Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/23

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes


Sunday, May 23

Good Luck on day #143 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds on random college football games this fall:
Sept 4— Penn State @ Wisconsin (-3.5)
Sept 11— Stanford @ USC (-10)
Sept 18— Alabama @ Florida (-11)
Sept 25— West Virginia @ Oklahoma (-17)
Oct 2— Nevada @ Boise State (-6)
Oct 9— Georgia (-4) vs Auburn

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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Next wave of change in major league baseball figures to be some losing teams ditching their over-educated “executives” and bringing back old school baseball people to put together rosters and lineups. Overachieving teams either do something different, or they do things better.

Some of these cruddy teams are playing badly for one simple reason; they have bad players, or players who aren’t ready to be major leaguers yet.

Seattle insists on batting their big prospect Jarred Kelenic leadoff; problem is, he is hitting .139, Drop him down in the order, take some pressure off him, maybe score more runs.

12) Indians 5, Twins 3 (10):
— Cesar Hernandez walked it off with a home run.
— Minnesota is now 0-8 in extra innings.

11) I don’t have numbers on this, but seems to me that base umpires are calling more and more strikes on check swing appeals. The end of the bat always looks like it goes too far, even if the batter’s hands don’t commit to the swing.

10) Dwight Gooden’s son is a sophomore in high school who is rising up the recruiters’ charts as a pass rusher; the kid is 6-foot-6, and he is getting recruiting attention from several top 20 teams.

At first, Dylan Gooden wanted to be a WR, but his dad talked some sense to him, he switched to defense and now he figures to be a highly sought after recruit.

9) Bucks 109, Heat 107, OT:
— Miami took 50 3-pointers, 49 2-point shots.
— Milwaukee was +13 on the boards.
— Miami’s bench outscored the Bucks’ subs, 39-15.

8) Mavericks 113, Clippers 103:
— Dallas made 17 of 36 shots on the arc.
— Clippers’ five starters were a combined minus-70.
— Luka Doncic scored 31 points, had a triple-double.

7) Nets 104, Celtics 93:
— Brooklyn outscored Celtics 57-40 in second half.
— Blake Griffin played 20:00, didn’t take a shot from floor, was 1-2 on foul line.
— Jayson Tatum was 6-20 from the floor; not good enough.

6) Trailblazers 123, Nuggets 109:
— Blazers played only eight guys, not a lot.
— Carmelp Anthony scored 18 points in 22:00 off the bench.
— Funny how Portland’s star G’s went to Weber State/Lehigh.

5) When the Braves led Atlanta 20-1 the other night. Ronald Acuna wanted to take an at-bat left-handed, but manager Brian Snitker wouldn’t let him do it. Javier Baez has done this a couple of times, when hitting against a position player who was pitching in a blowout.

4) Modern baseball: Mets-Miami were scoreless after four innings; Joey Lucchesi had mowed the Marlins down on 43 pitches, allowing only one baserunner, but the Mets took him out after the 4th inning.

Lucchesi has started 61 big league games, he’s a capable big leaguer, I don’t care what the pencil pushers say— he faced only 12 batters by the way.

3) Rockies 7, Arizona 6— Diamondbacks have lost 12 in a row on the road.

2) Nationals 12, Orioles 9— Baltimore scored five runs in top of the first, but were trailing by the 4th inning- except for John Means, their pitching is terrible.

1) Cubs played St Louis on FOX last night; they had Anthony Rizzo miked, which irritates the hell out of me. Is it that difficult to concentrate on your job instead of yukking it up for the cameras? Not like Rizzo is killing the ball this year; little more focus wouldn’t hurt, and if that makes me the miserable old guy sitting on my porch, then so be it.

[Udog]

[Udog]

501ATLANTA -502 NEW YORK
ATLANTA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

507WASHINGTON -508 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 42-20 ATS (20 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

513LA LAKERS -514 PHOENIX
LA LAKERS are 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) after 4 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

515MEMPHIS -516 UTAH
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.




NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, May 23






NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, May 23

Sunday’s NBA games:
all Game 1’s, best-of-7:
Washington @ Philadelphia
Wizards (35-39)
— Wizards won three of their last four games SU.
— Washington is 3-2-1 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— Wizards played Tuesday/Thursday in play-in games.

76ers (49-23)
— 76ers won 10 of their last 12 games (8-4 ATS).
— Sixers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 4-1 in Philly’s last five home games.

— 76ers won last five series games.
— Wizards are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Philly.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

LA Lakers @ Phoenix
Lakers (43-30)
— Lakers won their last six games SU
— Lakers are 3-5 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 7-4-1 in their 12 games.
— Lakers won a play-in game Wednesday.

Suns (51-21)
— Phoenix won its last three games.
— Suns are 3-1 ATS in their last four home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 21-6 in their last 27 games.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.

