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**Udog** · 03-25-2021, 09:51 AM

I shall not waste my days in trying to prolong them.

**Udog** · 03-25-2021, 09:52 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

A person named Web Smith posted this on Twitter:
A few books that I credit to helping me when my mental health falters:
1: Atomic Habits (James Clear)
2: Can’t Hurt Me (Goggins)
3: The Daily Stoic (Holiday)
4: Driven (Douglas Brackmann)
5: GRIT (Angela Duckworth)
If your mental health is struggling, reach out to a friend, read a book, listen to music.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 542,379
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Baseball had the universal DH last year and everyone seemed happy with it; no pitchers got hurt while batting and it was assumed that it would become a permanent thing.

But sometimes it seems like baseball is run by imbeciles; the owners used the universal DH as a bargaining chip to retain the expanded playoffs, and the players said no, so this season, the National League pitchers will bat, with it widely assumed that once there is a new labor deal this winter, the universal DH will become a permanent thing.

Arizona pitcher Zac Gallen has a hairline fracture in his right arm, something that only pains him when he swings a bat- go figure. The main reason this ticks me off is that Gallen is one of the better pitchers on my fantasy team, and good pitchers are hard to find. Oy.

But it is also annoying because in a business where teams are with a billion dollars, there seems to be no common sense. They want more offense in the game, but they won’t put the DH in for both leagues. They want more balls in play, but they let pitchers bat and most pitchers suck at hitting. It makes no sense.

12) Toronto Blue Jays have injury issues already:
— OF George Springer has an oblique issue.
— Closer Kirby Yates might need Tommy John surgery.
— P Nate Pearson has a pulled leg muscle.
— Injuries to 3B Cavan Biggio’s injured finger came back negative.
— P Robbie Ray is day-to-day with an elbow injury.

11) This will be catcher Kurt Suzuki’s 15th year in the major leagues; he’s bounced around a lot:
2007-12: Oakland
2012-13: Washington
2013: back to Oakland for 35 games.
2014-16: Minnesota
2017-18: Atlanta
2019-20: Washington
2021: LA Angels

Bet you he could write a hell of a book.

10) Houston Astros signed P Lance McCullers to a 5-year, $85M contract extension.

9) Last year, the average on-base % in the major leagues was .321; the average slugging percentage was .402, making the average OPS .723.

8) They were talking on the Spurs game last night, saying that Kawhi Leonard owns:
— a $17M home in Pacific Palisades
— a $7M condo in downtown Los Angeles
— a $13M home in Rancho Sante Fe

Must be fun to be really rich.

Leonard scored 25 last night; Clippers pounded San Antonio, 134-101.

7) There is a rule in college sports that was put into effect in 2006: Division I athletes can transfer without having to sit out a year if they graduated in four years and have a season of eligibility remaining.

One of the first ballplayers to take use this rule was Kevin Kruger, who transferred from Arizona State to UNLV, so he could he could play for his dad Lon Kruger. UNLV made the Sweet 16 that year; they’ve only won one NCAA Tournament game since then.

Which is why, 15 years later, Kevin Kruger is the new head coach at UNLV; he will be looking to poach transfers from other schools to strengthen his roster. Who wouldn’t to go to school in a town that loves basketball and has great weather?

Problem is, Kruger will be UNLV’s 5th head coach in eight years; they need better players, and they need some stability, with both their roster and coaching staff.

6) Two years ago, when Eric Musselman was coaching at Nevada, he started five 5th-year seniors, all of whom had transferred to Reno; his starting lineup that season was older than the Phoenix Suns had in the NBA. Having a talented, mature lineup helps you win.

5) Felt bad for Houston Rockets’ coach Stephen Silas the other night; his team was 11-10 at one point, but then lost 20 games in a row. Losing sucks; at his post-game press conference, Silas was obviously upset, he is sitting at the table, head in hand, trying to keep it together. This is his first year as an NBA head coach, and he knows damn well it also could be his last. Not good.

