Announcement

**Udog** · 04-30-2021, 08:20 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

NFL leaders in passing yardage last year:
4,823— Deshaun Watson, Hst
4,740— Patrick Mahomes, KC
4,633— Tom Brady, TB
4,581— Matt Ryan, Atl
4,544— Josh Allen, Buff
4,336— Justin Herbert, LAC
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 573,420
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up the first 20 picks of the NFL Draft

— First job tonight was to decide which channel to watch the draft on; NFL Network had a concert on, ESPN had four or five commercials for the NBA. No bueno; back to the Extra Innings package until they start picking players.

— There were reports this afternoon that Aaron Rodgers wants the Packers to trade him, which would be tumultuous.

— Quick reminder that the NFL season is now 17 games long.

— There are tons of people outside on a rainy night in Cleveland to watch all this draft stuff happen; having the draft in Las Vegas seems like a much better idea.

— Well, ESPN made the decision for me; they have Mike Greenberg hosting their coverage, so it is off to the NFL Network.

— It is 8:10 and there is still a damn band playing in Cleveland; start the draft!!! In happier news, Kris Bryant just doubled for the Cubs/Armadillos. Cubs lead 4-0 in the third.

— Jacksonville Jaguars are on the clock; Urban Meyer is their new coach. You get the feeling this is an all-or-nothing deal for Meyer, he’ll either win really big or he won’t finish his first season. Whatever, thanks for the Jaguars for getting him off of TV, where he was terrible- zero personality.

— Why is Jacksonville taking the whole 10:00 to make their pick?

— Eric Lauer is pitching for Milwaukee tonight, his first start of the year. Lauer is 14-19, 4.75 in 57 career games (54 starts), but he is 5-0, 2.11 in seven starts against the Dodgers, which makes no sense.

— Daniel Jeremiah just said that when the Jets upset the Rams last year, which put the Jaguars in position to pick first in this draft, that Jacksonville sold a ton of season tickets right after. Its the least the Rams could do for Jacksonville- they traded star CB Jalen Ramsey to the Rams.

— OK, now that Trevor Lawrence is a Jaguar, how long before he starts?

— Jets have a new coach, they traded their QB, they have the #2 pick. Everyone in their draft room has a suit jacket on; things in Jacksonville were way more casual.

With the #2 pick, Gang Green selects Zach Wilson; going from BYU to New Jersey qualifies as worlds colliding.

Someone just called Wilson “…….borderline cocky” Hmmmmm

There is a woman in a Jets sweatshirt sitting in an easy chair behind Roger Goodell’s pedestal.

— It irritates me when I hear an analyst say “He’s a winner” because for every winner, there has to be a loser, and I don’t think anyone is pre-ordained to be a loser.

— 49ers have the third pick in the draft; they take QB Trey Lance, who started 17 games for a I-AA team, playing only one game last year for North Dakota State. Carson Wentz also played for the Bison; what does this mean for Jimmy Garoppolo?

North Dakota State has a third QB in the NFL, Easton Stick, who is a backup with the Chargers, or at least he was before they got Chase Daniel. Must be a fun time to recruit quarterbacks at North Dakota State.

— Great stat they just said on TV; last ten QB’s to win the Super Bowl all threw 1,200+ passes in college; Trey Lance threw 318.

— Atlanta Falcons take TE Kyle Pitts with the 4th pick; his college coach Dan Mullen is sitting there in the draft room with him, getting some free TV time. Matt Ryan must like this pick.

Pitts is the highest drafted tight end ever.

— Bengals take Ja’Marr Chase, the LSU WR who didn’t play last year; he is reunited with his old LSU QB Joe Burrow. Explosive receiver; opting out of last year didn’t cost him any money.

— When was last time the first five picks all went to players on the offensive side of the ball?

— Miami has the 6th pick; they take WR Jaylen Waddle from Alabama, the second WR in row who was wearing sunglasses backstage. Chase took his shades off when he went on stage; Waddle kept his on. Six offensive players in a row, which ties the all-time record.

We are told that Waddle is very fast, a good feature for a WR. Are there slow WR’s?

— Detroit Lions are on the clock; they have a new everything- coach, GM, QB. They’ve won one playoff game in the Super Bowl era; that’s 55 years.

Lions were very good in the 1950’s; they won three titles back then, before I was alive.

People in Detroit’s draft room are hugging each other like they just won the Super Bowl, so they got someone they didn’t think they’d get- OT Penei Sewell from Oregon, which has to make Jared Goff a happier guy. Quarterbacks need their blind side protected.

