Cnotes 2020-2021 wnba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, August 26




 

[Udog]

WNBA

Thursday, August 26

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Trend Report
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Las Vegas @ Atlanta
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

Los Angeles @ Connecticut
Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Connecticut is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas


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[Udog]

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds for this week’s PGA Tour event:
6-1— Jon Rahm
16-1— Justin Thomas
18-1— Jordan Spieth, Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele
20-1— Dustin Johnson, Bryson DeChambeau
22-1— Koepka, Oosthuizen, Cantlay, Finau, CSmith
27-1— Rory McIlroy

Quote of the Day:
“We identified Sony (Michel) for many reasons. Number one, being his experience – and experience, meaning like a player who has carried the ball in big games and in those big games, where there have been big moments, big drives, big series – is the experience of where he played, how he was coached. So, he was one of those players. If we were going to go the route of experience, he was someone who would definitely eying him from the start.”
Rams’ GM Les Snead

Thursday’s quiz
How many NFL stadiums are domes?

Wednesday’s quiz
Eight major league stadiums are domes.

Tuesday’s quiz
Nine major leaguers have hit 600+ home runs.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Quite a day of major league baseball; in 12 of the 14 games, the winning run scored in the last three innings. Lot of fascinating games.
— First game was at 1:00pm; last game ended at 3:59am in San Diego.
— Dodger-Padre game was longest game under the new extra inning rules.
— Only 6 of 28 starting pitchers got a decision Wednesday.

12) Dodgers 5, Padres 3 (16):
— One of the most bizarre baseball games I’ve ever seen; it ended at 3:59am.
— Tatis tied the game with a 2-run homer in the 15th that bounced off RF Taylor’s glove; it wasn’t going to go over the fence.
— Dodgers twice walked hitters intentionally back/back to load the bases, because San Diego was out of pinch-hitters and pitchers had to pinch-hit.
— Padres didn’t get a hit from the 5th inning until the Tatis homer in the 16th.
— Dodgers issued 8 intentional walks, an all-time record.
— Total on game was 8; it was 1-1 after the 14th. Wound up as a push.

11) Giants 3, Mets 2:
— Mets hit into five double plays in first 7 innings.
— New York is 2-12 in last 14 games, all vs Dodgers/Giants.
— Starting Friday, Mets’ next 16 games are against Washington/Miami.

10) Couple NFL teams announced their starting QB’s:
— Jaguars will start rookie QB Trevor Lawrence right off the bat.
— Broncos will start Teddy Bridgewater in their opener against the Giants.

9) LA Rams traded couple low draft picks to New England for QB Sony Michel, who scored the only TD against the Rams in the Super Bowl three years ago. Rams have injury issues at RB; starter Cam Akers tore his achilles, Darrell Henderson has a sprained thumb.

8) Mentioned the other day about only two MLB teams not having a guy with 20+ homers; Mike Yastzremski hit his 20th the other night, so now Detroit is the only team without a guy who has 20+, though they do have a guy with 500 career homers (Miguel Cabrera)

7) Rajon Rondo’s career path:
— Played college ball at Kentucky from 2004-06.
— Was first round pick of the Suns in 2006; he never played for them.
— Played for Celtics from 2006-14
— Played 46 games for Dallas in 2014-15
— Played 72 games for Sacramento in 2015-16
— Played 69 games for Chicago in 2016-17
— Played 65 games for New Orleans in 2017-18
— Played 94 games for Lakers from 2019-21
— Played 27 games for Atlanta last season
— Played 18 games for the Clippers last season
— Got traded to Memphis this summer.

6) Weird baseball scheduling:
— Braves had Wednesday and Thursday off, which makes no sense.
— Angels-Padres play a rare 2-game weekend series; they’re not playing Sunday.

5) Josh Rosen’s career path:
— Played QB at UCLA from 2015-17
— 1st round pick of the Cardinals in 2018
— Went 3-10 as the Cardinals’ starter in 2018
— Traded to the Dolphins for two draft picks.
— Went 0-3 as Miami’s starter in 2019.
— 2020: Was on practice squad of Bucs, 49ers
— Signed up with the Falcons this week.

