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**Udog** · 03-17-2021, 09:55 AM

We've removed the ceiling above our dreams. There are no more impossible dreams.

**Udog** · 03-17-2021, 09:55 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Honda Classic this week:
11-1— Daniel Berger
13-1— Sungjae Im
20-1— Joaquin Niemann
22-1— Lee Westwood
24-1— Adam Scott, Shane Lowry
29-1— Russell Henley

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's Den: Mid-week musings……..

13) Pretty cool moment on the Mariners-Rockies’ telecast the other night; the broadcast had announcers from both teams, a great idea because you learn more about both teams.

Anyway, early in the game they have a Colorado coach miked in the dugout for a half-inning, the Rockies’ pitching coach at AA Hartford. Why, you ask? Seattle’s pitcher at the time was Marco Gonzales; the Rockies’ pitching coach is Frank Gonzales, Marco’s father.

He can’t root for his son, he doesn’t want to root against him; it was good TV, and had to be a really proud moment for the dad.

12) Interweb says that LeBron James will become a part owner of the Boston Red Sox; he became a partner with Fenway Sports Group, a deal that also also increases James’ ownership stake in an English soccer team. Apparently it is fun to be really, really rich.

11) There was a surprising moment in the Cardinals-Mets game Sunday which drew national attention; Cardinals’ P Jordan Hicks came in relief to pitch, faced Luis Guillorme leading off an inning. The at-bat lasted 22 pitches, longest AB I can ever remember seeing, before Guillorme walked.

Sunday was the first day this spring where you couldn’t pull the plug on an inning, and there is that 3-batter rule now, so when St Louis wanted to change pitchers, apparently the umpires quietly told them that they had to bring the trainer out and pretend Hicks was hurt, if they wanted to remove him, and that’s what happened.

10) Grand Canyon made their first NCAA Tournament this year; I’m especially happy for coach Bryce Drew, who got hosed when Vanderbilt fired him two years ago.

Drew’s first two Vandy teams went 31-36, 16-18 in SEC games, but then he recruited a really good freshman point guard, Darius Garland. Vandy started out Year 3 with a 4-0 mark, but Garland got hurt 2:00 into Game 5, and the Commodores went in the ashcan when he never came back to play that year.

Vandy’s AD seemed anxious to fire Drew and hire Jerry Stackhouse; the Commodores are 20-37 in two years under Stackhouse, 6-28 in SEC games.

Garland has scored 13.5 ppg in his first 88 NBA games (for Cleveland); had he not gotten hurt, Vandy would’ve had a good season, Drew would probably still have his job and Grand Canyon would have a different coach. Maybe Vanderbilt did Drew a favor by firing him.

9) Padres’ catcher Austin Nola broke the middle finger on his left hand, which makes his availability for Opening Day a ????

Nola hit .273 for Seattle/San Diego last year.

8) When the season starts, Oakland A’s better hit the ground running; they open with seven games against Houston, three against the Dodgers. Yikes.

7) College basketball stuff:
— Indiana fired Archie Miller. Hoosiers have been over .500 in the Big 14 once in the last eight years.
— Minnesota fired Richard Pitino, who was then hired by New Mexico.
— Penn State hired Micah Shrewsberry, who has been an assistant coach under Brad Stevens and Matt Painter.
— George Mason fired Dave Paulsen.
— For some reason, Utah fired Larry Krystkowiak. Maybe the Utes should’ve stayed in the Mountain West Conference.

6) I’m going to repeat this one last time; Louisville has an assistant coach named Luke Murray, who is Bill Murray’s son. Luke Murray is going to be a head coach soon.

Minnesota GOPHERS have a head coach opening; it would be tremendous if Bill Murray’s son became coach of the GOPHERS (Caddyshack reference).

Minnesota needs Luke Murray to be their next basketball coach. In Caddyshack, Bill Murray played a groundskeeper named Carl Spackler who was at war with the gophers who lived underneath Bushwood Country Club.

The TV commercials would be epic; imagine Carl Spackler rooting FOR the Gophers?

5) Word out of Anaheim is that Matt Vasgersian will be the Angels’ new play-by-play guy on TV, with Darin Sutton filling in at times. Angels’ analyst is Mark Gubicza, who is great- upbeat, smart so they’re going to be fun to listen to late at night on the baseball package.

