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Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/31

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  • Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/31

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 31

    Good Luck on day #90 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds for the Masters next week:
    8-1— Dustin Johnson
    9-1— Bryson DeChambeau
    11-1— Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas
    14-1— Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth
    20-1— Xander Schauffele, Brooks Koepka
    22-1— Patrick Cantlay

    Americans who have died from COVID-19: 550,903
    PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

    13) UCLA 51, Michigan 49:
    — UCLA lost their last four games before the NCAA’s; they were down 5 with 1:27 left in the play-in game, against Michigan State.
    — Michigan was 6-11 on foul line in a 2-point loss.
    — Bruins have played six OT games this year; two of them were in the NCAA’s.
    — Here’s the thing: if Mick Cronin’s relatives filled out brackets, no way they picked the Bruins.

    12) Baylor 81, Arkansas 72:
    — Bears are 9-2 since their 21-day COVID pause in February.
    — Baylor never trailed, led 29-11 right off the bat, made 8-15 on the arc.
    — Bears are diverse; they force ton of turnovers, are best in country shooting on the arc.

    11) Houston 67, Oregon State 61:
    — Each region has teams seeds from #1-16: Houston beat seeds #15-10-11-12
    — Cougars have won 11 games in a row.
    — Houston shot only 32.3% from floor, but had 19 offensive rebounds.

    10) Gonzaga 85, USC 66:
    — Gonzaga is 30-0, with ONE WIN by less than 10 points.
    — Zags never trailed in this game, led 49-30 at halftime.
    — USC has #7 eFG% defense in country; Zags shot 57.8% inside arc.

    9) Tip of the cap to Oral Roberts sophomore Max Abmas, who led ORU to a Summit League title, then two wins in the NCAA Tournament. Kid led the country in scoring, at 24.2 ppg.

    In Oral Roberts’ six postseason games, the Summit/NCAAs, Abmas NEVER came out of the game, played the whole 245:00 (one game went OT). In those six games, Abmas:
    — shot 32-57 inside arc
    — shot 13-45 on the arc
    — shot 40-46 on foul line
    — also had 34 assists
    — 23.8 ppg, 5-1 record on the biggest stage. Good for him.

    Next question is, unfortunately, how many phone calls has the kid gotten about transferring to a higher-profile program? Come on, kids who are way worse than Abmas have bolted low or mid-majors to be role players for the $$$ teams. Loyalty is becoming obsolete.

    We’ll see what happens.

    8) Speaking of which, Kentucky poached grad transfer Kellen Grady away from Davidson; Grady 2,000 points+ in his Davidson career and is a career 36.6% 3-point shooter.

    Three years ago, Grady scored 16 points against Kentucky in an NCAA tourney game.

    7) NFL is upgrading its schedule to 17 games next season; AFC teams will all get the extra home game next year, then NFC teams get the extra home game in even-numbered years.

    The extra game will pit division vs division; for 2021:
    — NFC West vs AFC North
    — NFC East vs AFC East
    — NFC North vs AFC West
    — NFC South vs AFC South

    6) Here is how the length of NFL schedules have worked over the years:
    1947-60— 12 games
    1961-77— 14 games; from 1966-77, 14 games in 15 weeks
    1978-89— 16 games/season
    1990-2020— 16 games in 17 weeks.

    5) Final Four is set:
    — two #1-seeds, a #2-seed and a #11-seed
    — 7th year in a row, a team seeded #5 or lower wins a region.
    — Third time in five years a double-digit seed goes to the Final Four.

    4) This year was first time since 2001 that the Pac-12 had three teams in Elite 8.

    3) Pac-12 has done so well in the NCAA tournament that the Washington Huskies have moved up 43 spots in the kenpom.com rankings, since they played their last game.

    2) I can’t help it, every time I see Dick Vitale’s GEICO commercial, I laugh/smile; the guy dumps a cooler of water over his head— he is 81 years old. The commercial has been on TV a lot, but it never stops being funny. Hope I live as long as Coach Vitale, and would love to have his energy.

