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Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/13

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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, March 13

    Good Luck on day #72 of 2021!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Everybody likes to go their own way to choose their own time and manner of devotion.

    Comment


    • #3
      Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

      Top six scoring teams in Division I:
      92.1— Gonzaga
      86.4— Colgate
      85.0— Iowa
      84.8— Baylor
      84.5— Southern Utah
      83.9— Bryant

      Americans who have died from COVID-19: 532,151
      PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


      **********

      Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Wrapping up a busy basketball day

      13) Pac-12 tourney:
      Oregon State 75, Oregon 64
      — Beavers were picked last in pre-season polls, finished a surprising 5th in regular season, now they’re playing for the league title Saturday.
      — Oregon State is 20-44 on the arc the last two days.

      Colorado 72, USC 70
      — Buffs had a 17-0 run in first half, needed a tip dunk with 0:02.3 left for the win.
      — Colorado has now beaten USC seven times in a row.

      12) Big 14 tourney:
      Michigan 79, Maryland 66
      — 11:30am opener saw Michigan coach Howard get tossed after he got into a kerfuffle with Maryland coach Turgeon. Michigan is 20-3; Howard should be happier.

      Ohio State 87, Purdue 78 OT
      — Buckeyes led by 18 at half, needed OT for the win.
      — Purdue was only 15-27 on the foul line.

      11) ACC tourney:
      — Georgia Tech advanced to finals because Virginia couldn’t play due to COVID issues.

      Florida State 69, North Carolina 66:
      — Florida State has unusually good depth; they’ll be a popular pick to make the Final Four.
      — North Carolina shot 34% inside arc, had 21 offensive rebounds.

      10) Big X tourney:
      Oklahoma State 83, Baylor 74:
      — Cowboys outscored Baylor 31-14 over final 7:49.
      — OSU star Cunningham tweaked his ankle last week and missed a game, but played 77:00 out of 80:00 the last two days.
      — Baylor heads into the NCAA Tournament at 22-2.

      Texas advanced to the finals, because Kansas couldn’t play due to COVID issues.

      9) Big East tourney:
      Georgetown 66, Seton Hall 58
      — #8-seed Hoyas are in Big East finals for first since since 2010.
      — Seton Hall lost five of last six games, finishes 14-13. No bueno.

      Creighton 59, UConn 56
      — Bluejays won the MVC tournament last two years they were in that league, but they’ve never won the Big East tournament- they’re favored to do that tonight.
      — Creighton outscored UConn 11-3 over final 5:26 of this game.
      — Bluejays are #40 experience team; they’re an experienced group.

      8) Big Sky tourney:
      Montana State 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
      — Top-seeded Thunderbirds get upset here.

      Eastern Washington 78, Montana 50
      — Eagles won 12 of their last 13 games

      7) Upsets of the Day:
      — Oregon State (+8) 75, Oregon 64
      — Montana State (+6.5) 80, Southern Utah 77 OT
      — Fairfield (+6.5) 52, Saint Peter’s 47
      — Cincinnati (+5.5) 74, SMU 71
      — Georgetown (+3.5) 66, Seton Hall 58

      6) SEC tourney:
      — All four favorites won Friday; I’m hoping Ole Miss gets in the NCAA Tournament- they looked like a tournament team in their 76-73 loss to LSU. Non-conference losses to Dayton/Wichita aren’t going to help their cause any.

      Arkansas 70, Missouri 64:
      — Razorbacks have won nine games in a row.
      — Officials totally dominated this game- the TV guys stopped counting when they got to 17 offensive fouls in this game. Guys were flopping all over the place.
      — Underrated thing about Eric Musselman; he’s coached two NBA teams and he also coached in the CBA— the guy is an X’s-and-O’s savant.

      5) MAAC tourney:
      Iona 70, Niagara 64
      — Rick Pitino re-surfaces on national TV Saturday; his Gaels are playing for their fifth MAAC tournament title in last six tries.
      — Iona didn’t play a game in January; they had a 7-week COVID pause, and didn’t play for 17 days before this tournament. Gaels have a new coach (albeit a Hall of Fame coach) and #274 continuity team, but they’re favored to win their league title tonight.

      4) MAC tourney:
      Ohio 87, Toledo 80
      — Toledo hasn’t made the NCAA’s since I was in college (1982); they were the top seed here, but got upset here, despite shooting 69.4% inside arc.

      Buffalo 81, Akron 74 OT
      — Buffalo survived miserable 8-19 shooting on foul line; they were down 5 with 6:32 left.
      — Bulls have won seven games in a row; they’re trying for 5th NCAA bid in last six tournaments.