4) Chicago Bears signed QB Andy Dalton to a $10M, one-year deal, with another $3M possible in incentives. Dalton started nine games for Dallas LY; Bears now have him, Nick Foles, Mitch Trubisky at QB— sounds like Trubisky will be moving on.

3) New England Patriots signed eight free agents Tuesday, as they prepare to bounce back from missing the playoffs last year- they also re-signed QB Cam Newton last week.

2) QB Ryan Fitzpatrick signed with Washington; they’ll be his 9th NFL team. He is already the only quarterback ever to start a game for eight different teams.

Houston Texans added QB Tyrod Taylor, who has a 24-21-1 record as an NFL starter, but has started only four games the last three years, with Bills/Chargers.

Taylor was the Buffalo QB before Josh Allen, the Chargers QB before Justin Herbert- he lost his starting job when a doctor punctured his lung with a needle while giving Taylor a pain-killing injection just before a game last fall.

1) Colgate is playing Arkansas in the NCAA Tournament; Red Raiders are 14-1 this season, but the schedule they’ve played has been, by modern standards…….unique?
— 13 of the 15 games were against Boston U (5), Army (4) or Holy Cross (4)
— Only other teams they played were Bucknell, Loyola MD, in Patriot League tourney.
— Their first game was January 2nd.
— Colgate has made 40% of their 3-pointers, #3 in country.
— #189 Army is only team they’ve played ranked higher than #210 in country.

**Udog** · 03-17-2021, 09:56 AM

707W KENTUCKY -708 ST MARYS-CA
ST MARYS-CA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after 4 straight games where they made 40% of their shots or worse since 1997.

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 17

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 17

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TOLEDO (21 - 8) vs. RICHMOND (13 - 8) - 3/17/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
TOLEDO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
TOLEDO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (20 - 7) vs. ST MARYS-CA (14 - 9) - 3/17/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 69-45 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
W KENTUCKY is 78-52 ATS (+20.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 96-132 ATS (-49.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 straight up against ST MARYS-CA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 17

NIT
Toledo vs Richmond (@ Denton, TX)
Toledo (21-8)
— ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #205
— Toledo won MAC regular season, lost in tourney semis to Ohio U
— Rockets have #34 eFG% in country (#23 on arc, #69 inside arc)
— Toledo gets 39% of its points on 3-pointers (#21)
— Rockets haven’t been in NCAAs since 1980; they had to think they’d be making it this season. They’ve had five days to get over the disappointment.

Richmond (13-8)
— ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #9
— Richmond lost its last three games, by 5-3-5 points.
— Spiders are 3-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Richmond is shooting 53.9% inside the arc (#41)
— Spiders are not a deep team (#343 in bench minutes)

Western Kentucky vs Saint Mary’s (@ Frisco, TX)
Western Kentucky (20-7)
— ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #209
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #82
— WKU won 11 of last 14 games, losing finals of C-USA tourney in OT.
— Hilltoppers have a 6-11 center who is probably an NBA player.
— WKU turns ball over 21.2% of time (#288).
— Hilltoppers get 21.9% of their points on foul line (#30).

Saint Mary’s (14-9)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #347
— Experience: #225
— Continuity: #233
— Gaels are 6-8 in last 14 games, after an 8-1 start.
— Saint Mary’s is shooting only 29.3% on arc (#328).
— Gaels beat UTEP of C-USA 73-61 at home on December 8.
— Saint Mary’s is #8 team in country on defensive boards.

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 17

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Trend Report
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Toledo @ Richmond
Toledo
No trends to report
Richmond
No trends to report

Western Kentucky @ Saint Mary's-California
Western Kentucky
No trends to report
Saint Mary's-California
No trends to report

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**Udog** · 03-17-2021, 10:35 AM

Thursday

711NORFOLK ST -712 APPALACHIAN ST
NORFOLK ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

713DRAKE -714 WICHITA ST
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 in the current season.

717UCLA -718 MICHIGAN ST
MICHIGAN ST is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

719NC STATE -720 DAVIDSON
DAVIDSON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) in the last 3 seasons.

