Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/28

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Sunday, March 28

Good Luck on day #87 of 2021!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

You see things; and you say Why? But I dream things that never were; and I say Why not?

[Udog]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Active leaders in career strikeouts:
3,013— Justin Verlander
2,784— Max Scherzer
2,689— Zack Greinke
2,526— Clayton Kershaw
2,524— Felix Hernandez
2,397— Jon Lester

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 548,130
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


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Armadillo: Sunday's Den: Trends for National League teams

Arizona
— Last made playoffs in 2017.
— Finished over .500 three of last four years.
— 5-11 vs lefty starting pitchers LY.
— 9-21 on the road LY.

Atlanta
— Made playoffs the last three years.
— 19-11 at home LY.
— 8-4 vs lefty starting pitchers LY.
— 11-9 vs AL teams, 24-16 vs NL teams.

Chicago
— Made playoffs four of last five years.
— 19-14 at home, 15-12 on road LY
— 7-4 vs lefty starters, 12-8 vs AL Central teams.
— Joe Maddon made playoffs four of five years with the Cubs; why did they dump him?

Cincinnati
— Braves shut them out 1-0/5-0 in two playoff games LY.
— Reds’ previous playoff appearance was in 2013.
— Reds are moving Eugenio Suarez to SS this year.
— Losing P’s Bauer, Iglesias will be hard to overcome.

Colorado
— Went combined 97-125 the last two years.
— Finished over .500 twice in last ten years.
— Were only 12-18 at Coors Field last year.
— 16-24 vs right-handed starting pitchers.

Los Angeles
— won World Series LY for first time since 1988.
— Last losing season? They were 80-82 in 2010.
— Made playoffs the last eight years.
— were 7-5 in one-run games, 36-12 in the others.

Miami
— made playoffs LY for first time since 2003.
— went 31-29, despite giving up 41 more runs than they scored.
— 24-17 vs righty starters, 7-12 vs southpaws.
— Before LY, their last winning season was in 2009.

Milwaukee
— made playoffs the last three years.
— went 29-31, despite going 11-5 in one-run games.
— 11-7 vs lefty starters, 18-24 vs righties.
— 10-10 vs AL Central, 19-21 vs NL Central rivals.

NY Mets
— Finished over .500 in 3 of last 12 seasons.
— Last made playoffs in 2016.
— Were 6-11 in one-run games LY.
— Have new owner with lot of $$$; will they re-sign Lindor?

Philadelphia
— Had great run from 2007-11, making playoffs every year.
— Haven’t made playoffs since 2011.
— 21-19 vs NL East, 7-13 vs AL East LY.
— 13-9 vs lefty starters, 15-23 vs right starters.

Pittsburgh
— Last made playoffs in 2015.
— 6-22 on road, 2-10 vs lefty starters LY.
— 16-24 vs NL Central, only 3-17 vs AL Central LY.
— were over .500 four times in 9 years under Clint Hurdle.

St Louis
— made playoffs 11 of last 17 years.
— 22-18 vs NL Central, 8-10 vs AL Central.
— 26-21 vs righty starters, 4-7 vs southpaws.
— Acquiring 3B Arenado is big upgrade to defense.

San Diego
— made playoffs LY for first time since 2006.
— 27-13 vs righty starters, 10-10 vs lefties LY.
— won all four of their extra inning games.
— 24-16 vs NL West, 13-7 vs AL West.

San Francisco
— finished under .500 the last four years.
— 19-14 at home, 10-17 on road LY.
— won three World Series from 2010-14.
— 18-22 vs NL West, 11-9 vs AL West LY.

Washington
— made playoffs 5 of last 9 years
— despite that, have had 7 managers the last 16 years
— were over .500 eight of last nine years, won 2019 WS.
— 11-7 vs lefty starters, 15-27 vs lefty starters.

[Udog]

627FLORIDA ST -628 MICHIGAN
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games where they had 5 or less steals in the current season.

641CREIGHTON -642 GONZAGA
CREIGHTON is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 2 seasons.