— Carolina Panthers take CB Jaycee Horn with the 8th pick, the first defensive player taken; he is described as “chippy, competitive; talks a lot on the field”

— 87-year old Bob Uecker still does commercials on Brewers’ TV in Milwaukee for Usinger’s, a sausage company; he is an amazing guy, so funny. Still does Brewers’ home games on the radio.

— Denver Broncos are up next; they take a CB from Alabama whose dad also played in the NFL. Guess they’re serious about starting Teddy Bridgewater at QB this fall, though I also just read a thing on the Interweb about Denver trading for Aaron Rodgers.

They just showed Justin Fields’ family on TV, sitting at home; his parents don’t look happy. Someone needs to tell them that there were six QB’s taken in the 1983 Draft, and Dan Marino was #6 of the six, so you never know what the future will hold.

Yup, Dan Marino was 27th pick in the draft, which is why this is a fascinating process.

They also showed Alabama QB Mac Jones, sitting by himself in the draft room with his phone, probably wondering “Who the bleep told me to come here?!?!?!”

— Dallas Cowboys are on the clock; they traded the pick to Philadelphia, who take DeVonta Smith, the Alabama WR who is also reunited with his college QB, Jalen Hurts.

Not often two division rivals make a trade like that; Eagles only moved up two slots, but they bypassed the Giants, who may have wanted Smith.

— Cowboys got a third round pick to drop back two slots.

— Giants traded the #11 pick to Chicago, which takes Ohio State QB Justin Fields, bad news for Andy Dalton/Nick Foles.

— Dallas finally gets to pick; they take a LB from Penn State, which means Stephen Jones made the pick, not his father, who prefers flashier choices.

— Damn, to drop back nine slots in the draft, Giants got:

— 5th round pick (164th overall) in this draft.

— Bears 4th round pick 2022.

— Bears’ first round pick in 2022.

Seems like a pretty good haul, if they connect with those picks.

— Chargers have a new coach and a young QB; they took a tackle from Northwestern; when you have a good, young QB, you make sure he is well-protected.

— Lot of trades; Jets traded with Minnesota to move up from #23 to #14- they took Alijah Vera-Tucker, a guard from USC. You draft a young QB, you make sure he is well-protected.

— Patriots take QB Mac Jones from Alabama, who was expected to go a lot higher. Belichick and Nick Saban are good friends, so this makes sense.

— With the 16th pick, Arizona Cardinals take Zaven Collins, a LB from Tulsa.

— This is the first time I can remember where the draft was held before the schedule for next year was released- that comes out May 12. Seriously, for like an hour, I put everything aside as soon as the schedule comes out.

I get my second vaccination May 14; when I get home from that, I’ll be looking online for flights and hotel rooms for my first vacation in two years. Have to pick a good NFL weekend, or maybe even two weekends; we’ll see. Football weekends in Las Vegas are lot of fun.

— Las Vegas Raiders took a tackle from Alabama; lot of Crimson Tide guys getting picked.

— Miami Dolphins are picking again; they take a defensive end from Miami FL, who apparently returned punts for his high school team. Must be a very good athlete.

Last year, only 34% of players in the NFL were guys drafted in Rounds 1-3; the GM/scouts are so important in pro football. Thats why Saturday is a very important day- you can find diamonds in the rough at the end of the draft, guys who make a big difference.

— Washington takes a LB from Kentucky; they had taken a defensive lineman in the first round the previous four years, so at least they change things up some.

Washington needs to come up with a nickname, an actual mascot. It can’t be that difficult; as a matter of fact, I’ll do it for them— Washington RedTails, honoring pilots from World War II.

They made a movie about the RedTails; they could keep everything pretty much the same, the team song, the colors, all that. Simple stuff.

— Last item of the night, then I’m off to write the baseball article; with the #20 pick, Giants take Kadarius Toney, a WR from Florida. Graphic says “inconsistent hands” always a solid quality for a receiver.

Oy.

I’ll be back tomorrow, with more of this jocularity. Guy I used to know made fun of me because I like watching the draft; it was freakin’ rude, because we all like different stuff, and that’s what makes life interesting.

**Udog** · 04-30-2021, 08:22 AM

515WASHINGTON -516 CLEVELAND
WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

519ORLANDO -520 MEMPHIS
ORLANDO is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

523MILWAUKEE -524 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

525UTAH -526 PHOENIX
UTAH is 60-41 ATS (14.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

527SACRAMENTO -528 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

**Udog** · 04-30-2021, 08:26 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, April 30

**Udog** · 04-30-2021, 08:29 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 30

Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Hawks (34-29)
— Hawks lost three of their last five games.
— Hawks are 11-5 ATS in their last 15 games.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

76ers (40-21)
— 76ers won last two games, by 31-44 points.
— Sixers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games.
— Under is 17-6 in Philly’s last 23 games.