721SMU -722 BOISE ST
SMU is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

NORFOLK ST (16 - 7) vs. APPALACHIAN ST (17 - 11) - 3/18/2021, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORFOLK ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DRAKE (25 - 4) vs. WICHITA ST (16 - 5) - 3/18/2021, 6:27 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 88-61 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
DRAKE is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
DRAKE is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
DRAKE is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
DRAKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
DRAKE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOUNT ST MARYS (12 - 10) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (16 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 5:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (17 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN ST (15 - 12) - 3/18/2021, 9:57 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
UCLA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
UCLA is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC STATE (13 - 10) vs. DAVIDSON (13 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 225-172 ATS (+35.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 110-70 ATS (+33.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NC STATE is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
NC STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against ACC opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (11 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (17 - 8) - 3/18/2021, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SMU is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SMU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
SMU is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 96-136 ATS (-53.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NCAA tournament
Texas Southern vs Mount St Mary (@ Indiana U)
Texas Southern (16-8)
— ranked #229 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #238
— Tigers won 8 in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Texas Southern is 3-5 outside SWAC this season- they finished 3rd in the SWAC.
— Tigers have #30 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas Southern is coached by former LSU coach Johnny Jones.
— Tigers are shooting 27.7% on arc (#342)
— Texas Southern is 1-5 in NCAA tourney games; Jones is 0-3.

Mount St Mary (12-10)
— ranked #219 by KenPom
— Tempo: #356
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #142
— Mountaineers are 1-3 outside the NEC.
— Mountaineers finished T3rd in the NEC regular season.
— Mount St Mary won last four games, giving up 63.5 ppg.
— Mountaineers have #14 eFG% defense.
— Mount St Mary split two play-in games, in 2014, 2017

— Since 2006, NEC teams are 4-3 in these play-in games.
— Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-9 in play-in games.

Drake vs Wichita State (@ Purdue)
Drake (25-4)
— ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #265
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #179
— Drake gets 6-6 Hemphill back; good player. He missed last nine games.
— Drake’s PG is out for the year.
— Drake is 9-0 outside MVC (non-conference schedule #310)
— Bulldogs have #30 eFG% in country.
— Drake is 7-4 in last 11 games, after an 18-0 start.
— Bulldogs are in NCAAs for first time since 2008. .

Wichita State (16-5)
— ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #225
— Experience: #134
— Continuity: #234
— Wichita won eight of its last nine games.
— Shockers have #48 eFG% defense in country.
— Wichita shoots only 44.7% inside arc (#322)
— Shockers are 2-4 this season vs teams in top 100.
— Wichita is in NCAAs for 8th time in nine years but have rookie head coach now, who was an interim coach most of season.
— Since 2012, Shockers are 5-2 in first tourney game.
— Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in conference games.

— These teams were MVC rivals until 2017.
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in their first tourney game.

Applachian State vs Norfolk State (@ Indiana U)
Applachian State (17-11)
— ranked #209 by KenPom
— Tempo: #310
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #237
— ASU has four wins vs non-D-I teams- before winning Sun Belt tourney, they were only 9-11 vs D-I teams.
— Two of their four wins in Sun Belt tourney were in OT.
— Mountaineers have #274 eFG% in country (46.7% inside arc, #283)
— 43.9% of shots they take are on the arc (#38)
— Ohio State beat their rivals Michigan yesterday by a point.
— App State beat South Carolina State of MEAC 81-61 November 25.
— Mountaineers went 7-8 in Sun Belt this season.
— Last time App State made NCAAs was 2000.

Norfolk State (16-7)
— ranked #200 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #125
— Norfolk State won eight of its last nine games.
— Spartans have #54 eFG% defense in country.
— Norfolk beat James Madison/George Mason on the road.
— Spartans are shooting 37.4% on arc (#33)
— Norfolk State made NCAAs in 2012, upsetting Missouri as a 15-seed.

— Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
— Since 2004, MEAC teams are 4-4 in play-in games.

UCLA vs Michigan State (@ Purdue)
UCLA (17-9)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #25
— UCLA lost its last four games, giving up 74.8 ppg.
— UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
— Bruins are 7-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 8-7 in NCAAs; they’re 8-2 in first game of last 10 tournaments they were in.
— Cronin is 6-11 in NCAAs, 5-6 in his first game of tournament.