    1) Was watching Daily Wager on ESPN2; good program, but they’re talking about betting NFL futures already and it is freakin’ March 30. Too early.

    — Haven’t had the draft yet.
    — Trading may not be over yet.
    — The freakin’ schedule hasn’t been released yet.
    — How can you wager on things when so much is still unknown?
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2021, 01:35 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      509MIAMI -510 INDIANA
      MIAMI is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

      511PORTLAND -512 DETROIT
      DETROIT is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 12 points in the current season.

      513HOUSTON -514 BROOKLYN
      HOUSTON is 26-53 ATS (-32.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

      515DALLAS -516 BOSTON
      DALLAS are 40-22 ATS (15.8 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

      517UTAH -518 MEMPHIS
      UTAH is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) when playing 8 or more games in 14 days in the current season.

      523SACRAMENTO -524 SAN ANTONIO
      SACRAMENTO is 27-12 ATS (13.8 Units) in road games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

      525MILWAUKEE -526 LA LAKERS
      MILWAUKEE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

      527CHICAGO -528 PHOENIX
      CHICAGO is 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2021, 01:36 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Wednesday, March 31




        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2021, 01:37 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Wednesday, March 31


          Portland @ Detroit
          Trailblazers (28-18)
          — Portland won 11 of its last 15 games.
          — You’re reading ***************.com
          — Blazers are 4-4 ATS in last eight road games.
          — Over is 11-5 in Portland’s last 16 road games.

          Pistons (13-33)
          — Detroit lost 13 of its last 18 games
          — Pistons are 7-3 ATS since the All-Star break.
          — Under is 4-1 in Detroit’s last five road games.

          — Home side won last six series games.
          — Portland is 0-4 ATS in last four trips to Detroit.
          — Four of last five series games stayed under.

          Miami @ Indiana
          Heat (23-24)
          — Miami lost six of its last seven games (1-6 ATS)
          — Heat is 1-3 ATS in last four road games.
          — Under is 7-1 in their last eight road games.

          Pacers (21-24)
          — Indiana won four of its last six games.
          — Pacers are 4-2 ATS in their last six road games.
          — Over is 9-5 in Indiana’s last 14 home games.

          — Indiana won last two series games, after losing 7 of previous 8.
          — Miami covered three of last four visits to Indiana.
          — Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

          Dallas @ Boston
          Mavericks (24-21)
          — Mavericks are 6-5 SU since All-Star break.
          — Mavericks are 3-1 ATS in last four road games.
          — Under is 12-5 in last 17 Dallas games.

          Celtics (23-24)
          — Boston is 4-7 SU since the All-Star break.
          — Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
          — Under is 4-0 in their last four home games.

          — Celtics won seven of last nine series games.
          — Dallas is 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Boston.
          — Three of last four series games stayed under.

          Houston @ Brooklyn
          Rockets (13-33)
          — Houston lost 23 of its last 25 games (4-21 ATS).
          — Rockets are 3-8 ATS in last 11 road games.
          — Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.

          Nets (32-15)
          — Brooklyn won 18 of their last 21 games
          — Nets are 1-5 ATS in last six games overall.
          — Under is 4-1 in last five Brooklyn games.

          — James Harden against his old team.
          — Nets won three of last four series games.
          — Rockets are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Brooklyn.
          — Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

          Utah @ Memphis
          Jazz (35-11)
          — Utah won its last six games overall.
          — Jazz is 3-7 ATS in its last ten road games.
          — Under is 4-2 in Utah’s last six games.

          Grizzlies (22-22)
          — Memphis is 5-3 SU in its last eight games.
          — Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in last six games overall.
          — Over is 5-0 in their last five games.

          — Utah won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
          — Jazz are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
          — Last four series games went over the total.

          New York @ Minnesota
          Knicks (24-23)
          — New York won four of its last six games.
          — Knicks covered their last four road games.
          — Under is 6-1 in New York’s last seven games.