      3) Conference USA tourney
      Western Kentucky 64, UAB 60
      — Hilltoppers made 10-20 on arc; they also have an NBA-type big man in Bassey, who had 22 points, 7 rebounds, 4 blocked shots.

      North Texas 54, Louisiana Tech 48:
      — Mean Green won last three nights, giving up 53 ppg. They’re experience team #16 and they play a very slow tempo. North Texas last made the NCAA’s in 2010.

      Comment


      • #4
        541NEW YORK -542 OKLAHOMA CITY
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 289-234 ATS (31.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.

        543DETROIT -544 BROOKLYN
        DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

        545MILWAUKEE -546 WASHINGTON
        WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

        547TORONTO -548 CHARLOTTE
        CHARLOTTE is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) in home games after having won 3 of their last 4 games since 1996.

        549SACRAMENTO -550 ATLANTA
        SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

        551PORTLAND -552 MINNESOTA
        MINNESOTA is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

        555INDIANA -556 PHOENIX
        INDIANA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:50 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Saturday, March 13


          New York @ Oklahoma City
          Knicks (19-19)
          — New York won eight of last 12 games (11-5 ATS last 16).
          — Knicks are 4-3 ATS in their last seven road games.
          — Under is 7-2-1 in New York’s last ten road games.

          Thunder (16-21)
          — Thunder won four of their last six games.
          — OKC is 3-1 ATS in last four home games.
          — Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.

          — Thunder won eight of last nine series games.
          — Knicks covered once in last four visits to Oklahoma.
          — Four of last five series games went over.

          Detroit @ Brooklyn
          Pistons (10-27)
          — Detroit lost eight of its last ten games
          — Pistons are 6-4 ATS in last ten road games.
          — Under is 7-3 in Detroit’s last ten games.

          Nets (25-13)
          — Brooklyn won/covered 11 of their last 12 games.
          — Nets are 6-2 ATS in last eight home games.
          — Four of last five Brooklyn home games stayed under.

          — Nets won four of last six series games.
          — Detroit is 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Brooklyn.
          — Last three series games went over the total.

          Toronto @ Charlotte
          Raptors (17-19)
          — Toronto lost four of its last its five games.
          — Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
          — Last four Toronto games went over the total.

          Hornets (18-18)
          — Charlotte is 8-5 in its last 13 games SU.
          — Hornets are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games.
          — Over is 7-2 in Charlotte’s last nine games.

          — Toronto won four of last five series games.
          — Raptors is 1-2 ATS in last three visits to Charlotte.
          — Over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games.

          Milwaukee @ Washington
          Bucks (23-14)
          — Milwaukee won seven of its last eight games (5-3 ATS).
          — Bucks are 0-4 ATS in last four road games.
          — Under is 3-1 in Milwaukee’s last four games

          Wizards (14-22)
          — Wizards lost three of last four games, are 9-4 ATS in last 13.
          — Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games.
          — Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

          — Milwaukee won last five series games (4-1 ATS)
          — Bucks are 4-3 ATS in last seven visits to Washington.
          — Last five series games went over the total.

          Sacramento @ Atlanta
          Kings (15-22)
          — Sacramento is 3-11 SU/ATS in last 14 games overall.
          — Kings are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 road games.
          — Over is 11-2 in Sacramento’s last 13 games

          Hawks (17-20)
          — Hawks are 3-0 SU since they fired their coach .
          — Hawks are 3-5 ATS in their last eight home games.
          — 13 of Atlanta’s last 17 games went over the total.

          — Sacramento won/covered last four series games.
          — Kings are 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Atlanta.
          — Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

          Portland @ Minnesota
          Trailblazers (21-15)
          — Portland won four of its last five games SU.
          — Blazers are 10-4 ATS in last 14 road games.
          — Over is 4-1 in Portland’s last five games.

          Timberwolves (7-29)
          — Minnesota lost 13 of last 15, 23 of its last 28 games.
          — Wolves are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games overall.
          — Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

          — Portland won seven of last nine series games.
          — Blazers covered once in last four visits to Minnesota.
          — Under is 6-2 in last eight series games.

          Dallas @ Denver
          Mavericks (19-17)
          — Mavericks won 10 of their last 13 games.
          — Mavericks are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
          — Under is 6-2 in last eight Dallas games.

          Nuggets (22-15)
          — Denver is 10-4 in its last 14 games overall.
          — Nuggets are 6-10 ATS at home this season.
          — Under is 5-2 in Denver’s last seven games overall.

