Announcement

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:50 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds for this week’s Valspar Championship:
17-2— Justin Thomas
10-1— Dustin Johnson
20-1— Paul Casey, Viktor Hovland, Patrick Reed
22-1— Corey Conners
28-1— Scottie Scheffler
31-1— Russ Henley, Sungjae Im, Louis Oosthuizen
Americans who have died from COVID-19: 573,420
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) NFL Draft will happen in Cleveland Thursday-Saturday; six years ago, the NFL pushed back its draft to help promote the movie Draft Day, but Radio City Music Hall wasn’t available for the later date, so they took the NHL’s lead and moved the draft to Chicago that year.

They quickly realized they had stumbled upon a great idea, moving the draft around the country, mostly to cities that will never host a Super Bowl. It is good for the league.

12) Thursday is just the first round; Rams haven’t had a first round pick since 2016, so my laptop will be doing double duty- there are five baseball games tonight, too.

11) Carolina Panthers are switching to FieldTurf in their home stadium this year, leaving the NFL with 14 artificial turf fields, 16 grass fields (two stadiums are shared by teams).

10) Carolina traded QB Teddy Bridgewater to Denver Thursday, getting a 6th-round pick from the Broncos. Panthers acquired Sam Darnold from the Jets, making Bridgewater expendable.

Someone posted a betting ticket on Twitter, where a guy wagered $1,000 at 20-1 odds a few weeks ago, that Bridegwater would take the Broncos’ first snap from center in September. He is either really smart, really lucky or he had some inside knowledge.

9) Suns 109, Clippers 101— Phoenix clinches its first playoff appearance in 11 years; Monty Williams has to be NBA Coach of the Year, right?

8) Chicago White Sox are 12-10 so far this year, but if you bet them in first 5 innings play, then they’re 15-2-5; they’ve trailed only two of 22 games after the 5th inning. Their bullpen hasn’t been good. Chicago is 2-7 in games where the winning run scored from the 7th inning on.

7) I am convinced that major league umpires have been schooled to call more strikes on check swings this season, probably to quicken pace of play. MLB wants quicker games, but they also want more scoring; can’t have both of those things, fellas.

6) Nolan Ryan struck out seven guys late in his career, whose fathers he had struck out earlier in his career.

5) Braves 10, Cubs 0— Chicago used three position players to pitch in this game; they’re 10-14 and in last place in the NL Central. Maybe I’m just a miserable older person, but if my team was losing 10-0, I wouldn’t be yukking it up while the first baseman pitched. I understand that it is a long season and all, but the Cubs don’t look like a team that cares a whole lot.

4) Red Sox 1, Mets 0— Mets scored one run the last two nights; they’ve scored a total of 13 runs in Jacob deGrom’s five starts, and he knocked in a couple of those himself.

Fans are booing Francisco Lindor already; who is going to be the first guy who gets booed who says he misses last year’s cardboard cutouts?

3) Ole Miss fired offensive line coach/running game coordinator Randy Clements, three days after its spring football game. The firing was for football reasons and not related to any off-the-field issues, but Ole Miss led the SEC in rushing yardage last year.

Must be an interesting story tucked away in there somewhere.

2) End of this month meant scouring the Extra Innings Package, trying to find a decent pitcher to add to my fantasy squad. You never have pitching in keeper leagues, especially this year, when younger pitchers might hit an innings limit later on and get shut down for the year.

Long time ago, maybe 10-12 years ago, I had this guy pitching for the Padres; my pitching staff had fallen apart and I was clutching at straws trying to find capable pitchers. It wasn’t going well; this guy was pitching against Arizona and Tom Candiotti was the TV analyst.

Candiotti spent about two innings explaining why this guy would never be an effective starting pitcher in the majors; I went to my computer and cut the guy, while he was still pitching in the game. Candiotti was right; the guy wound up going 4-10 for San Diego that year.

1) Haven’t decided yet what format tomorrow’s den will take; there will be a ton of info to go thru, as all four team sports, plus golf are going on. If I do a running diary, it is more likely to be Friday than tonight.

It is good to be getting back to normal, that’s for sure.

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 08:57 AM

501DALLAS -502 DETROIT
DALLAS are 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

503BROOKLYN -504 INDIANA
INDIANA is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

505GOLDEN STATE -506 MINNESOTA
GOLDEN STATE is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

507MILWAUKEE -508 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

511NEW ORLEANS -512 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 29

NBA

Thursday, April 29

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Trend Report
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Dallas @ Detroit
Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

Brooklyn @ Indiana
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 14 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Indiana is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Brooklyn

Milwaukee @ Houston
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Golden State @ Minnesota
Golden State
Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
Minnesota is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games at home
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Toronto @ Denver
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 29

Dallas @ Detroit
Mavericks (34-27)
— Mavericks won four of their last five games.
— Mavericks are 7-4 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Dallas road games.

Pistons (19-43)
— Detroit is 3-4 SU in its last seven games
— Pistons are 15-10-1 ATS since the All-Star break.
— Under is 3-0 in Detroit’s last three games.

— Dallas won three of last four series games.
— Mavericks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

Brooklyn @ Indiana
Nets (42-20)
— Brooklyn won four of its last five games SU.
— Nets are 4-2 ATS in last six road games.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten Brooklyn road games.

Pacers (29-32)
— Indiana won three of its last four games SU.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Pacers are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Over is 5-1 in Indiana’s last six home games.

— Brooklyn won/covered last three series games.
— Nets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
— Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Milwaukee @ Houston
Bucks (38-23)
— Milwaukee won three of its last four games SU.
— Bucks are 6-2 ATS in last eight road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 5-1 in Milwaukee’s last six road games.

Rockets (15-47)
— Houston lost 37 of its last 41 games SU.
— Rockets are 6-7 ATS in last thirteen games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Milwaukee won three of last four series games.
— Bucks are 3-1 ATS in last four visits to Houston.
— Last five series games stayed under the total.

Golden State @ Minnesota
Warriors (31-31)
— Golden State won seven of its last ten games SU.
— Warriors are 3-7 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games.

Timberwolves (19-44)
— Minnesota won five of its last seven games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wolves are 6-3 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

— Home side won last six series games.
— Warriors are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Minnesota.
— Over is 4-2 in last six series games.

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City
Pelicans (27-35)
— New Orleans lost six of its last eight games.
— Pelicans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Under is 3-0 in their last three games.

Thunder (21-41)
— Thunder lost 17 of its last 19 games.
— OKC is 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six home games.

— Thunder won five of last six series games.
— Pelicans are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Oklahoma.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Toronto @ Denver
Raptors (26-36)
— Toronto won/covered five of its last seven games.
— Raptors are 1-9 ATS in last ten road games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Nuggets (41-21)
— Denver won 15 of its last 18 games.
— Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 4-1 in Denver’s last five games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— Denver is 3-2 in last five road series games.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 10:49 AM

**Udog** · 04-29-2021, 12:56 PM

Hoop Trends for Thursday April 29
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Golden State at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 11-0 ATS (8.27 ppg) off a home loss in which Stephen Curry shot better than 50 percent from the arc.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Dallas at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Pistons are 0-14-3 ATS (-10.32 ppg) as a dog coming off a 10+ point win.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Golden State at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 10-0 OU (8.25 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: New Orleans at Oklahoma City (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Thunder are 0-10-1 OU (-12.91 ppg) as a dog coming off a win in which they had more turnovers than assists.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/29

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/29

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