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  • Saturday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, March 13

    Good Luck on day #72 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Everybody likes to go their own way to choose their own time and manner of devotion.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

      Top six scoring teams in Division I:
      92.1— Gonzaga
      86.4— Colgate
      85.0— Iowa
      84.8— Baylor
      84.5— Southern Utah
      83.9— Bryant

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 532,151
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Wrapping up a busy basketball day

      13) Pac-12 tourney:
      Oregon State 75, Oregon 64
      — Beavers were picked last in pre-season polls, finished a surprising 5th in regular season, now they’re playing for the league title Saturday.
      — Oregon State is 20-44 on the arc the last two days.

      Colorado 72, USC 70
      — Buffs had a 17-0 run in first half, needed a tip dunk with 0:02.3 left for the win.
      — Colorado has now beaten USC seven times in a row.

      12) Big 14 tourney:
      Michigan 79, Maryland 66
      — 11:30am opener saw Michigan coach Howard get tossed after he got into a kerfuffle with Maryland coach Turgeon. Michigan is 20-3; Howard should be happier.

      Ohio State 87, Purdue 78 OT
      — Buckeyes led by 18 at half, needed OT for the win.
      — Purdue was only 15-27 on the foul line.

      11) ACC tourney:
      — Georgia Tech advanced to finals because Virginia couldn’t play due to COVID issues.

      Florida State 69, North Carolina 66:
      — Florida State has unusually good depth; they’ll be a popular pick to make the Final Four.
      — North Carolina shot 34% inside arc, had 21 offensive rebounds.

      10) Big X tourney:
      Oklahoma State 83, Baylor 74:
      — Cowboys outscored Baylor 31-14 over final 7:49.
      — OSU star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last week and missed a game, but played 77:00 out of 80:00 the last two days.
      — Baylor heads into the NCAA Tournament at 22-2.

      Texas advanced to the finals, because Kansas couldn’t play due to COVID issues.

      9) Big East tourney:
      Georgetown 66, Seton Hall 58
      — #8-seed Hoyas are in Big East finals for first since since 2010.
      — Seton Hall lost five of last six games, finishes 14-13. No bueno.

      Creighton 59, UConn 56
      — Bluejays won the MVC tournament last two years they were in that league, but they’ve never won the Big East tournament- they’re favored to do that tonight.
      — Creighton outscored UConn 11-3 over final 5:26 of this game.
      — Bluejays are #40 experience team; they’re an experienced group.

      8) Big Sky tourney:
      Montana State 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
      — Top-seeded Thunderbirds get upset here.

      Eastern Washington 78, Montana 50
      — Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games

      7) Upsets of the Day:
      — Oregon State (+8) 75, Oregon 64
      — Montana State (+6.5) 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
      — Fairfield (+6.5) 52, Saint Peter’s 47
      — Cincinnati (+5.5) 74, SMU 71
      — Georgetown (+3.5) 66, Seton Hall 58

      6) SEC tourney:
      — All four favorites won Friday; I’m hoping Ole Miss gets in the NCAA Tournament- they looked like a tournament team in their 76-73 loss to LSU. Non-conference losses to Dayton/Wichita aren’t going to help their cause any.

      Arkansas 70, Missouri 64:
      — Razorbacks have won nine games in a row.
      — Officials totally dominated this game- the TV guys stopped counting when they got to 17 offensive fouls in this game. Guys were flopping all over the place.
      — Underrated thing about Eric Musselman; he’s coached two NBA teams and he also coached in the CBA— the guy is an X’s-and-O’s savant.

      5) MAAC tourney:
      Iona 70, Niagara 64
      — Rick Pitino re-surfaces on national TV Saturday; his Gaels are playing for their fifth MAAC tournament title in last six tries.
      — Iona didn’t play a game in January; they had a 7-week COVID pause, and didn’t play for 17 days before this tournament. Gaels have a new coach (albeit a Hall of Fame coach) and #274 continuity team, but they’re favored to win their league title tonight.

      4) MAC tourney:
      Ohio 87, Toledo 80
      — Toledo hasn’t made the NCAA’s since I was in college (1982); they were the top seed here, but got upset here, despite shooting 69.4% inside arc.

      Buffalo 81, Akron 74 OT
      — Buffalo survived miserable 8-19 shooting on foul line; they were down 5 with 6:32 left.
      — Bulls have won seven games in a row; they’re trying for 5th NCAA bid in last six tournaments.