Michigan State (15-12)
— ranked #56 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #187
— Continuity: #75
— Spartans lost three of their last five games.
— Michigan State has #266 eFG% in country (##255 on arc, #252 inside arc).
— MSU is 6-0 outside the Big 14 this season (#220 non-conf schedule)
— Spartans are 17-8 in last 25 NCAA tournament games.

— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in play-in/first round games.
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
— This game is at Purdue, John Wooden’s alma mater.

NIT tournament
Davidson vs NC State (@ Denton, TX)
Davidson (13-8)
— ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #181
— Continuity: #36
— Davidson lost three of its last five games.
— Wildcats are 5-3 outside the A-14.
— Davidson gets 40.4% of their points on arc (#12)
— Wildcats shoot 56.8% inside arc (#8).

NC State (13-10)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #190
— Experience: #223
— Continuity: #128
— NC State won five of their last six games.
— Wolfpack force turnovers 22.0% of time (#37)
— NC State is 5-9 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Wolfpack lost 80-69 at Saint Louis of A-14 on December 17.

SMU vs Boise State (@ Frisco, TX)
SMU (11-5)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #52
— SMU has played one game since February 8th.
— SMU was down 61-41 with 6:05 left Friday, lost 74-71.
— Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#8)
— Mustangs start four juniors and a senior- they’re 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
— SMU lost last five times they allowed 70+ points.

Boise State (18-8)
— ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #127
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #245
— Boise lost its last four games, all by 7 or fewer points, or in OT.
— Broncos split their last ten games, after a 6-0 start.
— Broncos are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#71)
— Boise State is 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Boise State has #29 eFG% defense in country.

**Udog** · 03-17-2021, 10:44 AM

Friday

725HARTFORD -726 BAYLOR
HARTFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

727WISCONSIN -728 N CAROLINA
WISCONSIN is 23-8 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games since 1997.

729WINTHROP -730 VILLANOVA
WINTHROP is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in road games vs. winning teams over the last 2 seasons.

731N TEXAS -732 PURDUE
N TEXAS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less in the current season.

NCAA Tournament
Virginia Tech (10) vs Florida (7)
Virginia Tech (15-6)
— ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #293
— Experience: #244
— Continuity: #102
— Tech has played only three games (1-2) since February 6.
— Hokies lost three of their last five games.
— 41% of their shots are 3-pointers (#80)
— Tech is #38 team in country on defensive boards.
— Hokies are in 4th straight NCAA tourney; they’re 1-2 in last three first round games- they made Sweet 16 two years ago.

Florida (14-9)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #164
— Florida lost three of its last four games.
— Gators lost 83-71 to ACC’s Florida State December 12.
— Gators are #301 team in country on defensive boards.
— Florida won its last seven first round tournament games.

— Last six years, favorites are 14-10 ATS in 7-10 games.
— Last three years, ACC teams were 7-17 ATS in the first round.
— Last four years, SEC teams were 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ‘em.

Colgate (14) vs Arkansas (3)
Colgate (14-1)
— ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #25
— Experience: #149
— Continuity: #46
— Colgate played 13 of 15 games vs three teams: Army Boston U, Holy Cross- they’re jumping way up in class here.
— Red Raiders have made 40% of their 3-pointers (#3)
— Colgate won its last 13 games- they lost 75-73 to Army January 3rd.
— Colgate lost 77-70 to Tennessee in 2019, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

Arkansas (22-6)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won nine of its last ten games.
— Arkansas is 8-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #282)
— Razorbacks are 17-1 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Arkansas won three of last four first round games; Musselman was 1-2 in first round games while coaching Nevada.

— Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round games.
— Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored in first round.
— Since 2005, Patriot League teams are 9-6 ATS in first round games, covering last three, in losses by 6-4-7 points.

Drexel (16) vs Illinois (1)
Drexel (12-7)
— ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #340
— Experience: #161
— Continuity: #3
— Drexel lost 83-74 to #89 Pitt, their only top 100 game this year.
— Dragons have #35 eFG%; they’re shooting 37.2% on arc (#37)
— Drexel won CAA tournament; they were only 8-7 before that.
— Dragons are in NCAA Tournament for first time since 1996.