4) Milwaukee Bucks’ coach Mike Budenholzer parlayed the Bucks’ NBA title into a 3-year contract extension, much deserved. Milwaukee’s only other NBA title was in 1971, when they had a pretty good center (Kareem Abdul-Jabbar)

3) Orioles 10, Angels 6:
— Baltimore snaps its 19-game losing skid.
— Angels led 6-5 after seven innings.
— Cedric Mullins knocked in three runs for the Birds.

2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do not):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: Cincinnati @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ New York

1) When NFL teams make their final cuts after this weekend, 864 players will be looking for jobs; you wonder how much their vaccination status will affect their chances of finding a new job? Unvaccinated players will have to wait five days to join their new team.


 

[StarDust Bum]

July/ August WNBA Best Bet Record:

Date w-l-t % units record

08/25/2021......2-0-0...100.00%.....+10.00
08/24/2021......6-2-0.....75.00%.....+19.00
08/22/2021......0-4-0 ......0.00%......-22.00
08/21/2021......2-2-0.....50.00%.......-1.00
08/20/2021......1-3-0.....25.00%......-11.50
08/19/2021......2-2-0.....50.00%.......-1.00
08/18/2021......2-0-0...100.00%.....+10.00
08/17/2021......5-5-0 ....50.00%........-2.50
08/15/2021......7-5-0.....58.33%.....+ 8.50
07/11/2021 .....7-3-0 ....70.00%.... +18.50
07/10/2021..... 0-2-0..... 0.00% ......-11.00
07/09/2021..... 4-4-0 ....50.00% .......-2.00
07/07/2021..... 4-2-0.... 66.67% ......+9.00
07/05/2021 .....2-0-0 ...100.00%.... +10.00
07/04/2021..... 3-1-0..... 75.00%...... +9.50
07/03/2021 .....5-1-0..... 83.33%.... +19.50
07/02/2021 .....1-3-0 .....25.00%..... -11.50
07/01/2021 .....0-2-0 .....00.00%..... -11.00


Totals...........53-40-0......56.98%......+40.50

[StarDust Bum]

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

PHO at NY 07:00 PM
PHO -6.0
O 162.5
+500 +500

[Udog]

WNBA

Wednesday, August 25

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Trend Report
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Phoenix @ New York
Phoenix
Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games


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WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 25

[Udog]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
Active leaders in career TD passes:
581— Tom Brady, TB
412— Aaron Rodgers, GB
396— Ben Roethlisberger, Pitt
347— Matt Ryan, Atl
282— Matthew Stafford, Rams
267— Russell Wilson, Sea

Quote of the Day:
“On behalf of the Cardinals and our fans, it gives me great pleasure to announce that Yadier Molina will continue his franchise legacy for another season in 2022. Yadi has continued to play at an All-Star level this season, and has already established himself among the greatest players to have ever worn the birds on the bat.”
Cardinals owner Bill DeWitt

Wednesday’s quiz
How many major league stadiums are domes?

Tuesday’s quiz
Nine major leaguers have hit 600+ home runs.

Monday’s quiz
28 major leaguers have hit 500+ home runs.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Weird scheduling for the Mets; they’re near the end of a 15-game stretch, totally against the Dodgers/Giants (2-11 so far). Good news is that their next 16 games are against Washington and Miami, two non-contending teams.

12) I’m not in favor of wagering on NFL exhibition games, but the fact is this: the Ravens have won 19 preseason games in a row- they’re 8-3 ATS in last 11.

11) Los Angeles Angels’ last five games:
— Trailed 10-2 in 6th inning, won 13-10 at Detroit
— Lost 9-1 in Cleveland
— Lost 5-1 in Cleveland
— Lost 3-0 to Cleveland in Williamsport, PA
— Whacked Orioles 14-8 in Camden Yards.

10) Am I the only person who thinks it is odd that there are three active NFL QB’s who went to college at North Dakota State? Bison are a I-AA program, albeit one of the best ones.

Carson Wentz, Easton Stick (Chargers’ backup), Trey Lance (49ers’ rookie)

9) Strange Stat of the Day: Giants/Tigers are only major league teams this season without a guy who has 20+ homers; the weird thing is, San Francisco has hit the most homers of any team in the big leagues, yet they don’t have anyone who has hit 20+. Go figure.

8) This stat is from Ralph Michaels on Twitter:

Over last 18 years, there have been 64 baseball teams that have had a winning streak of 10+ games; those teams are 35-29 (-2.6 units) in their 11th game.

