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Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/11

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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 5/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, May 11

    Good Luck on day #131 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Thru Sunday’s games, most profitable baseball teams to bet on ($100/game):
    +$784- Red Sox
    +$724- Rangers
    +$686- Mariners
    Least profitable teams to bet on ($100/game):
    -$1,142- Twins
    -$808- Tigers
    -$773- Rockies
    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 581,756
    PLEASE
    wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……...

    — I’m sitting here in the middle of the night, about to turn the TV off and listen to music while I put this together, and what do I find but a spring football league on FS1.

    It is called the Spring League, and it has eight teams in it. I think they played in the Alamodome in San Antonio last year- this game was at Rice Stadium in Houston, which once hosted a Super Bowl (Dolphins over Vikings maybe???)

    FS1 had their best college football announcers calling the game, so I watched for a while.

    — Watched some of this last year; there are guys in it who have played in the NFL, including QB Ryan Mallett, who hasn’t played pro football since 2017. He started eight games for Texans/Ravens in 2014-15, then kind of went away. Now he is trying to make a comeback.

    — There was a kicker from the CFL with a very long name who kicked four field goals, including a 59-yarder; hard to believe he won’t get an invite to an NFL camp. You make 59-yard field goals and it doesn’t matter if you’re in the California Penal League, the NFL will find you.

    — Kevin Gilbride was coaching one of the teams; the guy will be 70 in August, he hasn’t been in the NFL since 2013, but he’s still out there coaching, trying to get guys to the next level.

    — One of the teams is called the Jousters, which is a tremendous nickname. Good logo, too.

    — So the Jousters give up a 65-yard TD pass, but the receiver has to be a show-off and drops the ball right at the goal line, it was really hard to tell if he had crossed the line or not, they review the play and say it was a touchdown.

    This is a pet peeve of mine; you’re playing in front of no fans, except on TV, busting your butt to make it to an NFL camp- after you make a great play to score a touchdown, you do something STUPID to risk that touchdown not counting.

    Coaches who lose get fired; teams that fumble on the 1-yard line lose.

    Anyway, sounds like The Spring League will be on the next few weeks, which is good.

    — I’ve never had coffee, ever; am I the only person who has never had it?

    My parents drank it, but to me, coffee grounds looked like mud, and why would you drink something that came from mud?

    I worked for the Division of Criminal Justice in Albany for 34 years; had a boss once who always and I mean always, had a coffee mug in his hand. It was like it was permanently attached to his hand. He was a good guy, let us be us, but damn he drank a lot of coffee.

    — I’m a big believer that they should re-do how basketball assists are measured.

    If a pass leads to a 3-point basket, it should be 1.5 assists, since 3 points is more than 2.

    If a pass leads to free throws, it should be 0.5 assists for every foul shot made; those points count just as much as baskets made.

    I used to keep track of assist opportunities, how many assists guys would have had if all the shots had been made— some guys create easier shots with their passes.

    5) Warriors 119, Jazz 116— Here is Golden State’s record, based on Steph Curry’s scoring:
    — 8-2 if he scores 40+
    — 16-9 if he scores 35+. He had 36 in this game.
    — 10-14 if he scores less than 30
    — 5-8 if he scores less than 25.

    4) Only once in their last 13 games has the Padres’ starting pitcher finished the 6th inning; their bullpen is going to be worn out by August, unless they trade for new guys.

    3) In their last 19 games, Dodgers are 0-6 in games where the winning run scores from the 7th inning on- they’ve lost 15 of last 20 games overall.

    2) Celtics’ star Jaylen Brown tore a ligament in his wrist, is out for the year.

    1) Las Vegas Raiders’ backup QB Marcus Mariota is from Hawai’i; he went to St Louis HS, where his backup was Ka’ai Tom, who last night played leftfield and batted 3rd for the Pirates.

    Pretty good high school team, with two major league athletes on it.

    Comment


    • #3
      529MINNESOTA -530 DETROIT
      DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off a home loss in the current season.

      533MIAMI -534 BOSTON
      MIAMI is 66-46 ATS (15.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

      535LA CLIPPERS -536 TORONTO
      LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

      537BROOKLYN -538 CHICAGO
      BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

      539DALLAS -540 MEMPHIS
      MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

      541PHILADELPHIA -542 INDIANA
      PHILADELPHIA is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins in the last 3 seasons.

      543ORLANDO -544 MILWAUKEE
      MILWAUKEE is 65-48 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

      545PHOENIX -546 GOLDEN STATE
      PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a division game in the current season.

      547OKLAHOMA CITY -548 SACRAMENTO
      SACRAMENTO is 48-28 ATS (17.2 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

      549NEW YORK -550 LA LAKERS
      NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Tuesday, May 11


        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Tuesday, May 11


          Denver @ Charlotte
          Nuggets (44-24)
          — Denver won 18 of its last 24 games, but lost last two.
          — Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
          — Under is 7-4 in Denver’s last 11 games.

          Hornets (33-35)
          — Charlotte lost five of its last eight games SU.
          — Hornets are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
          — Over is 3-1 in Charlotte’s last four home games.

          — Denver won last four series games.
          — Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
          — series games.

          Minnesota @ Detroit
          Timberwolves (21-47)
          — Minnesota lost three of its last four games (1-2-1 ATS).
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Wolves are 4-1-1 ATS in last six road games.
          — Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

          Pistons (20-49)
          — Detroit lost nine of its last 11 games
          — Pistons are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
          — Under is 7-3 in Detroit’s last ten games.