      3) Conference USA tourney
      Western Kentucky 64, UAB 60
      — Hilltoppers made 10-20 on arc; they also have an NBA-type big man in Bassey, who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocked shots.

      North Texas 54, Louisiana Tech 48:
      — Mean Green won last three nights, giving up 53 ppg. They’re experience team #16 and they play a very slow tempo. North Texas last made the NCAA’s in 2010.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Saturday, March 13


        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:34 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Saturday, March 13


          AAC tournament
          Cincinnati vs Wichita State (@ Fort Worth, TX)

          Cincinnati (11-10, 9-6)
          — ranked #111 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #59
          — Experience: #258
          — Continuity: #209
          — Cincinnati is 7-3 in their last ten games.
          — Bearcats are shooting 31.6% on arc (#272), 65.8% on line (#312)
          — Cincinnati is turning ball over 20.6% of time (#258)
          — Bearcats were up 20 with 6:05 left Friday, won by 3.
          — Cincinnati won the last two AAC tournaments.

          Wichita State (16-4, 12-2)
          — ranked #70 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #222
          — Experience: #134
          — Continuity: #224
          — Wichita won last eight games, giving up 65.3 ppg in last seven.
          — Shockers are shooting 45.0% inside arc (#319)
          — Wichita has #49 eFG% defense in country.
          — Shockers were down 9 with 6:38 left Friday, survived 68-67.
          — Wichita is 14-5 in its last 19 AAC tournament games.

          — Bearcats lost 82-76 in Wichita January 10.
          — Cincinnati won six of last seven series games.

          Big 14 tournament (@ Indianapolis)
          Ohio State vs Michigan

          Ohio State (19-8, 13-8)
          — ranked #7 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #233
          — Experience: #88
          — Continuity: #173
          — Buckeyes led by 18 at half Friday, needed OT to beat Purdue.
          — Ohio State is shooting 52.7% inside arc (#65), 36.0% on arc (#68)
          — Buckeyes are getting 21.4% of their points on foul line (#43)
          — Last 7+ years, Ohio State is 7-6 in Big 14 tourneys.

          Michigan (20-3, 15-3)
          — ranked #2 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #249
          — Experience: #55
          — Continuity: #152
          — Michigan split its last four games. After an 18-1 start.
          — Wolverines have #6 eFG% defense in country.
          — In its three losses, Michigan was held to 64 or fewer points.
          — Michigan is 13-2 in last 15 Big 14 tourney games- they won two of last three tournaments.

          — Wolverines won 92-87 in Columbus February 21.
          — Ohio State is 6-4 in last ten series games.

          SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
          Tennessee vs Alabama

          Tennessee (18-7, 11-7)
          — ranked #20 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #246
          — Experience: #251
          — Continuity: #105
          — Tennessee won three of its last four games.
          — Opponents are shooting only 44.7% inside arc (#14)
          — Tennessee is forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#15)
          — Tennessee went WWL in last two SEC tournaments.

          Alabama (22-6, 17-2)
          — ranked #8 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #8
          — Experience: #141
          — Continuity: #151
          — Alabama won seven of its last eight games.
          — Crimson Tide has #11 eFG% defense in country.
          — Alabama gets 40.4% of its points on arc (#13)
          — Last 5+ years, Crimson Tide is 7-4 in SEC tournament games.

          — Alabama won 71-63 in Knoxville January 2.
          — Teams split last ten series games.

          ACC tournament (@ Greensboro)
          Georgia Tech vs Florida State

          Georgia Tech (16-8, 12-6)
          — ranked #36 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #212
          — Experience: #4
          — Continuity: #10
          — Georgia Tech won its last seven games.
          — Yellow Jackets force turnovers 22.2% of time (#31)
          — Tech is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#26)
          — Tech didn’t have to play yesterday, because of Virginia’s COVID issues.
          — Last 9+ years, Tech is 3-9 in ACC tourney; last time they won two games in one ACC tourney was 2010.

          Florida State (16-5, 12-4)
          — ranked #13 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #83
          — Experience: #97
          — Continuity: #103
          — Seminoles split last four games, after a 9-1 run.
          — Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#9)
          — Florida State is shooting 38.5% on the arc (#12)
          — Last 8+ years, Florida State is 8-7 in ACC tournament.
          — FSU beat Carolina 69-66 Friday; no Seminole played more than 28:00.

          — Teams split pair of home wins this season.
          — Seminoles won five of last six series games.

