Announcement

**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 09:39 AM

Make no small plans for they have no power to stir the soul.

**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 09:39 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

NCAA Tournament trends:
— Last three years, #1-seeds are 5-7 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, #2-seeds are 9-6-1 ATS in first round.
— Last three years, #3-seeds are 7-5 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, #4-seeds are 6-10 ATS in first round.
— Last four years, underdogs are 10-5-1 ATS in 5-12 games.
— Last 20 national champs went 15-4-1 ATS in their 1st round game.

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 535,472
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

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Armadillo: Tuesday's Den: Conference trends for the NCAA’s first weekend

Conference trends for the first weekend of the NCAAs:

ACC
— Last three years (we’re not counting 2020 as a year, since there was no tournament), ACC teams are 7-17 ATS in the first round.
— Since 2013, ACC teams are 35-13 SU in first round
— Last five years, 16 of 37 ACC teams (43.2%) made the Sweet 16.

American
— UConn was 2014 national title out of the AAC.
— Last five years, AAC teams are 7-8 in first round, 1-6 in 2nd round.
— During that time, 2019 Houston is only Sweet 16 team they’ve had.

A-14
— Last five years, A-14 teams are 6-10 in the first round.
— A-14’s last Sweet 16 team was Dayton, back in 2014.

Big East
— Last three years, Big East teams are 18-14 in first round.
— Last three years, Big East teams are 5-13 in 2nd round.
— Thats 5 of 32 teams (15.6%) making the Sweet 16.

Big Sky
— Big Sky teams lost their last 13 first round games.
— Big Sky teams are 1-7-1 ATS in last nine first round games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Montana in 2006 was last Big Sky team to win an NCAA game.

Big West
— Since 2014, Big West teams are 4-4 in play-in/first round games.
— Since 2003, Big West teams are 0-6 ATS in their 2nd tournament game.

Big 14:
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 16-3 in first round (11-8 ATS)
— Last three years, Big 14 teams are 8-8 in 2nd round
— Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16.

Big X
— Last three years, Big X teams are 12-7 in first round games.
— Last three years, Big X teams are 8-4 on 2nd round games.
— Thats 8 of 19 teams (42.1%) teams in Sweet 16, same as the Big 14.

CAA
— Since VCU left the CAA in 2012, things haven’t gone well.
— Last seven years, CAA teams are 0-7 in NCAA games (5-2 ATS)
— Last eight years, six different teams have represented the CAA

Conference USA

— C-USA teams won five of their last seven first round games.
— Those five C-USA teams that won went 0-5 ATS in second round.

Horizon League
— Butler made the Final Four in 2010/2011 out of the Horizon.
— Since then, Butler jumped ship to gr$$n$r pa$ture$.
— Last eight years, Horizon teams are 0-8 in NCAA’s (2-6 ATS)

MAAC
— Siena was last MAAC team to win an NCAA game, in 2009.
— Since then, MAAC teams are 0-11 SU, 2-9 ATS.

MAC
— Buffalo won its first round game in 2018/2019, ending the MAC’s five-game losing skid in first round games.

— MAC teams covered their last four first round games.
— Since 2003, MAC teams are 1-4 ATS in second round.
— Since 2003, Ohio U in ’12 is MAC’s only Sweet 16 team.

Missouri Valley
— Since 2013, MVC teams are 9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS in NCAA games.
— Those nine teams went 4-5 ATS in 2nd round games.

Wichita State-Drake is a first round game, old MVC rivals.

— Last eight years they were in the MVC, Wichita went 122-16 in Valley games; they totally dominated.
— Last five years Wichita was in the Valley, Drake went 26-64 in MVC games.
— In four years since Wichita (and also Creighton) bolted, Drake is 45-27.

Mountain West
— Since 2014, Mountain West teams are 3-8 in play-in/first round games.
— Those teams went 2-4 ATS when favored, 2-3 as an underdog, 4-7 overall.

Ohio Valley
— Since 2009, OVC teams are 8-2-1 ATS in NCAA tourney games, but they’ve lost seven of last eight SU.
— When Murray State whacked Marquette two years ago, it snapped a 7-game losing skid for the OVC in NCAA tourney games.

Pac-12
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 19-13 in first round games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 13-6 in second round games.
— Thats 13 of 32 Pac-12 teams (40.6%) that made the Sweet 16— that will surprise some people.

SEC
— Last four years, SEC teams are 17-6 SU in NCAA games, 11-12 ATS
— Thats 7-10 ATS when favored, 2-2 as an underdog, 2-0 when pick ‘em.
— Last four years, SEC teams are 10-7 in 2nd round games
— Thats 10 of 23 SEC teams (43.5%) that made the Sweet 16

Southern
— Wofford’s win in 2019 snapped So-Con’s 0-10 skid in NCAA games.
— That said, SoCon teams are 7-4-1 ATS in last dozen NCAA games.

Summit
— Summit teams lost 16 of last 17 first round games (6-9-2 ATS)
— Summit teams covered four of last six first round games.
— Summit teams are 2-0 SU in play-in games.

Sun Belt
— Since 2003, Sun Belt teams are 6-14 in NCAA Tournament games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Since 2010, Sun Belt teams are 4-8 ATS in NCAA Tournament games.
— Over last 20 years, Sun Belt has changed a lot, as schools jumped conferences.

WAC
— WAC teams lost their last 13 NCAA Tournament games.
— WAC teams are 3-6 ATS in last nine NCAA Tournament games.
— New Mexico State won this league seven of last eight years, so Grand Canyon winning WAC tournament is different— this is their first NCAA bid.

