Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/6

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, April 6

Good Luck on day #96 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Active leaders in most sacrifice flies, career:
115— Albert Pujols
89— Evan Longoria
86— Miguel Cabrera
71— Yadier Molina
67— Ryan Zimmerman
62— Kurt Suzuki

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 554,522
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

We’re doing a survey this week; you know how the guy who wins the Masters picks the menu for the champions’ dinner the next year? He can choose anything he likes.

If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

E-mail me at [email protected] or text me, if you know my cell number. We’ll post the results later on this week.

13) Baylor 86, Gonzaga 70:
— Game was 11-1 early on; Gonzaga never threatened to win.
— Baylor led its two Final Four games by 25-10 points at halftime.

— Baylor shot 10-23 on the arc, scored 1.26 ppp.
— Great season ends for Gonzaga; they lost in finals twice in last four tournaments.

12) 18 years ago, Scott Drew went to Waco to clean up an unspeakable mess; the previous coach had been fired after a Baylor player murdered another player, and the coach tried to frame the dead player as a drug dealer to cover up NCAA rules violations.

Not good.

Drew was advised not to take the Baylor job, that it was too big a mess, but by his fifth year in Waco, Baylor was 21-11, and in the NCAA Tournament. Two years later, he was in the Elite 8. Now he is a national champion.

One of the great re-building jobs ever, for sure.

11) Jets traded QB Sam Darnold to Carolina for three draft picks; a 2nd/4th/6th round pick, with two of those picks coming in 2022.

Darnold was 13-25 as the Jets’ starting QB, but the franchise has been a mess; plus, he had mononucleosis at the start of last season. He is still only 23 years old, six months younger than Joe Burrow, the QB Panthers’ OC Joe Brady mentored at LSU.

What do the Panthers do with Teddy Bridgewater? He has $10M of his $17M salary for next season fully guaranteed, which makes it harder to trade him.

10) North Carolina hired alum/assistant coach Hubert Davis as its new basketball coach. Davis had been a Carolina assistant for nine years; he was working on ESPN before that. He played in the NBA for 12 years, has never been a head coach.

UNC’s dilemma here here is that they seem to be obsessed with hiring alums to coach their basketball team, but a list of Tar Heel alums who are qualified to be an ACC head coach isn’t real long. Not sure this is an entry level position.

9) Texas Tech replaced the departed Chris Beard with assistant Mark Adams, a defensive wizard who is a Tech alum (Beard is a Texas alum). We’ll see if Tech remains as active in the transfer portal as they were under Beard.

8) Central Michigan picked a weird time to fire its coach Keno Davis; when you’ve been at a mid-major for nine years and have never made the NCAA’s, you’re on thin ice, but this seemed late, with recruiting/poaching already underway.

Chippewas were 23-12 two years ago, but went 10-24 in MAC games the last two years- they haven’t been in the NCAA’s since 2003, when they had future NBA big man Chris Kaman.

7) Padres’ SS Fernando Tatis Jr subluxated his left shoulder while batting Monday night; they’ll examine him again today, but he appears headed to the IL. Subluxation is a partial dislocation of the shoulder.

22-year old Tatis signed a 14-year, $340M deal this winter; they need him healthy.

6) Last year was the first time EVER in the major leagues that #2 hitters in the lineup hit more home runs (332) than #3 hitters in the lineup (289).

5) Last year was first time ever the Mets led the major leagues in batting average, but they were 13th in runs scored, which obviously is more important.

4) Major League Baseball is moving this July’s All-Star Game to Denver; should make for quite the Home Run Derby.

3) Indiana hired alum Dane Fife as an associate coach to new head coach Mike Woodson; Fife spent the last ten years working for Tom Izzo at Michigan State.

2) Aaron Rodgers is hosting Jeopardy! this week and next; he was a contestant in a celebrity tournament a few years ago, now he is taking a shot at hosting it. How weird would it be if he retired from the NFL to replace Alex Trebek as the show’s next permanent host?

1) Was talking the other day about guys discussing futures bets on the NFL; the Darnold trade is a good example of how wagering on stuff this long before the season starts has the potential for disaster.

Jets are almost sure to have a rookie QB starting now; as I type this, the only two QB’s on their depth chart are James Morgan (FIU) and Mike White (Western Kentucky). New coach Robert Saleh comes to the Jets from San Francisco; would they trade for Jimmy Garoppolo?

Don’t forget to answer our survey question:

If you won the Masters, what food would you serve at the champions’ dinner?