          Big X tournament (@ Kansas City)
          Oklahoma State vs Texas

          Oklahoma State (20-7, 13-7)
          — ranked #30 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #46
          — Experience: #323
          — Continuity: #289
          — Cowboys won eight of their last nine games.
          — Oklahoma State has #42 eFG% defense in country.
          — Last three games, OSU scored 80 ppg.
          — Cowboys played star Cunningham 77:00 out of 80:00 last two days.
          — Oklahoma State hasn’t won conference tournament since 2005.

          Texas (18-7, 12-6)
          — ranked #25 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #146
          — Experience: #106
          — Continuity: #4
          — Texas won its last four games, giving up 65.5 ppg.
          — Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#24)
          — 42.3% of Texas’ shots come behind the arc (#52)
          — Texas didn’t play yesterday, because of Kansas’ COVID issues.
          — Under Smart, Longhorns are 4-5 in Big X tournament- they went WL in six of last eight Big X tourneys.

          — Teams split pair of home wins this season.
          — Teams also split last ten series games.

          Big East tournament (@ New York City)
          Creighton vs Georgetown

          Creighton (20-7, 16-6)
          — ranked #10 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #134
          — Experience: #39
          — Continuity: #19
          — Creighton won ten of its last 13 games.
          — Bluejays are shooting 56.9% inside arc (#9)
          — Creighton gets 37.4% of their points on arc (#36)
          — Last 5+ years, Creighton is 4-5 in Big East tourney- they won MVC tourneys in 2013-14, but haven’t won a Big East tournament.

          Georgetown (12-12, 10-9)
          — ranked #68 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #107
          — Experience: #68
          — Continuity: #248
          — Georgetown won the last three days, giving up 66.0 ppg.
          — Hoyas are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#299) are turning ball over 21.8% of time (#311).
          — Georgetown is 2-7 vs top 50 teams this season.
          — Hoyas are in finals of Big East tourney for first time since 2010.

          — These teams split pair of road wins this season.
          — Creighton won seven of last nine series games.

          Conference USA tournament (@ Frisco, TX)
          North Texas vs Western Kentucky

          North Texas (16-9, 12-5)
          — ranked #73 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #347
          — Experience: #16
          — Continuity: #94
          — North Texas won last three days, giving up 53 ppg.
          — Mean Green has #22 eFG% defense in country.
          — UNT played all five starters 30:00+ yesterday- they’ve played last three days.
          — Last time North Texas won a conference tournament: 2010.

          Western Kentucky (20-6, 13-3)
          — ranked #92 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #193
          — Experience: #56
          — Continuity: #83
          — WKU won 11 of its last 13 games.
          — Hilltoppers are a top 30 rebounding team in country.
          — WKU is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#283)
          — Hilltoppers lost in final of last two C-USA tourneys; they last won a conference tournament in 2013- that was the Sun Belt tournament.

          — WKU won seven of last eight series games.

          MAAC tournament (@ Atlantic City)
          Fairfield @ Iona

          Fairfield (10-16, 10-11)
          — ranked #308 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #333
          — Experience: #166
          — Continuity: #220
          — Fairfield won its last four games, after starting season 6-16.
          — Stags are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#323)
          — Fairfield was down 11 early Friday, won by 5; they played three starters 36:00+.
          — Fairfield lost 83-71 to Iona in MAAC final three years ago.

          Iona (11-5, 9-3)- coached by Rick Pitino
          — ranked #185 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #177
          — Experience: #190
          — Continuity: #274
          — Iona won five in row, nine of last 11 games.
          — Last three days, Gaels gave up 54.7 ppg.
          — Iona is turning ball over 22.5% of time (#327)
          — Iona is 23-3 in last 26 MAAC tourney games; they won this event four of last five years.

          — These teams split pair of games back on December 11-12.
          — Iona won 12 of last 17 series games.

          MAC tournament (@ Cleveland)
          Ohio vs Buffalo

          Ohio (15-7, 11-5)
          — ranked #83 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #121
          — Experience: #271
          — Continuity: #85
          — Bobcats won eight of their last nine games.
          — Ohio U has #244 eFG% defense in country.
          — Bobcats are shooting 56.8% inside arc (#11)
          — Ohio upset #1-seed Toledo 87-80 Friday, despite Rockets shooting 69% inside arc.
          — Last 9+ years, Ohio is 11-7 in MAC tourney; they last won this event in 2012.