          — Minnesota won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
          — Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
          — Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

          Miami @ Boston
          Heat (37-31)
          — Miami won/covered nine of its last 12 games.
          — Heat is 4-1 ATS in last five road games.
          — Over is 9-0 in their last nine games.

          Celtics (35-33)
          — Boston lost three of its last four games.
          — Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
          — Over is 7-1 in their last eight games

          — Miami won six of last nine series games.
          — Heat covered three of last four visits to Boston.
          — Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

          LA Clippers @ Toronto
          Clippers (45-23)
          — Clippers lost four of their last six games.
          — Clippers are 0-4 ATS in last four road games.
          — Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Clipper games.

          Raptors (27-41)
          — Toronto lost seven of its last nine games.
          — Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight home games.
          — Under is 5-1 in their last six home games.

          — Clippers won last three series games.
          — LA is 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
          — Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

          Philadelphia @ Indiana
          76ers (47-21)
          — 76ers won last eight games (6-2 ATS).
          — Sixers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
          — Over is 4-2 in Philly’s last six games.

          Pacers (32-36)
          — Indiana lost five of its last eight games SU.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Pacers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
          — Over is 8-3 in Indiana’s last 11 games.

          — Philly won five of last eight series games.
          — 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Indiana.
          — Last three series games went over.

          Brooklyn @ Chicago
          Nets (44-24)
          — Brooklyn lost four of its last five games SU.
          — Nets are 4-5 ATS in last nine road games.
          — Under is 7-3 in last ten Brooklyn games.

          Bulls (29-39)
          — Chicago lost 11 of its last 18 games SU.
          — Bulls are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games.
          — Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

          — Brooklyn won eight of last ten series games.
          — Nets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
          — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

          Dallas @ Memphis
          Mavericks (40-28)
          — Mavericks won 10 of their last 12 games.
          — Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
          — Under is 3-2 in last five Dallas games.

          Grizzlies (35-33)
          — Memphis won three of its last four games SU.
          — Grizzlies are 7-4 ATS in last 11 home games.
          — Under is 3-0 in last three Memphis games.

          — Dallas won five of last six series games.
          — Mavericks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
          — Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

          Orlando @ Milwaukee
          Magic (21-47)
          — Orlando lost its last three games.
          — Magic is 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
          — Over is 16-5 in their last 21 games overall.

          Bucks (43-25)
          — Milwaukee is 5-1 its last six games SU.
          — Bucks are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Over is 11-4 in Milwaukee’s last 15 home games.

          — Bucks won last six series games (5-0-1 ATS).
          — Magic is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
          — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

          Phoenix @ Golden State
          Suns (48-20)
          — Phoenix won six of its last eight games.
          — Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Over is 18-5 in their last 23 games.

          Warriors (36-33)
          — Golden State won five of its last six games SU.
          — Warriors are 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games.
          — Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

          — Phoenix won five of last seven series games.
          — Suns are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to SF/Oakland.
          — Last eight series games stayed under the total.

          Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
          Thunder (21-48)
          — Thunder lost 24 of its last 26 games.
          — OKC is 3-7 ATS in their last ten games.
          — Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games.

          Kings (30-38)
          — Sacramento is 8-4 in its last 12 games SU.
          — Kings are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
          — Under is 5-0-1 in Sacramento’s last six games.

          — Kings won six of last nine series games.
          — Thunder is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Sacramento.
          — Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

          New York @ LA Lakers
          Knicks (37-30)
          — New York won 13 of its last 16 games.
          — Knicks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.
          — Over is 13-6 in New York’s last 19 games

          Lakers (37-30)
          — Lakers lost eight of their last 11 games.
          — Lakers are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 home games.
          — Under is 4-2-1 in their seven games.

          — Teams split last six series games.
          — Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
          — Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Tuesday, May 11


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Denver @ Charlotte
            Denver
            Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
            Charlotte
            Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Denver

            Minnesota @ Detroit
            Minnesota
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
            Detroit
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
            Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

            Miami @ Boston
            Miami
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
            Boston
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games

            LA Clippers @ Toronto
            LA Clippers
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Toronto
            Toronto
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

            Philadelphia @ Indiana
            Philadelphia
            Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 16 games on the road
            Indiana
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
            Indiana is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

            Dallas @ Memphis
            Dallas
            Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
            Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
            Memphis
            The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Memphis's last 18 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Dallas

            Brooklyn @ Chicago
            Brooklyn
            Brooklyn is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
            Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games

            Orlando @ Milwaukee
            Orlando
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
            Milwaukee
            Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

            Phoenix @ Golden State
            Phoenix
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
            Golden State
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
            Golden State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Phoenix

            Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
            Oklahoma City
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
            The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oklahoma City's last 20 games on the road
            Sacramento
            Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games

            New York @ LA Lakers
            New York
            New York is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games
            New York is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
            LA Lakers
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing New York
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against New York


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #7

              Comment


              • #8
                Hoop Trends for Tuesday May 11
                Vince Akins

                ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
                Matchup: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Bulls are 12-0 ATS (8.08 ppg) with less than two days rest after they had 5 or fewer offensive boards last game.

                ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
                Matchup: Philadelphia at Indiana (8:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Pacers are 0-14 ATS (-8.18 ppg) at home off a road game.

                OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
                Matchup: Minnesota at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Timberwolves are 11-0 OU (8.05 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

                OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
                Matchup: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Bulls are 0-11 OU (-22.50 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which Zach Lavine was their high scorer.

                Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

                Comment

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