7) San Diego Padres’ reliever Austin Allen has hit 17 batters this season, most ever by a reliever; the all-time mark for any pitcher is 21, so he has a chance to set that record.

6) Jacksonville Jaguars used six kickers last year, most kickers any NFL team has used since 1967, when Washington also used six, one of whom was a starting DB.

Jaguars got bad news Tuesday; rookie RB Travis Etienne hurt his foot, will likely miss the whole season this year.

5) There are already former college/NFL players on Twitter speaking out about Jacksonville hiring Urban Meyer as head coach, instead of Chiefs’ OC Eric Bieniemy. When the Jaguars suffer thru this year, and they likely will with a rookie QB, those voices will get louder.

The thing is, what if the Jaguars start winning next year or the year after? Then where will those voices be? It is easy to be critical, but you have to give them time.

4) Mariners 5, A’s 1:
— Damaging stretch here for Oakland; Saturday-Monday, they blew leads in 9th/8th/9th innings, losing all three games. Not good.
— Seattle has won nine of its last 12 games.

3) Modern baseball: When a pitching change is made during an inning now, the on-deck hitter retreats to the dugout to look at the pitcher’s delivery on a tablet, while the pitcher warms up.

2) Reds stayed a game ahead of San Diego in NL Wild Card race:
— Brewers 7, Reds 4— Reds led 4-1 in 7th inning; the bullpen imploded.
— Dodgers 5, Padres 2— First five guys in San Diego’s lineup were 0-17.

1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: Cincinnati @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ New York

[StarDust Bum]

July/ August WNBA Best Bet Record:

Date w-l-t % units record

08/24/2021......6-2-0.....75.00%.....+19.00
08/22/2021......0-4-0 ......0.00%......-22.00
08/21/2021......2-2-0.....50.00%.......-1.00
08/20/2021......1-3-0.....25.00%......-11.50
08/19/2021......2-2-0.....50.00%.......-1.00
08/18/2021......2-0-0...100.00%.....+10.00
08/17/2021......5-5-0 ....50.00%........-2.50
08/15/2021......7-5-0.....58.33%.....+ 8.50
07/11/2021 .....7-3-0 ....70.00%.... +18.50
07/10/2021..... 0-2-0..... 0.00% ......-11.00
07/09/2021..... 4-4-0 ....50.00% .......-2.00
07/07/2021..... 4-2-0.... 66.67% ......+9.00
07/05/2021 .....2-0-0 ...100.00%.... +10.00
07/04/2021..... 3-1-0..... 75.00%...... +9.50
07/03/2021 .....5-1-0..... 83.33%.... +19.50
07/02/2021 .....1-3-0 .....25.00%..... -11.50
07/01/2021 .....0-2-0 .....00.00%..... -11.00


Totals...........51-40-0......56.04%......+30.50

[StarDust Bum]

TUESDAY, AUGUST 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

LA at WAS 07:00 PM
LA +3.0
U 160.0
+500 +500

LV at CONN 07:00 PM
CONN -2.5
U 155.0
+500 +500

CHI at ATL 07:00 PM
CHI -6.0
U 165.5
+500 +500

SEA at MIN 07:00 PM
MIN +4.0
O 164.5
+500 +500

[Udog]

WNBA Best Bets for Tuesday, Aug. 24, 2021
Nick Andre

Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Chicago Sky at Atlanta Dream (ESPN3, 7:00 p.m.)
Las Vegas Aces at Connecticut Sun (ESPN3, 7:00 p.m.)


Seattle Storm at Minnesota Lynx
Score Prediction: Storm 87, Lynx 78

Best Bet: Seattle -4

As the WNBA season is winding down, playoff positioning can play a huge factor for the contending teams. For the Seattle Storm looking to repeat as champions, having that first seed is important. The Storm have been on a tear since the return of their two stars, Breanna Stewart and Sue Bird. Tuesday’s game will be a repeat of what they have done the past two games.
The Lynx haven’t been at their best the past few games. Despite their win over the Chicago Sky Saturday night, the team understands that they can take their game to another level. The Lynx will be battle-tested through the course of this game. They will need to make sure to communicate defensively against a great offense in Seattle. If they cannot contain the ball movement Seattle has then it’ll be a difficult night for Minnesota.