          Buffalo (16-7, 14-5)
          — ranked #60 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #10
          — Experience: #47
          — Continuity: #47
          — Buffalo won seven in row, 10 of last 11 games.
          — Bulls have #18 eFG% defense in country.
          — Four starters played 40:00+ in Friday’s OT win over Aron.
          — Last 3+ years, Buffalo is 8-1 in MAC tourney games.

          — These teams split pair of road wins this season.
          — Buffalo won seven of last nine series games.

          Big Sky tournament (@ Boise)
          Montana State vs Eastern Washington

          Montana State (13-9, 10-6)
          — ranked #222 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #159
          — Experience: #75
          — Continuity: #215
          — Bobcats won four of their last five games.
          — Montana State is getting 23.1% of its points on foul line (#8)
          — Bobcats are 2-5 vs top 200 teams this season.
          — MSU upset top-seeded Southern Utah Friday; they were down 10 at half.
          — Before this week, over the previous 11 years, Bobcats were 1-8 in Big Sky tourney- they’re 2-0 this week.

          Eastern Washington (15-7, 14-3)
          — ranked #109 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #25
          — Experience: #217
          — Continuity: #71
          — Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games.
          — Eastern Washington has #31 eFG% in country.
          — Eagles had stress-free win over Montana last night.
          — EWU is 11-4 in last fifteen Big Sky tourney games; they last won this tournament in 2015.

          — EWU beat Montana State twice this year, 93-77/85-69

          Mountain West tournament (@ UNLV)
          Utah State vs San Diego State

          Utah State (20-7, 17-4)
          — ranked #39 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #131
          — Experience: #256
          — Continuity: #138
          — Utah State won its last six games.
          — Utah State has #30 eFG% defense in country.
          — Aggies are #2 team in country on defensive boards.
          — Utah State won this tournament the last two years.

          San Diego State (22-4, 16-3)
          — ranked #24 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #295
          — Experience: #15
          — Continuity: #145
          — San Diego State won its last 13 games.
          — Aztecs are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#26)
          — Aztecs are #32 team in country on defensive boards.
          — Aztecs went WWL in this event 6 of last 7 years, WWW the other year.

          — Aggies beat San Diego State in finals of last two Mountain West tourneys.
          — Utah State swept Aztecs this year, 57-45/64-59, January 14-16.
          — Aggies won five of last seven series games.

          Pac-12 tournament (@ T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas)
          Oregon State vs Colorado

          Oregon State (16-12, 12-10)
          — ranked #85 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #313
          — Experience: #69
          — Continuity: #154
          — Beavers won five of their last six games.
          — Oregon State gets 21.2% of its points on foul line (#46)
          — Beavers never trailed in its win over rival Oregon Friday.
          — Under Tinkle, Beavers are 4-5 in Pac-12 tourney. Oregon State has made NCAA’s once (2016) in the last 24 years.

          Colorado (22-7, 16-6)
          — ranked #17 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #271
          — Experience: #31
          — Continuity: #84
          — Colorado won its last six games, giving up 61.5 ppg.
          — Colorado is shooting 36.8% on the arc (#47)
          — Opponents are shooting 46.2% inside arc (#50)
          — Colorado hasn’t won the Pac-12 tourney since 2012.

          — Colorado beat Oregon State twice this year, 78-49/61-57
          — Buffs won eight of last 12 series games.

          Big West tournament (@ Mandalay Bay, Las Vegas)
          Cal-Irvine vs UCSB

          Cal-Irvine (18-8, 12-4)
          — ranked #106 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #217
          — Experience: #338
          — Continuity: #182
          — Irvine won its last six games, giving up 59.5 ppg.
          — Anteaters get 60.2% of their points on 2-point shots (#7)
          — Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#3)


          Cal-Santa Barbara (21-4, 15-3)
          — ranked #75 by KenPom
          — Tempo: #293
          — Experience: #25
          — Continuity: #55
          — Gauchos won four in row, 17 of last 18 games.
          — Gauchos have #65 eFG% defense in country.
          — UCSB was 28-34 on foul line last night, Cal Poly 6-8.
          — UCSB held three of last four opponents to 57 or fewer points.
          — Gauchos are 6-6 in last dozen Big West tourney games; they last won this tournament in 2011.

          — Gauchos lost 75-56/73-69 at Irvine, way back on December 27-28.
          — Irvine won six of last seven series games.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:35 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Saturday, March 13


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            Trend Report
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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:35 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NCAAB
              Long Sheet

              Saturday, March 13


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              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:36 AM.

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