— Lakers won seven of last ten series games.
— LA is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Phoenix.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

Atlanta @ New York
Hawks (41-31)
— Hawks won seven of last eight games (5-3 ATS).
— Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games.
— Last time Atlanta covered a road game; April 13.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

Knicks (41-31)
— New York won four of its last five games.
— Knicks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
— Under is 5-2 in New York’s last seven games.
— Knicks are in playoffs for first time in eight years.

— Knicks won last four series games.
— Three of last five series games went to OT.
— Hawks are 1-4 ATS in last five trips to Manhattan.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

Memphis @ Utah
Grizzlies (42-34)
— Memphis won seven of its last eight games SU.
— Grizzlies are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games, 3-2 in last five on road.
— Under is 7-2 in last nine Memphis games.
— Memphis won Wednesday/Friday to get to this point.

Jazz (52-20)
— Utah won seven of its last nine games SU.
— Jazz is 3-7 ATS in its last ten home games.
— Under is 3-0 in Utah’s last three games.

— Utah won last six series games (4-2 ATS)
— Grizzlies are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Utah.
— Over is 4-1 in last five series games.




NBA

Sunday, May 23
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Trend Report

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Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

LA Lakers @ Phoenix
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 13 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 10 games

Atlanta @ New York
Atlanta
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing New York
New York
New York is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
New York is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

Memphis @ Utah
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis


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[Udog]

[Udog]

Satch,

Where did you get the long sheet yesterday? I can't find it. I'm still getting that "Access Unauthorized" message at both my links.

[Satch]

A guy from another forum posts it. Ok if I post it here?

[Satch]

ATLANTA (41 - 31) at NEW YORK (41 - 31) - 5/23/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in road games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
ATLANTA is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW YORK is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 43-22 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 43-18 ATS (+23.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 8-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 8-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

LA LAKERS (43 - 30) at PHOENIX (51 - 21) - 5/23/2021, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 31-41 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games this season.
PHOENIX is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 7-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Udog]

A guy from another forum posts it. Ok if I post it here?

Yessir, please post it! Thanks Satch!

[Satch]

No problem your Welcome!!

[Satch]

NBA Sharp Action

3:30 p.m. ET: Los Angeles Lakers at Phoenix Suns

This is Game 1 of the Western Conference first round. The Lakers (43-30) enter as the 7th seed and are riding a six-game winning streak. Los Angeles took down Steph Curry and the Warriors 103-100 in the play-in game, although they failed to cover as 5.5-point home favorites. Meanwhile, the Suns (51-21) enter as the 2nd-seed and won their final three games of the regular season. This line opened with Phoenix listed as a 3-point home favorite. Pros and Joes seem to both be grabbing the points with LeBron James and company as we've seen Los Angeles tick down from 3 to 2.5. We've also seen some over money come in. The total opened at 212.5 and has been bet up to 213. Some shops are up to 213.5. The Suns were one of the best over teams in the regular season, going 42-30. The Lakers are a big under team (42-29-2). Despite being the lower seed, the Lakers are a -175 favorite to win the series at BetMGM. The Suns are a + 145 dog.

7 p.m. ET: Atlanta Hawks at New York Knicks

This looks to be one of the most evenly matched Eastern Conference first round series. The Hawks (41-31) enter as the 5th seed and enter the playoffs having gone 7-1 over their last eight regular season games. Meanwhile, the Knicks (41-31) enter as the fourth seed and hold home court advantage even though the two teams had identical won-loss records. This game opened with the Knicks listed as 2-point home favorites. The public is rushing to the window to lay the short number with the Knicks at home. However, despite this lopsided support we've seen New York fall from -2 to -1.5. Some shops are even down to 1. This signals some sharp reverse line movement on the contrarian road dog Hawks. Respected money is also leaning under. The total opened at 215.5 and has fallen slightly to 215. Both of these teams are profitable to the under this season. Atlanta is 37-34-1 and New York is 40-32. The Hawks are a slight -120 favorite to win this series. New York is + 100.

9:30 p.m. ET: Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz

This Western Conference playoff showdown is the final game of the day. The Grizzlies (38-34) won both of their play-in games to earn a postseason berth, beating the Spurs 100-96 and upsetting the Warriors 117-112. Now the 8th seed Grizzlies face the 1-seed Jazz (52-20), who finished with the best regular season record in the NBA. In tonight's Game 1 matchup, the Jazz opened as 9-point home favorites. The public sees a 1-seed playing an 8 and has no issue laying the points with the superior team, especially with Donovan Mitchell set to make his long awaited return to the lineup. However, despite a majority of bets backing Utah, we've seen this line dip from 9 to 8.5. This signals some sharp money grabbing the points with the road dog Grizzlies. The total has ticked up slightly from 215.5 to 216, indicating some over action. The Jazz are massive -1400 favorites to win the series. Memphis is a + 800 longshot.