Chicago Sky at Atlanta Dream
Score Prediction: Sky 77, Dream 71

Best Bet: Chicago -4

At this point in the season, the Atlanta Dream are not playing for a playoff position. It has been a long season of changes and disappointments after high expectations to begin the year. The good thing is the team doesn’t stop competing. The Dream will give everything they have to the Chicago Sky, even if that means falling short once again.

The Sky need a bounce-back win after their loss Saturday night to the Lynx. Sure, Candace Parker didn’t suit up. But they need to continue to play together and grab wins despite her absence. The Sky need to take advantage of this opportunity to continue to keep their playoff hopes alive.


Las Vegas Aces at Connecticut Sun
Score Prediction: Sun 93, Aces 90

Best Bet: Las Vegas ML

Could this become a WNBA Finals match within the next few months? The top two teams in the WNBA are going head to head in what will be a very exciting matchup. The biggest talk of the evening will be the head-to-head between two MVPs, Aja Wilson, and Jonquel Jones. As the Aces look for a win in Tuesday night’s contest, Wilson will need to set the tone early in the meeting.
The Sun have been on a tear since the restart of the season. I guess you can say that the Commissioner’s Cup loss put a chip on their shoulder. We should expect a monster performance against Jonquel Jones as she looks to lead the way for her team. With the Sun having the advantage on their home floor, they will be the team who takes the victory.

Best Bet Tracker

Seattle -4
Chicago -4
Las Vegas ML

Free Picks - Year to Date Record: 50-43, +7.29 Units


 

[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 24

[Udog]

WNBA

Tuesday, August 24

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Trend Report
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Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Chicago @ Atlanta
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games at home

Las Vegas @ Connecticut
Las Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 7 games when playing Connecticut
Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Connecticut's last 8 games at home

Los Angeles @ Washington
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Los Angeles is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
Washington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Major league leaders, innings pitched:
168.2— Zach Wheeler, Phil
162.2— Adam Wainwright, StL
162.1— Walker Buehler, LA
158.1— Sandy Alcantara, Mia
155.2— Zack Greinke, Hst
151.2— Kyle Hendricks, Chi

Quote of the Day:
“You’ve got to think long-term here. This has been going on for decades, and it’s time to get a new stadium done that we can make sure the Bills are here and successful for many, many decades going forward. We’re focused on keeping the Bills [in Buffalo] in a new stadium in a public, private partnership. That’s what this is all about and that’s where we’re focusing.”
NFL commish Roger Goodell, who is from Jamestown, 70 miles from Buffalo

Tuesday’s quiz
How many major leaguers have hit 600+ home runs?

Monday’s quiz
28 major leaguers have hit 500+ home runs.

Sunday’s quiz
Nate Colbert (163) hit the most home runs of any San Diego Padre.

******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Red Sox 8, Rangers 4 (11)— Early candidate for Bad Beat of the Week; total in this game was 9.5. Boston led 3-1 in 9th inning, Texas tied it, then Travis Shaw walked it off with an 11th-inning grand slam. He does anything but hit a homer there, game ends 5-4.

12) San Diego Padres found a scapegoat for their current struggles; Monday they told pitching coach Larry Rothschild to take a hike. Padres have lost 9 of their last 11 games- they scored 3 or fewer runs in six of those nine losses, so by all means, fire the pitching coach.

11) Miguel Cabrera hit his 500th home run Sunday, the 28th big leaguer to do that; he’s having a Hall of Fame career. Marlins won the World Series in his rookie year, 2003, so long ago that the Marlins’ managers that year were Jeff Torborg and Jack McKeon.

10) Atlanta Braves won their last 13 road games; Cubs lost 13 of their last 14 home games.

9) Miami’s Sandy Alcantara has allowed only 3 runs in his last 22 IP, but he didn’t get much help from his teammates last week. In starts against the Braves/Reds, Miami scored a total of one run, losing both games 2-0/3-1.

8) Pirates 6, Arizona 5— This was only 7th time in 125 games that the Pirates were favored.

7) NFL has a labor dispute with its replay officials, who are separate from the game officials who are on the field. The replay officials are still working, but they want to get paid more.

6) If you’re an NFL quarterback and they replay one of your passes and TV analyst Dan Fouts says “I’m not sure what his intention was” that’s not a ringing endorsement of that QB. Fouts was obviously one of the best QB’s ever, and he’s usually not very critical.

