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**Udog** · 05-27-2021, 07:26 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Week 1 NFL spreads:
— Dallas @ Tampa Bay (-6.5)
— Arizona @ Tennessee (-2.5)
— Seattle @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
— Minnesota (-3) @ Cincinnati
— Philadelphia @ Atlanta (-3.5)
— Jacksonville (-2.5) @ Houston

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

— Thumbs up to DMV in Albany; was there Wednesday morning to get my Real ID, which I thought I needed in order to travel again. Turns out they pushed all that back to 2023, but I got the Real ID, crossing one thing off my to-do list for 2023.

— Travel tip; if you’re going to Las Vegas during football season, don’t stay on the Strip if the Raiders are home that weekend. Rooms at the Luxor/Excalibur are both over $400 for the Saturday night of the weekend I was looking at, and they ain’t the classiest joints in town.

Looking at weekends where the Raiders aren’t home, rates are pretty normal.

Rates at the SouthPoint were pretty good for the weekend the Raiders were home; that’s a few miles south of Allegiant Stadium. Good place.

— How pitchers have fared after throwing their no-hitters this season:
1) Joe Musgrove
— Went 0-4, 5.63 in his next five starts, then 2-0, 0.75 in his last two.

2) Carlos Rodon:
— Is 3-2, 2.08 in six starts since his no-hitter.

3) Madison Bumgarner:
— His no-hitter was 7 innings, but it was a no-hitter.
— is 2-2, 3.54 in five starts since; he’s been batting leg problems.

4) John Means:
— Is 0-0, 2.92 in two starts since the no-hitter; not sure where Orioles would be without him.

5) Wade Miley:
— Allowed nine runs in two starts (7.2 IP) since the no-hitter, is currently on the IL.

6) Spencer Turnbull:
— Allowed three runs in six IP, in his first start after the no-hitter.

7) Corey Kluber:
— Left his last start after 3 innings (shoulder), his first since the no-hitter.
— He had thrown 100+ pitches in three of his previous four starts.

— Braves’ OF Marcell Ozuna is out six weeks after dislocating two fingers while sliding headfirst into third base the other night. This is why some guys wear those oven mitts while running the bases, to protect their fingers.

— They showed a clip of Clayton Kershaw’s MLB debut in 2008 yesterday; he was pitching against Albert Pujols who, 13 years later, is now his teammate with the Dodgers.

— Amazon just bought MGM studios for $8B; they figure to use MGM’s massive collection of movies to help market Amazon Prime Video.

— NFL salary cap was $198.2M last year; it’ll be $182.5M this year, because of the pandemic.

— Is it weird that I watched a movie on TV the other night, then just got a recommendation on a similar movie on my phone? Do they track everything we do/watch?

— Lot of baseball in the Big Apple today; twinbills in the Bronx and at CitiField, after lot of rain in New York City cancelled Wednesday’s games.

**Udog** · 05-27-2021, 07:28 AM

**Udog** · 05-27-2021, 07:35 AM

551MILWAUKEE -552 MIAMI
MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

553PHOENIX -554 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

555DENVER -556 PORTLAND
PORTLAND is 44-26 ATS (15.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more 5 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, May 27

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, May 27

Game 3’s, best-of-7:
Milwaukee @ Miami
Bucks (lead 2-0)
— Milwaukee won first two series games, by 2-34 points.
— Bucks are 1-3-1 ATS in last five road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Milwaukee led last game 78-51 at the half.
— Bucks were 22-53 on arc last game.
— Bucks were +38 on boards in first two games.

Heat
— Miami covered 13 of its last 18 games.
— Heat is 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Dragic had 43 points off bench in first two games.
— Butler was 4-22 from floor in Game 1, 4-10 in Game 2.
— Miami was 20-50 on arc in Game 1, 8-28 in Game 2.

— Milwaukee is 5-3 in last eight series games.
— Bucks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Phoenix @ LA Lakers
Suns (series 1-1)
— Phoenix won four of its last five games.
— Suns are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 22-7 in their last 29 games.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Chris Paul played only 23:00 in Game 2 (check status)

Lakers
— Davis shot 5-16 from floor, was minus -18 in Game 1; in Game 2, he was 18-21 on foul line, scored 34 points with 7 assists, much more assertive.
— Lakers won seven of their last eight games SU
— Lakers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 8-5-1 in their 14 games.
— LA is just 17-59 on arc in two games.

— Lakers won seven of last 11 series games.
— Suns are 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
— Under is 7-4 in last 11 series games.

Denver @ Portland
Nuggets
— Nuggets were 4-8 on line in Game 1, 24-30 in Game 2.
— Denver won 22 of its last 30 games SU.
— Nuggets are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— Jokic scored 34-38 points in first two games.
— Denver shot over 50% from floor both games.

Trailblazers (series 1-1)
— Portland won 11 of its last 14 games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 2-4 ATS in last six home games.
— Denver had 61-73 points at halftime of the two games.

— Blazers made 35-73 3’s in two games, which is really good.
— Portland turned ball over 6 times in Game 1, 21 times in Game 2.

— Denver won six of last nine series games.
— Blazers are 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Portland.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

NBA

Thursday, May 27
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Trend Report

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Milwaukee @ Miami
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 15 games

Phoenix @ LA Lakers
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 12 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Denver @ Portland
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
Portland
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

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**Satch** · 05-27-2021, 10:14 AM

MILWAUKEE (48 - 26) at MIAMI (40 - 34) - 5/27/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 33-41 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 233-283 ATS (-78.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-8 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 9-8 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

PHOENIX (52 - 22) at LA LAKERS (44 - 31) - 5/27/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
PHOENIX is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 32-42 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games this season.
LA LAKERS are 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA LAKERS are 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 8-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

DENVER (48 - 26) at PORTLAND (43 - 31) - 5/27/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
DENVER is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 11-9 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 12-8 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
14 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Udog** · 05-27-2021, 10:40 AM

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/27

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/27

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