643OREGON -644 USC
USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

643OREGON -644 USC
USC is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 28

Sunday’s NCAA games

Florida State (4) vs Michigan (1)
Florida State (18-6)
— ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #89
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #103
— FSU is 4-3 in its last seven games, after a 14-3 start.
— Seminoles have #21 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida State is shooting 38.2% on the arc (#16)
— Deep team; they’re #25 in bench minutes.
— Florida State is the tallest team in the country.
— Since 1997, Hamilton is 1-3 in Sweet 16 games.

Michigan (22-4)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #246
— Experience: #58
— Continuity: #146
— Michigan is 4-3 in its last seven games, after an 18-1 start.
— Key player Livers missed last three games (check status)
— Michigan has #6 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are shooting 38.5% on arc (#11)
— Since 1998, Michigan is 1-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.

— Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.
— Three years ago, Michigan beat Florida State 58-54 in a regional final.

Creighton (5) @ Gonzaga (1)
Creighton (22-8)
— ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #18
— Creighton won five of its last six games.
— Bluejays are shooting 55.9% inside the arc (#10)
— Creighton has #28 eFG% defense in country.
— Bluejays beat Cal-Santa Barbara/Ohio to get here.
— This is as far as Creighton has ever gotten in this event.

Gonzaga (28-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #179
— Gonzaga has one win this season by less than 10 points.
— Gonzaga’s first two tournament wins were by 43-16 points.
— Zags are shooting 63.6% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga gets 57.2% of its points on 2-point shots (#30)
— Under Few, Gonzaga is 2-6 in Sweet 16 games, winning in 2015, 2019.

— Last five tournaments, #1-seeds are 11-3 ATS vs 4/5-seeds in Sweet 16.

Oregon (7) vs USC (6)
Oregon (21-6)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #227
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #266
— Oregon is 7-1 since their loss at USC February 22.
— Oregon won 12 of their last 14 games.
— Ducks are shooting 38.2% on arc (#15)
— Oregon is 5-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
— Under Altman, Ducks are 2-2 SU in Sweet 16 games.

USC (24-7)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #317
— USC won five of its last six games.
— USC has #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#1)
— Trojans are shooting only 64.3% on foul line (#328)
— USC gave up 56-51 points in its wins last week.
— USC last made the Elite 8 in 2001, when Henry Bibby was coach.

— Since 2002, when conference rivals meet in NCAA Tournament, from the Sweet 16 on, underdog was 7-4 ATS in those games.
— Oregon lost 72-58 at USC February 22; game was 43-22 at the half.
— Since 1987, favorites are 3-3 ATS when #6-7 seeds meet in this round.

UCLA (11) vs Alabama (2)
UCLA (20-9)
— ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #337
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #29
— UCLA has lost four in row before winning three games last week.
— UCLA is shooting 37.4% on the arc (#28)
— Bruins are 7-7 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 11-7 in NCAAs.
— Cronin is 9-11 in NCAAs, 3-5 after the first round.

Alabama (26-6)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #12
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #152
— Alabama won eight in row, 11 of last 12 games.
— Crimson Tide has #17 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama gets 40.1% of its points on 3-pointers (#15)
— Alabama is grabbing 32.1% of its missed shots (#53)
— Crimson Tide hasn’t been this far in the last 24 years.

— Since 2012, #11-seeds are 6-2 ATS in Sweet 16 games.

NIT Final

Memphis vs Mississippi State
Memphis (19-8)
— ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #49
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #78
— Memphis won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis is turning ball over 21.8% of time (#313)
— Tigers are shooting only 61.4% on foul line (#341)
— Memphis is 9-3 outside the AAC (non-conf schedule #198)
— Tigers made 14-27 on arc yesterday, scored 1.32 ppp.

Mississippi State (18-14)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #301
— Experience: #315
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— Miss State is grabbing 36.3% of their missed shots (#8)
— Bulldogs have #39 eFG% defense in country.
— Miss State is turning ball over 22.2% of time (#318)
— Bulldogs are shooting 65.9% on foul line (#311)
— Miss State allowed 65.7 ppg in its three NIT wins.
— Bulldogs made 10-20 on arc, never trailed in yesterday’s win.




NCAAB

Sunday, March 28

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Trend Report
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Oregon @ USC
Oregon
Oregon is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing USC
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon's last 7 games when playing USC
USC
USC is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oregon
USC is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oregon


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[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 28