5) Lot of rain this weekend; they had nine inches of rain in two days at Liberty National Golf Club, where the PGA Tour event was being played.

4) If they played a major league baseball game with aluminum bats, what would the final score be? You watch this Little League World Series and the kids use them. Exit velocity would go way the hell up with aluminum bats.

3) Trevor Bauer is on administrative leave, still getting paid his $28M a year as his legal issues play out. Bauer hasn’t pitched since June 28, doesn’t appear to have broken any laws, but he is on the sidelines and figures to be for the rest of the season. Dodgers have to be really thrilled about all this.

2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Braves, Brewers, Giants. Wild Card: Cincinnati @ Los Angeles
AL: Rays, White Sox, Astros. Wild Card: Boston @ New York

1) You see people running marathons and it doesn’t seem healthy; 26 miles is a long way to run. Hey, if I drive 26 miles, I’m looking for a drive-thru window at McDonald’s or Wendy’s.

The idea for a marathon comes from the legend of an ancient Greek messenger who raced from the site of Marathon to Athens, a distance of 40 kilometers, nearly 25 miles, with the news of an important Greek victory over an invading army of Persians in 490 B.C. After making his announcement, the exhausted messenger collapsed and died.

See what I mean?

[StarDust Bum]

July/ August WNBA Best Bet Record:

Date w-l-t % units record

08/22/2021......0-4-0 ......0.00%......-22.00
08/21/2021......2-2-0.....50.00%.......-1.00
08/20/2021......1-3-0.....25.00%......-11.50
08/19/2021......2-2-0.....50.00%.......-1.00
08/18/2021......2-0-0...100.00%.....+10.00
08/17/2021......5-5-0 ....50.00%........-2.50
08/15/2021......7-5-0.....58.33%.....+ 8.50
07/11/2021 .....7-3-0 ....70.00%.... +18.50
07/10/2021..... 0-2-0..... 0.00% ......-11.00
07/09/2021..... 4-4-0 ....50.00% .......-2.00
07/07/2021..... 4-2-0.... 66.67% ......+9.00
07/05/2021 .....2-0-0 ...100.00%.... +10.00
07/04/2021..... 3-1-0..... 75.00%...... +9.50
07/03/2021 .....5-1-0..... 83.33%.... +19.50
07/02/2021 .....1-3-0 .....25.00%..... -11.50
07/01/2021 .....0-2-0 .....00.00%..... -11.00


Totals...........45-38-0......54.21%......+11.50

[Udog]

WNBA Daily Free Picks, Predictions, Odds
Nick Andre

Non-Commissioner's Cup

Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics (ESPN, 3:00 p.m.)

Los Angeles Sparks at New York Liberty
Score Prediction: Liberty 92, Sparks 87

An anticipated Sunday afternoon matchup that is expected to go down to the wire. As the Los Angeles Sparks continue their push for a playoff position, every game is important to them. The Sparks will need their veteran leaders in Nneka Ogwumike and Kristi Tolliver to lead the way for the team. As the Sparks look to secure a win, they have a tough opponent in front of them that could prevent that from happening.

The Liberty is also a team that would like to keep their playoff hopes alive. In order to do that, they need to tighten up on the defensive end. The offense has been perfect for the Liberty, which is led by Betnijah Laney. But on the defensive end was what cost their last game against the Seattle Storm. If New York can communicate better on that end of the floor, they can prevail in an upset victory.

The New York Liberty split against the Seattle Storm last series, down 15 in Game 1 only to comeback and win. (AP)


Seattle Storm at Washington Mystics
Score Prediction: Storm 97, Mystics 82

Who will take control in this MVP head-to-head between Breanna Stewart and Tina Charles? The Storm are building their momentum after a dominant victory over the Liberty Friday night. Their ball movement was once again impeccable in a double digit win. For the Storm, expect Stewart to have a dominant performance. She always shows up for games that are highly anticipated and she wants to have the edge in the game.

For the Mystics, it’s all about becoming a second half team. Over their last three meetings, Washington has been a stellar first half team. But the second half is a different story. The Mystics cannot wait for Elena Delle Donne’s return to make things happen. The team is slipping in the playoff standings and they’re losing momentum. Going up against the defending champions is another game where the Mystics will really show who they are as a team.

Best Bet Tracker

Atlanta +5.5
Chicago ML

Free Picks - Year to Date Record: 49-42, +7.29 Units