the game.
— Raiders kicked FG in last 0:05 of each half.
— Las Vegas threw for 409 yards, survived two red zone turnovers.
— Over is 7-1-1 in Raider home games since they moved to Las Vegas.

— Jackson’s fumble in OT set up the winning score.
— Baltimore averaged 5.6 yards/rush; Jackson ran for 86 yards.
— Ravens converted only 3-12 third down plays.
— Raiders ran 80 plays from scrimmage, Baltimore 67.

12) Mariners 5, Red Sox 4:
— Mitch Haniger’s 3-run HR in 7th was difference.
— Seattle is only two games out of last Wild Card spot.

11) When I think about Week 1 of any NFL season, “overreaction” is the word most often used. It is one game out of 17, but then today I heard that in college football, USC fired Clay Helton after they lost to Stanford Saturday. Talk about overreaction!!!!

USC was 46-24 under Helton; lot of college football programs are run by delusional rich people who have no patience- they think their school should win the national title every other year, if not more often. Texas fired Tom Herman and hired a guy who had previously been fired for showing up drunk, but hey, the guy worked for Nick Saban after that, so maybe…….

Hard to feel too sorry for Helton; his buyout is in the $12M range, but still…….

10) All four teams in AFC West, all four in NFC West won this weekend; NFC North went 0-4 this weekend.

9) Really good rule change by the NFL: if the replay official sees an obviously wrong call, he can beep in and change the call, without the team having to challenge the call.

8) Washington QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is out 6-8 weeks with a hip injury; Taylor Heinicke is the new starter. Washington signed QB Kyle Shurmur to the practice squad Monday; his dad is the offensive coordinator for the Broncos.

7) New Orleans Saints are living/practicing in the Dallas area this week; there’s a chance that if things go well in New Orleans as far as power being restored, Saints could play their Week 4 game with the Giants in the Superdome. Their next home game after that isn’t until Week 8.

6) Arkansas Razorbacks are in college football’s top 25 for first time since 2016.

5) San Francisco Giants clinched a playoff spot Monday night, the first team to clinch a spot in this year’s postseason. Quite a run they’re on.

4) Last QB drafted #1 in the NFL Draft to win his first NFL start?

David Carr, for Houston in 2002.

3) 14 different New York Mets have homered three times in one games: Yoenis Cespedes is the only Met who did it twice.

When DH comes back to the National League next year, I wonder if Cespedes will re-surface.

2) I’m flipping around the TV late at night and I stumble across Addams Family re-runs; it was on TV way back in the 60’s when I was 5-6 years old— loved that show, especially Cousin Itt and Thing.

Funny thing is, my mother never let me watch the Three Stooges, for whatever reason, but she was OK with me watching the Addams Family, which was 1,000 times weirder. Some of the stuff in that show is downright strange.

Go figure.

1) 49ers/Bears both used their rookie QB’s in short yardage situations Sunday; only a matter of time before both of them are starting.

Trey Lance’s situation is odd; he only played one college game last year; he came from a I-AA program. He just doesn’t have a lot of experience. Will be an interesting decision for Shanahan, when to throw the rookie QB into the fire.

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, September 14

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Indiana @ Atlanta
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 14




 

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

IND at ATL 07:00 PM
ATL -2.5
U 153.0
+500 +500

[StarDust Bum]

SEPTEMBER WNBA Best Bet Record:

Date w-l-t % units record

SEPTEMBER WNBA Best Bet Record:

Date w-l-t % units record

09/14/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%...........-0.50
09/13/2021........0-2-0............0.00% ..........-11.00
09/12/2021........3-3-0...........50.00%...........-1.50
09/11/2021........2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
09/10/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/09/2021........0-2-0...........00.00%.........,-11.00
09/08/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/07/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/06/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%...........-0.50
09/05/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/04/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/02/2021........5-3-0...........62.50%.........+ 8.50

Totals:............23-23-0...........50.00%.........- 12.00


BEST BETS:

09/14/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%..........-0.50
09/13/2021..........0-2-0............0.00%..........-11.00
09/12/2021........2-3-0...........40.00%...........-6.50
09/11/2021........2-2-0...........50.00%............-1.00
09/10/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%.........-11.50
09/09/2021........0-2-0...........00.00%.........,-11.00
09/08/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%..........+9.50
09/07/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/06/2021........1-1-0...........50.00%...........-0.50
09/05/2021........3-1-0...........75.00%.........+ 9.50
09/04/2021........1-3-0...........25.00%..........-11.50
09/02/2021........5 - 3 - 0........62.50%........+ 8.50

Totals:............22-23-0...........48.88%........, - 16.50
 

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
NFL leaders in receiving yardage:
197— Tyreek Hill, KC
189— Deebo Samuel, SF
139— Amari Cooper, Dal
132— Brandin Cooks, Hst
121— Antonio Brown, TB
113— Sterling Shepherd, NYG

Quote of the Day
“Sometimes the things that can’t be counted, count the most.”
Buzz Williams

Wednesday’s quiz
Which QB holds the Cincinnati Bengals’ career record for passing yards?
Hint: He started in a Super Bowl

Tuesday’s quiz
Oakland/Las Vegas Raiders have won three Super Bowls; John Madden won the first one. Tom Flores won the other two.

Monday’s quiz
Mike Ditka, Lovie Smith are head coaches who led the Chicago Bears to a Super Bowl.

*************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) There were nine outright wins by underdogs in Week 1 of the NFL, the most in any Week 1 since 1983.

12) NFL home favorites went 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

11) Before Monday night, Baltimore Ravens had won 98 games in a row when they led by 14+ points; last time they had lost was in 2004 against the Bengals, when they lost 27-26 after leading 23-3.

10) Five assistant coaches for the New Orleans Saints tested positive for COVID; their team now has stricter protocols this week, lot like last year’s.

9) USC’s last three football coaches were all fired during a season; does that make it harder for them to hire a top-flight candidate? If your expectations dwarf the reality of their situation, is it that great a job?

Alabama/Clemson are dominating the sport right now, but schools like USC, Texas have the delusional idea that they should be dominating the sport. Only so much room at the top.

8) Umpire Junior Valentine was working first base Monday night in New York, when an errant throw drilled him in the side of the face, pretty close to his right eye. He’s a tough guy; he worked the plate Tuesday night, with a very large bruise on his face.

7) Was listening to the Minnesota Twins’ TV broadcast Tuesday; Justin Morneau was talking about, while he was in Class A ball, the Twins had a rule that every player who gets two strikes on them had to choke up for the rest of the at-bat. He kept doing it most of his career.

Once a batter gets two strikes on him this year, his batting average is .166.

6) Twins weren’t too happy with the umpires in their extra-inning loss in New York Monday afternoon; they must’ve been thrilled when those four umps boarded the team flight back to Minnesota. Same crew is working the Twins-Indians series this week.

5) San Diego Padres were 68-58 when they fired pitching coach Larry Rothschild; they’re 6-12 since they fired him. Not good.

4) Jake Woodford pitched for the Cardinals Tuesday night, against the Mets. One of the Mets’ best hitters is Pete Alonso; Woodford and Alonso were high school teammates in Tampa.

3) Atlanta (76-67) is the only NL East team over .500; Phillies are 72-72.

2) RIP to the great comedian Norm MacDonald, who passed away from cancer at age 61. There isn’t enough laughter in our world today; he was a funny guy.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: St Louis @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: 3-way playoff (Tor-NY-Bos)

[Udog]

WNBA

Wednesday, September 15

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Connecticut
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 15




 

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 15
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

NY at CONN 07:00 PM
CONN -12.5
U 147.5
+500 +500