4) Odds to win each region of the NCAA Tournament:
East:
+175- Alabama
+195- Michigan
+315- Florida State
+750- UCLA

South:
-125- Baylor
+220- Arkansas
+500- Villanova
+4000- Oral Roberts

3) Midwest:
+115- Houston
+190- Loyola Chi
+550- Syracuse
+975- Oregon State

West:
-375- Gonzaga
+640- USC
+1000- Oregon
+2000- Creighton

2) USC-Oregon meet this weekend in the Sweet 16; since 2002, when conference rivals meet in the NCAA Tournament, from the Sweet 16 on, the underdog has been 7-4 ATS in those games.

1) Watching a San Francisco Giants game on TV the other night, with a few hundred fans there to watch, and a pitcher kept falling behind hitters. A wise guy in the stands yells out:

“Stop nibbling!!! Babe Ruth is dead!!!”

Everyone’s a freakin’ expert. LOL

**Udog** · 03-25-2021, 09:53 AM

501PORTLAND -502 MIAMI
PORTLAND is 29-13 ATS (14.7 Units) after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

503WASHINGTON -504 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) at home when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

505LA CLIPPERS -506 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

507GOLDEN STATE -508 SACRAMENTO
SACRAMENTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

509PHILADELPHIA -510 LA LAKERS
PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 25

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 25

Portland @ Miami
Trailblazers (25-18)
— Portland won eight of its last 12 games, but lost last two.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 3-1 in Portland’s last four games.

Heat (22-22)
— Miami lost last four games, after an 11-1 run.
— Heat is 1-5 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Heat won three of last four series games.
— Portland is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Washington @ New York
Wizards (15-27)
— Wizards lost eight of last ten games (4-6 ATS)
— Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 8-4 in their last dozen road games

Knicks (22-22)
— New York is 3-4 SU since All-Star break,
— Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Under is 3-1 in New York’s last four games.

— Knicks hammered Washington 131-113 here Tuesday.
— Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

LA Clippers @ San Antonio
Clippers (29-16)
— Clippers won four of their last five games.
— Clippers are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 7-5 in their last dozen games.

Spurs (22-19)
— San Antonio lost its last three games.
— Spurs are 4-5 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 6-4 in Spurs’ last ten games.

— Clippers won five of last seven series games.
— Clippers are 3-2 ATS in last four visits to the Alamo.
— Under is 4-3 in last seven series games.

Philadelphia @ LA Lakers
76ers (31-13)
— 76ers won 13 of their last 16 games.
— Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Under is 5-1 in Philly’s last six road games.

Lakers (28-16)
— Lebron James (ankle), Anthony Davis are out.
— Lakers lost their last three games.
— Lakers are 6-8 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Under is 7-3 in their 10 home games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— 76ers are 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Golden State @ Sacramento
Warriors (22-22)
— Golden State lost seven of its last ten games.
— Warriors are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games overall.

Kings (19-25)
— Sacramento is 5-3 SU since the All-Star break.
— Kings are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Under is 6-2 in Sacramento’s last eight games.

— Kings won three of last four series games.
— Warriors covered once in last four visits to Sacramento.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

NBA

Thursday, March 25

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Trend Report
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Portland @ Miami
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Portland

Washington @ New York
Washington
Washington is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New York
Washington is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing Washington

LA Clippers @ San Antonio
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games at home
San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Philadelphia @ LA Lakers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Golden State @ Sacramento
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 10 games on the road
Golden State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 03-25-2021, 10:28 AM

**Udog** · 03-25-2021, 12:23 PM

Hoop Trends for Thursday March 25
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Miami (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 10-0-1 ATS (11.05 ppg) off a loss as a dog in which Bam Adebayo took fewer than 10 shots.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at New York (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Wizards are 0-14 ATS (-11.11 ppg) on the road with rest coming off a road game where they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
LA Clippers at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 13-0 OU (16.81 ppg) as a favorite with no rest after scoring at least 15 points more than Vegas projected last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Miami (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-14 OU (-12.43 ppg) on the road off a loss in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/25

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/25

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