[Udog]

529CHICAGO -530 INDIANA
INDIANA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

531PHILADELPHIA -532 BOSTON
PHILADELPHIA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

533NEW ORLEANS -534 ATLANTA
NEW ORLEANS are 38-54 ATS (-21.4 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

535LA LAKERS -536 TORONTO
LA LAKERS are 4-20 ATS (-18 Units) against Atlantic division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

537MEMPHIS -538 MIAMI
MEMPHIS are 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

539DETROIT -540 DENVER
DETROIT is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

541PORTLAND -542 LA CLIPPERS
PORTLAND is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 6

Chicago @ Indiana
Bulls (20-28)
— Chicago lost seven of its last nine games SU.
— Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Pacers (22-26)
— Indiana is 5-8 SU in its last thirteen games.
— Pacers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 6-2 in Indiana’s last eight home games.

— Pacers won nine of last ten series games.
— Bulls are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Indiana.
— Last five series games went over the total.

New Orleans @ Atlanta
Pelicans (22-27)
— New Orleans is 5-3 SU in its last eight games.
— Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

Hawks (26-24)
— Hawks is 12-4 SU since they changed coaches.
— Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

— Hawks won last four series games, covered last six.
— Pelicans are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Atlanta.
— Last three series games went over the total.

Philadelphia @ Boston
76ers (34-16)
— 76ers won six of their last nine games.
— Sixers are 6-3 ATS in their last nine road games.
— Under is 8-3 in Philly’s last 11 games.

Celtics (25-25)
— Boston won four of its last six games.
— Celtics are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games.
— Under is 7-0 in their last seven home games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
— Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

LA Lakers @ Toronto
Lakers (31-19)
— Lakers lost six of their last nine games (2-7 ATS).
— Lakers are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 road games.
— Under is 9-1 in their ten games overall.

Raptors (20-30)
— Toronto lost 15 of its last 19 games.
— Raptors are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games.
— Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.

— Toronto won last ten series games (9-1 ATS)
— Lakers are 1-4 ATS in last five road series games.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Memphis @ Miami
Grizzlies (24-23)
— Memphis won six of its last nine games.
— Grizzlies are 8-1 ATS in last nine games overall.
— Last three Memphis games stayed under total.

Heat (26-24)
— Miami won/covered its last four games.
— Heat is 3-6 ATS in last nine home games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six games.

— Heat won five of last seven series games.
— Grizzlies are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Miami.
— Five of last six series games went over.

Detroit @ Denver
Pistons (15-35)
— Detroit won three of its last five games
— Pistons are 9-5 ATS since the All-Star break.
— Under is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six road games.

Nuggets (31-18)
— Denver is 19-7 SU in its last 26 games overall.
— Nuggets are 4-6 ATS in last ten home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Denver’s last seven home games.

— Home side won last five series games.
— Pistons are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Denver.
— Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

Milwaukee @ Golden State
Bucks (32-17)
— Milwaukee won its last three games, by 1-15-18 points.
— Bucks are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Over is 9-4 in Milwaukee’s last 13 games.

Warriors (23-27)
— Golden State lost seven of its last eight games SU.
— Warriors are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games overall.

— Milwaukee won four of last five series games.
— Bucks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to the Bay Area.
— Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Portland @ LA Clippers
Trailblazers (30-19)
— Portland won five of its last six games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 3-1 ATS in last four road games.
— Over is 4-2 in Portland’s last six games.

Clippers (33-18)
— Clippers won seven of their last nine games.
— Clippers are 10-4 ATS in last 14 games at Staples.
— Clippers’ last three games stayed under the total.

— Clippers won/covered last four series games.
— Portland is 0-3 ATS in last three series games here.
— Under is 6-3 in last nine series games.

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, April 6

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Trend Report
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Chicago @ Indiana
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Indiana is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago

New Orleans @ Atlanta
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

LA Lakers @ Toronto
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

Memphis @ Miami
Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Memphis is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Memphis

Detroit @ Denver
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Detroit

Milwaukee @ Golden State
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games
Golden State is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Milwaukee

Portland @ LA Clippers
Portland
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, April 6

[Udog]

[Udog]

Hoop Trends for Tuesday April 6
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Philadelphia at Boston (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The 76ers are 11-0 ATS (6.00 ppg) as a favorite off a 10+ point loss in which they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Detroit at Denver (9:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Nuggets are 0-11 ATS (-7.68 ppg) at home off a win in which Nikola Jokic had at least 10 assists.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago at Indiana (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 10-0-1 OU (9.14 ppg) on the road off a home game in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Golden State (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Warriors are 0-10-2 OU (-10.42 ppg) off a road loss in which Stephen Curry had a positive plus/minus.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)