          Timberwolves (11-36)
          — Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
          — Wolves are 6-5 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
          — Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

          — Timberwolves won four of last five series games.
          — Knicks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Minnesota.
          — Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

          Toronto @ Oklahoma City
          Raptors (18-29)
          — Toronto lost 14 of its last 16 games.
          — Raptors are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games.
          — 11 of last 15 Toronto games went over the total.

          Thunder (19-27)
          — Thunder are 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
          — OKC is 4-7 ATS in their last 11 home games.
          — Over is 7-1 in their last eight home games.

          — Road team won eight of last nine series games.
          — Raptors covered four of last five visits to Oklahoma.
          — Over is 7-1-1 in last nine series games.

          Sacramento @ San Antonio
          Kings (22-25)
          — Sacramento won seven of its last eight games.
          — Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
          — Over is 3-0 in Sacramento’s last three road games.

          Spurs (23-21)
          — San Antonio lost five of its last six games.
          — Spurs are 1-4 ATS in last five home games.
          — Over is 5-2 in Spurs’ last seven games.

          — Kings won 132-115 here Monday night.
          — Sacramento won five of last seven series games.
          — Kings are 4-2 ATS in last six series games.
          — Last three series games went over the total.

          Milwaukee @ LA Lakers
          Bucks (29-17)
          — Milwaukee lost its last three games.
          — Bucks are 1-7 ATS in last eight road games.
          — Over is 8-2 in Milwaukee’s last ten games.

          Lakers (30-17)
          — Lakers lost four of their last six games (1-5 ATS).
          — Lakers are 7-10 ATS in their last 17 home games.
          — Under is 10-3 in their 13 home games.

          — Milwaukee won seven of last ten series games.
          — Bucks are 2-2 ATS in last four series games played here.
          — Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

          Chicago @ Phoenix
          Bulls (19-26)
          — Chicago lost six of its last seven games SU.
          — Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games.
          — Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

          Suns (31-14)
          — Phoenix won 24 of its last 30 games (21-9 ATS).
          — Suns are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games.
          — Under is 7-2 in their last eight games.

          — Suns won six of last nine series games.
          — Bulls are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Phoenix.
          — Four of last five series games stayed under.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2021, 01:37 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Wednesday, March 31


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Portland @ Detroit
            Portland
            Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
            Detroit
            Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
            Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

            Miami @ Indiana
            Miami
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
            Indiana
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games

            Dallas @ Boston
            Dallas
            Dallas is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Dallas's last 17 games
            Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
            Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

            Houston @ Brooklyn
            Houston
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
            Houston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
            Brooklyn
            Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Brooklyn is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games

            Utah @ Memphis
            Utah
            Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
            Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Memphis
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 12 games when playing at home against Utah

            Toronto @ Oklahoma City
            Toronto
            Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
            Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
            Oklahoma City
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

            New York @ Minnesota
            New York
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games
            New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Minnesota
            Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing New York

            Sacramento @ San Antonio
            Sacramento
            Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
            San Antonio
            San Antonio is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Sacramento
            San Antonio is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing Sacramento

            Milwaukee @ LA Lakers
            Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
            LA Lakers
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games

            Chicago @ Phoenix
            Chicago
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
            Chicago is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
            Phoenix
            Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2021, 01:38 PM.

            Comment


            • #7

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              • #8
                Hoop Trends for Wednesday March 31
                Vince Akins

                ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Utah at Memphis (8:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Grizzlies are 14-0 ATS (10.96 ppg) with rest after outscoring their opponent in the paint by at least 10 points last game.

                ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                Matchup: New York at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. ET)

                -- The Timberwolves are 0-15 ATS (-6.17 ppg) as a dog off a road game in which Karl Anthony Towns scored at least 30 points.

                OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Sacramento at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

                -- The Kings are 12-0 OU (13.88 ppg) as a dog with rest coming off a 10+ point win as a road dog.

                OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
                Matchup: Houston at Brooklyn (7:40 p.m. ET)

                -- The Rockets are 0-14-1 OU (-8.57 ppg) coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

                Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2021, 01:38 PM.

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