WCC
— Last time someone other than Gonzaga/BYU/Saint Mary’s repped the WCC? 2008, when the San Diego Toreros made the tournament.
— Gonzaga won its last 11 first round games (6-5 ATS)
— During that time, Gonzaga is only 3-7-1 ATS in 2nd round games.
— Gonzaga won its last five second round games SU- they’re expected to do a lot more than that this season.

**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 09:42 AM

517UTAH -518 BOSTON
UTAH is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

519OKLAHOMA CITY -520 CHICAGO
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

521ATLANTA -522 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

523CLEVELAND -524 MIAMI
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in road games off a road loss in the last 3 seasons.

527NEW ORLEANS -528 PORTLAND
NEW ORLEANS are 7-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in road games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1996.

529MINNESOTA -530 LA LAKERS
LA LAKERS are 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 09:45 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 16

Utah @ Boston
Jazz (28-10)
— Utah lost three of its last four games.
— Jazz is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games.
— Over is 7-2 in Utah’s last nine games.

Celtics (20-18)
— Boston won five of its last six games SU.
— Celtics are 6-4 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Over is 8-3 in last 11 Boston games.

— Utah won four of last five series games.
— Jazz covered last three visits to Boston.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Cleveland @ Miami
Cavaliers (14-24)
— Cleveland lost 13 of its last 17 games.
— Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.
— Seven of last nine Cleveland games stayed under the total.

Heat (21-18)
— Miami won 10 of its last 11 games overall.
— Heat is 4-3 ATS in last seven home games.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

— Heat won nine of last ten series games.
— Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

New York @ Philadelphia
Knicks (20-20)
— New York won nine of last 14 games (12-6 ATS last 18).
— Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
— Over is 4-0 in New York’s last four games.

76ers (27-12)
— 76ers won five in row, nine of their last 11 games.
— Sixers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 5-1 in Philly’s last six games.

— 76ers won last ten series games.
— Knicks covered once in last five visits to Philly.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

Oklahoma City @ Chicago
Thunder (17-22)
— Thunder won three of their last four games.
— OKC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Bulls (17-20)
— Chicago lost four of its last six games SU.
— Bulls are 5-10-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
— Over is 6-4 in their last ten home games.

— Oklahoma City won six of last seven series games.
— Thunder is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Chicago.
— Last five series games went over the total.

Atlanta @ Houston
Hawks (19-20)
— Hawks are 5-0 SU since they fired their coach .
— Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games.
— 14 of Atlanta’s last 19 games went over the total.

Rockets (11-26)
— Houston lost its last 16 games (2-14 ATS).
— Rockets are 0-8 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

— Rockets won last six series games.
— Hawks are 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Houston.
— Four of last six series games went over.

New Orleans @ Portland
Pelicans (17-22)
— New Orleans split their last six games, all at home.
— Pelicans are 2-4 ATS in their last six road games.
— Over is 21-5-2 in their last 28 games.

Trailblazers (22-15)
— Portland won five of its last seven games SU.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 7-2 ATS in last nine home games.
— Over is 5-2 in Portland’s last seven games.

— New Orleans won four of last five series games.
— Pelicans are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Portland.
— Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Minnesota @ LA Lakers
Timberwolves (9-30)
— Minnesota lost 14 of last 17, 24 of its last 30 games.
— Wolves are 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.
— Over is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Lakers (26-13)
— Lakers won four of their last six games.
— Lakers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

— Lakers won/covered last three series games.
— Minnesota is 3-2 ATS in last five series games played here.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 09:46 AM

NBA

Tuesday, March 16

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Trend Report
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Utah @ Boston
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Atlanta @ Houston
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games at home

Cleveland @ Miami
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

New York @ Philadelphia
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York

Oklahoma City @ Chicago
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

New Orleans @ Portland
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 17 games
Portland
Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games at home

Minnesota @ LA Lakers
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota

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**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 10:06 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 16

**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 10:52 AM

**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 11:03 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 16

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UTAH (28 - 10) at BOSTON (20 - 18) - 3/16/2021, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
UTAH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (17 - 22) at CHICAGO (17 - 20) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 68-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 148-197 ATS (-68.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (19 - 20) at HOUSTON (11 - 26) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-29 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games this season.
HOUSTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
HOUSTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
HOUSTON is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HOUSTON is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (14 - 24) at MIAMI (21 - 18) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 136-193 ATS (-76.3 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (20 - 20) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 12) - 3/16/2021, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 257-209 ATS (+27.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
NEW YORK is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW YORK is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 9-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (17 - 22) at PORTLAND (22 - 16) - 3/16/2021, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 55-82 ATS (-35.2 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (9 - 30) at LA LAKERS (26 - 13) - 3/16/2021, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 182-230 ATS (-71.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-16-2021, 01:26 PM

Hoop Trends for Tuesday March 16
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: New York at Philadelphia (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Knicks are 9-0 ATS (17.11 ppg) after allowing 50-plus points in the paint last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Cleveland at Miami (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Cavaliers are 0-18-1 ATS (-10.87 ppg) on the road with rest after a game as a road dog in which they shot under 40% from the field.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
Matchup: New Orleans at Portland (10:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pelicans are 13-0-1 OU (12.29 ppg) coming off a win.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Atlanta at Houston (8:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Rockets are 0-11 OU (-7.73 ppg) coming off a 10+ point loss as a home dog.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/16

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/16

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