Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 6/11

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes


Friday, June 11

Good Luck on day #162 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

Armadillo: Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

— Started my college football research this week; last couple of football seasons have been weird for me, with the pandemic last year making it unusual for everyone, after my retina detached in October 2019, which screwed up the rest of that season for me.

I’ll be posting some notes on college football from now until Labor Day; we start today with some stuff from the SEC. I’m told they really like college football in the south.

— LSU went 5-5 LY, despite a +9 turnover ratio. They overhauled their coaching staff over the winter. Problem is, Joe Burrow lives in Cincinnati now. Ed Orgeron is a way better recruiter than he is a tactician; his new coordinators will need to be sharp guys.

— Kentucky had a +10 turnover ratio; they went 4-6 in the regular season, but somehow made it to a bowl game, where they beat NC State 23-21.

— Alabama also had a +10 turnover ratio; they won the national championship. Crimson Tide has only three starters back on offense this year.

Four new head coaches in the SEC this year:
Auburn, South Carolina, Tennessee, Vanderbilt

— Bad news for Ole Miss: they only have four starters back on defense.
— Good news for Ole Miss: their defense sucked LY; it’ll be better with new starters.

As the better college football magazines come out later this month, I’ll post better info, but we’re starting slow, which is fine, since we have a lot of time until the season starts.

One quick Pac-12 note; Stanford started last year 0-2, then won its last four games, by a total of 10 points:
— won 24-23 @ California
— won 31-26 @ Washington
— won 27-24 @ Oregon State
— won 48-47 @ UCLA, in OT

They lost their only home game LY, 35-32 to Colorado.

— Willie Adames was hitting .197 when Tampa Bay traded him to Milwaukee; in his first 18 games for the Brewers, he’s hitting .308, and has been an offensive spark.

— In 2015, Matt Harvey was 13-8, 2.71 in 29 starts for the Mets, when they lost the World Series to Kansas City. He was a big deal in New York City, the Dark Knight. Long time ago.

Since then, Harvey is 29-50 in the major leagues; his ERA the last three years: 7.09, 11.57, 7.41 In his last seven starts this year, he’s allowed 36 runs in 23.2 innings pitched. Why is he still in the major leagues?

— Minnesota 7, New York 5— Josh Donaldson tied it with a 9th inning homer, Hector Cruz walked it off two batters later with another one. Aroldis Chapman faced four hitters; they all scored.

— Arizona Diamondbacks fired their hitting coaches; you lose 19 road games in a row, and heads are going to roll. Doubtful that Arizona’s pitching is the hitting coaches’ fault, but you never know.

— ESPN’s Tim Kurkjian, on base running in the big leagues these days: “……..bad baserunning, the worst I can remember in the 41 years that I have covered the game.”

Kurkjian isn’t an overly critical guy; those words carry some weight.

Dusty Baker agrees: “Baserunning is terrible today. The two things we need the most work on is outfielders throwing and baserunning. Baserunning is just horrible.”

— White Sox 2B Nick Madrigal tore his right hamstring, could be out for the year.

— Bucks 86, Nets 83— NBA offices had to be relieved with this score; they need some series to be interesting, especially one with a New York City team in it. Nets still lead series 2-1.

— Jazz 117, Clippers 111– Donovan Mitchell has scored 82 points in first two games of this series, which Utah won despite PG Mike Conley being out with an injury.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL— Mets, Mil or Cubs, Giants. Wild Card: Padres @ Dodgers
AL— Rays, White Sox, A’s Wild Card: Astros @ Red Sox

[Udog]

[Udog]

531PHILADELPHIA -532 ATLANTA
PHILADELPHIA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

533PHOENIX -534 DENVER
PHOENIX is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Friday, June 11






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, June 11

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
76ers
— Embiid scored 79 points in two games, playing with torn meniscus.
— 76ers won 15 of their last 19 games (12-7 ATS).
— Over is 7-2 in Philly’s last nine games.
— Simmons was 3-12 on foul line in Games 1-2.
— Philly’s starters are +107 so far in this series.
— Philly is in this round for third time in four years; its been 20 years since they got beyond this round.

Hawks (series 1-1)
— Hawks won 12 of last 15 games (10-5 ATS).
— Under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games.
— Atlanta is in this round for first time in five years.
— Hawks covered their last four home games.
— In series so far, Atlanta subs were +50, starters minus-110.
— Hawks were 20-47 on the arc in Game 1, 11-30 in Game 2.

— 76ers won five of last eight series games.
— 76ers are 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
— Over is 7-4 in last 11 series games.

Phoenix @ Denver
Suns (lead series 2-0)
— Phoenix won nine of its last 11 games overall.
— Suns are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix allowed 105 or fewer points in all their playoff wins.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Phoenix scored 71 points in second half of Game 2.

Nuggets
— Nuggets are 4-4 SU in the playoffs so far.
— Denver won 25 of its last 36 games SU.
— Nuggets are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Denver scored 120+ points in its playoff wins, 109 or fewer in losses.
— Nuggets were outscored 32-17 on foul line in first two games.

— Denver had won 7 of last 8 games vs Phoenix, before this series.
— Suns are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Denver.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.




NBA

Friday, June 11
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Trend Report

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Phoenix @ Denver
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

[Satch]

PHILADELPHIA (54 - 25) at ATLANTA (46 - 33) - 6/11/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games this season.
ATLANTA is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
ATLANTA is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-33 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-5 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PHOENIX (57 - 23) at DENVER (51 - 29) - 6/11/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
DENVER is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-6 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons