Announcement

**Udog** · 03-22-2021, 09:02 AM

Have regular hours for work and play; make each day both useful and pleasant, and prove that you understand the worth of time by employing it well. Then youth will be delightful, old age will bring few regrets, and life will become a beautiful success

**Udog** · 03-22-2021, 09:02 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

NBA leaders in 3-point shooting %age:
56.6%— Tony Snell, All
49.0%— Joe Ingles, Utah
48.8%— Joe Harris, Bkln
46.7%— Bobby Portis, Milw
46.5%— Maxi Kleber, Dal
46.0%— Luke Kennard, LAC

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

13) Oral Roberts 81, Florida 78:
Long time ago, on Oral Roberts’ home court, this was stamped on each baseline:

“Expect a miracle”
Not sure if it’s there anymore; they’re not on TV much.

Well, a 15-seed making the Sweet 16 is pretty darn close to a miracle.

— Florida Gulf Coast (2013) was only previous #15-seed to make Sweet 16.
— ORU shot 59.3% inside arc; their two stars never came out of the game.
— Golden Eagles prepped for this; they played 3rd-hardest non-league schedule in country.

Ironically, when Florida Gulf Coast finally lost in 2013, they lost to Florida in the regional semifinals. Today, the Gators were the victims.

12) Loyola, Chi 71, Illinois 58:
— Loyola’s big man Krutwig had 19 points, 12 boards, 5 assists.
— Loyola was +6 in turnovers (17-11); they got most of the loose balls.
— Not only did the #1-seed lose, they never led in this game.

11) Loyola is a #8-seed in the Sweet 16. Since 1990, here is how 8-9 seeds have done in the Sweet 16:

— 10-8 SU in regional semifinal
— 10-7-1 ATS in those games; 1-2 ATS when favored, 9-5-1 otherwise.
— Loyola plays in O State in the regional semi-final this coming weekend.

10) This is the first NCAA Tournament ever to have at least four teams seeded #13 or lower make it into the second round.

9) Arkansas 68, Texas Tech 66:
— Hogs held Tech to 29.3% inside arc; they denied MacClung the ball a lot- he only took six shots.
— Arkansas basically played six guys; a 7th guy played only 3:00.
— Arkansas plays #15-seed Oral Roberts in their next game.

8) Baylor 76, Wisconsin 63:
— Baylor got seven games in after a 21-day COVID pause, before NCAA tourney.
— Bears turned ball over only four times, scored 1.19 ppp.
— Wisconsin started four seniors; if all those guys came back next year, and they can if they want, Badgers would have older starters than some NBA teams.

7) Houston 63, Rutgers 60:
— Cougars outscored Rutgers 13-2 over the final 4:33.
— Houston had 43-29 rebounding edge, with 16 offensive boards.
— This was first NCAA Tournament for Rutgers since 1991, so an excellent season for them.

6) Syracuse 75, West Virginia 72:
— Syracuse made 14-31 on the arc, shot 61.9% inside arc.
— Orangemen led 30-16 early; West Virginia led 53-52 with 9:15 left.
— Mountaineers ended season losing four of their last six games.

5) Villanova 84, North Texas 61:
— North Texas pulled big upset Friday, didn’t have much left here.
— Wildcats shot 15-30 on the arc, scored 1.42 ppp.
— Villanova had lost in this round four of last six years, so had to be a relief to get to the Sweet 16, especially with their point guard out for the year.

4) Shaka Smart’s NCAA Tournament resume:
at VCU:
2011— Won five tournament games, lost national semi-final (11-seed).
2012— Won one, lost one (12-seed).
2013— Won one, lost one (5-seed).
2014— Lost in 1st round (5-seed)
2015— Lost in 1st round (7-seed)
at Texas:
2016— Lost in 1st round (6-seed)
2018— Lost in 1st round (10-seed)
2020—Lost in 1st round (3-seed)

3) Oregon State 80, Oklahoma State 70:
— Oregon State only got in because they won Pac-12 tourney; they’re red-hot now.
— Lot of whistles: Beavers were 32-35 on foul line, Oklahoma State 26-38.
— Loyola-Oregon State is the rare 8-12 seed game next weekend.

2) Since 1997, Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton is 14-9 SU in NCAA tournament games.; underdog was 18-5 ATS in those games.

He was 3-10 ATS when favored, 8-2 when the underdog.

1) Think the Houston Texans regret not trading Deshaun Watson already? They could’ve gotten a huge haul for him last month, but now Watson seems to be facing an off-field legal battle, which at least will be a big distraction. Do other teams still want to trade for him?

**Udog** · 03-22-2021, 09:04 AM

817OKLAHOMA -818 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 17-7 ATS (9.3 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

819OHIO U -820 CREIGHTON
OHIO U is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

819OHIO U -820 CREIGHTON
Jeff Boals is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games (Coach of OHIO U)

821USC -822 KANSAS
USC is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

823OREGON -824 IOWA
OREGON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

825LSU -826 MICHIGAN
LSU is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

827COLORADO -828 FLORIDA ST
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more in the current season.

829ABILENE CHRISTIAN -830 UCLA
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.

831MARYLAND -832 ALABAMA
MARYLAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

833STETSON -834 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 9-20 ATS (-13 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

**Udog** · 03-22-2021, 09:05 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 22

**Udog** · 03-22-2021, 09:08 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 22

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OKLAHOMA (16 - 10) vs. GONZAGA (27 - 0) - 3/22/2021, 2:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 168-131 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OHIO U (17 - 7) vs. CREIGHTON (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 144-107 ATS (+26.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (23 - 7) vs. KANSAS (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 66-34 ATS (+28.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
KANSAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON (20 - 6) vs. IOWA (22 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 12:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LSU (19 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN (21 - 4) - 3/22/2021, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MICHIGAN is 80-51 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO (23 - 8) vs. FLORIDA ST (17 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 120-158 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ABILENE CHRISTIAN (24 - 4) vs. UCLA (19 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MARYLAND (17 - 13) vs. ALABAMA (25 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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STETSON (11 - 14) vs. BOWLING GREEN (14 - 11) - 3/22/2021, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COASTAL CAROLINA (16 - 7) vs. BRYANT (15 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LONGWOOD (12 - 16) vs. PEPPERDINE (12 - 12) - 3/22/2021, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BELLARMINE (13 - 7) vs. ARMY (12 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-22-2021, 09:12 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 22

Oregon (7) vs Iowa (2)
Oregon (21-6)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #267
— Oregon had bye Saturday, because of VCU’s COVID issues.
— Oregon won 11 of their last 13 games.
— Ducks are shooting 37.9% on arc (#19)
— Oregon is 4-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
— Under Altman, Ducks are 4-2 SU in 2nd round games.

Iowa (22-8)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #43
— Iowa won nine of its last 11 games.
— Iowa is shooting 38.8% on arc (#9)
— Hawkeyes never trailed Saturday, scoring 1.37 ppp.
— Iowa is 5-5 vs top 30 teams.
— Under McCaffery, Iowa is 0-3 in second round games.

— Last five tournaments, #2-seeds are 6-6 SU vs #7-seeds.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.

Oklahoma (8) vs Gonzaga (1)
Oklahoma (16-10)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #48
— Oklahoma lost five of their last seven games.
— Oklahoma’s #2 scorer Harmon missed last game (check status).
— Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#39)
— Their last seven games were all decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Sooners played three starters 33:00+ in Saturday’s win.
— Under Kruger, Oklahoma is 2-1 SU in 2nd round games.

Gonzaga (27-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #179
— Gonzaga was up 20 at half Saturday, had a stress-free day.
— Zags are shooting 63.8% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga gets 57.6% of its points on 2-point shots (#28)
— Gonzaga won four of last five 2nd round games, after losing five in a row, from 2010-14.

— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.
— Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.

Abilene Christian (14) vs UCLA (11)
Abilene Christian (23-4)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #20
— Wildcats won 12 of their last 13 games.
— ACU lost 51-44 at Texas Tech, 85-72 at Arkansas.
— ACU is forcing turnovers 26.7% of time (#1)
— Abilene Christian is shooting 37.7% on arc (#21)
— ACU lost 79-44 to UCLA in first round two years ago.

UCLA (18-9)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #25
— UCLA lost four of its last four games.
— UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
— Bruins are 8-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 9-7 in NCAAs.
— Cronin is 7-11 in NCAAs, 1-4 after the first round.

— Since 1988, #14-seeds are 1-9 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.

Ohio (13) vs Creighton (5)
Ohio (17-7)
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #270
— Continuity: #84
— Ohio won nine of its last ten games.
— Bobcats are shooting 56.2% inside the arc (#11)
— Opponents are shooting 51.2% inside arc (#239)
— Ohio played two starters 40:00 Saturday; another played 36:00.
— Ohio is in NCAA’s for first time since 2012.

Creighton (21-8)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #18
— Creighton won four of its last five games.
— Bluejays are shooting 56.3% inside the arc (#10)
— Creighton has #38 eFG% defense in country.
— Under McDermott, Bluejays are 0-3 in second round.

— Last six years, #13-seeds are 0-4 ATS in second round games.
— Since league reconfigured, Big East teams are 4-6 ATS in second round games.

LSU (8) vs Michigan (1)
LSU (19-9)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #135
— LSU won five of their last six games.
— Tigers don’t pass much (#338 in assist/basket ratio)
— LSU is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#60)
— Tigers are poor on defensive boards (#325)
— LSU had an unexpectedly easy win Saturday.
— Since 1997, LSU is 3-1 in second round games.

Michigan (21-4)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #147
— Michigan split its last six games, after an 18-1 start.
— Key player Livers missed last two games (check status)
— Michigan has #6 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are shooting 38.5% on arc (#11)
— Since 1998, Michigan is 3-5 SU in second round games.

— Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.

Colorado (5) vs Florida State (4)
Colorado (22-8)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #280
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #85
— Colorado won six of its last seven games.
— Colorado is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#48)
— Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#59)
— Buffs lost Pac-12 title game by hoop to Oregon State.
— Colorado is in NCAA’s for first time since 2016.
— Tad Boyle is 1-3 SU in first round games.

Florida State (16-6)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #103
— FSU lost three of its last five games, after a 14-3 start.
— Seminoles have #33 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida State is shooting 39% on the arc (#9)
— Deep team; they’re #23 in bench minutes.
— Seminoles won their last five first round games.

— Last 13 times #4-seed played #5-seed in 2nd round, favorites went 10-3 ATS.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
— Last two tournaments, ACC teams were 8-1 SU in 2nd round games.

Maryland (10) vs Alabama (2)
Maryland (17-13)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #93
— Maryland lost three of their last five games.
— Terrapins are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#61)
— Maryland gets 35.4% of its points on 3-pointers (#57)
— Maryland had fairly easy win Saturday, holding UConn to 32.3% from floor.
— As a head coach, Turgeon is 2-5 SU in second round games.

Alabama (25-6)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #9
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #152
— Alabama won seven in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Crimson Tide has #10 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama gets 39.7% of its points on 3-pointers (#16)
— Alabama was up 33-32 at half vs Iona; only Jones played more than 31:00.
— Since 1997, Alabama is 1-3 in second round games; the win was in 2004.

— Last 11 times #2-seed played #10-seed in 2nd round, underdogs went 8-3 ATS.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.

USC (6) vs Kansas (3)
USC (23-7)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #202
— Continuity: #317
— USC won four of its last five games.
— USC has #8 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 41.7% inside arc (#2)
— Trojans are shooting only 64.5% on foul line (#328)
— This is USC’s first NCAA since 2017.
— Since 1997, USC is 2-2 in second round games.

Kansas (21-8)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #263
— Continuity: #123
— Jalen Wilson is expected to be un uniform here; he didn’t play Saturday.
— Jayhawks won nine of their last ten games.
— Kansas has #53 eFG% defense in country.
— Jayhawks are 5-5 SU in last ten 2nd round games.

— Since 2013, #3-seeds are 7-13 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.

**Udog** · 03-22-2021, 09:13 AM

NCAAB

Monday, March 22

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Trend Report
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USC @ Kansas
USC
USC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing USC
Kansas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing USC

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Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/22

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/22

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