Illinois (23-6)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #218
— Continuity: #48
— Illinois won 14 of its last 15 games.
— Illini is shooting 37.6% on arc (#25)
— Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
— Illini opened season with two games vs teams outside top 100; they won by 62-59 points- those teams were also outside top 200. Drexel is #146.
— This is Illinois’ first NCAA Tournament since 2013.
— Underwood is 2-2 in first round games (Oklahoma State/SF Austin)

— Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
— Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 SU in NCAA games, 5-2 ATS.
— Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Utah State (11) vs Texas Tech (6)
Utah State (20-8)
— ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #154
— Experience: #253
— Continuity: #137
— Aggies won six of their last seven games.
— Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#4)
— Utah State is a top 10 rebounding team in country.
— Aggies get 55.5% of their points inside arc (#44)
— Since 2003, Utah State is 0-7 SU in first round games; they lost 78-61 as an 8-seed to Washington in last tournament, two years ago.

Texas Tech (17-10)
— ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #241
— Tech lost four of their last seven games.
— Red Raiders force turnovers 23.8% of time (#8)
— Tech gets 21.9% of its points on foul line (#32)
— Beard is 2-0 in first round games at Tech, winning by 10-15 points.

— Last five years, underdogs are 12-7-1 ATS in 6-11 games.
— Mountain West teams are 8-15 ATS in last 23 play-in/first round games
— Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.

Oral Roberts (15) vs Ohio State (2)
Oral Roberts (16-10)
— ranked #152 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #272
— Oral Roberts won its last five games, scoring 84.3 ppg.
— ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
— Oral Roberts is shooting 38.8% on arc (#11), 82.6% on line (#1)
— This is Oral Roberts’ first NCAA Tournament since 2008.

Ohio State (21-9)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #248
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #170
— Ohio State is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Their last five games were all decided by 5 or fewer points, or in OT.
— Buckeyes are 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Holtmann is 2-0 in first round at Ohio State, winning by 8-3 points.

— Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round games.
— Summit teams are 6-9-2 ATS in last 17 first round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 favorites are 8-10 ATS in first round.

Hartford (16) vs Baylor (1)
Hartford (15-8)
— ranked #192 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #29
— Hartford lost by 12 to UConn, by 34 to Villanova, their only top 150 games.
— Hawks are a bad rebounding team (#211 on defensive boards)
— Hartford won its last five games, giving up 62.6 ppg.
— This is first time Hartford has played in NCAA Tournament.

Baylor (22-2)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #31
— Baylor is 5-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 41.8% on the arc (#8)
— Baylor is 12-0 vs teams outside top 100, with nine wins by 18+ points.
— Under Drew, Baylor is 5-3 in first round games (4-4 ATS)

— Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round games.
— Last three years, Big X teams are 7-5 ATS as a favorite in first round games.
— Last seven years, America East teams are 5-2 ATS in first round.

Georgia Tech (9) vs Loyola Chi (8)
Georgia Tech (17-8)
— ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #10
— Tech won its last eight games, winning first ACC tourney since 1993.
— Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.8% of time (#15)
— Tech is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#24)
— Yellow Jackets are in NCAA’s for first time since 2010.
— Pastner was 2-2 in first round games when he coached Memphis.

Loyola Chi (24-4)
— ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #11
— Loyola won six in row, 17 of last 18 games.
— Loyola is shooting 58% inside arc (#4).
— Ramblers are 4-3 vs top 100 teams.
— Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond.
— Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.

— Last four years, underdogs are 10-6 ATS in 8-9 games.
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Last three years, ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.

Oregon State (12) vs Tennessee (5)
Oregon State (17-12)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #315
— Experience: #69
— Continuity: #155
— Oregon State won six of its last seven games.
— Oregon State is getting 21.0% of its points on foul line (#51)
— Beavers are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#276)
— OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time last week.
— Beavers are in tournament for first time since 2016-they lost 75-67 to VCU

Tennessee (18-8)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #233
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #108
— Tennessee split its last eight games.
— Vols are 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 50.
— Tennessee forces turnovers 22.9% of time (#14)
— Barnes is 11-4 SU in his last fifteen first round games.

— Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 16-12-2 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, SEC teams are 7-10 ATS when favored.

**Udog** · 03-17-2021, 02:01 PM

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