Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 6/12

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes


Saturday, June 12

Good Luck on day #163 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Major league leaders in walks (by pitcher):
37— John Gant, StL
35— Blake Snell SD/Triston McKenzie Clev
34— Garrett Richards Bos/German Marquez, Colo
31— Zach Davies Chi/Nick Pivetta Bos/Shane Bieber Clev
29— MKeller/BKeller/Peralta/Dunn/Skubal
28— Dylan Cease, CWS

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Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Mixing in some Pac-12 football knowledge in with baseball

Mets 3, Padres 2:
— Jacob deGrom threw six shutout innings, but left after six innings (80 PT) with a sore elbow. In his four starts since being on the IL, he’s thrown 63-70-85-80 pitches.
— Mets started a 31-day stretch where they’ll play 33 games; one day off, with three twinbills mixed in. Some consolation; 22 of those 31 days will be spent in New York City.

Cubs 8, Cardinals 5
— Anthony Rizzo hit a home run on the 14th pitch of an at-bat, sending the biggest crowd of the year into a frenzy.
— Cubs scored twice in the 7th inning after Bill Murray sang Take Me Out to the Ballgame.

Giants 1, Nationals 0
Max Scherzer left the game after 12 pitches with a leg injury, bad news for a Washington team facing a pair of games against the Giants Saturday.

Dodgers 12, Rangers 1
LA scored six runs in first inning, sending Texas to their 15th consecutive road loss.

Random strange stat of the day: Of all the active big leaguers with 125+ AB’s against the Indians, the player with the best batting average is?

Elvis Andrus, .367. Go figure.

A’s 4, Royals 3— That same Elvis Andrus hit a walk-off single to rightfield, as Oakland avoided what would’ve been a bad loss.

I’m watching the classic baseball movie Major League the other night and the Indians manager comes to the mound to bring in Wild Thing Vaughn (Charlie Sheen); manager Lou Brown wasn’t much for the analytics community: “I know he hasn’t done well against this guy, but I’ve got a hunch he’s due.”

— A little Pac-12 football knowledge:
Arizona- New coach Jedd Fisch was an offensive coordinator in the NFL; X’s and O’s won’t be a problem, but how will he recruit? Losing 70-7 to Arizona State last year make this year’s game with the Sun Devils more interesting.

Arizona State- 9 starters back on offense, 11 on defense; they were +8 in turnovers LY, in only four games. Sun Devils have a 3rd-year starting QB, unusual in this day and age. Expectations are high in Tempe; ASU lost 16 of its last 19 games against USC- they play Trojans November 8.

California- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; their two losses last year were by total of five points. Cal ranked outside top 100 nationally LY in scoring, rushing, passing- their QB has 23 career starts, most of anyone in the Pac-12.

Colorado- 9 starters back on offense, 8 on defense; is there a hangover after you lose your bowl game 55-23, the way Colorado did last year? They’re not sure who the QB will be; Colorado was #23 in country in rushing LY, but they allowed 32+ points in four of six games.

Oregon- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; lot of returning starters all over the Pac-12 this fall. Ducks will have a Boston College transfer (28 starts) or a freshman at QB, which could be a problem, but otherwise they have quality depth all over the field.

Oregon State- 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense; notice a trend here? Beavers scored 31.2 ppg two years ago, 28.9 last year; coach Jonathan Smith knows his offense. Problem is, they gave up 65 points in their two wins LY. The defense needs some work.

USC- 8 starters back on both sides of the ball; QB Kedon Slovis had a pretty good OC in high school in Phoenix- NFL Hall of Famer Kurt Warner. Trojans were 5-1 LY, with three wins by 5 or fewer points; coach Clay Helton kept his job, but fired his 14th assistant over the last five years- they also fired the strength coach.

Stanford- Cardinal started season 0-2, then won their last four games, by total of 10 points. Stanford was 93rd running the ball, 112th in rushing defense, numbers that need to improve. The QB situation is up in the air for this fall, rarely a good thing.

UCLA- 9 starters back on both sides of the ball, as Chip Kelly fights to show that his success at Oregon wasn’t a fluke. Bruins were 3-4 last year; they scored 42-35-38-47 points in the losses. UCLA finished 114th in country in pass defense LY, a bad thing if you’re in the PAC-12.

Utah- Because QB’s transfer every 90 minutes or so, Utes have Baylor transfer Charlie Brewer on their roster now. Brewer threw for 9,700 yards in 44 games at Baylor; is Utah a better place to play than Waco? Utes are trying for third Pac-12 South title in last four years.

Washington- Huskies have 11 consecutive winning seasons, but they finished in top 25 in only four of those years. Washington only played four games LY, so their returning starting QB isn’t as experienced as it seems. A September 11 game at Michigan will be interesting.

Washington State- Coogs hired an assistant coach in charge of poaching transfers from other schools, probably a wave of the future. One of their transfers this year in QB Jarrett Guarantano from Tennessee; there weren’t a lot of people in Knoxville who were upset when he left. Wazzu has 8 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.

Last thing tonight; Just watched a 1995 episode of Columbo, where Norm from Cheers was the bad guy. This was shortly after Cheers went off the air; Norm’s character owned racehorses, but his brother was a degenerate gambler who owed money to the wrong people- Norm tried to make everything go away by killing his brother, and the guy he owned money to.

No bueno. Even Cliff Clavin could’ve figured that one out.

[Udog]

[Udog]

541UTAH -542 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 58-33 ATS (21.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, June 12

Utah @ LA Clippers
Jazz (Utah leads 2-0)
— Mitchell scored 82 points in Games 1-2.
— Utah won six in row, 13 of its last 16 games SU.
— Jazz is 5-2 ATS in its last seven road games.
— PG Conley didn’t play in first two games of series (check status)
— Over is 11-3 in last 14 Utah games.
— Jazz haven’t gotten past this round of playoffs since 2007.
— Clarkson scored 24 points in 27:00 off bench in Game 2.

Clippers
— Clippers starters were minus-62, subs +7 in Games 1-2.
— Jazz made 20-39 on the arc in Game 2.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 2-6 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 13-7-1 in last 21 Clipper games.
— Paul George was 12-35 from floor in Games 1-2.
— Clipper subs were 6-17 from floor in Game 2.

— Jazz won nine of last 12 series games.
— Utah is 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
— Under is 4-3-1 in last eight series games.




NBA

Saturday, June 12
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Trend Report

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Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 10 games at home
LA Clippers is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, June 12

[Udog]

[Satch]

UTAH (58 - 21) at LA CLIPPERS (51 - 30) - 6/12/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 103-78 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 43-27 ATS (+13.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 261-313 ATS (-83.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 7-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons