Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/30

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, March 30

Good Luck on day #89 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

All our dreams can come true; if we have the courage to pursue them.

[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Since 2000, biggest upsets in March Madness:
+14— Bucknell over Kansas, 2005
+15— Oral Roberts over Ohio State, 2021
+16.5— Middle Tennessee State over Michigan State, 2016
+17.5— Hampton over Iowa State, 2001
+20.5— UMBC over Virginia, 2018
+21— Norfolk State over Missouri, 2012

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 549,664
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: American League trends and notes…….

Baltimore
— Last made playoffs in 2016.
— combined record, last 3 years: 126-258
— went 11-9 vs NL East LY, 14-26 vs their division rivals.
— 7-12 in one-run games LY,

Boston
— Made playoffs 10 of last 18 years.
— 11-20 at home, 13-16 on road LY.
— 7-17 vs lefty starting pitchers LY, 17-19 vs righties.
— Why did they trade Mookie Betts?

Chicago White Sox
— Made playoffs LY for first time since 2008; their last winning season was 2012.
— went 2-8 in last 10 games, then lost in playoffs, then fired the manager.
— 76-year old Tony LaRussa is the old/new skipper; he last managed in 2011.
— 14-0 vs lefty starters, 21-25 vs righties LY. 14-0!!!!
— New closer Hendriks had 39 saves last two years; in the 8 years before that, he had one.

Cleveland
— Last losing season was in 2012.
— Made playoffs four of last five years.
— Letting SS Lindor bolt to the Mets will obviously hurt them.
— Won 8 of last 10 games LY, then lost 12-3/10-9 in playoffs.

Detroit
— Went combined 198-345 the last four years.
— Last made the playoffs in 2014.
— 11-7 vs NL Central LY, went 12-28 vs division rivals.
— 7-4 vs lefties, 16-31 vs righties LY.

Houston
— 29-31 LY, still made playoffs for 5th time in six years.
— went 2-7 in extra innings last year.
— 12-10 vs lefties, 17-21 vs righties LY.
— Will miss departed Springer, injured Verlander.

Kansas City
— won World Series six short years ago.
— last three years, they’re a combined 143-241
— 15-15 at home, 11-19 on road LY.
— Adding 1B Carlos Santana should upgrade the offense.

LA Angels
— haven’t made made playoffs since 2014.
— last time they won a playoff game? 2009.
— 16-15 at home, 10-19 on road last year.
— went 7-13 vs NL West, 19-21 vs their division rivals.

Minnesota
— Lost an amazing 18 playoff games in a row.
— made playoffs three of last four years.
— Were 24-7 at home, 12-17 on road last year.
— Last two years, went a combined 137-85.

A’s
— made playoffs last three years, and six of last nine.
— were 22-10 at home, 14-14 on road LY.
— went 6-0 in extra-inning games last year.
— 11-3 vs lefty starters, 25-21 vs right starters.

Bronx
— made playoffs 22 of last 26 years.
— 11-18 on road, 22-9 at home LY.
— 26-19 vs righty starters, 7-8 vs lefties LY.
— need Judge/Stanton to both stay healthy for once.

Seattle
— Last made playoffs in 2001, longest active drought in MLB
— have been over .500 three times in last seven years.
— 20-20 vs division rivals, 7-13 vs NL West LY.
— 14-10 at home, 13-23 on road last year.
— Have already committed to using 6-man rotation at start of this year.

Tampa Bay
— made playoffs last two years, lost World Series 4-2 LY.
— went 40-20 LY, best record in American League.
— went 14-5 in one-run games, which suggests regression this year.
— 31-12 vs righties, 9-8 vs lefties LY.

Texas
— last made playoffs in 2016.
— Last four years, they’re combined 56 games under .500.
— went 6-24 on road LY; were 16-14 in their new domed stadium.
— minus-88 run differential LY was worst in major leagues.

Toronto
— made playoffs 3 of last 6 years
— from 2017-19, were a combined 54 games under .500.
— were 17-9 at home, 15-19 on road LY.
— went 13-10 in one-run games LY, T2 for most in MLB.

[Udog]

657USC -658 GONZAGA
USC is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. top caliber teams - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

659UCLA -660 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game in the current season.

659UCLA -660 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 30






NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 30

UCLA (11) vs Michigan (1)
UCLA (21-9)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #29
— Two of UCLA’s four tournament wins have been in overtime.
— UCLA is shooting 37.2% on the arc (#34)
— Bruins are 8-7 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 12-7 in NCAAs.
— Two Bruins played 42:00/45:00 in Sunday’s win.
— This is Cronin’s 12th NCAA Tournament, his first regional final.
— Pac-12 teams are 12-2 in this tournament; one of losses was Oregon vs USC.

Michigan (23-4)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #247
— Experience: #58
— Continuity: #145
— Michigan is 5-3 in its last eight games, after an 18-1 start.
— Key player Livers missed last four games (check status)
— Michigan has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are shooting 38.3% on arc (#11)
— Michigan scored 81.3 ppg in its first three NCAA games.
— Michigan made Final Four in 2018, lost regional final in 2014.

— Since 2002, #10 or lower seeds are 7-2 ATS in regional finals.
— Since 2010, #1-seeds are 9-13-1 ATS in regional finals.

USC (6) vs Gonzaga (1)
USC (25-7)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #234
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #317
— USC won six of its last seven games.
— USC has #6 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 41.5% inside arc (#1)
— Trojans are shooting only 64.6% on foul line (#327)
— USC gave up 58.3 ppg in its first three tourney wins.
— USC scored 79.7 ppg in its first three tourney games.
— Pac-12 teams are 12-2 SU in this tournament.

Gonzaga (29-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #6
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #179
— Gonzaga has one win this season by less than 10 points.
— Gonzaga’s first three tournament wins were by 43-16-18 points.
— Zags are shooting 63.9% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga gets 57.3% of its points on 2-point shots (#29)
— Under Few, Gonzaga is 1-2 in Elite 8 games- they won in 2017.

— Since 2010, #1-seeds are 9-13-1 ATS in regional finals.