— 76ers beat Atlanta by 44 here Wednesday.
— Hawks won five of last eight series games.
— Atlanta is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Philly.
— Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

San Antonio @ Boston
Spurs (31-30)
— San Antonio won five of its last seven games.
— Spurs are 7-2 ATS in last nine road games.
— Under is 6-2 in Spurs’ last eight games.

Celtics (33-30)
— Boston lost four of its last six games.
— Celtics are 7-9 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games

— San Antonio won eight of last ten series games.
— Spurs are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
— Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Washington @ Cleveland
Wizards (27-34)
— Wizards won 10 of last 13 games SU (10-3 ATS).
— Wizards are 6-1 ATS in last seven road games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games

Cavaliers (21-40)
— Cleveland lost nine of its last 11 games SU.
— Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 3-1 in last four Cleveland games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Wizards are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Cleveland.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Portland @ Brooklyn
Trailblazers (34-28)
— Portland lost five of its last seven games, but won last two.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 10-5 in Portland’s last 15 games.

Nets (43-20)
— Brooklyn won five of its last six games SU.
— Nets are 4-1 ATS in last five home games.
— Over is 5-1 in last six Brooklyn home games.

— Nets won last three series games, covered last four.
— Portland is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Brooklyn.
— Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

Orlando @ Memphis
Magic (18-43)
— Orlando lost 12 of its last 14 games.
— Magic is 7-4 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Over is 12-3 in their last 15 games overall.

Grizzlies (31-29)
— Memphis lost four of its last six games SU.
— Grizzlies are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 4-1 in last five Memphis games.

— Orlando won six of last seven series games.
— Magic is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Memphis.
— Under is 4-2 in last six series games.

Milwaukee @ Chicago
Bucks (38-24)
— Antetokounmpo hurt his ankle last night; check status.
— Milwaukee lost four of its last seven games SU.
— Bucks are 6-3 ATS in last nine road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 5-2 in Milwaukee’s last seven road games.

Bulls (26-36)
— Chicago lost eight of its last 12 games SU.
— Bulls are 3-5 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 9-2 in their last 11 home games.

— Milwaukee won last ten series games.
— Bucks covered their last five visits to Chicago.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Utah @ Phoenix
Jazz (45-17)
— Utah split its last six games SU.
— Jazz is 4-7 ATS in its last 11 road games.
— Under is 6-2 in Utah’s last eight games.

Suns (44-18)
— Phoenix won eight of its last 11 games.
— Suns are 2-3 ATS in their last five home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 12-5 in their last 17 games.

— Suns won last three series games., covered last four.
— Phoenix is 2-3 ATS in last five trips to Utah.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Sacramento @ LA Lakers
Kings (25-37)
— Sacramento split its last six games SU.
— Kings are 3-0 ATS in their last three road games.
— Under is 5-2 in Sacramento’s last seven road games.

Lakers (36-25)
— Lakers lost four of their last five games.
— Lakers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 8-5 in their 13 games overall.

— Lakers won six of last eight series games.
— Kings are 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here.
— Over is 3-1 in last four series games.

**Udog** · 04-30-2021, 08:31 AM

NBA

Friday, April 30

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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

San Antonio @ Boston
San Antonio
San Antonio is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Boston
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 15 games at home

Washington @ Cleveland
Washington
Washington is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Portland @ Brooklyn
Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland

Orlando @ Memphis
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Memphis's last 16 games when playing at home against Orlando

Milwaukee @ Chicago
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

Utah @ Phoenix
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah

Sacramento @ LA Lakers
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games on the road
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games at home

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**Udog** · 04-30-2021, 10:32 AM

**Udog** · 04-30-2021, 01:19 PM

Hoop Trends for Friday April 30
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Sacramento at L.A. Lakers (10:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Kings are 9-0 ATS (7.06 ppg) as a dog off a loss as a dog in which Buddy Hield was their high scorer.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 0-13-1 ATS (-9.61 ppg) as a favorite when they are off two straight wins as favorites.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
San Antonio at Boston (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Spurs are 13-0-1 OU (9.29 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest after they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Philadelphia (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 0-10 OU (-9.75 ppg) as a favorite off a win in a home game.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/30

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/30

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