          — Nuggets won five of last eight series games.
          — Mavericks covered four of last five visits to Denver.
          — Over is 3-1 in last four series games played here.

          Indiana @ Phoenix
          Pacers (16-20)
          — Indiana lost 11 of its last 15 games.
          — Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten road games.
          — Over is 6-3-1 in Indiana’s last ten games.

          Suns (25-11)
          — Phoenix won 17 of its last 20 games (16-4 ATS).
          — Suns are 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
          — Under is 4-2 in their last six road games.

          — Indiana won six of last eight series games.
          — Pacers covered four of last six trips to the desert.
          — Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:51 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Saturday, March 13


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            Trend Report
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            New York @ Oklahoma City
            New York
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
            Oklahoma City
            Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
            Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New York

            Detroit @ Brooklyn
            Detroit
            Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 16 of Detroit's last 22 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
            Brooklyn
            Brooklyn is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
            Brooklyn is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

            Toronto @ Charlotte
            Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
            The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games on the road
            Charlotte
            Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

            Milwaukee @ Washington
            Milwaukee
            Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Washington
            Washington
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

            Sacramento @ Atlanta
            Sacramento
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 13 games
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
            Atlanta
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
            Atlanta is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Sacramento

            Portland @ Minnesota
            Portland
            Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
            Minnesota
            Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games

            Indiana @ Phoenix
            Indiana
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
            Phoenix
            Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

            Dallas @ Denver
            Dallas
            Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
            Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Denver
            Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:51 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Long Sheet

              Saturday, March 13


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              NEW YORK (19 - 19) at OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 21) - 3/13/2021, 2:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 67-46 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
              NEW YORK is 255-209 ATS (+25.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
              NEW YORK is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
              OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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              DETROIT (10 - 27) at BROOKLYN (25 - 13) - 3/13/2021, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              DETROIT is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
              DETROIT is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
              BROOKLYN is 86-62 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
              DETROIT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              BROOKLYN is 4-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
              4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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              MILWAUKEE (23 - 14) at WASHINGTON (14 - 22) - 3/13/2021, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              MILWAUKEE is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
              WASHINGTON is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              MILWAUKEE is 4-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
              MILWAUKEE is 5-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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              TORONTO (17 - 20) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 18) - 3/13/2021, 7:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              CHARLOTTE is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
              CHARLOTTE is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              CHARLOTTE is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
              TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
              6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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              SACRAMENTO (15 - 22) at ATLANTA (17 - 20) - 3/13/2021, 7:30 PM
              There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              SACRAMENTO is 3-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
              SACRAMENTO is 3-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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              PORTLAND (21 - 15) at MINNESOTA (8 - 29) - 3/13/2021, 8:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              PORTLAND is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
              PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
              MINNESOTA is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 9-31 ATS (-25.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              MINNESOTA is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              PORTLAND is 4-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
              PORTLAND is 5-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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              DALLAS (19 - 17) at DENVER (22 - 15) - 3/13/2021, 10:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              DALLAS is 463-379 ATS (+46.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
              DALLAS is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
              DALLAS is 239-190 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
              DALLAS is 590-509 ATS (+30.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
              DENVER is 44-76 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
              DENVER is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              INDIANA (16 - 20) at PHOENIX (25 - 11) - 3/13/2021, 10:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              INDIANA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
              INDIANA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
              PHOENIX is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
              PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
              PHOENIX is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
              PHOENIX is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
              PHOENIX is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
              INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
              Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:52 AM.

              Comment


              • #8
                NBA
                Dunkel

                Saturday, March 13






                Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:52 AM.

                Comment


                • #9

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Hoop Trends for Saturday March 13
                    Vince Akins

                    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
                    Matchup: Toronto at Charlotte (7:05 p.m. ET)

                    -- The Hornets are 12-0 ATS (12.08 ppg) after they had more than eight times as many field goal attempts as turnovers last game.

                    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
                    Matchup: Dallas at Denver (10:05 p.m. ET)

                    -- The Nuggets are 0-13 ATS (-10.19 ppg) at home coming off a win that had at least eight lead changes.

                    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
                    Matchup: Sacramento at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. ET)

                    -- The Kings are 14-0 OU (14.96 ppg) coming off a game as a favorite.

                    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
                    Matchup: New York at Oklahoma City (2:05 p.m. ET)

                    -- The Knicks are 0-18 OU (-14.31 ppg) after Julius Randle had at least 5 turnovers last game.

                    Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)
                    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2021, 10:53 AM.

                    Comment

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